Carlos De Sousa — OGILVIE

Carlos De SousaC FCL Rays

Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 166 lbs ROK HR +6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION94 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.100 / .182 / .100

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP265

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	112	99	17	4	0	0	13	42	0	2	0	172	268	212	480	40	298	38	12	232	43	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2024	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	112	98	19	5	0	0	9	38	3	7	0	194	282	245	527	51	317	34	8	246	53	-6	+1	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	19	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	141	120	20	1	1	2	16	34	2	7	1	167	275	242	517	75	209	24	11	242	50	-8	+1	—	—	+3	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	112	104	11	2	0	0	8	60	0	2	0	106	170	125	295	19	245	54	7	139	-20	-16	+0	—	—	+2	-1.3
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	112	102	12	3	0	0	5	56	3	7	0	118	182	147	329	29	253	50	4	153	-10	-15	+1	—	—	+2	-1.1
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	141	126	16	1	1	2	10	49	2	7	1	127	203	198	401	71	158	35	7	165	-2	-17	+1	—	—	+3	-1.3
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	112	104	11	2	0	0	8	60	0	2	0	106	170	125	295	19	250	54	7	139	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	112	99	17	4	0	0	13	42	0	2	0	172	268	212	480	40	298	38	12	232	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	112	102	12	3	0	0	5	56	3	7	0	118	182	147	329	29	261	50	4	153	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	112	98	19	5	0	0	9	38	3	7	0	194	282	245	527	51	317	34	8	246	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	141	126	16	1	1	2	10	49	2	7	1	127	203	198	401	71	182	35	7	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	141	120	20	1	1	2	16	34	2	7	1	167	275	242	517	75	209	24	11	242	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	112	103	11	2	0	0	8	60	0	2	0	107	170	126	296	19	245	54	7	139	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	112	103	12	3	0	0	5	56	3	7	0	117	182	146	327	29	253	50	4	153	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	141	128	16	1	1	2	10	49	2	7	1	125	203	195	398	70	158	35	7	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	112	103	11	2	0	0	8	60	0	2	0	107	170	126	296	19	245	54	7	139	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	112	103	12	3	0	0	5	56	3	7	0	117	182	146	327	29	253	50	4	153	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	141	128	16	1	1	2	10	49	2	7	1	125	203	195	398	70	158	35	7	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	TB	—	94	83	14	2	0	0	6	26	3	1	1	169	250	193	443	24	241	28	6	204	24	-8	-0	+0	+2	+2	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	TB	—	94	80	18	3	0	0	9	18	3	1	1	225	326	263	589	38	286	19	10	276	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	ROK MLE	TB	0%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		257	27	9	232	43	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	ROK MLE	TB	—	105	93	15	2	0	0	7	29	3	1	1	161	243	183	426	22	231	28	7	207	26	-9	-0	+0	+2	+2	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TB	34%	202	183	35	6	1	2	14	57	3	4	1	191	260	268	528	77	263	28	7	247	53	-11	+0	+0	+4	+4	-0.3
2028	22	MLB MLE	TB	48%	327	297	61	11	2	5	23	89	4	6	2	205	272	306	578	101	266	27	7	257	60	-15	+0	+0	+6	+7	-0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	TB	54%	412	375	77	14	2	7	29	111	5	8	2	205	271	309	581	104	268	27	7	264	65	-17	+1	+0	+7	+9	-0.0
2030	24	MLB MLE	TB	55%	470	427	89	16	2	9	34	126	6	10	3	208	276	319	595	110	270	27	7	268	67	-18	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	TB	56%	502	454	94	17	2	9	36	134	7	11	3	207	276	313	588	106	270	27	7	269	68	-19	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	TB	56%	520	470	97	17	2	10	38	139	7	11	3	206	276	315	591	109	270	27	7	269	68	-20	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	TB	55%	520	470	97	17	2	10	38	139	7	11	3	206	276	315	591	109	270	27	7	269	69	-19	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.2
2034	28	MLB MLE	TB	55%	520	469	97	17	2	10	39	140	7	11	3	207	278	316	593	109	269	27	8	268	68	-20	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	TB	58%	520	469	97	17	2	10	39	141	7	11	3	207	278	316	593	109	268	27	8	267	67	-21	+1	-1	+9	+11	-0.1
2027	21	MLB CTX	TB	34%	69	63	12	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	190	261	270	531	79	271	28	7	243	53	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	TB	48%	158	144	29	5	1	2	11	43	2	3	1	201	268	292	559	90	274	27	7	253	60	-7	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	TB	54%	223	202	43	8	1	4	16	60	3	5	1	213	281	322	602	109	276	27	7	260	65	-9	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	TB	55%	261	237	50	9	1	5	19	70	3	5	2	211	278	321	599	110	278	27	7	264	67	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	TB	56%	281	255	54	10	1	5	20	75	4	6	2	212	280	318	597	106	278	27	7	265	68	-11	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	TB	56%	292	265	56	10	1	6	21	78	4	6	2	211	279	325	604	113	278	27	7	266	68	-11	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	TB	55%	288	261	56	10	1	6	21	77	4	6	2	215	283	330	613	115	277	27	7	266	69	-11	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	TB	55%	285	258	55	10	1	6	21	77	4	6	2	213	283	329	612	116	277	27	7	265	68	-11	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	TB	58%	302	272	57	10	1	6	23	82	4	6	2	210	281	320	601	110	276	27	8	263	67	-12	+0	-1	+5	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2159	1957	412	74	8	41	157	581	29	44	14	211	279	319	598	109	276	27	7	263	60	-86	+3	-1	+39	+47	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	123	22	2	12	47	175	9	13	4	209	278	314	592	105	274	27	7	263	60	-26	+1	-0	+12	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4369	3956	784	138	18	74	314	1244	58	99	24	198	267	298	565	100	267	28	7	256	60	-162	+7	-2	+72	+87	0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	117	21	3	11	47	185	9	15	4	199	269	301	570	102	267	28	7	256	60	-26	+1	-0	+12	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.4	2,277	40	47	206	271	311	+41	+24	1.5	1.6
/162	664	12	14	+11.9	+7.0	0.4	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos De Sousa (OGILVIE)	20	20→25	31→36	50→55	48	182/248/249	66	257	1	2	29%	7%	43	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alfredo González 2012 · A	20	36	36→30	47→45	38	174/218/242	68	245	2	8	29%	5%	28	-3.9	194/246/266	72	256	4	10	25%	5%	45	-2.7	232/294/283	50	313	3	6	25%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→29	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	210/275/314	104	329	8	15	36%	7%	68	-1.0	190/253/306	116	287	12	16	36%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/249/281	94	269	8	13	32%	6%	51	-2.3	196/261/274	78	315	7	10	37%	7%	53	-2.1	188/258/263	75	295	9	10	37%	7%	47	-1.2
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	192/252/267	75	262	4	12	27%	6%	48	-2.5	202/274/290	88	285	7	19	30%	8%	61	-1.5	196/282/285	89	259	11	29	27%	9%	63	-0.8
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	40	-3.1	206/263/285	79	260	5	4	22%	6%	56	-1.9	227/270/319	92	275	7	1	19%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	40→37	40	52→50	40	195/254/288	93	274	7	14	31%	6%	53	-2.1	201/272/277	76	304	4	8	32%	8%	58	-1.7	190/273/260	70	294	3	7	33%	10%	51	-1.4
✕Glenn Santiago 2021 · A	20	43	37→40	55→45	46	200/274/277	78	262	3	13	23%	7%	59	-1.6	205/269/296	91	280	7	9	28%	7%	61	-1.5	182/247/261	79	270	7	8	33%	7%	43	-1.1
✕Frank Rodriguez 2022 · A	20	40	36→45	48→30	43	191/262/259	68	272	4	4	30%	7%	50	-2.3	182/239/268	86	269	8	4	34%	5%	43	-2.8	183/244/267	84	244	9	1	28%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Jorge Quiterio 2015 · A	20	36	40→45	46→45	39	183/234/269	86	255	8	8	31%	5%	41	-3.0	194/235/279	85	299	6	9	35%	5%	43	-2.8	177/200/259	83	273	6	12	37%	2%	24	-1.1
✕Alexis Wilson 2017 · A	20	39	37→40	49→30	45	188/257/266	78	249	4	3	25%	7%	50	-2.3	202/263/285	83	265	6	4	24%	7%	56	-1.9	212/265/301	89	256	9	1	20%	6%	58	-0.5
✕Jonatan Santana 2008 · A	20	38	34→40	48→55	47	181/242/228	47	228	2	9	21%	7%	35	-3.4	203/261/273	70	253	3	12	20%	6%	52	-2.2	198/253/266	69	248	2	13	20%	6%	45	-0.9
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	42	-2.9	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	40	-3.0	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	17	-1.4
✕Christian Cerda 2023 · A	20	41→37	39→45	50→40	51	195/281/288	93	256	6	9	25%	10%	65	-1.2	193/287/297	104	256	11	4	27%	11%	69	-0.9	180/276/283	102	231	12	2	26%	11%	61	-1.1
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→46	35→40	48→60	44	183/264/241	59	277	2	9	32%	8%	47	-2.5	186/287/267	81	289	6	15	34%	11%	63	-1.3	205/292/276	72	294	4	31	28%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	47	-2.5	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	70	-0.8	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	40→31	37→45	54→55	38	188/244/263	75	289	4	11	34%	6%	44	-2.8	180/251/307	127	326	15	16	46%	7%	58	-1.7	166/238/291	125	290	16	19	46%	7%	47	-1.7
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2019 · A	20	33	39→40	47→50	40	163/252/248	85	260	6	8	37%	7%	45	-2.7	192/272/290	98	317	8	13	39%	7%	62	-1.4	158/238/238	80	331	8	23	50%	6%	35	-1.2
✕Omar Hernandez 2022 · A	20	35	38→30	51→55	36	173/217/249	76	254	5	6	33%	5%	30	-3.8	185/234/249	64	265	4	16	30%	5%	36	-3.3	209/245/262	53	279	4	21	26%	4%	40	-1.5
✕Jason Lopez 2018 · A	20	40	38→50	47→45	44	192/261/269	76	264	5	9	28%	7%	52	-2.2	204/247/318	114	284	10	6	31%	5%	57	-1.8	161/223/251	90	239	8	7	35%	7%	32	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps