Carlos De Sousa

C FCL Rays
Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 166 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2051ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKDSL Tampa Bay112.194/.282/.24507-9—.119/.191/.149
202519ROKDSL Tampa Bay141.167/.275/.24227-10—.104/.188/.152
202620ROKTB94.225/.326/.2620124—.169/.250/.193
2027PROJMLE21MLBTB204.196/.259/.2692450-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBTB35.203/.267/.2850156-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBTB88.207/.271/.2961260-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
K%72
wRC+32
wOBA31
Whiff%22
Z-Con%21
BB%19
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsJosé Alvarez (age 21) · Tyler Ladendorf (age 21) · Francisco Acuna (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 51 proj PA
wRC+†50
AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .257 / .267
PA51
HR0
K%30
BB%7
ISO73
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.10.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 36
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT42
scouting grade only
POWER36
scouting grade only
EYE51
scouting grade only
SPEED54
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Tampa Bay — 11299 17400 13420 20 172268212480 40298 3812 232 -14 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Tampa Bay — 11298 19500 9383 70 194282245527 51317 348 246 -9 — — — — — —
202519 ROKDSL Tampa Bay — 141120 20112 16342 71 167275242517 75209 2411 242 -10 — — — — — —
202620 ROKFCL Rays — 9480 18300 9183 11 225326263589 38286 1910 276 24 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 112103 11200 9510 20 107179126305 19208 468 147 -14 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 112101 12300 6483 70 119191149339 30212 435 155 -9 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 141125 13111 11412 71 104188152340 48130 298 153 -10 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 9483 14200 6263 11 169250193443 24235 286 203 24 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 112103 11200 9510 20 107179126305 19212 468 147 -14 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Tampa Bay — 11299 17400 13420 20 172268212480 40298 3812 232 -14 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 112101 12300 6483 70 119191149339 30226 435 155 -9 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL Tampa Bay — 11298 19500 9383 70 194282245527 51317 348 246 -9 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 141125 13111 11412 71 104188152340 48141 298 153 -10 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWDSL Tampa Bay — 141120 20112 16342 71 167275242517 75209 2411 242 -10 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 9483 14200 6263 11 169250193443 24241 286 203 24 — — — — — —
202620 ROK RAWFCL Rays — 9480 18300 9183 11 225326263589 38286 1910 276 24 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 112102 11200 9510 20 108179127306 20208 468 147 -14 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 112102 12300 6483 70 118191147338 29212 435 155 -9 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 141127 13111 11412 71 102188150338 47130 298 153 -10 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 9485 14200 6263 11 165250188438 24235 286 203 24 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 112102 12300 6483 70 118191147338 29212 435 155 -9 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 141127 13111 11412 71 102188150338 47130 298 153 -10 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 9485 14200 6263 11 165250188438 24235 286 203 24 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLETB 0% 204186 36612 14602 41 196259269528 73276 297 242 50 -12 +0 +0 +4 +4 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLETB 34% 10394 19311 7301 21 200265283548 83278 297 250 56 -5 +0 +0 +2 +2 -0.1
202923 MLB MLETB 48% 181164 34612 13522 41 205269295565 91279 297 257 60 -9 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.1
203024 MLB MLETB 53% 266242 50824 19753 51 208273305579 97281 287 263 64 -11 +1 +0 +5 +6 -0.0
203125 MLB MLETB 55% 330300 631125 23924 72 210276313589 102282 287 267 67 -13 +1 +0 +6 +7 0.1
203226 MLB MLETB 56% 370336 711226 271024 82 212279318597 106282 287 270 69 -14 +1 +0 +7 +8 0.2
203327 MLB MLETB 55% 387352 751327 281084 82 211278316593 105281 287 269 68 -15 +1 +0 +7 +8 0.1
203428 MLB MLETB 55% 393358 751326 281104 72 209275311587 102280 287 266 66 -16 +1 -1 +7 +9 -0.0
203529 MLB MLETB 53% 388353 731226 281104 72 207273305577 98279 287 262 64 -17 +1 -1 +7 +8 -0.2
202822 MLB CTXTB 34% 3533 6100 2100 10 203267285552 82281 296 252 56 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
202923 MLB CTXTB 48% 8881 17311 6251 20 207271296568 90283 287 258 60 -4 +0 +0 +2 +2 -0.0
203024 MLB CTXTB 53% 140127 27412 10402 31 210275306581 96285 297 264 64 -6 +0 +0 +3 +3 -0.0
203125 MLB CTXTB 55% 181164 35613 13512 41 213278313592 101285 287 268 67 -7 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.0
203226 MLB CTXTB 56% 206187 40713 15572 41 214280319599 104285 287 271 69 -8 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.1
203327 MLB CTXTB 55% 213194 42714 15592 41 213279316596 103285 287 270 68 -8 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.1
203428 MLB CTXTB 55% 215196 41713 15602 41 211277312589 100284 287 267 66 -9 +0 -0 +4 +5 -0.0
203529 MLB CTXTB 53% 207188 39613 15592 41 209274305580 96282 297 263 64 -9 +0 -1 +4 +4 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 12851170 24741719 9136113 266 211276307582 96286 287 266 54 -53 +3 -1 +23 +28 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650592 12621410 461837 133 213278312590 100289 287 266 54 -27 +1 -1 +12 +14 -0.0
Career— MLE — 29282658 519881538 20886035 6615 195263283545 87271 297 248 54 -103 +5 -2 +44 +53 -0.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650590 1152038 461918 153 195262280542 85271 297 248 54 -27 +1 -1 +12 +14 -0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Rays · 94 PAwOBA .272 → .203 (−69)K% 19.1% → 27.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.15%÷1.000×1.440——27.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.57%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9955.91%
HBP% /PA3.19%—×0.720—×0.9952.29%
Singles /BIP24.19%÷1.000×0.820×1.029×0.99520.30%
Doubles /BIP4.84%÷1.000×0.720×1.029×0.9953.57%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720×1.029×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.

Result: wOBA .272 → .203; ISO .037 → .027; BABIP .286 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Tampa Bay · 141 PAwOBA .240 → .153 (−87)K% 24.1% → 29.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.11%÷1.005×1.220——29.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.35%÷1.011×0.700—×0.9957.82%
HBP% /PA1.42%—×0.700—×0.9950.99%
Singles /BIP18.60%÷1.054×0.680×0.987×0.99511.79%
Doubles /BIP1.16%÷0.944×0.600×0.987×0.9950.73%
Triples /BIP1.16%÷1.150×0.600×0.987×0.9950.60%
Home runs /BIP2.33%÷0.952×0.470—×0.9951.14%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 111, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 101, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .240 → .153; ISO .075 → .039; BABIP .209 → .130. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Tampa Bay · 112 PAwOBA .240 → .155 (−85)K% 33.9% → 42.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.93%÷0.975×1.220——42.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.04%÷1.011×0.700—×1.0085.61%
HBP% /PA2.68%—×0.700—×1.0081.89%
Singles /BIP23.33%÷0.963×0.680×0.965×1.00816.02%
Doubles /BIP8.33%÷0.945×0.600×0.965×1.0085.14%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.600×0.965×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.982×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 93, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.

Result: wOBA .240 → .155; ISO .051 → .029; BABIP .317 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Tampa Bay · 112 PAwOBA .227 → .147 (−80)K% 37.5% → 45.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA37.50%÷0.999×1.220——45.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.61%÷1.025×0.700—×1.0228.11%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×1.0220.00%
Singles /BIP22.81%÷0.963×0.680×1.023×1.02216.85%
Doubles /BIP7.02%÷1.106×0.600×1.023×1.0223.98%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.061×0.600×1.023×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.121×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 93, 2B 121, 3B 112, K 100, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .227 → .147; ISO .040 → .021; BABIP .298 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).