Carlos De Sousa — OGILVIE

Carlos De SousaC FCL Rays

Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 166 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION155 act + 103 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†40

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .264 / .257

PA103

HR1

K%27

BB%7

BABIP260

ISO64

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 28 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT28

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	112	104	11	2	0	0	8	61	0	2	0	106	170	125	295	19	256	54	7	139	-35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	112	99	17	4	0	0	13	42	0	2	0	172	268	212	480	40	298	38	12	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	112	102	12	3	0	0	5	58	3	7	0	118	182	147	329	29	273	52	4	155	-23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	112	98	19	5	0	0	9	38	3	7	0	194	282	245	527	51	317	34	8	246	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	141	126	15	1	1	2	10	49	2	7	1	119	196	190	386	71	169	35	7	162	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	141	120	20	1	1	2	16	34	2	7	1	167	275	242	517	75	209	24	11	242	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	ROK	TB	—	155	136	25	4	0	0	10	40	5	2	2	184	265	213	478	29	255	26	6	216	23	-13	-0	+0	+3	+4	-0.7
YTD	20	ROK	TB	—	155	130	31	6	0	0	16	28	5	2	2	238	344	285	629	46	298	18	10	291	81	-3	-0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
ROS	20	ROK	TB	0%	103	93	18	3	0	1	7	28	2	2	1	193	264	257	521	64	261	27	7	238	40	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
ROS	20	MLB	TB	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		264	—	—	227	32	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	ROK	TB	—	155	137	25	4	0	0	10	40	5	2	2	182	265	212	477	29	253	26	6	216	23	-13	-0	+0	+3	+4	-0.7
TOT	20	ROK	TB	—	258	229	43	7	0	1	17	68	7	4	3	187	264	231	496	44	257	26	7	224	30	-20	-0	+0	+5	+7	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	TB	34%	269	245	48	9	1	3	18	72	4	5	2	196	262	278	540	82	265	27	7	252	51	-15	+0	+0	+5	+8	-0.2
2028	22	MLB	TB	48%	378	343	71	13	2	6	27	99	5	7	2	207	275	309	584	102	268	26	7	263	59	-17	+1	+0	+7	+11	0.1
2029	23	MLB	TB	54%	448	407	85	15	2	8	32	116	6	9	3	209	276	314	591	106	270	26	7	269	64	-18	+1	+0	+8	+13	0.3
2030	24	MLB	TB	55%	493	447	94	17	2	9	36	126	7	10	3	210	280	318	597	107	272	26	7	273	67	-18	+1	+0	+9	+14	0.5
2031	25	MLB	TB	56%	518	468	100	18	2	10	38	133	7	11	4	214	283	325	607	111	272	26	7	274	68	-19	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.6
2032	26	MLB	TB	56%	520	469	100	18	2	10	38	133	8	11	4	213	283	324	608	111	272	26	7	275	68	-19	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.6
2027	21	MLB	TB	34%	92	85	16	3	0	1	6	25	1	2	1	188	250	259	509	71	269	27	7	243	44	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2028	22	MLB	TB	48%	183	165	35	6	1	3	13	48	3	3	1	212	282	315	597	103	272	26	7	253	52	-10	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2029	23	MLB	TB	54%	243	221	46	8	1	4	17	63	3	5	2	208	274	308	582	100	274	26	7	259	57	-12	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.0
2030	24	MLB	TB	55%	273	247	52	9	1	5	20	70	4	6	2	211	280	316	596	105	275	26	7	263	60	-12	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.1
2031	25	MLB	TB	56%	290	263	56	10	1	5	21	74	4	6	2	213	281	316	597	103	275	26	7	265	61	-13	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.1
2032	26	MLB	TB	56%	292	265	56	10	1	5	21	75	4	6	2	211	279	313	593	102	275	26	7	265	61	-13	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1373	1247	261	46	5	23	98	355	19	28	10	209	277	310	587	100	272	26	7	260	58	-66	+2	+0	+25	+39	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	124	22	2	11	46	168	9	13	5	210	277	310	587	100	274	26	7	260	58	-31	+1	+0	+12	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	3094	2804	554	99	12	49	219	875	44	71	20	198	266	294	560	96	266	28	7	254	53	-165	+6	+0	+55	+88	-1.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	117	21	3	10	46	184	9	15	4	199	267	295	562	97	269	28	7	254	53	-35	+1	+0	+12	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	112	99	17	4	0	0	13	42	0	2	0	172	268	212	480	40	298	38	12	232	36	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2024	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	112	98	19	5	0	0	9	38	3	7	0	194	282	245	527	51	317	34	8	246	47	-7	+1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2025	19	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	141	120	20	1	1	2	16	34	2	7	1	167	275	242	517	75	209	24	11	242	44	-9	+1	—	—	+4	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,531	26	30	209	274	313	+27	+16	0.7	0.9
	/162	664	11	13	209	274	313	+11.9	+6.9	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos De Sousa (OGILVIE)	20	23→28	31→36	49→54	48	187/264/231	44	257	1	4	26%	7%	30	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	32	-3.0	206/263/288	82	261	6	4	22%	6%	51	-1.7	226/269/325	99	274	9	1	21%	4%	62	-0.3
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	191/251/266	76	262	4	12	28%	6%	40	-2.4	205/277/292	87	289	8	19	29%	8%	59	-1.1	203/290/292	89	267	11	29	26%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	39→35	40	52→50	40	193/252/284	91	274	7	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	201/271/278	77	305	4	8	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→28	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	43	-2.2	211/277/317	106	330	9	15	36%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/311	118	287	12	16	35%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Alfredo González 2012 · A	20	36	36→40	47→45	38	174/218/242	68	245	2	8	29%	5%	19	-3.9	194/246/266	72	256	4	10	25%	5%	38	-2.6	229/290/281	52	315	3	6	26%	7%	57	-0.5
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/248/282	94	270	8	13	32%	6%	43	-2.2	195/260/276	81	313	7	10	37%	7%	47	-1.9	186/257/265	79	290	10	10	37%	7%	41	-1.1
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-2.6	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	44	-2.1	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→36	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/284	93	260	7	9	29%	6%	43	-2.2	187/246/287	100	286	9	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Christian Cerda 2023 · A	20	40→37	40	50→40	50	194/278/287	93	254	6	9	25%	9%	58	-1.2	189/282/293	104	252	11	4	27%	11%	62	-0.9	173/268/275	101	223	12	2	27%	11%	50	-1.2
✕Jose Bellorin 2011 · A	20	42	39→40	47→50	42	203/257/285	81	265	6	10	25%	6%	47	-1.9	223/280/308	85	271	6	9	19%	6%	63	-0.8	239/295/316	78	276	6	10	15%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2011 · A	20	41	40→45	50	42	202/257/291	89	262	7	13	26%	6%	49	-1.8	224/280/353	129	280	13	10	24%	6%	76	+0.0	226/277/353	127	285	14	8	25%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Jonatan Santana 2008 · A	20	38	34→40	48→55	47	181/242/228	47	228	2	9	21%	7%	27	-3.3	203/261/273	70	253	3	12	20%	6%	46	-2.0	198/253/266	69	248	2	13	20%	6%	38	-0.8
✕Glenn Santiago 2021 · A	20	43	37→40	55→45	46	200/274/277	78	262	3	13	23%	7%	54	-1.4	206/269/298	92	281	7	9	27%	7%	56	-1.3	184/247/261	77	274	7	8	33%	7%	35	-1.1
✕Jorge Quiterio 2015 · A	20	36	40→45	46→45	39	183/234/269	86	255	8	8	31%	5%	33	-2.9	194/235/279	85	299	6	9	35%	5%	36	-2.7	177/200/259	83	273	6	12	37%	2%	14	-1.1
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→46	35→40	48→60	44	183/264/241	59	277	2	9	32%	8%	40	-2.4	186/288/267	81	287	6	15	33%	11%	59	-1.1	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	40	-2.4	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	66	-0.6	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→34	41→45	48→50	40	199/264/295	96	283	9	10	32%	6%	54	-1.4	202/295/301	99	301	9	8	33%	10%	69	-0.4	182/291/276	94	275	9	10	33%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	34	-2.8	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	33	-2.9	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	6	-1.4
✕Alexis Wilson 2017 · A	20	39	37→40	49→30	45	188/257/266	78	249	4	3	25%	7%	43	-2.2	201/263/284	83	262	6	4	24%	7%	50	-1.8	211/263/297	86	253	9	1	20%	6%	51	-0.5