Gabriel Colmenarez
P
ACL Brewers
Age 20
RHP
6'1" / 155 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 18 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.45
FIP4.45
K%22.1%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%12.4%
ROS IP18
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Brewers 1 | 10 | 7 | 38 | 153 | 26 | 15 | 0 | 70% | 3.8 | 11.6% | 12.3% | -0.7% | 0.0% | 3.11 | 3.68 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Brewers 1 | 10 | 7 | 38 | 153 | 26 | 15 | 0 | 70% | 3.8 | 17.0% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 0.0% | 3.11 | 2.91 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Brewers 1 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 110 | 19 | 16 | 1 | 78% | 2.7 | 11.7% | 18.2% | -6.4% | 1.1% | 3.33 | 5.00 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Brewers 1 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 110 | 19 | 16 | 1 | 78% | 2.7 | 17.3% | 14.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 3.33 | 4.05 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 8 | 5 | 32 | 135 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 62% | 4.0 | 14.1% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.09 | 4.52 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 8 | 5 | 32 | 135 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 62% | 4.0 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 1.5% | 3.09 | 3.29 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | MIL | 3 | 3 | 18 | 76 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.1% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | MIL | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | MIL | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 4.31 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.9 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 3.93 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 39 | 200 | 844 | 183 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 5.2 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 3.93 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 27 | 19 | 94 | 398 | 50 | 54 | 4 | 70% | 3.5 | 12.5% | 13.5% | -1.0% | 1.0% | 3.16 | 4.33 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 57 | 40 | 200 | 847 | 106 | 114 | 9 | 70% | 3.5 | 12.5% | 13.5% | -1.0% | 1.0% | 3.16 | 4.33 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Gabriel Colmenarez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.45 | 22.1% | 9.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.31 | 22.7% | 13.4% | 20 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Gabe Bierman R 2027 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 84 |
| Alejandro Rivera R 2025 · 3.30 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.30 | 24.1% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.30 | 116 | 83 |
| Chad Donato R 2028 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 82 |
| Porter Hodge R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.18 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 2.9% | .336 | 3.40 | 24.3% | 10.5% | 249 | -0.78 | 2.98 | 349 | 82 |
| Joelvis Del Rosario R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.85 | 22.5% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .315 | 4.81 | 14.6% | 6.0% | 197 | +0.96 | 3.13 | 286 | 82 |
| Connor Cooke R 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 81 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2029 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 80 |
| Robert Colina R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.46 | 19.0% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .312 | 3.70 | 21.5% | 12.7% | 111 | -0.76 | 3.25 | 266 | 80 |
| Michael Knorr R 2029 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 80 |
| Miguel Rodriguez R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.30 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.0% | .329 | 5.83 | 19.9% | 7.7% | 108 | +2.53 | 2.55 | 272 | 80 |
| Miguel Díaz R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.3% | 7.7% | 1.7% | .365 | 4.50 | 19.4% | 8.2% | 233 | +1.10 | 2.22 | 573 | 79 |
| Rayner Urbaez R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.82 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 2.3% | .337 | 3.35 | 15.0% | 3.0% | 27 | -0.47 | 2.50 | 103 | 79 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2029 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 79 |
| Joshua Quezada R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.3% | 11.7% | 2.4% | .293 | 4.27 | 19.3% | 10.1% | 73 | -0.07 | 3.48 | 153 | 79 |
| Tanner Hall R 2028 · 4.56 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.56 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | .295 | 5.39 | 10.1% | -4.6% | 72 | +0.83 | 4.56 | 137 | 78 |
| Sean Sullivan R 2027 · 4.82 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.82 | 19.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .298 | 4.56 | 17.0% | 8.2% | 243 | -0.26 | 4.30 | 318 | 78 |
| Jordany Ventura R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.08 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 2.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 219 | 78 |
| Luis Cohen R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.14 | 17.2% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .263 | 4.99 | 13.7% | 3.4% | 225 | +0.85 | 3.00 | 310 | 78 |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.00 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .175 | 4.15 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 168 | +0.15 | 3.59 | 307 | 78 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2029 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .275 | 4.09 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.36 | 3.05 | 181 | 78 |