Junior Aybar — OGILVIE

Junior Aybar2B Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 20 L/R 6'0" / 145 lbs A HR +8%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 1.9 · 2033

wRC+†24

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .280 / .316

PA108

HR2

K%29

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20↗25

PWR

30↗35

SPD

59↗64

EYE

50↗55

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.9peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.7	$16M	+$15M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+1.8	$17M	+$16M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+1.9	$19M	+$18M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.8	$18M	+$15M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+1.6	$17M	+$11M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.3	$14M	+$8M
Totals		$18M		$101M	+$82M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	126	112	15	3	1	0	13	50	0	0	5	.134	.224	.179	.403	.045	.242	40	10	.187	1	-14	-2	+0	+0	+4	-1.2
2024	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	102	92	13	2	0	1	9	34	0	18	0	.141	.218	.196	.413	.054	.207	33	9	.198	10	-10	+4	+0	+0	+3	-0.4
2025	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	107	96	20	3	0	0	10	36	0	5	6	.208	.283	.240	.523	.031	.333	34	9	.245	46	-7	-1	+0	+0	+3	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	54	52	8	3	1	0	2	28	0	1	0	.154	.185	.250	.435	.096	.333	52	4	.171	-11	-7	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.5
ROS	20	MLB	BAL	54	50	10	2	0	1	4	17	0	1	0	.200	.259	.300	.559	.100	.285	31	7	.263	59	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
TOT	20	MLB	BAL	108	102	18	5	1	1	6	45	0	2	0	.176	.222	.275	.497	.098	.304	42	6	.217	24	-9	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	BAL	211	188	40	8	1	4	19	51	2	5	1	.213	.292	.330	.622	.117	.272	24	9	.288	79	-5	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2028	22	MLB 28%	BAL	334	297	66	13	2	8	31	78	3	9	2	.222	.302	.360	.662	.138	.274	23	9	.299	87	-5	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.7
2029	23	MLB 48%	BAL	416	369	85	17	3	11	40	95	4	11	2	.230	.312	.382	.694	.152	.275	23	10	.306	92	-4	+1	+0	+1	+12	1.1
2030	24	MLB 62%	BAL	472	419	96	19	3	13	46	106	4	13	3	.229	.311	.382	.693	.153	.276	22	10	.311	96	-2	+1	+0	+2	+13	1.5
2031	25	MLB 80%	BAL	503	443	102	20	3	14	50	112	5	14	3	.230	.315	.384	.699	.153	.276	22	10	.314	98	-1	+2	+0	+2	+14	1.7
2032	26	MLB 94%	BAL	520	457	106	21	3	14	53	116	5	14	3	.232	.318	.383	.701	.151	.277	22	10	.316	100	-0	+2	+0	+2	+15	1.8
2033	27	MLB	BAL	526	462	107	21	3	15	54	118	5	14	3	.232	.319	.387	.706	.156	.277	22	10	.316	100	-0	+2	+0	+2	+15	1.9
2034	28	MLB	BAL	526	461	106	21	3	14	55	119	5	14	2	.230	.319	.380	.698	.150	.276	23	10	.315	99	-1	+2	-1	+2	+15	1.8
2035	29	MLB	BAL	519	455	104	20	3	14	54	119	5	13	2	.229	.317	.378	.695	.149	.275	23	10	.312	97	-2	+2	-1	+2	+15	1.6
2036	30	MLB	BAL	510	447	101	20	3	13	53	118	5	13	2	.226	.315	.371	.686	.145	.274	23	10	.309	95	-3	+2	-2	+2	+14	1.3
2037	31	MLB	BAL	497	438	98	19	3	13	52	118	4	11	1	.224	.312	.370	.682	.146	.273	24	10	.306	92	-5	+2	-3	+2	+14	1.1
2038	32	MLB	BAL	479	422	93	18	3	12	50	116	4	10	0	.220	.309	.363	.671	.142	.271	24	10	.301	88	-6	+2	-4	+2	+14	0.8
2039	33	MLB	BAL	450	396	86	16	3	11	47	112	4	10	0	.217	.306	.356	.663	.139	.269	25	10	.295	84	-8	+2	-4	+2	+13	0.4
2040	34	MLB	BAL	404	356	74	14	2	9	42	104	3	9	0	.208	.297	.334	.631	.126	.267	26	10	.289	79	-9	+2	-5	+1	+11	0.0
2041	35	MLB	BAL	350	308	63	12	2	7	36	93	3	8	0	.205	.294	.325	.619	.120	.265	27	10	.281	73	-11	+2	-6	+1	+10	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7106	6268	1385	269	41	174	718	1712	61	192	35	.221	.307	.360	.667	.139	.274	24	10	.301	88	-95	+24	-25	+25	+201	13.4
/ 162G	—			650	573	127	25	4	16	66	157	6	18	3	.222	.309	.363	.672	.141	.275	24	10	.301	88	-9	+2	-2	+2	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	126	106	23	6	1	0	19	37	0	5	.217	.336	.292	.628	.075	.333	29	15	.294	83	-2	-2	—	—	+4	-0.1
2024	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	102	85	21	3	2	1	16	23	18	0	.247	.366	.365	.731	.118	.323	23	16	.332	113	+1	+4	—	—	+3	0.8
2025	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	107	89	26	4	1	0	17	24	5	6	.292	.406	.360	.765	.067	.400	22	16	.352	127	+3	-1	—	—	+3	0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Junior Aybar (OGILVIE)	20	20→25	30→35	59→64	55	.206/.280/.316	.110	.281	2	2	29%	8%	67	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	39→41	42→50	53→55	44	.191/.270/.293	.102	.283	10	11	34%	8%	56	-1.3	.199/.283/.318	.119	.317	11	15	37%	9%	69	-0.4	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	39→49	38→45	58→55	45	.188/.259/.276	.088	.265	5	16	29%	8%	46	-2.0	.210/.284/.296	.086	.280	6	17	25%	8%	63	-0.9	.229/.318/.327	.099	.300	9	17	24%	11%	81	+0.3
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	45	.183/.271/.272	.089	.286	7	6	36%	10%	52	-1.6	.190/.265/.267	.077	.298	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	.182/.268/.267	.085	.274	6	3	33%	10%	48	-0.6
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	43→32	41→55	59→50	42	.208/.262/.314	.106	.276	8	21	27%	6%	57	-1.2	.196/.243/.346	.150	.273	17	9	34%	5%	59	-1.1	.194/.269/.375	.181	.237	26	7	31%	7%	74	-0.0
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	39→38	41→45	56→50	41	.188/.251/.286	.098	.286	8	14	35%	7%	46	-2.0	.181/.251/.299	.118	.271	13	13	36%	8%	50	-1.8	.162/.234/.278	.116	.231	15	13	35%	8%	34	-1.7
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	40→50	40→45	55	44	.197/.264/.289	.093	.275	8	16	30%	8%	53	-1.5	.236/.299/.340	.104	.314	7	24	25%	8%	79	+0.3	.253/.315/.362	.109	.325	7	28	23%	8%	88	+0.8
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	42→51	43→55	56→55	48	.206/.282/.325	.120	.283	9	13	29%	9%	69	-0.4	.212/.283/.340	.128	.306	11	16	32%	9%	73	-0.1	.232/.314/.375	.143	.300	15	24	26%	11%	91	+0.8
✕Ricardo Méndez 2021 · A	21	43	39→45	54→50	40	.206/.263/.293	.087	.303	7	13	33%	6%	52	-1.6	.215/.257/.315	.100	.316	7	12	32%	5%	54	-1.4	.210/.249/.305	.095	.301	6	14	31%	5%	45	-1.2
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	41	40→45	54→60	47	.189/.291/.289	.100	.303	7	8	36%	10%	66	-0.6	.201/.301/.282	.081	.273	6	17	26%	10%	68	-0.5	.180/.308/.228	.048	.225	5	30	19%	12%	56	-0.5
✕Jake Fox 2023 · A	20	45→42	39→40	54→50	49	.212/.298/.304	.091	.296	6	15	28%	9%	71	-0.3	.198/.270/.293	.095	.273	7	11	28%	8%	56	-1.3	.181/.255/.273	.092	.248	7	10	28%	9%	42	-1.5
✕Forrest Wall 2016 · A	20	45→55	42→45	57→70	45	.220/.273/.329	.110	.277	8	17	23%	7%	66	-0.6	.218/.270/.313	.095	.291	8	18	26%	6%	59	-1.1	.260/.332/.371	.111	.354	9	50	27%	9%	98	+1.0
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44→43	39→55	52→50	46	.211/.278/.300	.089	.298	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	.194/.251/.313	.119	.273	11	7	31%	7%	53	-1.5	.216/.308/.399	.183	.269	22	12	28%	11%	97	+1.2
✕Taylor Trammell 2018 · A	20	46	41→55	56→55	44	.219/.278/.321	.102	.303	8	21	29%	7%	66	-0.6	.206/.279/.299	.093	.299	8	19	31%	9%	61	-1.0	.205/.299/.385	.179	.274	22	23	32%	11%	90	+0.6
✕LeVon Washington 2012 · A	21	44	39→45	51→50	46	.205/.280/.288	.083	.305	6	13	32%	9%	59	-1.1	.234/.309/.335	.101	.341	7	12	30%	9%	82	+0.5	.246/.314/.364	.118	.341	8	12	28%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Ian Lewis Jr. 2023 · A	20	47→40	40	56→55	43	.223/.279/.318	.095	.302	7	17	28%	6%	65	-0.7	.211/.272/.306	.095	.291	7	22	28%	7%	59	-1.1	.209/.274/.312	.103	.279	7	30	26%	7%	59	-0.7
✕Cole Roederer 2019 · A	19	42→33	43→45	53→50	41	.207/.262/.318	.111	.296	11	14	33%	7%	59	-1.1	.191/.261/.291	.100	.280	9	12	33%	8%	52	-1.6	.187/.255/.306	.119	.269	14	12	34%	7%	52	-1.0
✕Jefry Puente 2012 · A	20	36	37→45	54→50	46	.171/.257/.246	.075	.251	3	10	31%	9%	39	-2.5	.188/.267/.264	.076	.256	3	14	25%	8%	47	-1.9	.163/.244/.219	.056	.209	0	27	20%	7%	23	-0.9
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	40	.188/.259/.305	.117	.281	12	9	36%	7%	55	-1.4	.194/.278/.291	.097	.346	7	8	42%	9%	59	-1.1	.146/.273/.221	.075	.359	3	4	52%	12%	39	-0.5
✕Brian Pointer 2012 · A	20	42→41	44→45	55→50	38	.205/.259/.326	.122	.303	11	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	.187/.255/.299	.112	.286	10	12	36%	7%	52	-1.6	.192/.271/.313	.121	.285	12	13	34%	8%	58	-0.8
✕Luis Valenzuela 2014 · A	20	41	37→45	53→45	46	.195/.252/.271	.076	.245	4	8	22%	7%	41	-2.3	.224/.254/.309	.085	.289	5	8	23%	4%	51	-1.7	.257/.278/.358	.101	.312	5	7	19%	2%	71	-0.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)