Raymond Sosa — OGILVIE

Raymond Sosa P FCL Orioles

Age 21 RHP 6'4" / 185 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 15 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148140vR 132

ERA6.07

FIP6.07

K%17.8%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-2.2%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	13	0	17	93	11	21	0	0%	1.3	8.0%	28.2%	-20.2%	0.0%	5.40	6.00	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	13	0	17	93	11	21	0	0%	1.3	11.8%	22.6%	-10.8%	0.0%	5.40	5.56	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	11	0	13	64	11	9	0	0%	1.2	11.7%	17.6%	-5.9%	0.0%	4.85	4.34	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	11	0	13	64	11	9	0	0%	1.2	11.7%	17.6%	-5.9%	0.0%	4.85	4.34	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	11	0	13	64	11	9	0	0%	1.2	17.2%	14.1%	3.1%	0.0%	4.85	3.48	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	15	0	23	102	21	19	1	0%	1.5	14.0%	23.3%	-9.3%	1.7%	6.35	5.78	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	15	0	23	102	21	19	1	0%	1.5	14.0%	23.3%	-9.3%	1.7%	6.35	5.78	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	15	0	23	102	21	19	1	0%	1.5	20.6%	18.6%	2.0%	1.0%	6.35	4.34	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	15	1	30	151	23	31	0	7%	2.0	10.4%	25.7%	-15.3%	0.0%	5.76	5.48	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	15	1	30	151	23	31	0	7%	2.0	10.4%	25.7%	-15.3%	0.0%	5.76	5.48	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	15	1	30	151	23	31	0	7%	2.0	15.2%	20.5%	-5.3%	0.0%	5.76	4.68	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	BAL	14	0	15	63	11	13	2	0%	1.1	17.8%	20.0%	-2.2%	2.9%	6.07	6.07	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	BAL	27	0	28	118	23	20	3	0%	1.0	19.8%	16.6%	3.1%	2.8%	5.63	5.46	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	BAL	13	0	14	59	12	10	2	0%	1.1	19.8%	16.6%	3.1%	2.8%	5.63	5.46	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	58	11	10	2	0%	1.1	19.8%	16.6%	3.1%	2.8%	5.63	5.08	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	160	145	29	0%	1.1	19.8%	16.6%	3.1%	2.8%	5.63	5.08	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		54	1	82	410	45	100	2	2%	1.5	10.9%	24.4%	-13.4%	0.4%	5.71	5.49	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		132	2	200	1000	109	244	4	2%	1.5	10.9%	24.4%	-13.4%	0.4%	5.71	5.49	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Raymond Sosa (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.07	17.8%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.46	19.8%	3.1%	28	-0.61	—	—	—
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	88
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	88
Conor Grady R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	22	SU	5.28	17.2%	19.0%	2.2%	.242	4.62	16.9%	5.1%	96	-0.66	4.62	108	88
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	88
Cory Thompson R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	22	SU	5.42	15.2%	15.7%	2.9%	.289	4.34	16.3%	10.6%	131	-1.08	3.59	218	87
Tommy McCollum R 2021 · 6.21 FIP	22	SU	6.21	17.1%	27.2%	2.0%	.235	3.80	26.4%	10.9%	112	-2.41	2.90	219	87
Brett Hanewich R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	22	SU	5.18	15.9%	17.6%	2.2%	.372	4.32	20.3%	2.8%	108	-0.86	4.24	134	86
Andrew Moore R 2021 · 6.58 FIP	21	SU	6.58	12.9%	21.8%	3.3%	.263	3.75	26.5%	8.4%	103	-2.83	3.44	207	86
Jaydenn Estanista R 2023 · 6.67 FIP	21	SU	6.67	16.7%	25.7%	3.1%	.348	4.95	21.5%	5.6%	143	-1.72	4.59	230	85
Omar Ventura R 2018 · 5.82 FIP	21	SU	5.82	15.8%	21.6%	2.4%	.254	3.53	19.5%	3.1%	30	-2.29	3.53	125	85
Bernard Jose R 2024 · 6.14 FIP	21	SU	6.14	14.4%	19.0%	3.4%	.309	4.95	18.5%	6.4%	134	-1.19	4.44	222	85
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	85
Elison Joseph R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	21	SU	4.91	19.6%	20.3%	1.6%	.310	4.33	24.8%	6.9%	138	-0.58	3.32	217	85
Nick Kuzia R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	21	SU	5.18	16.5%	15.2%	2.8%	.361	5.35	17.6%	6.6%	60	+0.17	4.54	231	84
Bryce McGowan R 2022 · 5.90 FIP	22	SU	5.90	17.0%	22.9%	2.4%	.368	4.36	20.6%	6.6%	145	-1.54	3.71	178	84
Cole Ayers R 2022 · 5.58 FIP	22	SU	5.58	13.0%	15.4%	2.9%	.305	4.01	21.2%	10.1%	152	-1.57	3.58	171	84
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	84
Derrick Turnbow R 2000 · 6.58 FIP	22	SU	6.58	13.8%	19.9%	3.9%	.257	1.43	28.3%	22.6%	15	-5.15	1.43	245	84
Greg Weissert R 2016 · 5.22 FIP	21	SU	5.22	19.4%	19.3%	2.4%	.382	3.80	23.0%	10.3%	126	-1.42	2.57	487	84
Edward Baram R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	22	SU	5.05	18.5%	22.7%	1.2%	.354	5.57	15.4%	0.5%	95	+0.52	5.05	119	83