Sebastian Cadiz

C ACL Guardians
Age 21 L/R 5'11" / 180 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1189ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKDSL CLE Mendo…86.225/.353/.3100021—.133/.235/.173
202519ROKDSL CLE Mendo…102.265/.396/.3980145—.159/.267/.239
202620ROKCLE67.296/.433/.5192382—.203/.299/.373
2027PROJMLE21MLBCLE177.208/.281/.29922650.0
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBCLE32.211/.285/.31000700.0
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBCLE83.215/.289/.32311750.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
ISO88
wRC+87
wOBA80
Whiff%77
Z-Con%74
BB%68
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 97%
CompsCarlos Rodriguez (age 21) · Angel Ortiz (age 21) · Anthony Seigler (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 40 proj PA
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .278 / .296
PA40
HR0
K%28
BB%8
ISO91
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +0.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.30.40.40.30.20.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.5M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.3$0.7M+$0.2M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M
2036Arb-1$0.6M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2037Arb-2$5M———
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $2M +$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Guardians Blue — 10992 18343 12302 20 196302413715 217242 2811 309 17 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL CLE Mendoza — 8671 16220 13201 01 225353310663 85308 2315 308 21 — — — — — —
202519 ROKDSL CLE Mendoza — 10283 22530 18180 10 265396398794 133333 1818 358 45 — — — — — —
202620 ROKACL Guardians — 6754 16602 12141 32 296433519951 222368 2118 421 82 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Blue — 10995 10221 9372 20 105198200398 95151 348 194 17 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 8675 10110 9251 01 133235173409 40192 2910 199 21 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 10288 14320 13220 10 159267239506 80209 2213 234 45 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 6759 12402 7201 32 203299373671 169282 3010 289 82 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Blue — 10995 10221 9372 20 105198200398 95150 348 194 17 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Guardians Blue — 10992 18343 12302 20 196302413715 217242 2811 309 17 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 8675 10110 9251 01 133235173409 40196 2910 199 21 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL CLE Mendoza — 8671 16220 13201 01 225353310663 85308 2315 308 21 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 10288 14320 13220 10 159267239506 80209 2213 234 45 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWDSL CLE Mendoza — 10283 22530 18180 10 265396398794 133333 1818 358 45 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 6759 12402 7201 32 203299373671 169270 3010 289 82 — — — — — —
202620 ROK RAWACL Guardians — 6754 16602 12141 32 296433519951 222368 2118 421 82 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Blue — 10997 10221 9372 20 103198196394 93151 348 194 17 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 8676 10110 9251 01 132235171406 39192 2910 199 21 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 10288 14320 13220 10 159267239506 80209 2213 234 45 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 6759 12402 7201 32 203299373671 169282 3010 289 82 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 8676 10110 9251 01 132235171406 39192 2910 199 21 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 10288 14320 13220 10 159267239506 80209 2213 234 45 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 6759 12402 7201 32 203299373671 169282 3010 289 82 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLECLE 0% 177159 33622 15491 21 208281299579 91286 288 264 65 -7 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLECLE 34% 9384 17311 8251 10 212285314599 102287 279 272 70 -3 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.1
202923 MLB MLECLE 48% 171154 33622 14461 21 216289326615 110289 278 278 75 -5 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.2
203024 MLB MLECLE 53% 255229 49924 22682 31 219293337629 117290 279 284 78 -7 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.4
203125 MLB MLECLE 55% 321288 641236 27853 41 222295345640 123290 268 288 81 -7 +0 +0 +6 +7 0.6
203226 MLB MLECLE 56% 363326 721337 31953 41 224297351647 127290 269 291 83 -7 +0 +0 +6 +8 0.8
203327 MLB MLECLE 55% 382343 751437 331013 41 222296348644 126290 269 289 82 -8 +0 +0 +7 +8 0.7
203428 MLB MLECLE 55% 388349 761437 331033 31 221294343637 123288 279 287 80 -9 +0 -1 +7 +8 0.6
203529 MLB MLECLE 53% 385346 751437 331043 11 218291337628 119287 279 283 78 -10 -0 -1 +7 +8 0.3
203630 MLB MLECLE 53% 376338 721336 321023 01 215287329616 114285 279 278 75 -11 -0 -2 +7 +8 0.1
203731 MLB MLECLE 56% 346312 661235 29962 01 211282319601 109282 288 272 70 -12 -0 -3 +6 +7 -0.2
202822 MLB CTXCLE 34% 3229 5100 390 00 211285310595 99286 289 271 70 -1 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
202923 MLB CTXCLE 48% 8375 16311 7221 10 215289323611 107288 278 277 75 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
203024 MLB CTXCLE 53% 134121 26512 11361 21 219292333625 114289 278 282 78 -3 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.2
203125 MLB CTXCLE 55% 176158 35713 15471 21 221294341636 120289 279 287 81 -4 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.3
203226 MLB CTXCLE 56% 202181 41824 17532 21 223296348644 125289 268 290 83 -4 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.4
203327 MLB CTXCLE 55% 210188 42824 18552 21 222295345640 123289 269 288 82 -4 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.4
203428 MLB CTXCLE 55% 212190 43824 18562 11 220293340634 120288 268 286 80 -5 -0 -0 +4 +5 0.3
203529 MLB CTXCLE 53% 205184 39714 17552 11 218290334624 117286 278 282 78 -5 -0 -1 +4 +4 0.2
203630 MLB CTXCLE 53% 198178 37713 17541 00 214287326613 112284 279 277 75 -6 +0 -1 +4 +4 0.1
203731 MLB CTXCLE 56% 195176 37713 16541 00 210282317598 106281 288 271 70 -7 +0 -2 +3 +4 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 16471480 321611228 13944113 116 217290331621 114288 278 282 74 -43 -0 -4 +29 +36 1.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650584 12724511 551745 42 217290332623 115289 278 282 74 -17 -0 -2 +12 +14 0.7
Career— MLE — 34843123 6511213155 30394028 2812 208284320604 111277 279 277 74 -82 +1 -7 +56 +68 3.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650583 12223610 571755 52 209286321606 111279 279 277 74 -17 +0 -1 +12 +14 0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Guardians · 67 PAwOBA .411 → .289 (−122)K% 20.9% → 30.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.90%÷1.000×1.440——30.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.91%÷1.000×0.620—×0.99511.05%
HBP% /PA1.49%—×0.720—×0.9951.07%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.000×0.820—×0.99516.32%
Doubles /BIP15.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.99510.75%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP5.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9953.88%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .411 → .289; ISO .222 → .161; BABIP .368 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL CLE Mendoza · 102 PAwOBA .353 → .234 (−119)K% 17.6% → 21.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.65%÷0.981×1.220——21.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.65%÷0.977×0.700—×0.99512.58%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP21.54%÷1.003×0.680×0.960×0.99513.96%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷0.970×0.600×0.960×0.9954.55%
Triples /BIP4.62%÷0.991×0.600×0.960×0.9952.67%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.940×0.470—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 101, 2B 94, 3B 98, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.

Result: wOBA .353 → .234; ISO .133 → .080; BABIP .333 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL CLE Mendoza · 86 PAwOBA .304 → .199 (−105)K% 23.3% → 28.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.26%÷0.987×1.220——28.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.12%÷0.986×0.700—×1.00810.81%
HBP% /PA1.16%—×0.700—×1.0080.82%
Singles /BIP23.53%÷0.995×0.680×0.950×1.00815.39%
Doubles /BIP3.92%÷1.091×0.600×0.950×1.0082.06%
Triples /BIP3.92%÷1.045×0.600×0.950×1.0082.16%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 99, 2B 118, 3B 109, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .304 → .199; ISO .085 → .046; BABIP .308 → .192. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Guardians Blue · 109 PAwOBA .309 → .194 (−115)K% 27.5% → 33.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.52%÷1.001×1.220——33.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.01%÷1.006×0.700—×1.0227.83%
HBP% /PA1.83%—×0.700—×1.0221.31%
Singles /BIP12.90%÷0.991×0.680×0.950×1.0228.60%
Doubles /BIP4.84%÷0.917×0.600×0.950×1.0223.08%
Triples /BIP6.45%÷0.997×0.600×0.950×1.0223.77%
Home runs /BIP4.84%÷1.035×0.470—×1.0222.25%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 98, 2B 83, 3B 99, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .309 → .194; ISO .217 → .118; BABIP .242 → .151. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).