Sebastian Cadiz — OGILVIE

Sebastian CadizC ACL Guardians

Age 20 L/R 5'11" / 180 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION65 act + 43 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .277 / .331

PA43

HR1

K%28

BB%9

BABIP266

ISO127

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE64

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$5M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$4M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.7M
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$8M		$24M	+$21M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	109	97	13	2	3	2	7	43	2	2	0	134	208	278	486	144	200	39	6	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	109	92	18	3	4	3	12	30	2	2	0	196	302	413	715	217	242	28	11	309	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	86	76	11	1	1	0	8	30	1	0	1	145	235	184	420	39	234	35	9	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	86	71	16	2	2	0	13	20	1	0	1	225	353	310	663	85	308	23	15	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	102	89	17	4	2	0	12	27	0	1	0	191	287	281	568	90	270	26	12	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	102	83	22	5	3	0	18	18	0	1	0	265	396	398	794	133	333	18	18	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	ROK	CLE	—	65	58	11	4	0	1	7	20	0	3	2	190	277	310	587	121	270	31	11	279	72	-2	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
YTD	20	ROK	CLE	—	65	53	15	6	0	2	12	14	0	3	2	283	415	509	925	226	351	22	18	409	171	+5	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.8
ROS	20	ROK	CLE	0%	43	39	8	2	0	1	4	12	0	1	0	203	277	331	607	127	275	28	9	265	61	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
ROS	20	MLB	CLE	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		276	—	—	260	57	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	ROK	CLE	—	65	59	11	4	0	1	7	20	0	3	2	186	277	305	582	119	263	31	11	279	72	-2	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
TOT	20	ROK	CLE	—	108	97	19	6	0	2	11	32	0	4	2	195	277	318	595	123	268	30	10	273	67	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	CLE	34%	176	157	33	7	1	3	16	48	1	3	1	210	287	325	612	115	277	27	9	276	70	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2028	22	MLB	CLE	48%	307	273	59	12	3	6	28	83	3	6	2	216	296	348	644	132	279	27	9	283	75	-9	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.6
2029	23	MLB	CLE	54%	398	356	77	16	3	8	36	106	3	7	3	216	294	346	639	129	281	27	9	287	78	-10	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.9
2030	24	MLB	CLE	55%	459	410	89	18	4	9	42	121	4	9	3	217	296	346	642	129	282	26	9	290	80	-10	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.2
2031	25	MLB	CLE	56%	494	442	96	19	4	10	45	130	4	9	3	217	295	346	641	129	282	26	9	290	80	-11	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.3
2032	26	MLB	CLE	56%	515	458	100	20	4	11	47	136	5	10	4	218	298	352	650	133	282	26	9	291	81	-11	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.3
2033	27	MLB	CLE	55%	520	462	101	20	4	11	48	137	5	10	4	219	299	351	650	132	282	26	9	291	81	-11	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.3
2034	28	MLB	CLE	55%	520	462	100	20	4	11	48	138	5	10	4	216	297	348	646	132	281	27	9	290	80	-12	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.2
2035	29	MLB	CLE	53%	517	459	99	20	4	10	48	138	5	9	3	216	297	342	639	126	280	27	9	288	78	-13	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.1
2036	30	MLB	CLE	57%	509	452	96	19	4	10	48	137	4	9	3	212	294	338	632	126	279	27	9	285	76	-14	+1	-2	+9	+14	0.9
2027	21	MLB	CLE	34%	60	55	11	2	1	1	5	16	0	1	0	200	267	327	594	127	278	27	8	270	65	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	22	MLB	CLE	48%	149	134	29	6	1	3	13	40	1	3	1	216	291	343	634	127	280	27	9	277	70	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2029	23	MLB	CLE	54%	216	192	41	8	2	4	20	57	2	4	1	214	294	339	633	125	281	26	9	281	73	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2030	24	MLB	CLE	55%	254	227	49	10	2	5	23	67	2	5	2	216	294	344	637	128	283	26	9	283	75	-7	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.5
2031	25	MLB	CLE	56%	277	248	54	11	2	6	25	73	2	5	2	218	295	351	645	133	283	26	9	284	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2032	26	MLB	CLE	56%	290	259	56	11	2	6	26	76	3	5	2	216	295	344	639	127	282	26	9	284	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2033	27	MLB	CLE	55%	288	256	55	11	2	6	27	76	3	5	2	215	297	344	641	129	282	26	9	284	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2034	28	MLB	CLE	55%	285	253	55	11	2	6	27	76	3	5	2	217	300	348	648	130	282	27	9	283	75	-8	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.5
2035	29	MLB	CLE	53%	276	246	53	11	2	5	26	74	2	5	2	215	296	337	633	122	281	27	9	281	74	-8	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.4
2036	30	MLB	CLE	57%	290	258	55	11	2	6	27	78	3	5	2	213	295	341	636	128	279	27	9	279	72	-9	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2385	2129	458	92	18	48	219	633	21	43	16	215	295	343	638	128	281	27	9	282	74	-70	+2	-2	+43	+68	4.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	125	25	5	13	60	173	6	12	4	216	296	343	639	128	283	27	9	282	74	-19	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	4755	4232	899	180	41	92	437	1286	42	86	31	212	292	340	632	127	280	27	9	284	75	-133	+5	-4	+85	+135	8.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	124	25	6	13	60	176	6	12	4	214	295	345	640	131	282	27	9	284	75	-18	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	109	92	18	3	4	3	12	30	2	2	0	196	302	413	715	217	242	28	11	309	94	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2024	18	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	86	71	16	2	2	0	13	20	1	0	1	225	353	310	663	85	308	23	15	308	94	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.1
2025	19	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	102	83	22	5	3	0	18	18	0	1	0	265	396	398	794	133	333	18	18	358	132	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,473	48	45	216	292	344	+44	+24	5.4	5.0
	/162	664	13	12	216	292	344	+11.9	+6.4	1.4	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sebastian Cadiz (OGILVIE)	20	34→39	32→37	45→50	64	195/277/318	123	268	2	4	30%	10%	67	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	56	-1.3	205/280/294	89	283	5	16	27%	8%	59	-1.1	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	39→45	47→45	45	181/267/268	87	282	7	6	36%	9%	49	-1.8	190/265/267	77	299	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	170/253/254	84	253	7	2	33%	9%	37	-1.0
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A	20	45→49	41→45	46→55	51	216/301/314	97	294	9	7	28%	10%	74	-0.1	230/299/349	119	326	11	11	30%	9%	82	+0.5	228/302/349	121	326	10	15	31%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	50	-1.7	214/303/312	98	272	7	8	22%	10%	76	+0.0	196/299/311	116	258	12	6	27%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Oswaldo Linares 2023 · A	20	42	41→40	48→40	52	203/299/297	93	263	9	6	25%	10%	70	-0.3	188/285/268	80	281	7	4	32%	11%	57	-1.2	161/265/226	65	247	6	2	33%	11%	36	-1.0
✕Christian Cerda 2023 · A	20	40→37	40	50→40	50	194/278/287	93	254	6	9	25%	9%	58	-1.2	189/282/293	104	252	11	4	27%	11%	62	-0.9	173/268/275	101	223	12	2	27%	11%	50	-1.2
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2023 · A	20	47	37→45	47→55	54	220/301/294	74	277	4	12	20%	10%	69	-0.4	211/284/306	95	333	9	15	36%	9%	65	-0.7	194/268/287	93	319	11	18	39%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Omar Martinez 2021 · A	20	43→38	39→45	48→40	47	206/280/291	85	290	7	5	30%	9%	59	-1.1	197/282/309	112	296	12	5	34%	9%	66	-0.6	174/263/292	118	262	14	4	37%	10%	52	-1.0
✕Jose Rodriguez 2022 · A	20	42	38→40	49→45	46	198/269/277	79	283	5	6	30%	8%	51	-1.7	192/249/276	84	294	7	8	35%	6%	42	-2.3	167/223/239	72	252	7	7	35%	5%	19	-2.2
✕Freizer Pedron 2007 · A	20	44	37→40	49→55	42	207/263/283	75	275	4	12	25%	6%	50	-1.8	229/295/302	73	307	3	16	24%	7%	69	-0.4	262/328/337	75	341	2	29	22%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42→41	36→45	47→45	43	198/272/267	70	271	3	8	27%	6%	50	-1.7	197/299/316	119	271	14	6	30%	9%	76	+0.1	174/315/272	98	251	9	3	30%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Anthony Seigler 2019 · A	20	45→39	38→50	48→55	50	214/284/293	79	268	6	5	22%	8%	61	-1.0	194/272/271	77	286	5	5	31%	9%	52	-1.6	226/317/363	137	277	12	28	21%	11%	91	+0.6
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	47	-1.9	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Tayden Hall 2023 · A	20	47→46	38→40	50→45	45	218/287/303	85	311	4	6	29%	8%	65	-0.7	202/296/265	63	287	2	7	27%	11%	60	-1.0	169/284/250	81	247	6	9	30%	12%	52	-0.8
✕David Martin 2023 · A	22	45	39→30	49→30	42	211/285/301	89	298	5	7	29%	6%	65	-0.7	218/299/286	68	273	4	4	20%	8%	67	-0.5	236/329/295	58	282	5	1	16%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Cam Maron 2011 · A	20	47→57	40	50→40	47	225/290/318	93	285	7	6	23%	8%	70	-0.3	245/313/328	83	314	6	4	22%	8%	82	+0.5	244/317/320	76	314	4	2	22%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	59	-1.1	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Randel Alcantara 2016 · A	19	44	41→45	46→45	43	211/283/321	110	282	7	6	26%	6%	69	-0.4	197/255/304	107	263	9	6	27%	5%	53	-1.5	132/175/242	109	157	14	3	27%	3%	1	-1.4
✕Juan Centeno 2010 · A	20	42	36→45	49→40	46	200/261/264	65	253	3	6	22%	7%	44	-2.1	229/274/289	60	295	3	6	22%	6%	55	-1.4	238/286/352	114	281	11	2	19%	5%	73	-0.1