Sebastian Cadiz — OGILVIE

Sebastian CadizC ACL Guardians

Age 20 L/R 5'11" / 180 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION67 act + 7 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .286 / .167

PA7

HR0

K%29

BB%14

BABIP274

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$26M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.1M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	109	92	18	3	4	3	12	30	2	2	0	196	302	413	715	217	242	28	11	309	95	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	18	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	86	71	16	2	2	0	13	20	1	0	1	225	353	310	663	85	308	23	15	308	94	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.1
2025	19	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	102	83	22	5	3	0	18	18	0	1	0	265	396	398	794	133	333	18	18	358	128	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	109	97	13	2	3	2	7	43	2	2	0	134	208	278	486	144	179	39	6	207	26	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	86	76	11	1	1	0	8	29	1	0	1	145	235	184	420	39	230	34	9	204	24	-8	-0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	102	90	17	4	2	0	11	26	0	1	0	189	277	278	555	89	252	25	11	248	54	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	109	97	13	2	3	2	7	43	2	2	0	134	208	278	486	144	200	39	6	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Guardians Blue	—	109	92	18	3	4	3	12	30	2	2	0	196	302	413	715	217	242	28	11	309	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	86	76	11	1	1	0	8	29	1	0	1	145	235	184	420	39	229	34	9	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	86	71	16	2	2	0	13	20	1	0	1	225	353	310	663	85	308	23	15	308	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	102	90	17	4	2	0	11	26	0	1	0	189	277	278	555	89	262	25	11	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	102	83	22	5	3	0	18	18	0	1	0	265	396	398	794	133	333	18	18	358	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	109	99	13	2	3	2	7	43	2	2	0	131	208	273	480	141	179	39	6	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	86	77	11	1	1	0	8	29	1	0	1	143	235	182	417	39	230	34	9	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	102	90	17	4	2	0	11	26	0	1	0	189	277	278	555	89	252	25	11	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	109	99	13	2	3	2	7	43	2	2	0	131	208	273	480	141	179	39	6	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	86	77	11	1	1	0	8	29	1	0	1	143	235	182	417	39	230	34	9	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	102	90	17	4	2	0	11	26	0	1	0	189	277	278	555	89	252	25	11	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	CLE	—	67	59	12	4	0	2	7	20	1	3	2	203	299	373	671	169	270	30	10	290	82	-1	-0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	CLE	—	67	54	16	6	0	2	12	14	1	3	2	296	433	519	951	222	368	21	18	421	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	ROK MLE	CLE	0%	7	6	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	167	286	167	452		276	29	14	270	69	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	20	ROK MLE	CLE	—	74	65	13	4	0	2	8	22	1	3	2	200	297	354	651	154	268	30	11	288	81	-2	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CLE	34%	176	156	33	7	1	3	16	48	2	3	1	212	293	327	620	115	280	27	9	279	75	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2028	22	MLB MLE	CLE	48%	307	274	60	12	3	6	27	82	3	6	2	219	296	350	646	131	281	27	9	285	79	-8	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.5
2029	23	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	398	355	78	16	3	8	36	104	4	7	3	220	299	349	648	130	283	26	9	289	82	-9	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.8
2030	24	MLB MLE	CLE	55%	459	410	90	18	4	9	41	120	5	9	3	220	298	349	647	129	284	26	9	292	84	-9	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	CLE	56%	494	442	96	19	4	10	44	129	5	9	3	217	295	346	641	129	284	26	9	293	84	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	CLE	56%	515	458	101	20	4	11	47	134	5	10	4	221	300	354	654	133	284	26	9	293	84	-10	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	CLE	55%	520	461	101	20	4	11	48	136	6	10	4	219	301	351	652	132	283	26	9	293	84	-10	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2034	28	MLB MLE	CLE	55%	520	462	101	20	4	11	48	136	5	10	4	219	299	351	650	132	283	26	9	292	84	-10	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.0
2035	29	MLB MLE	CLE	53%	517	459	100	20	4	10	48	137	5	9	3	218	299	344	643	126	282	26	9	290	82	-11	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2036	30	MLB MLE	CLE	53%	509	452	97	19	4	10	47	136	5	9	3	215	296	341	636	126	281	27	9	287	81	-12	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.7
2037	31	MLB MLE	CLE	52%	481	428	90	18	3	9	45	130	5	8	3	210	293	329	622	119	278	27	9	283	78	-13	+0	-3	+9	+10	0.4
2038	32	MLB MLE	CLE	56%	450	401	83	16	3	8	42	123	4	7	3	207	289	322	610	115	275	27	9	278	74	-14	+0	-4	+8	+10	0.1
2039	33	MLB MLE	CLE	59%	410	365	74	14	3	7	38	114	4	6	2	203	285	315	600	112	271	28	9	271	69	-15	+0	-4	+7	+9	-0.3
2027	21	MLB CTX	CLE	34%	60	54	11	2	0	1	5	16	1	1	0	204	283	296	580	93	278	27	8	270	75	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	CLE	48%	149	133	29	6	1	3	13	40	2	3	1	218	297	346	643	128	280	27	9	276	79	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	216	193	41	8	1	4	19	57	2	4	1	212	290	326	616	114	281	26	9	280	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2030	24	MLB CTX	CLE	55%	254	226	50	10	2	5	23	66	3	5	2	221	302	350	651	128	282	26	9	283	84	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2031	25	MLB CTX	CLE	56%	277	247	55	11	2	6	25	72	3	5	2	223	302	356	658	134	282	26	9	283	84	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2032	26	MLB CTX	CLE	56%	290	259	56	11	2	6	26	75	3	5	2	216	295	344	639	127	282	26	9	283	84	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	27	MLB CTX	CLE	55%	288	257	56	11	2	6	26	75	3	5	2	218	297	346	644	128	282	26	9	283	84	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2034	28	MLB CTX	CLE	55%	285	254	55	11	2	6	26	75	3	5	2	217	297	346	643	130	281	26	9	283	84	-6	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	29	MLB CTX	CLE	53%	276	245	53	11	2	5	26	73	3	5	2	216	299	339	638	122	281	26	9	281	82	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2036	30	MLB CTX	CLE	53%	268	238	51	10	2	5	25	71	3	5	2	214	297	336	633	122	279	26	9	278	81	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2037	31	MLB CTX	CLE	52%	251	223	47	9	2	5	23	68	3	4	2	211	293	336	629	126	277	27	9	274	78	-7	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2038	32	MLB CTX	CLE	56%	253	225	45	9	1	4	23	69	3	4	2	200	283	302	585	102	274	27	9	269	74	-8	+0	-2	+5	+5	0.0
2039	33	MLB CTX	CLE	59%	242	216	43	8	1	4	22	67	2	4	1	199	279	301	580	102	269	28	9	262	69	-9	+0	-2	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3109	2770	592	117	20	60	282	824	34	55	21	214	294	335	630	122	280	27	9	278	78	-72	+3	-8	+56	+67	4.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	124	24	4	13	59	172	7	11	4	214	295	337	631	123	280	26	9	278	78	-15	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6060	5392	1146	226	50	115	554	1629	61	106	39	213	293	337	630	124	280	27	9	284	78	-133	+5	-15	+103	+125	8.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	122	24	5	12	59	175	7	11	4	211	292	332	624	121	278	27	9	284	78	-15	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.8	3,196	61	57	216	293	341	+57	+32	7.1	6.2
/162	664	13	12	+11.9	+6.6	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sebastian Cadiz (OGILVIE)	20	35→40	32→37	45→50	63	202/279/309	107	276	1	2	28%	9%	69	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Seigler 2019 · A	20	45→39	38→45	48→55	50	214/284/293	79	268	6	5	22%	8%	65	-1.2	195/274/272	77	286	5	5	30%	9%	58	-1.7	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	46	182/270/274	91	279	8	6	35%	10%	57	-1.8	191/265/269	78	298	5	6	34%	9%	53	-2.1	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	61	-1.5	204/280/290	86	281	5	16	27%	8%	63	-1.3	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A	20	45→50	41→45	46→55	51	216/301/314	97	294	9	7	28%	10%	77	-0.3	232/302/345	113	325	10	11	29%	9%	84	+0.2	233/308/347	114	330	9	15	29%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42→41	36→45	47→45	43	198/272/267	70	271	3	8	27%	6%	56	-1.9	199/300/314	115	273	13	6	30%	9%	79	-0.2	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→48	38→50	49→40	44	204/275/284	80	281	6	6	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/273/293	83	267	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2023 · A	20	48	37→45	47→55	54	222/303/297	75	280	4	12	21%	10%	74	-0.5	206/279/302	96	327	9	15	36%	9%	66	-1.1	187/261/280	94	307	11	18	40%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Oswaldo Linares 2023 · A	20	42	41→40	48→40	52	203/299/295	93	261	9	6	24%	10%	74	-0.6	189/286/270	81	279	7	4	31%	11%	63	-1.4	163/267/230	67	248	6	2	33%	11%	45	-1.0
✕Omar Martinez 2021 · A	20	43→38	39→45	48→40	47	206/280/291	85	290	7	5	30%	9%	64	-1.3	200/287/317	117	295	13	5	34%	10%	74	-0.6	181/275/306	125	264	15	4	35%	10%	65	-0.7
✕Daniel Vellojin 2021 · A	21	45	39→45	47→45	51	215/298/306	91	267	6	8	21%	9%	74	-0.5	199/293/310	111	279	10	5	29%	11%	74	-0.5	178/276/286	107	248	11	4	30%	11%	60	-0.8
✕Tayden Hall 2023 · A	20	47	38→40	50	45	220/287/305	85	312	4	6	29%	8%	70	-0.9	208/300/272	64	293	2	7	26%	11%	68	-1.0	180/294/274	94	254	7	9	29%	12%	66	-0.7
✕Nelson Quiroz 2022 · A	20	45	37→40	47→40	49	212/281/290	78	265	3	4	20%	8%	64	-1.3	230/289/333	103	271	9	4	18%	7%	77	-0.3	263/309/326	63	295	2	0	11%	6%	77	-0.1
✕Christian Cerda 2023 · A	20	41→37	39→45	50→40	51	195/281/288	93	256	6	9	25%	10%	65	-1.2	193/287/297	104	256	11	4	27%	11%	69	-0.9	180/276/283	102	231	12	2	26%	11%	61	-1.1
✕Cam Maron 2011 · A	20	47→57	40	50→40	47	225/290/318	93	285	7	6	23%	8%	74	-0.6	243/312/324	81	312	5	4	22%	8%	83	+0.1	248/318/312	64	318	4	2	21%	9%	80	-0.1
✕David Martin 2023 · A	22	45	39→30	49→30	42	211/285/300	89	297	5	7	29%	6%	68	-1.0	221/302/288	67	277	4	4	20%	8%	72	-0.7	240/332/298	58	287	4	1	16%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	64	-1.3	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	70	-0.8	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	69	-0.4
✕Jose Rodriguez 2022 · A	20	42	38→40	49→45	46	198/270/277	79	284	5	6	30%	8%	57	-1.8	191/248/272	81	296	6	8	35%	6%	47	-2.5	164/221/233	69	250	6	7	35%	5%	26	-2.3
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	53	-2.1	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	71	-0.8	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	70	-0.3
✕Randel Alcantara 2016 · A	19	44	41→45	46→45	43	211/283/321	110	282	7	6	26%	6%	73	-0.6	197/255/304	107	263	9	6	27%	5%	58	-1.7	132/175/242	109	157	14	3	27%	3%	12	-1.3
✕Josh Johnson 2006 · A	20	43→49	39→45	48→50	50	203/280/297	94	266	5	9	24%	9%	65	-1.2	218/304/287	69	285	3	10	22%	11%	72	-0.7	244/312/343	100	289	8	16	17%	9%	85	+0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps