Julian Hernandez

C DSL Mets Orange

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	18	ROKDSL Mets Blue	52	.237/.420/.395	2	2	51	—	.143/.280/.214
2025	19	ROKDSL Mets Oran…	15	.250/.571/.250	0	0	105	—	.200/.429/.200
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBNYM	125	.214/.305/.291	1	2	73	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBNYM	39	.211/.303/.293	1	1	76	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBNYM	120	.214/.304/.301	2	2	79	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

CompsOswaldo Linares (age 21) · Jakson Reetz (age 21) · Luis Caicuto (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj PA

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .303 / .288

PA35

HR0

K%27

BB%11

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$19M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	85	66	13	4	1	2	17	30	2	0	1	197	376	379	755	182	324	35	20	349	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	52	38	9	0	0	2	11	10	1	2	0	237	420	395	815	158	250	19	21	364	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	15	8	2	0	0	0	6	2	0	0	0	250	571	250	821		286	13	40	400	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	85	72	8	2	1	1	11	38	2	0	1	111	247	208	455	97	196	45	13	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	52	42	6	0	0	1	7	13	1	2	0	143	280	214	494	71	159	25	13	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	15	10	2	0	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	200	429	200	629		197	20	27	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	85	72	8	2	1	1	11	38	2	0	1	111	247	208	455	97	212	45	13	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	85	66	13	4	1	2	17	30	2	0	1	197	376	379	755	182	324	35	20	349	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	52	42	6	0	0	1	7	13	1	2	0	143	280	214	494	71	167	25	13	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	52	38	9	0	0	2	11	10	1	2	0	237	420	395	815	158	250	19	21	364	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	15	10	2	0	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	200	429	200	629		250	20	27	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Orange	—	15	8	2	0	0	0	6	2	0	0	0	250	571	250	821		286	13	40	400	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	85	72	8	2	1	1	11	38	2	0	1	111	247	208	455	97	196	45	13	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	52	44	6	0	0	1	7	13	1	2	0	136	280	205	485	68	159	25	13	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	15	11	2	0	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	182	429	182	610		197	20	27	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	52	44	6	0	0	1	7	13	1	2	0	136	280	205	485	68	159	25	13	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	15	11	2	0	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	182	429	182	610		197	20	27	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	125	110	24	3	1	1	13	33	1	2	0	214	305	291	597	77	289	26	10	276	73	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	NYM	34%	113	99	22	2	1	2	12	30	1	2	0	217	308	301	609	84	290	27	11	281	76	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	NYM	48%	247	217	48	6	1	4	26	64	2	3	1	220	310	310	619	90	291	26	11	285	79	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2030	24	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	347	305	68	8	2	6	36	90	3	5	1	222	311	317	628	95	292	26	10	288	81	-8	+1	+0	+6	+8	0.7
2031	25	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	407	358	80	10	2	7	42	104	4	5	1	224	312	323	635	100	292	26	10	291	83	-8	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.9
2032	26	MLB MLE	NYM	56%	444	392	87	11	2	8	45	113	4	6	1	225	312	328	641	104	292	25	10	292	84	-8	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2033	27	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	463	409	92	12	3	8	47	118	4	5	1	224	311	326	637	102	291	25	10	291	83	-9	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2034	28	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	470	415	91	12	2	8	48	121	4	4	1	222	309	321	630	99	290	26	10	288	81	-11	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.8
2035	29	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	468	413	90	11	2	8	48	122	4	3	1	219	306	314	620	95	289	26	10	284	79	-12	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.6
2036	30	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	462	408	88	11	2	7	47	122	4	1	1	216	303	306	608	90	287	26	10	280	75	-14	-0	-2	+8	+10	0.3
2037	31	MLB MLE	NYM	52%	437	386	82	10	2	6	44	117	4	1	0	212	298	296	593	84	284	27	10	274	71	-15	+0	-3	+8	+9	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	NYM	34%	39	35	8	1	0	1	4	10	0	1	0	211	303	293	595	82	282	26	10	276	76	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	NYM	48%	120	105	23	3	1	2	13	31	1	2	0	214	304	301	606	88	283	26	11	279	79	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	183	160	35	4	1	3	19	47	2	2	1	216	306	309	615	93	284	26	10	283	81	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	223	196	42	5	1	4	23	57	2	3	1	218	306	315	622	98	284	26	10	285	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2032	26	MLB CTX	NYM	56%	247	218	47	6	1	4	25	63	2	3	1	219	307	320	627	101	283	26	10	287	84	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2033	27	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	255	225	49	6	1	5	26	65	2	3	1	217	306	317	623	100	283	25	10	285	83	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2034	28	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	257	227	48	6	1	4	26	66	2	2	1	216	304	312	616	97	282	26	10	283	81	-6	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.4
2035	29	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	250	221	47	6	1	4	25	65	2	1	1	213	301	306	607	93	280	26	10	279	79	-6	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
2036	30	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	243	214	45	5	1	4	25	64	2	1	0	210	297	298	595	88	278	26	10	274	75	-7	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2037	31	MLB CTX	NYM	52%	228	201	41	5	1	3	23	61	2	0	0	206	292	288	580	82	275	27	10	268	71	-8	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2045	1802	385	47	9	34	209	529	17	18	6	214	301	306	608	93	281	26	10	280	78	-50	+1	-4	+37	+44	2.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	123	15	3	11	66	168	5	6	2	215	301	309	610	94	282	26	10	280	78	-16	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	4045	3557	770	96	20	66	421	1064	37	37	9	216	306	310	616	94	288	26	10	284	78	-95	+4	-7	+70	+84	5.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	123	15	3	11	68	171	6	6	1	215	305	309	614	94	285	26	10	284	78	-16	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#5Red Kleinow'04-'11 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,875 PA	2.8	1,875	3	42	219*	299*	350*	+33	-1	4.3	4.4
/162	664	1	15	+11.5	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.1	2,078	34	19	221	305	317	+37	+24	4.6	4.2
/162	664	11	6	+11.9	+7.7	1.5	pk7: 4
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Julian Hernandez (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	212/303/288	77	289	0	0	27%	11%	73	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Oswaldo Linares 2024 · A	21	41	39→40	48→40	54	193/303/275	82	276	7	5	30%	12%	71	-0.8	183/267/260	77	267	6	4	31%	9%	53	-2.1	154/234/221	67	218	5	2	30%	8%	30	-1.2
✕Jakson Reetz 2017 · A	21	45→33	39→55	47→45	44	208/295/304	95	304	5	6	31%	8%	74	-0.6	200/278/301	101	295	9	5	33%	7%	66	-1.1	198/277/386	187	246	23	4	29%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Luis Caicuto 2024 · A	21	48	37→45	46→50	46	223/294/301	78	298	4	6	25%	8%	72	-0.7	210/278/278	68	274	4	6	23%	6%	61	-1.5	197/271/279	82	244	7	8	21%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Carlos Narváez 2021 · A	22	47→45	38→45	48→45	46	219/291/300	81	314	5	6	30%	9%	70	-0.8	192/278/307	115	300	13	5	37%	9%	68	-1.0	214/298/346	132	289	15	6	29%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Chris Suero 2024 · A	20	41→38	41→45	50→55	50	196/295/291	95	281	8	8	31%	10%	71	-0.8	193/290/309	116	280	12	20	33%	10%	74	-0.6	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Luis Torrens 2017 · A	21	45→49	41→50	46→40	49	217/293/309	93	272	8	6	23%	8%	74	-0.6	218/269/313	95	273	7	3	22%	6%	64	-1.3	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Christian Cerda 2024 · A	21	41→40	43→45	48→40	57	200/308/313	113	265	11	4	27%	13%	81	-0.1	199/288/303	104	259	11	4	26%	11%	71	-0.8	188/274/285	97	238	11	2	25%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	49	206/292/311	105	279	9	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	222/303/310	88	316	7	6	29%	9%	78	-0.3	239/331/311	72	336	7	6	28%	11%	86	+0.1
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A	21	45	40	48→45	47	216/287/311	94	272	7	6	22%	7%	72	-0.7	217/271/325	108	273	10	5	24%	5%	68	-1.0	209/261/319	110	249	12	1	21%	4%	60	-0.3
✕Juan Uriarte 2019 · A	21	46	41→45	49→30	41	223/277/319	96	282	8	4	23%	5%	69	-0.9	187/230/267	80	281	6	4	34%	4%	39	-3.1	146/183/206	60	224	4	0	36%	2%	4	-1.5
✕Bryan Lavastida 2021 · A	22	47→44	38→45	46→55	46	221/290/302	81	298	5	8	26%	8%	70	-0.8	224/291/339	115	293	11	13	26%	7%	79	-0.2	221/293/333	112	282	11	27	24%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44→45	39→45	49→30	43	213/268/301	88	286	6	7	27%	6%	61	-1.5	234/265/337	103	307	9	2	26%	4%	68	-1.0	244/279/354	110	291	9	0	19%	4%	75	-0.3
✕Ricardo Olivar 2023 · A	21	46→50	43→45	47→50	41	219/289/340	121	321	9	9	33%	7%	78	-0.3	226/303/344	118	307	11	9	28%	9%	85	+0.2	222/301/337	115	291	12	10	26%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Jeferson Morales 2021 · A	22	42→47	40→45	47→50	52	201/291/303	102	246	6	8	20%	9%	72	-0.7	201/282/330	129	264	13	9	28%	8%	75	-0.5	222/297/349	127	274	11	8	22%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Miguel Palma 2022 · A	20	43	43→45	47→40	50	206/312/318	112	281	10	9	28%	10%	84	+0.1	220/283/339	119	285	13	4	26%	7%	76	-0.4	216/276/324	108	281	13	2	27%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Jacob Amaya 2019 · A	20	49→47	39→45	48→45	52	232/310/319	87	306	7	11	25%	10%	82	-0.0	216/290/316	100	284	8	6	25%	9%	74	-0.6	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Tyler Marlette 2014 · A	21	49→43	42→50	47→45	39	238/276/344	106	316	9	9	27%	5%	74	-0.5	237/279/377	140	306	16	7	27%	5%	83	+0.1	230/273/378	148	293	18	6	27%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Blake Ochoa 2007 · A	21	45	40→45	46→40	44	215/280/307	92	280	6	5	24%	6%	68	-1.0	215/267/309	94	279	7	4	24%	6%	63	-1.4	229/292/365	137	275	15	2	22%	7%	85	+0.1
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2024 · A	21	51→54	40	50	50	241/318/332	91	306	7	13	22%	9%	88	+0.4	240/315/330	90	307	8	14	22%	8%	86	+0.3	238/317/323	85	303	7	15	22%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2022 · A	22	50→41	41→45	48→40	51	237/313/339	102	299	7	3	22%	9%	87	+0.4	217/280/318	101	288	9	4	26%	7%	70	-0.8	225/261/287	62	286	4	2	22%	4%	51	-0.5

Julian Hernandez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps