Leonardo Leon — OGILVIE

Leonardo Leon P FCL Tigers

Age 20 RHP 6'4" / 180 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 19 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141133vR 125

ERA5.70

FIP5.70

K%19.8%

BB%18.1%

K-BB%1.7%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	4	0	5	23	3	6	0	0%	1.2	13.0%	26.1%	-13.0%	0.0%	5.79	5.30	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	4	0	5	23	3	6	0	0%	1.2	13.0%	26.1%	-13.0%	0.0%	5.79	5.30	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	4	0	5	23	3	6	0	0%	1.2	13.0%	26.1%	-13.0%	0.0%	5.79	5.67	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	12	10	33	156	32	26	1	83%	2.8	13.9%	20.8%	-6.9%	0.9%	6.00	5.03	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	12	10	33	156	32	26	1	83%	2.8	13.9%	20.8%	-6.9%	0.9%	6.00	5.03	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	12	10	33	156	32	26	1	83%	2.8	20.5%	16.7%	3.8%	0.6%	6.00	3.92	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	23	0	21	98	27	22	3	0%	0.9	18.7%	28.1%	-9.3%	4.3%	6.86	7.42	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	23	0	21	98	27	22	3	0%	0.9	18.7%	28.1%	-9.3%	4.3%	6.86	7.42	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	DET	23	0	21	98	27	22	3	0%	0.9	27.6%	22.4%	5.1%	3.1%	6.86	5.30	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	DET	30	0	31	132	27	20	4	0%	1.0	20.7%	15.4%	5.2%	2.9%	5.38	5.26	-0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	DET	14	0	15	63	13	10	2	0%	1.1	20.7%	15.4%	5.2%	2.9%	5.38	5.26	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	15	65	13	10	2	0%	1.0	20.7%	15.4%	5.2%	2.9%	5.38	4.88	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	130	26	0%	1.1	20.7%	15.4%	5.2%	2.9%	5.38	4.88	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		39	10	59	277	43	66	6	26%	1.5	15.6%	23.8%	-8.3%	2.0%	6.29	5.90	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		133	34	200	944	147	225	19	26%	1.5	15.6%	23.8%	-8.3%	2.0%	6.29	5.90	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Leonardo Leon (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.70	19.8%	18.1%	2.9%	—	5.26	20.7%	5.2%	31	-0.44	—	—	—
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	85
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	83
Juan Martinez R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	20	SW	5.12	17.4%	20.8%	1.6%	.314	5.54	15.4%	-0.3%	31	+0.42	4.03	122	83
Elison Joseph R 2021 · 5.31 FIP	20	SU	5.31	17.4%	19.2%	2.3%	.254	4.55	23.5%	6.8%	133	-0.76	3.32	217	82
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	81
Ismael Aquino R 2019 · 4.89 FIP	20	SU	4.89	17.0%	16.5%	2.1%	.354	5.58	14.1%	-1.5%	14	+0.69	3.99	122	81
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	81
Daniel Lloyd R 2021 · 5.40 FIP	20	SU	5.40	20.4%	22.4%	2.2%	.367	4.15	18.0%	8.5%	226	-1.25	3.59	319	81
Erian Rodriguez R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	20	SU	5.51	16.2%	19.8%	2.3%	.378	4.16	16.2%	3.6%	241	-1.35	3.81	287	81
Jonathan Jimenez R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	19	SU	5.41	16.4%	16.2%	3.0%	.333	5.09	14.1%	2.2%	178	-0.32	3.49	189	80
Denny Larrondo R 2021 · 4.77 FIP	19	SW	4.77	22.7%	17.5%	2.5%	.293	5.26	18.1%	-0.4%	155	+0.49	4.48	293	80
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.10	167	80
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	80
Pedro Peralta R 2023 · 6.77 FIP	17	SU	6.77	15.3%	22.9%	3.8%	.300	6.07	14.3%	-7.4%	106	-0.70	5.13	121	80
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	80
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.79	29.0%	15.6%	152	-1.12	3.38	209	80
Tim Naughton R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	21	SU	4.53	17.9%	15.6%	1.8%	.312	3.58	20.7%	6.4%	83	-0.95	2.93	305	79
Greg Weissert R 2016 · 5.22 FIP	21	SU	5.22	19.4%	19.3%	2.4%	.382	3.80	23.0%	10.3%	126	-1.42	2.57	481	79
Darlin Pinales R 2023 · 6.68 FIP	20	SW	6.68	17.0%	27.6%	2.8%	.350	4.44	21.7%	1.1%	117	-2.24	3.61	214	79
Jordy Luciano R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	21	SU	4.97	24.9%	22.3%	2.1%	.306	5.33	17.1%	-4.8%	80	+0.36	4.97	104	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	25	20.3%	16.5%	1.11	5.50
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77