Roberto Urdaneta

P ACL Athletics

Age 21 RHP 6'2" / 170 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	18	ROKOAK	8	0	11	1.69	4.04	16.7%	19.0%	—	K 16.7% · BB 19.0% · FIP 4.11
2025	19	ROKOAK	19	0	25	4.62	2.71	20.5%	10.7%	—	K 14.0% · BB 13.4% · FIP 3.62
2026	20	MIX2 levels	16	9	48	9.06	6.56	18.1%	18.5%	—	K 12.5% · BB 22.8% · FIP 7.61
2027PROJ	21	MLBOAK	23	0	24	6.30	6.30	16.6%	19.4%	-0.4
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBOAK	21	0	22	5.83	5.66	18.8%	16.2%	-0.3
2029PROJ73% MLB	23	MLBOAK	32	0	34	5.43	5.24	20.2%	14.1%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsGarrett Apker (age 23) · Jordan Brink (age 23) · Jaydenn Estanista (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 153145vR 137

ERA6.30

FIP6.30

K%16.6%

BB%19.4%

K-BB%-2.9%

Proj IP24

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	12	0	10	60	11	15	1	0%	0.8	12.5%	31.2%	-18.8%	2.2%	10.80	7.24	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	12	0	10	60	11	15	1	0%	0.8	18.3%	25.0%	-6.7%	1.7%	10.80	6.70	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	8	0	11	42	7	8	0	0%	1.3	16.7%	19.0%	-2.4%	0.0%	1.69	4.11	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	8	0	11	42	7	8	0	0%	1.3	16.7%	19.0%	-2.4%	0.0%	1.69	4.11	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	8	0	11	42	7	8	0	0%	1.3	16.7%	19.0%	-2.4%	0.0%	1.69	4.04	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	19	0	25	112	23	12	0	0%	1.3	14.0%	13.4%	0.6%	0.0%	4.62	3.62	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	19	0	25	112	23	12	0	0%	1.3	14.0%	13.4%	0.6%	0.0%	4.62	3.62	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	19	0	25	112	23	12	0	0%	1.3	20.5%	10.7%	9.8%	0.0%	4.62	2.71	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	9	48	248	45	46	9	56%	3.0	12.5%	22.8%	-10.3%	4.9%	9.06	7.61	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	9	48	248	45	46	9	56%	3.0	12.5%	22.8%	-10.3%	4.9%	9.06	7.61	—
2026	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	9	48	248	45	46	9	56%	3.0	18.1%	18.5%	-0.4%	3.6%	9.06	6.56	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	OAK	23	0	24	101	17	20	3	0%	1.0	16.6%	19.4%	-2.9%	3.2%	6.30	6.30	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	OAK	43	0	45	190	36	31	6	0%	1.0	18.8%	16.2%	2.6%	3.1%	5.83	5.66	-0.5
2029	23	MLB MLE	OAK	44	0	47	197	40	28	6	0%	1.1	20.2%	14.1%	6.1%	3.1%	5.43	5.24	-0.4
2028	22	MLB CTX	OAK	21	0	22	93	17	15	3	0%	1.0	18.8%	16.2%	2.6%	3.1%	5.83	5.66	-0.3
2029	23	MLB CTX	OAK	32	0	34	144	29	20	4	0%	1.1	20.2%	14.1%	6.1%	3.1%	5.43	5.24	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		53	0	56	237	47	35	7	0%	1.1	19.7%	14.9%	4.7%	3.1%	5.59	5.02	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	167	125	25	0%	1.0	19.7%	14.9%	4.7%	3.1%	5.59	5.02	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		55	9	94	462	61	98	13	16%	1.7	13.2%	21.3%	-8.0%	2.9%	7.21	6.27	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		117	19	200	986	130	210	29	16%	1.7	13.2%	21.3%	-8.0%	2.9%	7.21	6.27	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Roberto Urdaneta (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.30	16.6%	19.4%	3.2%	—	5.45	19.5%	4.4%	92	-0.85	—	—	—
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	85
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	85
Jaydenn Estanista R 2023 · 6.67 FIP	21	SU	6.67	16.7%	25.7%	3.1%	.348	4.95	21.5%	5.6%	143	-1.72	4.59	230	84
Hansel Rosario R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SW	5.54	19.2%	22.2%	2.3%	.306	7.16	16.3%	-21.0%	19	+1.62	5.25	107	84
Johan Moreno R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	21	SW	6.25	13.2%	16.7%	3.9%	.325	4.36	20.7%	8.0%	115	-1.89	3.09	216	83
Yovanny Cabrera R 2022 · 6.15 FIP	21	SU	6.15	17.5%	19.5%	3.8%	.274	4.91	18.2%	1.9%	128	-1.24	4.39	243	83
Joe Barlow R 2016 · 6.15 FIP	20	SW	6.15	13.6%	16.4%	3.9%	.269	3.72	29.5%	10.7%	116	-2.43	2.99	354	82
Juan Martinez R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	20	SW	5.12	17.4%	20.8%	1.6%	.314	5.54	15.4%	-0.3%	31	+0.42	4.03	122	81
Derrick Turnbow R 2000 · 6.58 FIP	22	SU	6.58	13.8%	19.9%	3.9%	.257	1.43	28.3%	22.6%	15	-5.15	1.43	245	81
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	81
Bryant Salgado R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	21	SW	5.65	14.2%	20.4%	2.1%	.219	4.83	15.9%	3.5%	89	-0.82	4.83	110	80
Sandy Gaston R 2023 · 6.60 FIP	21	SW	6.60	17.7%	24.0%	3.6%	.295	4.96	22.7%	4.4%	131	-1.64	4.17	310	80
Justin Kelly R 2021 · 5.93 FIP	22	SU	5.93	15.5%	14.3%	4.2%	.259	4.93	15.4%	6.8%	149	-1.00	3.17	196	80
Conor Grady R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	22	SU	5.28	17.2%	19.0%	2.2%	.242	4.62	16.9%	5.1%	96	-0.66	4.62	108	80
Aneudis Mejia R 2023 · 7.12 FIP	19	SW	7.12	18.7%	29.9%	3.3%	.404	5.03	16.9%	1.3%	102	-2.09	4.36	122	80
Bernard Jose R 2024 · 6.14 FIP	21	SU	6.14	14.4%	19.0%	3.4%	.309	4.95	18.5%	6.4%	134	-1.19	4.44	222	80
Patrick Murphy R 2016 · 6.18 FIP	21	SW	6.18	14.9%	16.7%	4.1%	.339	3.85	16.1%	6.7%	319	-2.33	3.08	556	80
Cory Thompson R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	22	SU	5.42	15.2%	15.7%	2.9%	.289	4.34	16.3%	10.6%	131	-1.08	3.59	218	79
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	79
Andrew Moore R 2021 · 6.58 FIP	21	SU	6.58	12.9%	21.8%	3.3%	.263	3.75	26.5%	8.4%	103	-2.83	3.44	207	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	39	18.9%	16.0%	1.20	5.77
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*