David Matoma

P Bradenton Marauders

Age 21 RHP 6'0" / 154 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	18	ROKPIT	15	22	0.82	2.37	30.4%	9.8%	—	K 20.7% · BB 12.2% · FIP 3.81
2025	19	APIT	32	42	4.25	3.97	20.6%	13.3%	—	K 15.2% · BB 15.7% · FIP 5.08
2026	20	MIX2 levels	34	38	8.69	5.58	21.9%	23.9%	—	K 16.3% · BB 28.4% · FIP 6.42
2027PROJ	21	MLBPIT	34	36	6.15	6.15	17.0%	20.0%	-0.6
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBPIT	19	20	5.77	5.63	18.6%	17.2%	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff39Control30Command30FB velo70

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsBernard Jose (age 21) · Cory Thompson (age 22) · Jackson Rose (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 150142vR 134

ERA6.15

FIP6.15

K%17.0%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-3.0%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3040

CTRL3030

CMD2030

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	9	1	17	64	14	7	0	11%	1.9	14.9%	13.7%	1.2%	0.0%	0.00	3.58	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	9	1	17	64	14	7	0	11%	1.9	21.9%	10.9%	10.9%	0.0%	0.00	2.68	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	15	0	22	92	28	9	1	0%	1.5	20.7%	12.2%	8.5%	1.7%	0.82	3.81	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	15	0	22	92	28	9	1	0%	1.5	20.7%	12.2%	8.5%	1.7%	0.82	3.81	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	15	0	22	92	28	9	1	0%	1.5	30.4%	9.8%	20.7%	1.1%	0.82	2.37	—
2025	19	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	32	0	42	180	37	24	3	0%	1.3	15.2%	15.7%	-0.5%	2.3%	4.25	5.08	—
2025	19	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	32	0	42	180	37	24	3	0%	1.3	15.2%	15.7%	-0.5%	2.3%	4.25	5.08	—
2025	19	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	32	0	42	180	37	24	3	0%	1.3	20.6%	13.3%	7.2%	1.7%	4.25	3.97	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	38	201	44	48	3	0%	1.1	16.3%	28.4%	-12.1%	2.0%	8.69	6.42	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	38	201	44	48	3	0%	1.1	16.3%	28.4%	-12.1%	2.0%	8.69	6.42	—
2026	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	38	201	44	48	3	0%	1.1	21.9%	23.9%	-2.0%	1.5%	8.69	5.58	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	PIT	34	0	36	152	26	30	4	0%	1.1	17.0%	20.0%	-3.0%	2.9%	6.15	6.15	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	PIT	38	0	40	169	31	29	5	0%	1.1	18.6%	17.2%	1.4%	2.8%	5.77	5.63	-0.5
2028	22	MLB CTX	PIT	19	0	20	84	16	15	2	0%	1.1	18.6%	17.2%	1.4%	2.8%	5.77	5.63	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		19	0	20	83	15	14	2	0%	1.0	18.6%	17.2%	1.4%	2.8%	5.77	5.25	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	153	142	20	0%	1.1	18.6%	17.2%	1.4%	2.8%	5.77	5.25	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		90	1	119	537	89	105	10	1%	1.3	16.5%	19.6%	-3.1%	1.8%	4.45	5.19	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		151	2	200	900	149	177	16	1%	1.3	16.5%	19.6%	-3.1%	1.8%	4.45	5.19	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
David Matoma (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.15	17.0%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.63	18.6%	1.4%	40	-0.52	—	—	—
Bernard Jose R 2024 · 6.14 FIP	21	SU	6.14	14.4%	19.0%	3.4%	.309	4.95	18.5%	6.4%	134	-1.19	4.44	222	89
Cory Thompson R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	22	SU	5.42	15.2%	15.7%	2.9%	.289	4.34	16.3%	10.6%	131	-1.08	3.59	218	89
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	89
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	88
Bryce McGowan R 2022 · 5.90 FIP	22	SU	5.90	17.0%	22.9%	2.4%	.368	4.36	20.6%	6.6%	145	-1.54	3.71	178	88
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	88
Franklyn German R 2003 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	18.9%	2.2%	.313	5.27	13.1%	0.1%	86	+0.10	3.37	152	88
Andrew Moore R 2021 · 6.58 FIP	21	SU	6.58	12.9%	21.8%	3.3%	.263	3.75	26.5%	8.4%	103	-2.83	3.44	207	87
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	87
Noah Takacs R 2024 · 5.77 FIP	22	SU	5.77	12.5%	16.4%	3.0%	.301	5.68	13.4%	-2.3%	91	-0.09	5.25	130	87
Brett Hanewich R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	22	SU	5.18	15.9%	17.6%	2.2%	.372	4.32	20.3%	2.8%	108	-0.86	4.24	134	86
Derrick Turnbow R 2000 · 6.58 FIP	22	SU	6.58	13.8%	19.9%	3.9%	.257	1.43	28.3%	22.6%	15	-5.15	1.43	245	86
Tommy McCollum R 2021 · 6.21 FIP	22	SU	6.21	17.1%	27.2%	2.0%	.235	3.80	26.4%	10.9%	112	-2.41	2.90	219	86
Chay Yeager R 2024 · 5.60 FIP	21	SU	5.60	13.1%	15.7%	2.9%	.261	4.20	22.8%	12.5%	56	-1.40	4.20	110	86
Cole Ayers R 2022 · 5.58 FIP	22	SU	5.58	13.0%	15.4%	2.9%	.305	4.01	21.2%	10.1%	152	-1.57	3.58	171	85
Madison Jeffrey R 2022 · 5.47 FIP	22	SU	5.47	19.9%	25.3%	1.5%	.252	5.08	17.6%	-9.7%	107	-0.39	4.65	168	85
Omar Ventura R 2018 · 5.82 FIP	21	SU	5.82	15.8%	21.6%	2.4%	.254	3.53	19.5%	3.1%	30	-2.29	3.53	125	85
Ocean Gabonia R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SU	5.04	15.4%	14.6%	2.5%	.283	3.29	19.1%	10.9%	91	-1.75	2.79	144	85
Nick Kuzia R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	21	SU	5.18	16.5%	15.2%	2.8%	.361	5.35	17.6%	6.6%	60	+0.17	4.54	231	85
Jairo Beras R 2017 · 6.07 FIP	22	SU	6.07	16.4%	16.9%	4.0%	.237	4.35	20.7%	4.5%	96	-1.72	3.48	110	84

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	38	17.9%	18.5%	1.10	5.95
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*