Luis Garcia — OGILVIE

Luis Garcia P ACL Rangers

Age 23 LHP 6'4" / 220 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 11 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126135vR 143

ERA5.77

FIP5.77

K%22.1%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%2.1%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	6	1	8	46	9	14	1	17%	1.3	19.6%	30.4%	-10.9%	2.2%	12.38	6.50	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	6	1	8	46	9	14	1	17%	1.3	19.6%	30.4%	-10.9%	2.2%	12.38	7.72	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	26	0	29	150	34	27	0	0%	1.1	15.4%	22.5%	-7.1%	0.0%	7.98	4.65	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	26	0	29	150	34	27	0	0%	1.1	15.4%	22.5%	-7.1%	0.0%	7.98	4.65	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	26	0	29	150	34	27	0	0%	1.1	22.7%	18.0%	4.7%	0.0%	7.98	3.54	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	16	0	31	149	66	34	1	0%	1.9	30.1%	28.5%	1.6%	0.7%	4.99	4.58	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	16	0	31	149	66	34	1	0%	1.9	30.1%	28.5%	1.6%	0.7%	4.99	4.58	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	16	0	31	149	66	34	1	0%	1.9	44.3%	22.8%	21.5%	0.7%	4.99	2.55	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	13	0	11	75	13	30	2	0%	0.9	11.8%	50.0%	-38.2%	3.7%	15.88	10.49	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	13	0	11	75	13	30	2	0%	0.9	11.8%	50.0%	-38.2%	3.7%	15.88	10.49	—
2026	22	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	13	0	11	75	13	30	2	0%	0.9	17.3%	40.0%	-22.7%	2.7%	15.88	11.04	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	TEX	10	0	11	46	10	9	1	0%	1.1	22.1%	20.0%	2.1%	2.9%	5.77	5.77	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	TEX	27	0	28	119	27	20	3	0%	1.0	22.7%	16.8%	5.9%	2.9%	5.43	5.30	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	TEX	11	0	12	51	12	9	1	0%	1.1	22.7%	16.8%	5.9%	2.9%	5.43	5.30	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	12	51	12	9	1	0%	1.0	22.7%	16.8%	5.9%	2.9%	5.43	4.92	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	198	149	17	0%	1.1	22.7%	16.8%	5.9%	2.9%	5.43	4.92	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		61	1	79	420	86	128	5	2%	1.3	20.4%	30.4%	-10.0%	1.2%	8.39	5.87	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		154	3	200	1059	216	322	12	2%	1.3	20.4%	30.4%	-10.0%	1.2%	8.39	5.87	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Garcia (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.77	22.1%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.30	22.7%	5.9%	28	-0.47	—	—	—
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	91
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	89
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	87
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	87
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	86
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	85
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	83
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	82
Renyel Pinto L 2006 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	26.7%	20.0%	2.2%	.246	4.42	21.2%	7.6%	185	-0.18	3.58	231	82
Nicolo Pinazzi L 2023 · 6.79 FIP	23	SU	6.79	19.3%	26.9%	3.5%	.307	2.58	30.1%	16.3%	62	-4.21	2.58	155	82
Ben Harris L 2023 · 4.76 FIP	23	SU	4.76	25.4%	21.9%	1.9%	.252	5.29	22.7%	2.9%	76	+0.53	3.06	183	81
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.12	24.1%	5.4%	99	-2.30	3.91	148	80
Eric Torres L 2023 · 6.58 FIP	23	SU	6.58	21.7%	19.8%	5.1%	.283	4.18	26.5%	10.4%	56	-2.40	2.81	155	79
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	79
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	78
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	78
Juan Pichardo L 2021 · 4.83 FIP	23	SU	4.83	17.7%	17.1%	1.9%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	103	78
Brendan Cellucci L 2021 · 4.57 FIP	23	SU	4.57	26.3%	18.6%	2.4%	.398	4.63	23.4%	6.9%	172	+0.06	3.98	288	78
Bryan King L 2021 · 5.20 FIP	24	SU	5.20	17.4%	17.8%	2.4%	.317	2.82	24.4%	14.9%	77	-2.38	2.41	244	77
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	77