Josue Juarez

Josue Juarez P DSL Tampa Bay
Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 207 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION24 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.34
FIP4.34
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%23.2%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%14.0%
IP24
WAR · 24 IP × (5.30 − 4.34) / 9.8+0.3
K†5555
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR K%BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202320ROKDSL Tampa Bay1210411703014412.0%10.3%2.7%3.764.85-0.1
▸ 2026 Season
202623MLB—24—24102249323.2%9.2%3.0%4.344.34+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202724MLB—25—25105259323.8%8.9%3.0%4.274.23+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career—1210411702018512.0%10.3%2.7%3.764.85-0.1
/ 200 IP—594920083698892512.0%10.3%2.7%3.764.85+1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Josue Juarez (OGILVIE) —— 4.34 23.2%9.2%3.0%— 4.23 23.8%14.9%25 -0.11 ———
Heath Holder R 2026 · 4.16 FIP 23 SU 4.16 21.1%10.1%2.8%.287 3.13 22.3%13.1%247 -1.03 2.74 367 91
Austin Smith R 2026 · 4.00 FIP 23 SU 4.00 22.7%10.0%2.8%.274 5.05 16.3%0.7%52 +1.05 4.00 123 91
Reilly Hovis R 2026 · 4.03 FIP 23 SU 4.03 21.1%7.7%3.2%.250 4.41 19.8%6.4%50 +0.38 4.03 130 90
Michael Gomez R 2025 · 3.38 FIP 22 SU 3.38 22.6%9.2%1.9%.283 3.78 17.9%8.3%110 +0.40 3.33 286 90
Tyler Bray R 2026 · 4.08 FIP 23 SU 4.08 22.3%9.1%3.1%.356 3.17 17.9%7.6%114 -0.91 2.81 152 90
Peyton Williams R 2026 · 3.53 FIP 23 SU 3.53 22.3%10.3%1.8%.311 5.00 22.2%10.2%100 +1.47 3.53 123 90
Ricardo Velez R 2027 · 4.48 FIP 24 SU 4.48 22.4%10.9%3.5%.261 4.12 18.8%8.1%138 -0.36 3.77 166 89
Casey Legumina R 2027 · 4.28 FIP 24 SU 4.28 23.3%9.3%3.6%.260 4.34 20.5%11.0%189 +0.06 3.00 313 89
Dylan DeLucia R 2026 · 3.65 FIP 23 SU 3.65 21.6%7.4%2.6%.241 5.05 18.0%7.4%158 +1.40 3.65 194 88
Vince Vannelle R 2027 · 3.77 FIP 24 SU 3.77 19.9%8.6%2.3%.282 5.34 15.3%4.5%76 +1.57 3.77 105 88
Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 3.95 FIP 23 SU 3.95 22.7%10.8%2.5%.236 3.87 19.1%8.5%121 -0.08 3.24 160 88
Luke Bell R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 23 SU 3.89 20.4%9.9%2.3%.295 5.94 13.6%1.3%65 +2.05 3.89 109 88
Owen Holt R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 23 SU 3.89 20.7%10.2%2.3%.258 4.52 18.7%6.4%107 +0.63 3.89 145 88
Chad Patrick R 2026 · 3.92 FIP 23 SU 3.92 20.3%9.9%2.3%.315 4.36 22.3%13.8%422 +0.44 3.64 517 87
Hunter Gregory R 2026 · 3.98 FIP 23 SU 3.98 21.2%8.7%2.9%.374 4.64 20.5%7.6%188 +0.66 3.73 220 87
Clark Beeker R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 23 SU 4.04 20.0%7.1%3.2%.270 4.35 11.6%6.4%244 +0.31 4.04 287 87
Kyle Schepel R 2027 · 4.49 FIP 24 SU 4.49 23.1%10.7%3.6%.233 3.63 22.1%10.4%120 -0.86 3.51 156 87
Nick Altermatt R 2027 · 3.63 FIP 24 SU 3.63 21.2%9.5%2.1%.282 3.01 23.1%16.8%62 -0.62 2.25 111 87
Devon Roedahl R 2025 · 3.94 FIP 22 SU 3.94 19.7%6.7%3.0%.305 4.92 16.5%9.2%100 +0.98 3.94 122 87
Kevin Coulter R 2025 · 3.27 FIP 22 SU 3.27 21.0%7.4%1.8%.287 4.31 16.1%7.6%92 +1.04 3.27 128 87

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.