Carter Trice — OGILVIE

Carter TriceCF Knoxville Smokies

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 200 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION519 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP271

ISO137

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$2M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	20	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	32	27	8	4	0	1	5	11	0	0	0	296	406	556	962	259	467	34	16	419	170	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	20	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	17	16	2	1	0	1	1	10	0	0	0	125	176	375	551	250	200	59	6	239	48	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2024	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	266	229	50	18	1	8	33	88	2	2	1	218	322	410	732	192	311	33	12	326	107	+2	+0	—	—	+6	0.8
2024	21	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	53	43	12	2	2	1	9	12	0	6	0	279	404	488	892	209	355	23	17	387	148	+3	+1	—	—	+1	0.5
2025	22	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	60	48	5	1	0	1	10	20	1	1	1	104	271	188	459	83	143	33	17	230	42	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	22	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	318	257	51	9	1	14	55	87	6	22	6	198	352	405	757	206	237	27	17	344	119	+7	+2	—	—	+7	1.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	32	29	5	2	0	1	3	16	0	0	0	172	250	345	595	172	351	50	9	253	57	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	266	241	37	12	1	7	21	127	2	2	1	154	227	299	526	145	269	48	8	227	40	-19	+0	—	—	+6	-1.4
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	53	46	9	2	1	1	6	17	0	6	0	196	288	348	636	152	267	32	11	270	69	-2	+1	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	22	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	60	51	5	1	0	1	7	25	1	1	1	98	220	176	397	78	135	42	12	182	9	-6	-0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2025	22	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	318	274	41	7	1	10	38	112	6	22	6	150	267	292	559	142	201	35	12	252	57	-16	+2	—	—	+7	-0.8
2023	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	49	44	8	4	0	1	5	24	0	0	0	182	265	341	606	159	368	49	10	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	49	43	10	5	0	2	6	21	0	0	0	233	327	488	815	256	400	43	12	357	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	319	287	46	14	2	7	27	144	2	8	1	160	237	296	534	136	281	45	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	319	272	62	20	3	9	42	100	2	8	1	228	335	423	758	195	319	31	13	336	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	378	326	46	8	1	11	44	136	7	23	7	141	257	273	530	132	194	36	12	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	378	305	56	10	1	15	65	107	7	23	7	184	340	370	710	187	223	28	17	326	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	49	44	8	4	0	1	5	24	0	0	0	182	265	341	606	159	351	49	10	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	319	287	46	14	2	7	27	144	2	8	1	160	237	296	534	136	269	45	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	378	324	46	8	1	11	44	136	7	23	7	142	257	275	532	133	191	36	12	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	49	44	8	4	0	1	5	24	0	0	0	182	265	341	606	159	351	49	10	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	319	287	46	14	2	7	27	144	2	8	1	160	237	296	534	136	269	45	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	378	324	46	8	1	11	44	136	7	23	7	142	257	275	532	133	191	36	12	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	CHC	—	519	471	95	24	3	12	38	165	4	18	7	202	267	342	609	140	277	32	7	263	64	-22	+1	+0	+2	+11	-0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA RAW	CHC	—	519	453	111	29	3	15	56	135	4	18	7	245	333	422	755	177	311	26	11	334	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	AA MLE	CHC	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		269	33	11	271	70	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	AA MLE	CHC	—	528	479	96	24	3	12	39	168	4	18	7	200	266	338	604	138	275	32	7	263	64	-22	+1	+0	+2	+11	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CHC	31%	453	408	83	19	2	13	38	139	4	12	4	203	278	355	633	152	271	31	8	282	77	-12	+1	+0	+2	+10	-0.0
2028	25	MLB MLE	CHC	45%	481	434	91	20	2	15	40	144	4	13	5	210	282	369	651	159	273	30	8	291	83	-10	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	CHC	51%	497	447	95	21	2	16	42	146	5	13	5	213	287	376	663	163	274	29	8	296	86	-8	+1	+0	+2	+11	0.5
2030	27	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	502	449	96	21	2	16	43	147	5	13	5	214	290	376	666	163	275	29	9	296	87	-8	+1	+0	+2	+11	0.5
2031	28	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	500	447	95	21	2	16	44	147	5	12	4	213	290	376	666	163	274	29	9	295	86	-8	+1	-1	+2	+11	0.4
2032	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	492	442	92	20	2	15	43	146	4	11	4	208	284	364	649	156	273	30	9	293	85	-9	+1	-1	+2	+11	0.3
2033	30	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	483	434	91	20	2	15	42	145	4	10	4	210	285	369	654	159	272	30	9	291	83	-10	+0	-2	+2	+10	0.1
2034	31	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	469	421	87	19	2	14	41	142	4	9	3	207	283	361	644	154	269	30	9	287	80	-11	+1	-3	+2	+10	-0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	CHC	31%	140	126	26	6	1	4	12	43	1	4	1	206	281	365	646	159	273	31	9	275	77	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	CHC	45%	214	192	40	9	1	6	18	64	2	6	2	208	283	359	642	151	275	30	8	284	83	-4	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	CHC	51%	253	228	49	11	1	8	21	75	2	7	2	215	287	377	664	162	276	30	8	288	86	-4	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	264	237	50	11	1	8	23	77	2	7	2	211	286	367	653	156	276	29	9	289	87	-4	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	267	240	50	11	1	8	23	79	2	7	2	208	283	362	646	154	276	30	9	288	86	-4	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.3
2032	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	259	232	49	11	1	8	23	77	2	6	2	211	288	371	659	159	275	30	9	286	85	-5	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	252	226	46	10	1	7	22	75	2	5	2	204	280	350	630	146	273	30	9	283	83	-5	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.0
2034	31	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	243	218	45	10	1	7	21	74	2	5	2	206	282	358	640	151	271	30	9	280	80	-6	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1892	1699	355	79	8	56	163	564	15	47	15	209	284	364	648	155	275	30	9	285	78	-37	+3	-4	+7	+41	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	122	27	3	19	56	194	5	16	5	209	284	363	647	154	275	30	9	285	78	-13	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4632	4147	831	187	19	139	410	1463	44	124	42	200	279	355	634	155	270	32	9	283	78	-77	+5	-7	+14	+84	2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	117	26	3	20	58	205	6	17	6	201	280	359	639	158	269	32	9	283	78	-13	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.9	1,898	59	45	211	283	370	+7	+4	2.5	2.5
/162	664	21	16	+2.4	+1.4	0.9	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carter Trice (OGILVIE)	23	30	55	60	60	194/266/332	138	269	8	10	32%	8%	70	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	39→43	47→50	58→55	46	200/276/339	139	268	15	19	30%	9%	74	-0.5	213/284/345	132	280	14	17	28%	8%	78	-0.3	213/282/342	129	276	14	17	27%	8%	75	-0.4
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	40→38	47→50	54→55	44	202/275/339	137	273	14	17	30%	8%	74	-0.6	192/271/310	118	266	11	17	30%	8%	66	-1.1	166/252/265	99	226	9	19	29%	8%	47	-1.4
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	35→40	46→50	53→55	40	185/248/306	121	260	15	19	34%	7%	56	-1.9	181/262/305	124	259	14	22	34%	8%	62	-1.4	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45→44	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	211/273/334	123	271	14	11	27%	7%	72	-0.7	224/287/394	170	271	21	14	25%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2016 · A	23	40→37	49→50	53→50	39	207/268/353	146	287	16	9	33%	6%	74	-0.5	208/273/341	133	295	14	10	33%	6%	74	-0.6	202/274/346	144	284	16	9	33%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Alexander Canario 2023 · AAA	23	36→34	56→60	53→50	39	201/262/388	187	274	25	17	36%	7%	80	-0.1	212/275/381	169	303	21	11	35%	7%	83	+0.1	207/271/362	155	296	20	8	36%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Kaden Polcovich 2022 · AA	23	38→41	45	54→55	46	193/280/319	126	273	13	17	32%	9%	72	-0.7	199/280/314	115	273	11	17	29%	8%	70	-0.8	190/275/299	108	260	10	19	29%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Jonny DeLuca 2022 · A	24	40→37	53→60	56→55	45	216/275/390	173	253	21	15	24%	7%	85	+0.2	224/289/407	183	256	22	16	22%	7%	95	+0.9	221/290/400	179	249	21	19	21%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA	25	37→35	45→50	51→55	39	190/251/306	117	268	13	16	34%	6%	57	-1.8	204/278/330	126	297	13	15	34%	8%	73	-0.6	231/310/361	130	325	12	18	30%	8%	89	+0.3
●Trayce Thompson 2014 · AAA	23	36→46	48→60	52→50	39	190/252/328	138	270	16	15	35%	6%	63	-1.4	210/267/353	143	279	14	14	29%	7%	74	-0.6	206/295/413	207	291	28	7	37%	10%	97	+0.6
✕Sean Coyle 2015 · AA	23	42→36	51→50	54→50	38	218/272/373	156	303	19	14	34%	6%	80	-0.1	185/247/300	115	287	12	11	38%	7%	54	-2.0	147/213/234	88	235	8	9	39%	7%	23	-1.8
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA	24	37→40	46→55	48→45	41	194/258/325	131	264	14	9	32%	7%	64	-1.3	204/278/363	159	283	19	5	33%	8%	81	-0.1	216/279/422	206	274	28	2	32%	7%	93	+0.4
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	40→50	49→55	59→55	47	205/293/360	155	287	16	24	33%	10%	86	+0.3	245/323/418	173	327	19	21	29%	9%	109	+2.0	229/312/387	159	297	19	21	28%	9%	96	+0.9
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	40→47	48→55	52→55	43	209/268/351	142	267	16	12	28%	7%	74	-0.6	223/290/379	156	286	16	20	27%	8%	88	+0.4	222/295/383	161	284	16	22	27%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Daz Cameron 2020 · AAA	23	40→45	44→50	52→55	42	198/271/320	122	284	10	17	33%	7%	68	-1.0	206/272/329	123	293	11	18	32%	7%	70	-0.8	225/296/393	168	284	19	27	27%	8%	91	+0.3
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/254/321	133	272	15	10	35%	6%	62	-1.4	207/272/348	141	302	15	9	35%	6%	75	-0.5	202/267/346	145	293	16	7	35%	6%	71	-0.3
✕Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA	23	37→47	48→55	48→55	42	197/259/341	144	266	16	12	32%	7%	68	-1.0	215/261/367	152	281	19	15	30%	5%	75	-0.5	224/265/381	157	284	20	15	28%	5%	77	-0.3
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	35→45	44→45	52→60	39	184/241/293	109	256	12	21	32%	6%	50	-2.3	221/288/352	131	295	12	39	28%	8%	81	-0.1	221/289/349	127	292	11	41	26%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	40→43	49→55	54→50	48	203/290/352	149	278	16	16	32%	10%	82	+0.0	214/299/386	172	268	20	10	27%	10%	93	+0.8	205/292/383	178	245	22	6	26%	10%	88	+0.3
✕Isan Díaz 2019 · AAA	23	40→41	46→55	50→45	43	199/269/329	130	288	13	10	34%	8%	70	-0.9	212/283/357	145	286	16	6	30%	8%	81	-0.1	206/286/370	164	268	21	5	30%	9%	80	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps