Carter Trice — OGILVIE

Carter Trice2B Knoxville Smokies

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 200 lbs AA BB +5%HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 1.5 · 2030

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .281 / .331

PA320

HR9

SB12

K%36

BB%10

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

30→30

PWR

55→55

SPD

60→60

EYE

57↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.4peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+1.4	$12M	+$11M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+1.5	$14M	+$13M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.3	$12M	+$11M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+1.1	$11M	+$8M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.9	$4M	+$1M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.7	$4M	+$0.1M
Totals		$11M		$56M	+$45M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	20	ROK	2 teams	49	44	8	4	0	1	5	24	0	0	0	.182	.265	.341	.606	.159	.368	49	10	.253	52	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2024	21	A	2 teams	319	287	46	14	2	7	27	144	2	8	1	.160	.237	.296	.534	.136	.281	45	8	.234	37	-23	+1	+0	+1	+9	-1.2
2025	22	A+	2 teams	378	326	47	8	1	11	44	130	7	23	7	.144	.260	.276	.536	.132	.194	34	12	.244	45	-24	+2	+0	+1	+11	-1.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	23	AA	Knoxville Smokies	77	68	12	5	0	0	8	22	1	4	0	.176	.273	.250	.523	.074	.261	29	10	.247	47	-5	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
ROS	23	MLB	CHC	243	213	40	9	1	6	25	84	3	8	2	.188	.282	.324	.606	.136	.271	35	10	.275	69	-9	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.0
TOT	23	MLB	CHC	320	281	52	14	1	6	33	106	4	12	2	.185	.280	.306	.586	.121	.271	33	10	.269	64	-13	+2	+0	+1	+9	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	24	MLB 11%	CHC	423	368	73	16	1	12	47	130	5	13	3	.198	.298	.345	.643	.147	.270	31	11	.295	84	-8	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.8
2028	25	MLB 26%	CHC	458	398	83	18	2	14	51	137	6	13	3	.209	.308	.369	.677	.161	.273	30	11	.304	91	-5	+1	+0	+2	+13	1.1
2029	26	MLB 44%	CHC	478	416	88	19	2	15	53	141	6	13	3	.212	.309	.375	.684	.163	.275	29	11	.309	94	-3	+1	+0	+2	+14	1.4
2030	27	MLB 59%	CHC	485	421	90	19	2	16	55	143	6	13	2	.214	.313	.382	.696	.169	.276	29	11	.309	95	-3	+2	+0	+2	+14	1.5
2031	28	MLB 69%	CHC	484	420	88	19	2	15	55	144	6	12	2	.210	.310	.371	.681	.162	.275	30	11	.308	94	-3	+2	-1	+2	+14	1.3
2032	29	MLB 77%	CHC	477	414	86	18	2	15	54	143	6	11	2	.208	.308	.370	.678	.162	.274	30	11	.306	92	-4	+1	-1	+2	+14	1.1
2033	30	MLB 95%	CHC	469	407	83	18	1	14	53	142	6	10	1	.204	.305	.356	.661	.152	.273	30	11	.303	90	-5	+2	-2	+2	+13	0.9
2034	31	MLB	CHC	456	396	80	17	1	14	52	140	5	9	1	.202	.302	.356	.658	.154	.271	31	11	.299	87	-7	+1	-3	+2	+13	0.7
2035	32	MLB	CHC	438	380	76	16	1	13	50	137	5	8	0	.200	.301	.350	.651	.150	.269	31	11	.294	83	-8	+2	-4	+2	+12	0.4
2036	33	MLB	CHC	409	355	69	15	1	11	46	130	5	7	0	.194	.296	.335	.631	.141	.267	32	11	.289	79	-10	+1	-4	+1	+12	0.1
2037	34	MLB	CHC	364	316	61	13	1	10	41	119	4	6	0	.193	.294	.335	.629	.142	.265	33	11	.282	74	-11	+1	-5	+1	+10	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5930	5161	1018	223	20	174	658	1888	72	154	27	.197	.297	.349	.646	.152	.270	32	11	.292	81	-125	+20	-20	+21	+168	6.6
/ 162G	—			650	566	111	24	2	19	72	207	8	17	3	.196	.296	.346	.642	.150	.268	32	11	.292	81	-14	+2	-2	+2	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	20	ROK	ACL Cubs	32	27	8	4	0	1	5	11	0	0	0	.296	.406	.556	.962	.259	.467	34	16	.419	179	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	20	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	17	16	2	1	0	1	1	10	0	0	0	.125	.176	.375	.551	.250	.200	59	6	.239	41	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2024	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	266	229	50	18	1	8	33	88	2	2	1	.218	.322	.410	.732	.192	.311	33	12	.326	108	+2	+0	—	—	+8	1.0
2024	21	ROK	ACL Cubs	53	43	12	2	2	1	9	12	0	6	0	.279	.404	.488	.892	.209	.355	23	17	.387	154	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.6
2025	22	AA	Knoxville Smokies	60	48	5	1	0	1	10	20	1	1	1	.104	.271	.188	.459	.083	.143	33	17	.230	34	-4	-0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	22	A+	South Bend Cubs	318	257	51	9	1	14	55	87	6	22	6	.198	.352	.405	.757	.206	.237	27	17	.344	122	+8	+2	—	—	+9	1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carter Trice (OGILVIE)	23	30	55	60	60	.187/.281/.331	.144	.274	9	9	36%	10%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	39→43	51→55	54→50	47	.204/.289/.363	.160	.282	18	16	33%	10%	82	+0.5	.215/.301/.392	.177	.270	21	10	27%	10%	95	+1.4	.206/.293/.385	.178	.247	22	6	26%	10%	88	+0.6
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	38→43	48→50	57→55	45	.200/.272/.345	.145	.264	16	19	30%	8%	71	-0.3	.213/.284/.353	.140	.278	16	18	28%	8%	78	+0.2	.213/.283/.350	.137	.276	16	17	28%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	36→41	49→50	52→55	41	.194/.257/.337	.143	.263	18	19	33%	7%	63	-0.9	.184/.262/.320	.136	.261	17	22	35%	8%	61	-1.0	.178/.268/.330	.152	.242	18	26	33%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Sean Coyle 2015 · AA	23	42→36	50	54→50	37	.214/.268/.367	.153	.302	19	14	35%	6%	75	-0.0	.187/.249/.311	.124	.292	14	12	39%	7%	52	-1.6	.143/.210/.235	.092	.232	9	9	41%	7%	12	-1.8
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	41→51	51→55	58→55	46	.207/.294/.372	.165	.295	18	24	34%	10%	87	+0.8	.244/.322/.424	.180	.328	20	21	30%	9%	112	+2.6	.242/.325/.399	.157	.318	18	21	28%	10%	104	+1.4
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	40→38	47→50	54→55	43	.202/.274/.341	.139	.273	14	17	31%	7%	71	-0.3	.192/.270/.316	.124	.268	13	17	31%	8%	63	-0.9	.166/.251/.266	.100	.225	10	19	29%	8%	40	-1.3
✕Alexander Canario 2023 · AAA	23	36→34	58→60	53→50	39	.206/.265/.407	.201	.278	27	17	36%	7%	84	+0.6	.216/.277/.401	.185	.303	24	12	35%	7%	88	+0.9	.211/.275/.376	.165	.297	22	8	35%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Kaden Polcovich 2022 · AA	23	39	46→45	54→55	45	.196/.282/.327	.131	.279	14	17	33%	9%	71	-0.3	.195/.278/.316	.121	.271	12	17	31%	9%	66	-0.6	.183/.271/.296	.112	.254	11	19	30%	9%	55	-0.8
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2016 · A	23	41→37	49→50	53→50	39	.211/.272/.359	.148	.288	17	9	32%	6%	75	-0.0	.211/.274/.346	.135	.297	14	11	32%	6%	72	-0.2	.206/.277/.356	.150	.287	18	9	33%	7%	76	+0.0
●Trayce Thompson 2014 · AAA	23	35→45	49→65	51→50	38	.187/.248/.334	.147	.268	18	13	36%	6%	58	-1.2	.207/.264/.356	.149	.280	16	14	31%	7%	70	-0.3	.209/.298/.431	.221	.291	31	7	37%	10%	102	+1.1
●Davis Schneider 2023 · AAA	24	41→44	50→55	53→50	45	.206/.286/.363	.157	.300	18	12	36%	10%	82	+0.5	.219/.316/.410	.191	.291	23	10	31%	11%	106	+2.2	.213/.322/.409	.196	.275	24	9	30%	12%	106	+1.6
●Will Benson 2021 · A	23	33→43	50→55	52→55	44	.178/.260/.325	.147	.263	19	13	38%	10%	61	-1.0	.207/.302/.379	.172	.307	19	18	36%	11%	92	+1.2	.221/.322/.401	.180	.313	18	26	32%	12%	102	+1.4
●Christopher Morel 2022 · AAA	23	38→46	48→60	53→50	36	.199/.247/.340	.141	.285	16	15	35%	5%	58	-1.2	.223/.291/.421	.198	.297	25	12	33%	8%	98	+1.6	.224/.302/.431	.208	.280	28	10	30%	9%	102	+1.8
✕Jonny DeLuca 2022 · A	24	41→37	53→60	56→55	45	.219/.277/.395	.176	.253	22	15	24%	7%	85	+0.7	.224/.289/.415	.191	.254	23	16	22%	7%	96	+1.5	.221/.290/.405	.184	.247	22	19	21%	7%	91	+0.7
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45→43	47→50	58→50	45	.225/.290/.366	.142	.304	14	17	30%	8%	83	+0.6	.208/.272/.334	.126	.270	15	11	28%	8%	67	-0.5	.204/.271/.351	.147	.261	18	12	28%	8%	69	-0.3
✕Daz Cameron 2020 · AAA	23	41→45	45→55	52→55	42	.202/.273/.332	.129	.285	12	17	32%	7%	67	-0.5	.207/.273/.337	.130	.293	12	18	32%	7%	69	-0.4	.220/.291/.388	.168	.274	20	25	27%	8%	88	+0.6
●Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA	23	38→48	50→55	48→55	41	.200/.261/.356	.156	.274	18	12	33%	7%	69	-0.4	.216/.264/.378	.162	.287	21	15	32%	6%	76	+0.0	.228/.269/.395	.167	.290	22	15	29%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA	24	38→40	47→55	48→45	41	.196/.261/.330	.133	.269	15	9	32%	7%	62	-0.9	.203/.278/.366	.163	.280	20	6	33%	8%	79	+0.3	.206/.283/.412	.206	.265	29	1	33%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Kenedy Corona 2023 · A	23	42→40	47→50	53→55	39	.213/.268/.348	.136	.294	15	21	32%	6%	69	-0.4	.201/.263/.323	.122	.283	13	24	32%	7%	61	-1.0	.187/.253/.290	.103	.264	10	27	32%	7%	45	-1.5
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	.190/.256/.326	.136	.273	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	.205/.269/.352	.147	.297	17	9	35%	6%	72	-0.2	.199/.264/.350	.151	.290	18	7	36%	6%	66	-0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)