Carter Trice — OGILVIE

Carter Trice2B Knoxville Smokies

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 200 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION347 act + 231 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .279 / .357

PA231

HR7

SB8

K%31

BB%9

BABIP269

ISO154

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$8M	+$8M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$8M	+$7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$7M	+$6M
2032	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2033	Arb-2	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.6M
2034	Arb-3	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M
Totals		$10M		$31M	+$25M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	20	ROK	2 teams	—	49	44	8	4	0	1	5	24	0	0	0	182	265	341	606	159	368	49	10	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	2 teams	—	49	43	10	5	0	2	6	21	0	0	0	233	327	488	815	256	400	43	12	357	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	319	287	46	14	2	8	27	146	2	8	1	160	237	307	544	146	279	46	8	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	319	272	62	20	3	9	42	100	2	8	1	228	335	423	758	195	319	31	13	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	378	327	46	8	1	11	43	133	7	23	7	141	255	272	527	131	190	35	11	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	378	305	56	10	1	15	65	107	7	23	7	184	340	370	710	187	223	28	17	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	CHC	—	347	314	68	16	2	10	26	102	2	15	6	217	281	376	656	159	280	29	7	285	76	-9	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.2
YTD	23	AA	CHC	—	347	301	79	20	2	11	39	79	2	15	6	262	351	452	803	189	315	23	11	352	127	+11	+1	+0	+1	+10	2.3
ROS	23	AA	CHC	2%	231	207	42	9	1	7	20	71	2	8	3	203	279	357	636	154	269	31	9	283	75	-7	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.1
ROS	23	MLB	CHC	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		270	40	0	279	71	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	AA	CHC	—	352	319	69	16	2	10	26	104	2	15	6	216	280	373	653	157	281	30	7	285	76	-9	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.2
TOT	23	AA	CHC	—	578	521	110	25	3	17	46	173	4	23	9	211	280	368	648	157	276	30	8	284	76	-16	+1	+0	+2	+16	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	CHC	31%	579	518	109	24	3	18	51	173	5	17	6	210	287	373	660	162	273	30	9	291	81	-12	+1	+0	+2	+16	0.7
2028	25	MLB	CHC	45%	594	531	113	24	3	19	53	173	5	17	6	213	290	377	667	164	275	29	9	298	86	-9	+1	+0	+2	+17	1.1
2029	26	MLB	CHC	51%	599	535	117	25	3	20	54	172	5	16	6	219	296	389	685	170	276	29	9	302	89	-7	+1	+0	+2	+17	1.3
2030	27	MLB	CHC	53%	598	534	116	24	3	20	54	172	5	16	6	217	295	386	681	169	276	29	9	303	90	-7	+1	+0	+2	+17	1.3
2031	28	MLB	CHC	53%	593	529	115	24	3	20	54	171	5	15	5	217	296	388	683	170	275	29	9	302	89	-7	+1	-1	+2	+17	1.2
2032	29	MLB	CHC	53%	586	522	112	24	2	19	54	170	5	14	5	215	294	377	672	163	275	29	9	300	88	-8	+1	-1	+2	+17	1.0
2033	30	MLB	CHC	56%	577	514	108	23	2	18	53	169	5	13	5	210	290	368	658	158	273	29	9	297	85	-9	+1	-2	+2	+16	0.8
2034	31	MLB	CHC	59%	567	505	105	22	2	18	52	168	5	12	4	208	288	366	655	158	271	30	9	293	82	-11	+1	-3	+2	+16	0.5
2035	32	MLB	CHC	61%	557	496	102	21	2	17	51	167	5	10	4	206	286	359	645	153	267	30	9	287	78	-14	+0	-4	+2	+16	0.1
2036	33	MLB	CHC	62%	481	430	85	17	2	14	44	147	4	8	3	198	278	344	622	147	262	31	9	280	73	-15	+0	-4	+2	+14	-0.3
2027	24	MLB	CHC	31%	180	160	34	7	1	6	16	54	2	5	2	212	292	381	673	169	274	30	9	287	78	-5	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2028	25	MLB	CHC	45%	265	237	51	11	1	9	24	77	2	7	3	215	293	384	677	169	276	29	9	294	83	-5	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.4
2029	26	MLB	CHC	51%	305	272	59	13	1	10	27	88	3	8	3	217	295	382	677	165	277	29	9	297	86	-5	+0	+0	+1	+9	0.5
2030	27	MLB	CHC	53%	314	280	61	13	1	11	28	90	3	8	3	218	296	389	685	171	277	29	9	298	86	-5	+0	+0	+1	+9	0.6
2031	28	MLB	CHC	53%	316	281	61	13	1	11	29	91	3	8	3	217	297	388	685	171	277	29	9	297	85	-5	+0	-0	+1	+9	0.5
2032	29	MLB	CHC	53%	308	274	59	13	1	10	28	89	3	7	3	215	295	380	675	164	276	29	9	295	84	-6	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.4
2033	30	MLB	CHC	56%	326	290	62	13	1	11	30	95	3	7	3	214	294	379	673	166	274	29	9	292	82	-7	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.3
2034	31	MLB	CHC	59%	335	298	63	13	1	11	31	99	3	7	2	211	292	372	665	161	272	30	9	288	79	-8	+1	-2	+1	+9	0.2
2035	32	MLB	CHC	61%	340	303	62	13	1	10	31	102	3	6	2	205	285	353	638	149	268	30	9	283	75	-10	+0	-2	+1	+10	-0.1
2036	33	MLB	CHC	62%	299	268	54	11	1	9	27	91	2	5	2	201	279	351	630	149	263	30	9	276	69	-10	+0	-3	+1	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2993	2668	567	120	10	98	271	878	27	68	26	213	292	375	667	163	274	29	9	291	81	-65	+3	-9	+11	+85	2.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	123	26	2	21	59	191	6	15	6	212	292	373	665	161	275	29	9	291	81	-14	+1	-2	+2	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	6708	5979	1224	263	29	210	615	2056	60	177	61	205	285	364	649	159	271	31	9	289	79	-156	+11	-15	+24	+190	5.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	118	25	3	20	60	199	6	17	6	204	285	361	646	157	270	31	9	289	79	-15	+1	-1	+2	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	20	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	32	27	8	4	0	1	5	11	0	0	0	296	406	556	962	259	467	34	16	419	179	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	20	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	17	16	2	1	0	1	1	10	0	0	0	125	176	375	551	250	200	59	6	239	41	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2024	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	266	229	50	18	1	8	33	88	2	2	1	218	322	410	732	192	311	33	12	326	108	+2	+0	—	—	+8	1.0
2024	21	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	53	43	12	2	2	1	9	12	0	6	0	279	404	488	892	209	355	23	17	387	154	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.6
2025	22	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	60	48	5	1	0	1	10	20	1	1	1	104	271	188	459	83	143	33	17	230	34	-4	-0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	22	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	318	257	51	9	1	14	55	87	6	22	6	198	352	405	757	206	237	27	17	344	122	+8	+2	—	—	+9	1.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#5Alex Gonzalezlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,150 PA	6	3,150	86	34	246	304	402	-0	+23	9.7	9.7
	/162	664	18	7	246	304	402	-0.0	+4.9	2.1	pk7: 10
#6Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,995	95	71	212	288	373	+11	+5	4.0	3.9
	/162	664	21	16	212	288	373	+2.4	+1.1	0.9	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carter Trice (OGILVIE)	23	30	55	60	60	211/280/368	157	276	17	23	30%	8%	76	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	39→43	48→50	57→55	46	198/276/341	142	266	15	19	30%	9%	71	-0.3	217/288/368	151	280	17	17	28%	8%	83	+0.6	218/288/372	154	276	19	17	27%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	35→40	46→50	53→55	40	187/250/311	124	262	15	19	34%	7%	53	-1.5	184/265/319	135	258	16	22	34%	8%	62	-0.9	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	39→38	47→50	54→55	43	198/273/336	137	281	14	17	33%	8%	69	-0.4	191/270/311	120	270	12	17	32%	8%	62	-0.9	168/253/270	102	226	10	19	29%	8%	41	-1.2
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2016 · A	23	40→38	48→55	53→50	39	206/266/349	143	284	16	9	32%	6%	69	-0.4	214/278/357	143	300	16	10	33%	6%	76	+0.1	212/284/375	163	291	20	9	33%	7%	83	+0.3
●Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA	23	37→47	48→60	48→55	41	195/256/339	145	267	16	12	33%	7%	63	-0.9	222/268/400	178	287	24	15	31%	5%	83	+0.6	235/274/422	187	292	26	15	29%	5%	88	+0.8
✕Daz Cameron 2020 · AAA	23	40→45	46→55	52→55	42	202/273/338	137	283	13	17	32%	7%	69	-0.4	210/275/344	134	293	13	18	31%	7%	72	-0.2	217/290/380	163	271	19	25	27%	8%	86	+0.5
✕Kaden Polcovich 2022 · AA	23	38→41	45	54→55	44	193/273/319	127	275	13	17	33%	8%	65	-0.7	202/283/330	128	276	13	17	30%	8%	72	-0.2	194/281/320	126	262	13	19	29%	9%	65	-0.4
✕Jonny DeLuca 2022 · A	24	41→38	54→60	56→55	45	219/278/397	178	254	22	15	24%	7%	87	+0.8	226/291/414	188	257	23	16	22%	7%	97	+1.5	222/292/406	184	249	22	19	21%	7%	92	+0.8
✕Sean Coyle 2015 · AA	23	41→34	52→50	54→50	37	214/267/378	164	300	21	14	35%	6%	77	+0.1	185/246/307	122	293	14	11	39%	7%	50	-1.8	146/212/239	93	239	9	9	41%	7%	14	-1.8
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	40→50	51→55	59→55	46	204/291/370	166	288	19	24	34%	10%	85	+0.7	246/324/427	181	328	21	21	29%	9%	113	+2.6	236/320/399	164	307	19	21	28%	10%	103	+1.6
✕Alexander Canario 2023 · AAA	23	36→34	58→60	53→50	38	203/263/401	197	283	27	17	38%	7%	82	+0.5	215/278/394	179	307	23	11	36%	7%	86	+0.8	210/275/374	164	298	21	8	35%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA	24	37→40	46→60	48→45	40	191/253/320	128	266	14	9	33%	7%	56	-1.3	208/281/378	170	286	21	5	33%	8%	83	+0.6	213/288/429	216	271	31	1	33%	8%	98	+0.8
●Andrew Navigato 2022 · AA	24	41→38	45→60	46→50	44	204/280/325	122	284	12	13	31%	8%	69	-0.4	220/279/399	179	271	22	14	27%	6%	88	+0.9	220/277/428	209	258	27	17	27%	5%	92	+0.8
●Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	40→44	52→55	54→50	48	206/295/372	166	284	19	16	33%	10%	88	+0.9	216/301/395	179	269	22	10	27%	10%	96	+1.5	207/293/388	181	246	23	6	26%	10%	89	+0.7
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	44	47→50	58→50	45	221/288/362	141	302	14	18	31%	8%	81	+0.4	208/272/332	124	270	14	11	27%	8%	66	-0.6	216/281/385	169	263	20	13	26%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Drew Robinson 2016 · AAA	24	36→40	50→55	48→50	45	190/268/346	156	268	17	12	35%	9%	69	-0.4	213/285/388	175	304	20	12	35%	9%	87	+0.8	213/286/393	179	309	20	12	36%	9%	85	+0.5
●Trayce Thompson 2014 · AAA	23	35→45	48→65	51→50	38	185/248/327	142	271	17	15	37%	6%	56	-1.3	209/265/356	147	285	15	14	31%	7%	70	-0.3	211/299/435	223	292	31	7	37%	10%	103	+1.1
✕Joey Wiemer 2023 · AAA	24	42→43	52→55	56→55	41	217/280/383	166	298	20	23	34%	7%	84	+0.6	203/276/341	138	281	16	17	32%	8%	72	-0.2	188/269/315	127	256	15	16	31%	9%	59	-0.7
✕Kenedy Corona 2023 · A	23	42→40	47→45	53→55	40	210/270/346	137	300	15	21	34%	7%	69	-0.4	202/265/316	114	286	11	24	32%	7%	59	-1.1	197/264/288	92	275	8	27	30%	7%	49	-1.1
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	189/255/325	136	272	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	206/270/351	145	304	16	9	36%	6%	72	-0.2	198/264/347	149	294	17	7	37%	6%	65	-0.2