Carter Trice

CF Knoxville Smokies
Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 200 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2303ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421A/ROKCHC319.228/.335/.4239846—.161/.244/.298
202522AA/A+CHC378.184/.340/.370152352—.145/.262/.277
202623AACHC523.243/.331/.418151865—.200/.265/.337
2027PROJMLE24MLBCHC4.197/.275/.3360072-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB25MLBCHC81.202/.280/.3502277-0.0
2029PROJ45% MLB26MLBCHC136.206/.284/.35943800.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$0.2M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Chase%67
ISO65
wRC+55
BB%53
Speed51
wOBA48
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 0.3, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 95%
CompsJeter Downs (age 24) · Willie MacIver (age 25) · Troy Stokes Jr. (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†72
AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .275 / .336
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%9
BABIP269
ISO138
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 55
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER55
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Arb-1$0.2M———
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.5M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202320 ROKACL Cubs — 3227 8401 5110 00 296406556962 259467 3416 419 55 — — — — — —
202320 INTLMesa Solar Sox — 1716 2101 1100 00 125176375551 250200 596 239 48 — — — — — —
202421 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 266229 501818 33882 21 218322410732 192311 3312 326 42 — — — — — —
202421 ROKACL Cubs — 5343 12221 9120 60 279404488892 209355 2317 387 65 — — — — — —
202522 AAKnoxville Smokies — 6048 5101 10201 11 104271188459 83143 3317 230 12 — — — — — —
202522 A+South Bend Cubs — 318257 519114 55876 226 198352405757 206237 2717 344 59 — — — — — —
202623 AAKnoxville Smokies — 523457 11129315 561364 187 243331418749 175308 2611 331 65 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202320 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 3229 5201 3160 00 172250345595 172345 509 250 55 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 266239 381316 231222 21 159239297536 138265 469 231 42 — — — — — —
202421 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 5346 8111 6170 60 174269304574 130260 3211 264 65 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLEKnoxville Smokies — 6051 5101 7251 11 98220176397 78138 4212 186 12 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLESouth Bend Cubs — 318274 427110 381056 226 153270296566 142201 3312 256 59 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEKnoxville Smokies — 523475 9525212 381664 187 200265337602 137269 327 265 65 — — — — — —
202320 ROK MLE2 teams — 4944 8401 5240 00 182265341606 159368 4910 250 55 — — — — — —
202320 ROK RAW2 teams — 4943 10502 6210 00 233327488815 256400 4312 357 55 — — — — — —
202421 A MLE2 teams — 319286 461427 281392 81 161241297538 136273 449 236 46 — — — — — —
202421 A RAW2 teams — 319272 622039 421002 81 228335423758 195319 3113 336 46 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 378325 478111 451307 237 145263277540 132195 3412 245 52 — — — — — —
202522 A+ RAW2 teams — 378305 5610115 651077 237 184340370710 187223 2817 326 52 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEKnoxville Smokies — 523475 9525212 381664 187 200265337602 137274 327 265 65 — — — — — —
202623 AA RAWKnoxville Smokies — 523457 11129315 561364 187 243331418749 175308 2611 331 65 — — — — — —
202320 ROK MLE2 teams — 4944 8401 5240 00 182265341606 159345 4910 250 55 — — — — — —
202421 A MLE2 teams — 319286 461427 281392 81 161241297538 136264 449 236 46 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 378323 478111 451307 237 146263279541 133191 3412 245 52 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEKnoxville Smokies — 523476 9525212 381664 187 200265336601 137269 327 265 65 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A MLE2 teams — 319286 461427 281392 81 161241297538 136264 449 236 46 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 378323 478111 451307 237 146263279541 133191 3412 245 52 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEKnoxville Smokies — 523476 9525212 381664 187 200265336601 137269 327 265 65 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLECHC 2% 380340 671629 331184 104 196274335609 139265 319 274 72 -13 +0 +0 +1 +8 0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXCHC 2% 44 0000 010 00 197275336611 139269 250 275 72 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLECHC 31% 260233 471117 23802 72 201279349629 148267 319 282 77 -7 +1 +0 +1 +6 0.0
202926 MLB MLECHC 45% 305272 561319 27923 83 205282359641 154269 309 287 80 -7 +0 +0 +1 +7 0.1
203027 MLB MLECHC 49% 321287 581319 28963 83 206283358642 153269 309 287 81 -7 +0 +0 +1 +7 0.1
203128 MLB MLECHC 52% 328293 591319 29983 73 206283356639 151270 309 286 80 -8 +0 -1 +1 +7 -0.0
203229 MLB MLECHC 52% 321287 591319 28953 63 205282353635 147269 309 285 79 -8 +0 -1 +1 +7 -0.1
203330 MLB MLECHC 52% 314281 571318 27943 52 202278345623 143267 309 280 76 -9 +0 -2 +1 +7 -0.3
202825 MLB CTXCHC 31% 8173 14302 7251 21 202280350630 148271 319 283 77 -2 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.0
202926 MLB CTXCHC 45% 136122 26614 12411 31 206284359643 153272 309 288 80 -3 +0 +0 +0 +3 0.0
203027 MLB CTXCHC 49% 158142 29714 14471 41 207284359643 152273 309 288 81 -4 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.1
203128 MLB CTXCHC 52% 169150 32715 15502 41 207284357641 150273 309 287 80 -4 +0 -0 +1 +4 0.0
203229 MLB CTXCHC 52% 165149 30714 14491 31 206283353636 147272 308 285 79 -4 +0 -1 +1 +4 -0.1
203330 MLB CTXCHC 52% 162146 30714 14491 31 203279345625 142270 309 281 76 -5 +0 -1 +1 +4 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 871782 16137523 762617 196 206282354636 148274 309 285 70 -22 +1 -2 +3 +19 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650584 12128417 571955 144 207284356640 149277 309 285 70 -16 +1 -2 +2 +14 -0.1
Career— MLE — 33282971 5691361287 296107932 9633 192272333605 142264 329 271 70 -54 +2 -4 +7 +45 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650580 11127217 582116 196 191271333604 141264 329 271 70 -17 +1 -1 +2 +14 -0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAKnoxville Smokies · 523 PAwOBA .326 → .265 (−61)K% 26.0% → 31.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.00%÷1.000×1.220——31.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.52%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0127.24%
HBP% /PA0.76%—×0.840—×1.0120.65%
Singles /BIP19.94%÷1.000×0.920×0.951×1.01217.65%
Doubles /BIP9.03%÷1.000×0.910×0.951×1.0127.91%
Triples /BIP0.93%÷1.000×0.880×0.951×1.0120.79%
Home runs /BIP4.67%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0123.78%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.

Result: wOBA .326 → .265; ISO .175 → .144; BABIP .308 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+South Bend Cubs · 318 PAwOBA .336 → .256 (−81)K% 27.4% → 33.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.36%÷1.051×1.270——33.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.30%÷1.042×0.710—×0.99811.77%
HBP% /PA1.89%—×0.790—×0.9981.49%
Singles /BIP15.88%÷1.021×0.920×0.989×0.99814.13%
Doubles /BIP5.29%÷1.000×0.810×0.989×0.9984.23%
Triples /BIP0.59%÷0.900×0.850×0.989×0.9980.55%
Home runs /BIP8.24%÷1.106×0.800—×0.9985.94%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 110, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .336 → .256; ISO .206 → .154; BABIP .237 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAKnoxville Smokies · 60 PAwOBA .229 → .186 (−43)K% 33.3% → 40.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.33%÷0.994×1.220——40.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.67%÷0.988×0.680—×1.02711.78%
HBP% /PA1.67%—×0.840—×1.0271.44%
Singles /BIP10.71%÷0.996×0.920—×1.02710.17%
Doubles /BIP3.57%÷0.910×0.910—×1.0273.67%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.880—×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP3.57%÷0.911×0.800—×1.0273.22%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .229 → .186; ISO .083 → .076; BABIP .143 → .138. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 266 PAwOBA .320 → .231 (−89)K% 33.1% → 45.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.08%÷0.985×1.360——45.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.41%÷1.007×0.690——8.50%
HBP% /PA0.75%—×0.780——0.59%
Singles /BIP16.31%÷0.997×0.920×0.971—14.61%
Doubles /BIP12.77%÷0.986×0.830×0.971—10.44%
Triples /BIP0.71%÷1.150×0.910×0.971—0.55%
Home runs /BIP5.67%÷0.908×0.800——5.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 97, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .320 → .231; ISO .192 → .139; BABIP .311 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Cubs · 53 PAwOBA .385 → .264 (−120)K% 22.6% → 33.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.64%÷0.989×1.440——32.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.98%÷0.947×0.620—×0.97510.84%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Singles /BIP22.58%÷1.047×0.820—×0.97517.24%
Doubles /BIP6.45%÷0.903×0.720—×0.9755.02%
Triples /BIP6.45%÷1.150×0.720—×0.9753.94%
Home runs /BIP3.23%÷0.935×0.780—×0.9752.62%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 109, 2B 81, 3B 130, K 98, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .385 → .264; ISO .209 → .144; BABIP .355 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Cubs · 32 PAwOBA .409 → .250 (−158)K% 34.4% → 49.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.38%÷1.000×1.440——49.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.62%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9859.54%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Singles /BIP18.75%÷1.000×0.820—×0.98515.14%
Doubles /BIP25.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.98517.73%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP6.25%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9854.80%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .409 → .250; ISO .259 → .156; BABIP .467 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .