Alfredo Alcantara

Alfredo AlcantaraSS Dayton Dragons

Age 20 R/R 5'9" / 165 lbs A+ HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION433 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP240

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

DEFENSE42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	152	120	32	9	0	5	24	32	6	2	1	267	413	467	880	200	321	21	16	391	151	+9	+0	—	—	+3	1.3
2024	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	205	169	32	4	0	5	29	74	5	4	2	189	325	302	627	112	293	36	14	294	85	-4	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
2025	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	139	105	28	4	0	6	21	30	11	3	2	267	438	476	914	210	319	22	15	408	162	+10	-0	—	—	+3	1.3
2025	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	189	149	47	13	0	2	33	44	4	7	1	315	452	443	895	128	425	23	17	401	157	+13	+1	—	—	+4	1.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	152	130	25	7	0	4	14	47	6	2	1	192	300	338	638	146	251	31	9	280	76	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	205	181	20	2	0	3	17	108	5	4	2	110	207	171	378	61	229	53	8	180	8	-22	+0	—	—	+4	-1.8
2025	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	139	109	25	3	0	5	17	42	11	3	2	229	387	394	781	165	307	30	12	340	116	+3	-0	—	—	+3	0.6
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	189	160	36	10	0	1	22	63	4	7	1	225	333	306	640	81	332	33	12	287	80	-4	+1	—	—	+4	0.1
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	152	130	25	7	0	4	14	47	6	2	1	192	300	338	638	146	263	31	9	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	152	120	32	9	0	5	24	32	6	2	1	267	413	467	880	200	321	21	16	391	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	205	181	20	2	0	3	17	108	5	4	2	110	207	171	378	61	236	53	8	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	205	169	32	4	0	5	29	74	5	4	2	189	325	302	627	112	293	36	14	294	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	328	270	60	13	0	6	38	105	15	10	3	222	350	337	687	115	333	32	12	309	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	328	254	75	17	0	8	54	74	15	10	3	295	446	457	903	161	383	23	16	404	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	152	131	25	7	0	4	14	47	6	2	1	191	300	336	636	145	251	31	9	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	205	181	20	2	0	3	17	108	5	4	2	110	207	171	378	61	229	53	8	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	328	272	60	13	0	6	38	105	15	10	3	221	350	335	684	114	321	32	12	309	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	152	131	25	7	0	4	14	47	6	2	1	191	300	336	636	145	251	31	9	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	205	181	20	2	0	3	17	108	5	4	2	110	207	171	378	61	229	53	8	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	328	272	60	13	0	6	38	105	15	10	3	221	350	335	684	114	321	32	12	309	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A+ MLE	CIN	—	433	387	67	9	1	11	36	151	6	4	3	173	254	287	541	114	247	35	8	236	46	-28	-0	+0	+5	+9	-1.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A+ RAW	CIN	—	433	373	80	11	1	14	50	112	6	4	3	214	317	362	679	147	265	26	12	307	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A+ MLE	CIN	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		238	30	10	249	54	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	A+ MLE	CIN	—	443	396	68	9	1	11	37	154	6	4	3	172	253	283	536	111	245	35	8	236	46	-28	-0	-0	+5	+10	-1.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CIN	25%	452	400	72	11	1	12	41	143	8	4	2	180	269	302	572	122	243	32	9	262	63	-20	+0	-5	+5	+10	-1.0
2028	22	MLB MLE	CIN	38%	505	445	84	14	1	14	46	153	9	4	2	189	278	319	597	130	247	30	9	273	71	-18	+0	-5	+5	+11	-0.7
2029	23	MLB MLE	CIN	45%	545	480	93	15	1	16	51	161	9	5	2	194	283	329	613	135	251	30	9	280	76	-16	+0	-6	+6	+12	-0.4
2030	24	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	573	505	100	16	1	18	54	167	9	5	3	198	287	341	628	143	253	29	9	284	79	-15	-0	-6	+6	+12	-0.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	CIN	50%	585	515	103	17	1	19	55	169	10	5	3	200	290	348	637	148	253	29	9	287	80	-14	-0	-6	+6	+13	-0.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	CIN	51%	590	519	103	17	1	19	56	171	10	5	3	198	289	345	634	146	253	29	9	288	81	-14	-0	-6	+6	+13	-0.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	CIN	50%	588	516	103	17	1	19	57	171	10	5	3	200	292	347	638	147	252	29	10	288	81	-13	-0	-6	+6	+13	-0.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	CIN	50%	582	510	101	16	1	19	57	170	10	5	3	198	291	345	636	147	252	29	10	287	80	-14	-0	-7	+6	+13	-0.2
2035	29	MLB MLE	CIN	49%	571	501	98	16	1	18	56	168	9	4	2	196	288	339	627	144	251	29	10	285	79	-14	+0	-7	+6	+12	-0.3
2036	30	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	560	491	95	15	1	17	55	166	9	4	2	193	286	332	618	138	250	30	10	283	77	-15	+0	-8	+6	+12	-0.5
2037	31	MLB MLE	CIN	47%	545	478	92	15	1	16	53	163	9	3	2	192	285	328	614	136	248	30	10	279	75	-16	-0	-8	+6	+12	-0.7
2027	21	MLB CTX	CIN	25%	114	101	18	3	0	3	10	36	2	1	1	178	265	297	563	119	245	32	9	254	63	-5	-0	-1	+1	+2	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	CIN	38%	194	171	32	5	0	6	18	59	3	2	1	187	276	322	598	135	250	30	9	266	71	-7	+0	-2	+2	+4	-0.3
2029	23	MLB CTX	CIN	45%	248	219	44	7	1	8	23	73	4	2	1	201	289	352	640	151	254	29	9	274	76	-7	+0	-3	+3	+5	-0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	276	243	49	8	1	9	26	80	5	2	1	202	292	354	646	152	256	29	9	279	79	-7	+0	-3	+3	+6	-0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	CIN	50%	290	256	52	8	1	10	27	84	5	2	1	203	292	359	651	156	256	29	9	281	80	-7	+0	-3	+3	+6	-0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	CIN	51%	298	263	54	9	1	10	28	86	5	3	1	205	294	361	655	156	256	29	9	282	81	-7	+0	-3	+3	+6	-0.0
2033	27	MLB CTX	CIN	50%	294	259	52	8	1	10	28	85	5	3	1	201	291	355	646	154	256	29	10	282	81	-7	+0	-3	+3	+6	-0.0
2034	28	MLB CTX	CIN	50%	289	254	51	8	1	10	28	84	5	2	1	201	293	358	651	157	255	29	10	281	80	-7	+0	-3	+3	+6	-0.1
2035	29	MLB CTX	CIN	49%	277	243	49	8	1	9	27	81	5	2	1	202	295	354	648	152	254	29	10	280	79	-7	+0	-4	+3	+6	-0.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	267	235	46	7	0	9	26	79	4	2	1	196	287	340	627	145	253	30	10	277	77	-7	+0	-4	+3	+6	-0.2
2037	31	MLB CTX	CIN	47%	257	226	43	7	0	8	25	77	4	2	1	190	282	327	610	137	251	30	10	273	75	-8	+0	-4	+3	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2804	2470	490	78	7	92	266	824	47	23	11	198	289	347	636	149	254	29	9	277	76	-75	+0	-32	+30	+61	-1.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	114	18	2	21	62	191	11	5	3	199	290	347	637	148	255	29	10	277	76	-17	+0	-8	+7	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	6791	5950	1150	191	11	200	651	2065	128	65	33	193	287	330	617	137	255	30	10	280	76	-168	-1	-70	+65	+132	-4.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	110	18	1	19	62	198	12	6	3	193	286	328	614	135	255	30	10	280	76	-18	-0	-7	+7	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#5Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	4.2	2,806	87	23	196	284	339	+30	-16	3.3	3.1
/162	664	21	5	+7.1	-3.7	0.8	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alfredo Alcantara (OGILVIE)	20	20→39	40→45	60→53	60	168/258/275	107	238	7	3	33%	9%	54	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	38→41	41→50	48→50	45	182/267/286	104	281	8	8	35%	9%	59	-1.7	201/262/332	131	290	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	38→40	46→50	50	46	194/272/327	133	266	12	8	31%	9%	70	-0.8	183/267/307	124	271	12	8	34%	10%	64	-1.3	190/261/345	156	258	19	12	33%	8%	68	-0.7
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	40→42	45→50	49→50	41	200/269/322	122	272	12	8	30%	6%	68	-1.0	213/273/348	135	267	17	5	26%	6%	75	-0.5	208/267/338	130	255	17	5	26%	6%	68	-0.8
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	47	-2.5	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	70	-0.8	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→48	38→50	49→40	44	204/275/284	80	281	6	6	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/273/293	83	267	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Jeter Downs 2018 · A	20	42→40	43→50	47→55	47	208/276/316	107	257	11	9	23%	7%	68	-1.0	211/277/351	140	270	15	17	27%	7%	78	-0.3	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Rodolfo Castro 2019 · A	20	38→41	43→55	47→50	36	195/235/310	115	269	11	5	32%	5%	51	-2.3	198/239/343	145	274	17	6	33%	5%	61	-1.5	206/269/359	153	269	19	7	30%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→40	41→45	48→50	41	200/267/299	99	282	9	10	31%	6%	61	-1.5	203/296/305	102	299	9	8	32%	10%	74	-0.5	186/292/283	98	277	9	10	33%	11%	67	-0.7
✕Brayan Buelvas 2022 · A	20	37→43	45	51→55	40	193/254/318	125	267	13	13	32%	6%	61	-1.5	189/251/316	127	262	13	17	32%	6%	59	-1.6	197/258/324	127	284	12	14	34%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Christian Lopes 2013 · A	20	42→51	42→45	53→50	42	207/256/324	117	265	8	8	25%	5%	62	-1.4	207/261/285	78	263	4	4	22%	6%	55	-2.0	214/297/334	120	267	12	13	23%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	45→50	44	202/274/296	94	295	7	8	32%	8%	63	-1.3	225/292/371	146	302	16	5	30%	7%	87	+0.4	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Miguel Amaya 2019 · A	20	43→41	43→50	48→40	44	212/277/322	110	267	11	4	25%	6%	70	-0.8	210/288/334	124	267	13	4	25%	8%	78	-0.3	212/319/354	142	290	16	3	30%	10%	93	+0.3
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	38	42→45	49→40	40	191/253/297	106	266	9	5	31%	6%	55	-1.9	201/259/305	104	303	9	3	35%	6%	59	-1.6	191/250/291	100	290	9	2	35%	5%	52	-1.1
✕Yu Chang 2016 · A	20	40→44	42→50	45	38	202/251/306	105	274	10	6	30%	5%	56	-1.9	199/255/338	139	279	14	8	33%	6%	65	-1.2	212/267/370	158	271	20	6	29%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Leonel Espinoza 2023 · A	20	39→44	41→40	50→55	41	191/263/288	96	267	9	11	31%	7%	57	-1.8	210/273/299	89	302	7	14	31%	6%	63	-1.3	208/265/289	81	298	7	18	31%	5%	55	-1.1
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	39	43→45	42→50	48	193/294/300	106	278	11	10	32%	10%	73	-0.6	183/264/287	104	286	10	6	37%	8%	58	-1.7	153/236/254	101	237	11	2	38%	9%	40	-0.9
✕Oswaldo Linares 2023 · A	20	42	41→40	48→40	52	203/299/295	93	261	9	6	24%	10%	74	-0.6	189/286/270	81	279	7	4	31%	11%	63	-1.4	163/267/230	67	248	6	2	33%	11%	45	-1.0
✕Alexander Mojica 2023 · A	20	34	42→45	47→40	40	168/249/264	96	280	10	3	41%	8%	47	-2.5	199/279/320	121	325	12	6	39%	9%	72	-0.7	183/279/320	137	294	13	3	39%	10%	68	-0.4
✕Jhonkensy Noel 2021 · A	20	41→40	44→55	47→45	41	205/267/321	116	274	12	7	29%	6%	66	-1.1	215/264/381	166	280	22	5	31%	5%	80	-0.2	195/249/365	169	248	24	1	32%	5%	68	-0.6
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	38	42→40	44→55	39	190/253/289	99	277	10	9	34%	6%	54	-2.0	206/263/300	94	283	6	11	28%	6%	59	-1.6	204/262/298	94	272	5	15	25%	6%	56	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps