Alfredo Alcantara

Alfredo AlcantaraSS Dayton Dragons

Age 20 R/R 5'9" / 165 lbs A+ HR +9%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 2.0 · 2033

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .292 / .302

PA320

HR7

SB7

K%37

BB%10

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20↗39

PWR

40↗45

SPD

60↘53

FLD

30↗42

EYE

58↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.6peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+1.6	$14M	+$14M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.8	$17M	+$16M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+1.9	$18M	+$17M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+2.0	$20M	+$15M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+1.9	$19M	+$13M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+1.6	$17M	+$8M
Totals		$22M		$105M	+$83M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Reds	152	130	25	7	0	4	14	47	6	2	1	.192	.300	.338	.638	.146	.263	31	9	.282	74	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2024	18	ROK	ACL Reds	205	181	20	2	0	3	17	108	5	4	2	.110	.207	.171	.378	.061	.236	53	8	.180	-4	-24	+0	+0	+2	+6	-1.6
2025	19	ROK	2 teams	328	269	60	13	0	6	39	105	15	10	3	.223	.353	.338	.691	.115	.335	32	12	.309	95	-2	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	66	55	7	1	0	1	8	30	2	2	1	.127	.262	.200	.462	.073	.240	45	12	.206	16	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
ROS	20	MLB	CIN	254	218	39	8	0	5	27	96	7	5	2	.179	.290	.284	.574	.106	.286	38	11	.271	66	-10	+0	-3	+3	+7	-0.2
TOT	20	MLB	CIN	320	273	46	9	0	6	35	126	9	7	3	.168	.284	.267	.551	.099	.280	39	11	.258	55	-16	+0	-3	+3	+9	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 7%	CIN	383	325	64	12	1	10	44	115	11	8	3	.197	.313	.332	.645	.135	.265	30	11	.293	83	-8	+0	-4	+4	+11	0.4
2028	22	MLB 18%	CIN	464	394	80	15	1	13	54	134	13	10	3	.203	.319	.345	.664	.142	.268	29	12	.303	90	-5	+1	-5	+5	+13	0.9
2029	23	MLB 27%	CIN	517	437	91	17	1	15	61	145	14	12	4	.208	.324	.355	.679	.146	.270	28	12	.310	95	-3	+1	-5	+6	+15	1.3
2030	24	MLB 37%	CIN	551	466	98	18	1	17	66	152	14	12	4	.210	.326	.363	.689	.152	.271	28	12	.314	99	-1	+1	-6	+6	+16	1.6
2031	25	MLB 45%	CIN	571	481	102	19	1	18	70	157	15	12	4	.212	.330	.368	.698	.156	.272	27	12	.318	101	+1	+1	-6	+6	+16	1.8
2032	26	MLB 51%	CIN	580	488	103	19	1	18	72	159	15	12	4	.211	.330	.365	.695	.154	.272	27	12	.319	103	+2	+1	-6	+6	+16	1.9
2033	27	MLB 60%	CIN	582	489	103	19	1	18	73	161	15	12	3	.211	.331	.364	.695	.153	.272	28	13	.319	103	+2	+1	-6	+6	+16	2.0
2034	28	MLB 63%	CIN	578	485	102	19	1	18	73	161	15	12	3	.210	.332	.365	.697	.155	.272	28	13	.318	102	+1	+1	-7	+6	+16	1.9
2035	29	MLB 66%	CIN	568	476	100	19	1	17	72	159	15	11	3	.210	.332	.361	.693	.151	.270	28	13	.316	100	+0	+1	-7	+6	+16	1.6
2036	30	MLB 76%	CIN	558	467	97	18	1	17	71	159	15	10	2	.208	.331	.360	.691	.152	.269	28	13	.313	98	-1	+1	-8	+6	+16	1.4
2037	31	MLB 87%	CIN	544	456	93	17	1	16	69	157	14	9	2	.204	.327	.351	.677	.147	.267	29	13	.309	95	-3	+1	-8	+6	+15	1.1
2038	32	MLB	CIN	526	442	88	16	1	15	66	154	13	8	1	.199	.321	.342	.662	.143	.265	29	13	.305	91	-5	+1	-9	+6	+15	0.8
2039	33	MLB	CIN	496	418	82	15	1	13	62	149	13	7	0	.196	.318	.330	.649	.134	.263	30	12	.299	87	-7	+1	-9	+5	+14	0.4
2040	34	MLB	CIN	450	380	73	13	1	12	56	139	11	6	0	.192	.313	.326	.640	.134	.261	31	12	.293	82	-9	+1	-10	+5	+13	0.0
2041	35	MLB	CIN	395	333	60	11	0	9	49	126	10	6	0	.180	.304	.294	.598	.114	.258	32	12	.285	76	-11	+1	-10	+4	+11	-0.4
2042	36	MLB	CIN	335	283	50	9	0	7	41	110	8	5	0	.177	.298	.283	.581	.106	.255	33	12	.276	70	-12	+1	-10	+4	+9	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9037	7618	1530	286	14	251	1096	2693	244	173	44	.201	.320	.341	.661	.140	.271	30	12	.303	90	-99	+17	-118	+97	+256	15.6
/ 162G	—			650	548	110	21	1	18	79	194	18	12	3	.201	.321	.341	.663	.141	.271	30	12	.303	90	-7	+1	-9	+7	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Reds	152	120	32	9	5	24	32	6	2	1	.267	.413	.467	.880	.200	.321	21	16	.391	157	+10	+0	—	—	+4	1.4
2024	18	ROK	ACL Reds	205	169	32	4	5	29	74	5	4	2	.189	.325	.302	.627	.112	.293	36	14	.294	83	-4	+0	—	—	+6	0.2
2025	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	139	105	28	4	6	21	30	11	3	2	.267	.438	.476	.914	.210	.319	22	15	.408	170	+11	-0	—	—	+4	1.5
2025	19	ROK	ACL Reds	189	149	47	13	2	33	44	4	7	1	.315	.452	.443	.895	.128	.425	23	17	.401	165	+14	+1	—	—	+5	2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alfredo Alcantara (OGILVIE)	20	20→39	40→45	60→53	60	.186/.292/.302	.116	.290	7	5	37%	10%	71	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	46→50	53→55	45	.189/.278/.319	.129	.289	14	15	37%	10%	67	-0.5	.210/.289/.331	.121	.326	12	16	36%	9%	74	-0.1	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
●Derek Norris 2009 · A	20	40→50	42→55	49→50	43	.194/.269/.300	.106	.295	9	6	35%	9%	58	-1.2	.209/.301/.372	.163	.281	20	6	31%	11%	91	+1.1	.254/.332/.403	.149	.311	15	5	22%	10%	106	+1.6
✕Max Muncy 2023 · A	20	38→46	48→45	50	41	.192/.267/.331	.138	.299	16	12	39%	8%	65	-0.7	.212/.277/.338	.126	.320	13	10	36%	7%	71	-0.3	.217/.280/.344	.127	.316	14	8	34%	6%	71	-0.2
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	41	40→45	54→60	47	.189/.291/.289	.100	.303	7	8	36%	10%	66	-0.6	.201/.301/.282	.081	.273	6	17	26%	10%	68	-0.5	.180/.308/.228	.048	.225	5	30	19%	12%	56	-0.5
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2016 · A	21	42	46→50	52→40	44	.205/.283/.341	.136	.298	13	8	34%	9%	74	-0.1	.199/.260/.324	.125	.272	14	4	31%	7%	60	-1.0	.192/.251/.302	.111	.255	13	1	29%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	40	43→45	43→50	47	.193/.290/.298	.105	.281	11	10	32%	10%	67	-0.5	.182/.264/.285	.103	.284	10	6	37%	8%	52	-1.6	.153/.236/.254	.101	.237	11	2	38%	9%	32	-0.9
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	39→40	46→55	50	46	.198/.273/.333	.136	.268	13	8	30%	8%	68	-0.5	.186/.271/.313	.127	.268	12	8	33%	10%	63	-0.9	.191/.263/.361	.170	.260	21	12	35%	8%	69	-0.3
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	45	.183/.271/.272	.089	.286	7	6	36%	10%	52	-1.6	.190/.265/.267	.077	.298	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	.182/.268/.267	.085	.274	6	3	33%	10%	48	-0.6
✕Francisco Murillo 2007 · A	20	42	47→50	49→50	43	.213/.279/.345	.133	.294	15	8	32%	8%	73	-0.1	.199/.259/.322	.123	.301	13	6	36%	7%	59	-1.1	.150/.210/.278	.128	.229	14	3	40%	6%	26	-1.2
✕Max Stassi 2011 · A	20	39→43	45→55	43→40	38	.194/.254/.315	.121	.302	13	5	39%	7%	55	-1.4	.211/.269/.347	.136	.289	16	4	31%	6%	69	-0.4	.208/.295/.359	.151	.271	20	0	30%	10%	81	+0.2
✕Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	38→47	43→50	46→50	46	.188/.269/.299	.110	.273	10	7	33%	10%	58	-1.2	.198/.288/.331	.133	.275	13	9	30%	11%	74	-0.1	.206/.294/.357	.151	.275	17	10	30%	11%	81	+0.4
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	46→45	45	.200/.274/.295	.095	.288	7	9	31%	8%	59	-1.1	.227/.293/.378	.151	.302	17	5	29%	7%	89	+0.9	.224/.290/.376	.152	.290	17	4	28%	6%	83	+0.5
✕Sean Coyle 2012 · A	20	38→36	49→50	53→50	42	.198/.271/.352	.155	.274	16	13	33%	7%	72	-0.2	.199/.257/.341	.142	.284	16	13	34%	6%	63	-0.8	.197/.258/.362	.165	.284	22	15	38%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Jonathan Galvez 2011 · A	20	44→48	43→45	49→55	46	.210/.289/.319	.109	.300	10	12	32%	9%	71	-0.3	.227/.281/.348	.121	.324	11	19	31%	6%	74	-0.1	.232/.281/.348	.116	.327	10	23	31%	5%	71	-0.2
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→42	41→50	46→50	45	.182/.264/.278	.096	.277	8	8	35%	9%	50	-1.7	.199/.261/.332	.133	.287	14	10	34%	6%	63	-0.9	.207/.263/.362	.155	.281	19	10	33%	6%	68	-0.4
●Jonathan India 2019 · A	22	43→51	45→50	51→50	45	.208/.290/.333	.125	.296	12	10	32%	8%	76	+0.0	.217/.304/.340	.123	.297	12	10	29%	9%	83	+0.6	.243/.342/.393	.150	.294	17	11	22%	10%	107	+1.9
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	.232/.304/.355	.124	.309	12	12	28%	8%	86	+0.8	.239/.303/.370	.131	.306	13	16	25%	7%	89	+1.0	.238/.303/.382	.143	.296	14	19	24%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	40	45→50	49→50	41	.203/.270/.328	.125	.273	12	8	30%	6%	66	-0.6	.212/.271/.357	.145	.264	19	5	27%	6%	73	-0.1	.206/.264/.348	.141	.251	20	5	26%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Thomas Saggese 2022 · A	20	44→54	48→55	51→50	42	.211/.284/.355	.144	.327	16	12	38%	9%	78	+0.2	.229/.279/.381	.152	.311	17	10	31%	6%	82	+0.5	.235/.288/.373	.139	.314	16	8	29%	5%	82	+0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)