Irvin Gonzalez
P
ACL Reds
Age 20
RHP
5'10" / 150 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION27 act + 18 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.42
FIP4.42
K%22.1%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%12.5%
ROS IP18
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Reds | 15 | 0 | 15 | 70 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.5% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 5.28 | 4.38 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Reds | 15 | 0 | 15 | 70 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.3% | 8.6% | 15.7% | 1.4% | 5.28 | 2.90 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rojos | 14 | 12 | 43 | 195 | 27 | 19 | 2 | 86% | 3.1 | 9.4% | 12.2% | -2.8% | 1.4% | 6.07 | 4.64 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rojos | 14 | 12 | 43 | 195 | 27 | 19 | 2 | 86% | 3.1 | 13.8% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 6.07 | 3.77 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Reds | 16 | 0 | 25 | 114 | 28 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 16.7% | 12.1% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 5.04 | 3.90 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Reds | 16 | 0 | 25 | 114 | 28 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 24.6% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 0.9% | 5.04 | 2.70 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | ACL Reds | 7 | 4 | 27 | 116 | 29 | 15 | 1 | 57% | 3.9 | 17.0% | 16.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 4.94 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | CIN | 3 | 3 | 18 | 74 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.1% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 4.42 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 45 | 190 | 45 | 22 | 3 | — | — | 23.9% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 1.7% | 4.74 | 4.39 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | CIN | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | CIN | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 4.29 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 3.91 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 183 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 52 | 16 | 111 | 495 | 69 | 64 | 7 | 31% | 2.1 | 13.9% | 12.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 5.45 | 4.37 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 94 | 29 | 200 | 895 | 124 | 115 | 13 | 31% | 2.1 | 13.9% | 12.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 5.45 | 4.37 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Irvin Gonzalez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.29 | 22.7% | 13.5% | 20 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zurak R 2028 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 83 |
| Adrián Martinez R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.30 | 18.8% | 8.4% | 3.1% | .329 | 4.09 | 17.3% | 7.6% | 92 | -0.21 | 2.02 | 526 | 82 |
| David Davalillo R 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.24 | 18.6% | 6.8% | 1.5% | .292 | 3.32 | 21.0% | 12.0% | 262 | +0.08 | 2.94 | 279 | 82 |
| Saul Teran R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.23 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 4.3% | .333 | 3.83 | 20.8% | 8.7% | 94 | -1.40 | 2.28 | 158 | 81 |
| Huei-Sheng Lin R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.59 | 17.4% | 7.4% | 3.7% | .360 | 5.41 | 16.1% | 3.7% | 88 | +0.82 | 4.59 | 120 | 81 |
| Cole Stapler R 2028 · 3.83 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.83 | 19.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | .266 | 3.29 | 18.1% | 13.2% | 220 | -0.54 | 3.28 | 255 | 81 |
| Austin Hutchison R 2028 · 4.05 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.05 | 19.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | .340 | 5.20 | 18.7% | 9.2% | 213 | +1.15 | 3.60 | 235 | 80 |
| Brendan Collins R 2028 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 80 |
| Jake Elliott R 2027 · 3.82 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.82 | 19.2% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .353 | 3.81 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 202 | -0.01 | 3.10 | 354 | 80 |
| Simon Mathews R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.09 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .326 | 4.51 | 16.0% | 5.9% | 167 | +0.42 | 4.09 | 215 | 79 |
| Eccel Correa R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .316 | 4.40 | 14.2% | 2.3% | 151 | +0.05 | 3.96 | 186 | 79 |
| Daniel Bies R 2028 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.96 | 24.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .339 | 3.22 | 20.3% | 11.0% | 89 | -0.74 | 3.22 | 115 | 79 |
| Franco Aleman R 2028 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.93 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .391 | 3.00 | 29.2% | 18.4% | 114 | -0.93 | 0.86 | 198 | 79 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2029 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 79 |
| Dawil Almonte R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.60 | 17.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .271 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 3.3% | 97 | +0.84 | 3.60 | 138 | 79 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 79 |
| Carlos Campos R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.43 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 3.1% | .304 | 5.57 | 15.3% | 8.1% | 19 | +1.14 | 4.43 | 134 | 78 |
| Osiris German R 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 19 | SU | 4.26 | 20.6% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .346 | 3.25 | 26.3% | 15.5% | 59 | -1.01 | 3.11 | 187 | 78 |
| Carson Rudd R 2028 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 78 |
| Brandon Komar R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.63 | 17.7% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | 5.21 | 16.7% | 5.7% | 198 | +0.58 | 3.00 | 538 | 78 |