Jecsua Liborius — OGILVIE

Jecsua Liborius P Ontario Tower Buzzers

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 9 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147138vR 130

ERA5.97

FIP5.97

K%19.3%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-0.7%

ROS IP10

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	15	0	19	93	19	11	1	0%	1.2	13.9%	14.8%	-0.9%	1.1%	4.82	4.43	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	15	0	19	93	19	11	1	0%	1.2	13.9%	14.8%	-0.9%	1.1%	4.82	4.43	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	15	0	19	93	19	11	1	0%	1.2	20.4%	11.8%	8.6%	1.1%	4.82	3.53	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	17	0	24	112	20	17	1	0%	1.4	12.1%	19.0%	-6.8%	1.1%	3.75	5.10	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	17	0	24	112	20	17	1	0%	1.4	12.1%	19.0%	-6.8%	1.1%	3.75	5.10	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	17	0	24	112	20	17	1	0%	1.4	17.9%	15.2%	2.7%	0.9%	3.75	4.10	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	14	0	13	74	13	17	0	0%	0.9	11.9%	28.7%	-16.8%	0.0%	9.95	5.73	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	14	0	13	74	13	17	0	0%	0.9	11.9%	28.7%	-16.8%	0.0%	9.95	5.73	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	14	0	13	74	13	17	0	0%	0.9	17.6%	23.0%	-5.4%	0.0%	9.95	5.07	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	45	0	53	230	81	36	5	0%	1.2	26.1%	18.5%	7.6%	2.8%	4.44	4.79	—
YTD	21	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	45	0	53	230	81	36	5	0%	1.2	26.1%	18.5%	7.6%	2.8%	4.44	4.79	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	A RAW	LAD	45	0	53	230	81	36	5	0%	1.2	35.2%	15.7%	19.6%	2.2%	4.44	3.30	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	LAD	52	0	54	229	48	38	7	0%	1.0	20.8%	16.6%	4.2%	2.9%	5.56	5.39	-0.5
2028	23	MLB MLE	LAD	54	0	56	237	52	34	7	0%	1.0	21.8%	14.4%	7.4%	2.8%	5.20	5.01	-0.3
2027	22	MLB CTX	LAD	26	0	27	114	24	19	3	0%	1.0	20.8%	16.6%	4.2%	2.9%	5.56	5.39	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	LAD	39	0	41	173	38	25	5	0%	1.1	21.8%	14.4%	7.4%	2.8%	5.20	5.01	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		64	0	68	285	61	44	8	0%	1.1	21.4%	15.3%	6.1%	2.8%	5.34	4.78	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	180	130	24	0%	1.1	21.4%	15.3%	6.1%	2.8%	5.34	4.78	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		91	0	108	509	95	99	9	0%	1.2	18.7%	19.4%	-0.7%	1.7%	5.00	4.93	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		169	0	200	943	176	183	16	0%	1.2	18.7%	19.4%	-0.7%	1.7%	5.00	4.93	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jecsua Liborius (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.97	19.3%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.20	21.3%	5.8%	110	-0.77	—	—	—
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	92
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.10	167	89
Greg Weissert R 2016 · 5.22 FIP	21	SU	5.22	19.4%	19.3%	2.4%	.382	3.80	23.0%	10.3%	126	-1.42	2.57	481	87
Marcus Crescentini R 2015 · 5.80 FIP	22	SU	5.80	21.8%	21.9%	3.2%	.365	3.95	23.3%	11.6%	123	-1.85	2.74	150	86
Elison Joseph R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	21	SU	4.91	19.6%	20.3%	1.6%	.310	4.33	24.8%	6.9%	138	-0.58	3.32	217	86
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.79	29.0%	15.6%	152	-1.12	3.38	209	86
Jairo Beras R 2017 · 6.07 FIP	22	SU	6.07	16.4%	16.9%	4.0%	.237	4.35	20.7%	4.5%	96	-1.72	3.48	110	85
Tommy McCollum R 2021 · 6.21 FIP	22	SU	6.21	17.1%	27.2%	2.0%	.235	3.80	26.4%	10.9%	112	-2.41	2.90	219	85
Nick Kuzia R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	21	SU	5.18	16.5%	15.2%	2.8%	.361	5.35	17.6%	6.6%	60	+0.17	4.54	231	85
Roberto Espinosa R 2015 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.9%	18.6%	1.9%	.273	4.43	14.8%	2.2%	77	-0.49	4.32	117	84
Cory Thompson R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	22	SU	5.42	15.2%	15.7%	2.9%	.289	4.34	16.3%	10.6%	131	-1.08	3.59	218	84
Jonathan Jimenez R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	19	SU	5.41	16.4%	16.2%	3.0%	.333	5.09	14.1%	2.2%	178	-0.32	3.49	189	84
Bryce McGowan R 2022 · 5.90 FIP	22	SU	5.90	17.0%	22.9%	2.4%	.368	4.36	20.6%	6.6%	145	-1.54	3.71	178	84
Brett Hanewich R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	22	SU	5.18	15.9%	17.6%	2.2%	.372	4.32	20.3%	2.8%	108	-0.86	4.24	134	83
Andrew Marrero R 2021 · 5.09 FIP	21	SU	5.09	21.7%	22.0%	1.9%	.395	4.61	24.3%	9.1%	148	-0.48	3.45	210	83
Madison Jeffrey R 2022 · 5.47 FIP	22	SU	5.47	19.9%	25.3%	1.5%	.252	5.08	17.6%	-9.7%	107	-0.39	4.65	168	83
Conor Grady R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	22	SU	5.28	17.2%	19.0%	2.2%	.242	4.62	16.9%	5.1%	96	-0.66	4.62	108	82
Samuel Fabian R 2023 · 6.61 FIP	20	SU	6.61	16.8%	27.4%	2.7%	.352	4.33	17.2%	4.8%	64	-2.28	4.21	120	82
Jordy Luciano R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	21	SU	4.97	24.9%	22.3%	2.1%	.306	5.33	17.1%	-4.8%	80	+0.36	4.97	104	82
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	40	21.1%	15.8%	1.10	5.43
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22