Dante Nori — OGILVIE

Dante NoriOF Reading Fightin Phils

Age 21 L/L 5'9" / 190 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION236 act + 157 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.239 / .307 / .344

PA157

HR1

SB7

K%21

BB%8

BABIP302

ISO105

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 52 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT52

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED66

scouting grade only

DEFENSE57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$10M	+$9M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.7	$11M	+$10M
2030	Arb-1	$4M	+1.9	$11M	+$9M
2031	Arb-2	$7M	+2.0	$11M	+$7M
2032	Arb-3	$10M	+2.0	$10M	+$5M
Totals		$23M		$56M	+$42M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	19	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	66	53	9	0	1	0	13	21	0	4	2	170	333	208	541	38	281	32	20	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	66	50	12	0	1	0	16	14	0	4	2	240	424	280	704	40	333	21	24	344	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	4 teams	—	621	544	125	19	13	3	62	116	5	54	11	230	314	329	643	99	282	19	10	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	4 teams	—	621	526	139	20	12	5	80	92	5	54	11	264	367	376	743	112	307	15	13	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	AA	PHI	—	236	221	48	9	4	2	12	55	2	12	7	217	264	321	585	104	280	23	5	252	51	-13	-0	+0	-1	+7	-0.8
YTD	21	AA	PHI	—	236	216	53	11	4	2	17	43	2	12	7	245	306	361	667	116	298	18	7	299	87	-3	-0	+0	-1	+7	0.2
ROS	21	AA	PHI	2%	157	142	34	6	3	1	13	33	1	7	3	239	307	344	651	105	299	21	8	290	80	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.0
ROS	21	MLB	PHI	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						301	33	0	285	77	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	AA	PHI	—	239	224	48	9	4	2	12	56	2	12	7	214	261	317	577	103	277	23	5	252	51	-13	-0	+0	-1	+7	-0.8
TOT	21	AA	PHI	—	393	363	82	15	7	3	25	88	3	19	10	226	281	330	611	105	289	22	6	267	63	-17	-0	+0	-2	+11	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	PHI	44%	581	523	129	23	9	8	48	120	5	24	9	247	316	371	687	124	300	21	8	303	90	-6	+1	+0	-3	+16	0.8
2028	23	MLB	PHI	61%	609	548	136	24	9	10	51	124	5	25	9	248	318	380	697	131	300	20	8	312	97	-2	+1	+0	-4	+17	1.4
2029	24	MLB	PHI	66%	627	564	141	25	9	12	53	127	5	26	9	250	320	390	710	140	301	20	8	317	101	+1	+2	+0	-4	+18	1.7
2030	25	MLB	PHI	69%	638	573	144	25	9	13	55	128	5	27	10	251	322	394	717	143	301	20	9	320	103	+2	+1	+1	-4	+18	1.9
2031	26	MLB	PHI	70%	646	580	146	26	9	13	56	130	5	27	10	252	323	395	718	143	301	20	9	321	104	+3	+1	+1	-4	+18	2.0
2032	27	MLB	PHI	69%	640	574	144	25	9	13	56	129	5	27	10	251	323	394	717	143	301	20	9	321	104	+3	+1	+1	-4	+18	2.0
2033	28	MLB	PHI	68%	630	564	142	25	9	13	56	128	5	25	9	252	325	397	722	145	300	20	9	320	103	+2	+1	-0	-4	+18	1.8
2034	29	MLB	PHI	67%	620	554	137	24	8	12	56	127	5	23	8	247	322	384	706	137	299	20	9	318	102	+1	+1	-1	-4	+18	1.6
2035	30	MLB	PHI	66%	609	544	134	23	8	12	55	126	5	20	7	246	321	384	705	138	298	21	9	316	100	-0	+1	-2	-4	+17	1.3
2036	31	MLB	PHI	65%	597	534	130	22	8	11	53	126	5	17	6	243	318	376	694	133	296	21	9	311	96	-2	+1	-2	-4	+17	1.0
2037	32	MLB	PHI	65%	586	524	125	21	8	10	52	126	5	14	5	239	313	366	680	128	293	22	9	306	92	-5	+1	-3	-4	+17	0.6
2027	22	MLB	PHI	44%	256	231	56	10	4	3	21	53	2	11	4	242	311	359	670	117	302	21	8	299	87	-4	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.3
2028	23	MLB	PHI	61%	373	336	83	15	5	6	31	76	3	16	6	247	316	375	691	128	302	20	8	308	94	-3	+1	+0	-2	+11	0.7
2029	24	MLB	PHI	66%	416	375	95	17	6	8	35	84	3	17	6	253	322	395	717	141	303	20	8	313	98	-1	+1	+0	-2	+12	1.0
2030	25	MLB	PHI	69%	439	394	100	18	6	9	38	88	4	18	7	254	326	398	724	145	303	20	9	316	100	-0	+1	+0	-3	+12	1.1
2031	26	MLB	PHI	70%	451	405	103	18	6	10	39	91	4	19	7	254	326	402	728	148	303	20	9	317	101	+0	+1	+0	-3	+13	1.2
2032	27	MLB	PHI	69%	441	395	100	18	6	9	39	89	4	18	7	253	326	397	724	144	303	20	9	317	101	+0	+1	+0	-3	+12	1.2
2033	28	MLB	PHI	68%	431	386	97	17	6	9	38	87	4	17	6	251	325	396	721	145	302	20	9	316	100	+0	+1	-0	-3	+12	1.1
2034	29	MLB	PHI	67%	414	371	93	16	6	8	37	85	3	15	6	251	324	391	714	140	301	21	9	314	99	-1	+1	-1	-2	+12	0.9
2035	30	MLB	PHI	66%	400	358	89	16	5	8	36	83	3	13	5	249	322	388	711	140	300	21	9	311	97	-2	+1	-1	-2	+11	0.7
2036	31	MLB	PHI	65%	389	348	85	15	5	7	35	82	3	11	4	244	319	376	695	132	298	21	9	307	93	-3	+1	-2	-2	+11	0.5
2037	32	MLB	PHI	65%	380	340	82	14	5	7	34	81	3	9	3	241	316	374	689	132	295	21	9	302	89	-5	+1	-2	-2	+11	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4393	3942	983	174	60	84	383	900	36	164	61	249	321	388	709	139	302	20	9	312	97	-16	+8	-3	-26	+124	8.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	145	26	9	12	57	133	5	24	9	249	321	386	707	137	302	20	9	312	97	-2	+1	-1	-4	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	7627	6821	1676	288	112	131	679	1561	61	320	108	246	320	378	698	133	299	20	9	312	97	-26	+21	-5	-46	+216	16.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	144	25	10	11	58	133	5	27	9	248	321	382	703	134	302	20	9	312	97	-2	+2	-0	-4	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	19	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	66	50	12	0	1	0	16	14	0	4	2	240	424	280	704	40	333	21	24	344	122	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	20	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	22	21	4	0	1	0	1	2	0	2	1	190	227	286	513	95	211	9	5	229	33	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	20	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	53	43	12	2	0	0	8	8	1	13	2	279	404	326	729	47	333	15	15	338	117	+1	+2	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	502	423	111	16	11	4	66	75	4	37	7	262	367	381	748	118	306	15	13	335	114	+8	+5	—	—	+14	2.7
2025	20	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	44	39	12	2	0	1	5	7	0	2	1	308	386	436	822	128	355	16	11	370	141	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brett Gardnerlast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,577 PA	13	6,577	139	272	256	341	398	-41	+49	29.8	26.6
	/162	664	14	27	256	341	398	-4.2	+4.9	3.0	pk7: 23
#2Alex Rioslast yr '15 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,929 PA	12	6,929	169	253	277	321	434	-57	+11	25.0	25.4
#2Alex Rioslast yr '15 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,929 PA	/162	664	16	24	277	321	434	-5.5	+1.0	2.4	pk7: 26
#3Eric Byrneslast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,440 PA	8	3,440	106	125	260	321	441	-21	+3	14.9	15.2
	/162	664	20	24	260	321	441	-4.1	+0.6	2.9	pk7: 16
#4Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	4,395	84	165	250	318	389	-26	+21	10.2	9.1
	/162	664	13	25	250	318	389	-4.0	+3.1	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#6Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dante Nori (OGILVIE)	21	37→52	32→38	70→66	57	226/281/330	105	289	3	19	22%	6%	63	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Mallex Smith 2014 · A	21	47→57	37→45	58→65	48	221/294/290	68	289	5	34	24%	8%	65	-0.7	255/319/349	94	335	6	44	23%	8%	90	+1.0	270/333/370	100	351	5	52	23%	8%	97	+1.1
✕Davis Bradshaw 2019 · A	21	52	37→40	59→50	45	244/300/322	78	309	3	20	21%	6%	75	-0.0	224/270/287	63	290	2	11	22%	4%	53	-1.5	270/323/338	69	342	4	10	21%	5%	85	+0.4
✕Adrian Pinto 2023 · A	20	49	41→45	60→65	51	234/321/343	109	284	7	29	19%	8%	91	+1.1	235/310/360	125	296	12	18	23%	8%	91	+1.1	230/307/354	124	286	8	13	21%	9%	82	+0.1
●Maikel Garcia 2022 · A	22	49→59	39→50	58→60	50	232/296/323	91	293	5	22	22%	8%	73	-0.1	247/302/350	103	314	8	27	22%	7%	83	+0.6	263/322/384	122	308	9	27	17%	8%	99	+1.8
●Drew Cumberland 2010 · A	21	52	37→45	56→55	50	245/306/328	83	287	4	17	15%	7%	79	+0.3	268/312/400	132	319	12	18	19%	5%	100	+1.7	315/345/479	164	369	17	25	19%	3%	131	+2.1
●Garin Cecchini 2013 · A	22	54→62	39→45	59→55	44	253/306/345	92	329	5	27	24%	6%	83	+0.6	249/313/349	100	330	6	16	24%	8%	88	+0.9	240/305/335	95	320	7	13	25%	8%	77	+0.1
●Grégor Blanco 2006 · AA	22	49→59	42→45	58→60	47	225/301/338	112	336	8	22	33%	10%	79	+0.3	253/330/329	76	335	3	21	22%	10%	89	+1.0	276/352/384	108	333	6	19	17%	10%	106	+1.6
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2013 · AA	22	52→60	38→40	59→55	45	244/297/332	88	314	4	24	22%	6%	76	+0.0	219/276/301	82	296	5	23	26%	7%	59	-1.1	197/253/264	66	281	5	20	30%	6%	37	-1.3
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	47→53	45→50	55	52	228/311/364	135	289	10	21	23%	10%	92	+1.2	235/322/388	153	305	15	21	26%	10%	102	+1.9	232/325/392	160	298	16	24	26%	10%	101	+1.1
✕Brandon Roberts 2006 · A	21	50→57	39→40	57→55	43	237/288/323	86	296	6	21	22%	5%	70	-0.3	250/296/316	66	310	4	22	20%	5%	72	-0.2	271/325/342	72	323	5	22	17%	5%	88	+0.5
●Ender Inciarte 2013 · A	22	51→61	37→45	57→60	47	238/285/320	82	283	2	22	17%	6%	67	-0.5	256/296/338	82	293	5	27	14%	5%	76	+0.1	295/343/395	101	328	7	19	12%	6%	107	+2.3
●Sal Frelick 2022 · A	22	52→59	40→45	56→55	48	247/307/344	98	310	7	17	22%	8%	84	+0.6	263/324/374	111	306	8	19	16%	8%	98	+1.6	266/334/365	99	304	8	20	14%	8%	99	+1.4
✕Carlos Mendoza 2022 · A	22	53→56	37→40	56→55	57	245/341/322	77	298	3	18	17%	11%	94	+1.3	235/338/307	72	307	3	14	22%	12%	89	+0.9	245/334/339	93	298	8	19	19%	9%	92	+0.8
✕Masyn Winn 2023 · AA	21	47→54	44→50	61→55	44	226/282/354	129	300	9	28	27%	7%	76	+0.1	240/293/376	136	286	14	16	21%	7%	86	+0.8	254/312/374	120	299	11	11	18%	7%	92	+1.0
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	55	219/317/294	75	290	3	19	23%	11%	77	+0.1	188/270/271	83	290	6	10	34%	10%	50	-1.7	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2016 · A	20	49	39→45	60→65	52	227/313/330	103	311	4	16	26%	10%	83	+0.6	207/274/300	93	331	6	26	36%	7%	59	-1.1	227/303/343	115	312	13	52	29%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2011 · AA	21	47→57	39→45	58→60	49	225/283/310	85	269	6	29	18%	7%	65	-0.7	254/297/354	100	294	8	19	16%	6%	82	+0.5	267/306/366	100	305	8	16	15%	5%	85	+0.5
●Andrés Giménez 2020 · AA	21	47→57	42→50	53→55	40	229/283/342	113	293	8	24	24%	5%	73	-0.1	247/306/388	141	310	14	23	24%	5%	95	+1.4	261/326/416	155	313	17	25	21%	5%	108	+2.0
●Dee Strange-Gordon 2010 · A	22	55→65	37→40	60→65	42	257/297/336	79	317	3	30	20%	4%	76	+0.1	254/291/320	66	313	2	40	18%	4%	69	-0.4	313/345/388	75	364	3	52	14%	4%	106	+2.1
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→50	58→60	54	209/313/325	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	83	+0.6	220/319/358	138	276	15	33	24%	11%	94	+1.3	216/315/358	142	266	16	40	24%	11%	89	+1.0