Dante Nori
OF Reading Fightin Phils| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | APHI | 66 | .240/.424/.280 | 0 | 4 | 70 | — | .204/.348/.241 |
| 2025 | 20 | AA/A+/A/INTL2 orgs | 621 | .264/.367/.376 | 5 | 54 | 82 | — | .232/.310/.328 |
| 2026 | 21 | AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 368 | .225/.313/.332 | 3 | 19 | 68 | — | .228/.286/.322 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBPHI | 4 | .248/.311/.347 | 0 | 0 | 86 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ35% MLB | 23 | MLBPHI | 166 | .253/.317/.369 | 2 | 7 | 93 | 0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ47% MLB | 24 | MLBPHI | 242 | .256/.321/.383 | 4 | 10 | 97 | 0.5 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 66 | 50 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 240 | 424 | 280 | 704 | 40 | 333 | 21 | 24 | 344 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 22 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 190 | 227 | 286 | 513 | 95 | 211 | 9 | 5 | 229 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 53 | 43 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 279 | 404 | 326 | 729 | 47 | 333 | 15 | 15 | 338 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 502 | 423 | 111 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 66 | 75 | 4 | 37 | 7 | 262 | 367 | 381 | 748 | 118 | 306 | 15 | 13 | 335 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 44 | 39 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 308 | 386 | 436 | 822 | 128 | 355 | 16 | 11 | 370 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 306 | 275 | 67 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 50 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 244 | 318 | 360 | 678 | 116 | 288 | 16 | 9 | 306 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 17 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 176 | 125 | 301 | 143 | 12 | 6 | 148 | -37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 21 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 45 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 118 | 333 | 206 | 539 | 88 | 160 | 20 | 24 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 66 | 54 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 204 | 348 | 241 | 589 | 37 | 301 | 29 | 18 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 22 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 190 | 227 | 286 | 513 | 95 | 221 | 9 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 53 | 46 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 261 | 346 | 304 | 651 | 43 | 299 | 19 | 9 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 502 | 442 | 102 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 47 | 96 | 4 | 37 | 7 | 231 | 310 | 333 | 643 | 102 | 278 | 19 | 9 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 306 | 282 | 66 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 61 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 234 | 292 | 333 | 625 | 99 | 291 | 20 | 7 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 17 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 176 | 125 | 301 | 126 | 18 | 6 | 114 | -37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 66 | 54 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 204 | 348 | 241 | 589 | 37 | 314 | 29 | 18 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A RAW | Clearwater Threshers | — | 66 | 50 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 240 | 424 | 280 | 704 | 40 | 333 | 21 | 24 | 344 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 4 teams | — | 621 | 550 | 127 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 56 | 117 | 5 | 54 | 11 | 231 | 308 | 325 | 633 | 95 | 284 | 19 | 9 | 283 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A RAW | 4 teams | — | 621 | 526 | 139 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 80 | 92 | 5 | 54 | 11 | 264 | 367 | 376 | 743 | 112 | 307 | 15 | 13 | 334 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 368 | 341 | 78 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 72 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 229 | 283 | 328 | 612 | 100 | 282 | 20 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 368 | 325 | 73 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 61 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 225 | 313 | 332 | 646 | 108 | 268 | 17 | 11 | 295 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 66 | 54 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 204 | 348 | 241 | 589 | 37 | 301 | 29 | 18 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 4 teams | — | 621 | 555 | 127 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 56 | 117 | 5 | 54 | 11 | 229 | 308 | 323 | 630 | 94 | 278 | 19 | 9 | 283 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 368 | 339 | 78 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 72 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 230 | 283 | 330 | 614 | 100 | 282 | 20 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 66 | 54 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 204 | 348 | 241 | 589 | 37 | 301 | 29 | 18 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 4 teams | — | 621 | 555 | 127 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 56 | 117 | 5 | 54 | 11 | 229 | 308 | 323 | 630 | 94 | 278 | 19 | 9 | 283 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 368 | 339 | 78 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 72 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 230 | 283 | 330 | 614 | 100 | 282 | 20 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | PHI | 2% | 433 | 394 | 97 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 80 | 3 | 18 | 5 | 248 | 310 | 346 | 656 | 98 | 301 | 18 | 8 | 295 | 86 | -7 | +2 | +1 | -3 | +9 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB CTX | PHI | 2% | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 311 | 347 | 658 | 99 | 301 | 25 | 0 | 296 | 86 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | PHI | 35% | 473 | 430 | 108 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 87 | 3 | 20 | 6 | 252 | 316 | 366 | 682 | 114 | 301 | 18 | 8 | 305 | 93 | -4 | +2 | +1 | -3 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | PHI | 47% | 521 | 471 | 120 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 95 | 4 | 22 | 7 | 255 | 320 | 379 | 699 | 124 | 302 | 18 | 8 | 312 | 97 | -2 | +2 | +1 | -3 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | PHI | 52% | 555 | 502 | 129 | 22 | 8 | 9 | 44 | 102 | 4 | 23 | 7 | 256 | 322 | 386 | 707 | 130 | 302 | 18 | 8 | 315 | 100 | -0 | +2 | +1 | -3 | +12 | 1.2 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | PHI | 54% | 580 | 524 | 135 | 23 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 108 | 4 | 24 | 7 | 256 | 322 | 388 | 710 | 133 | 301 | 19 | 8 | 316 | 100 | +0 | +2 | +2 | -3 | +13 | 1.3 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | PHI | 54% | 599 | 541 | 138 | 24 | 8 | 11 | 49 | 113 | 4 | 24 | 7 | 254 | 321 | 387 | 708 | 133 | 300 | 19 | 8 | 315 | 100 | -0 | +2 | +2 | -4 | +13 | 1.3 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | PHI | 54% | 594 | 537 | 135 | 23 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 114 | 4 | 21 | 7 | 252 | 319 | 382 | 701 | 130 | 299 | 19 | 8 | 313 | 98 | -2 | +1 | +1 | -4 | +13 | 1.0 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | PHI | 53% | 580 | 524 | 131 | 22 | 7 | 10 | 47 | 113 | 4 | 18 | 6 | 250 | 316 | 376 | 692 | 126 | 298 | 19 | 8 | 309 | 95 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +13 | 0.7 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB MLE | PHI | 52% | 564 | 510 | 126 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 45 | 111 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 247 | 312 | 368 | 680 | 121 | 296 | 20 | 8 | 304 | 92 | -5 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB MLE | PHI | 52% | 379 | 344 | 83 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 76 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 242 | 307 | 358 | 665 | 116 | 293 | 20 | 8 | 298 | 88 | -5 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | PHI | 35% | 166 | 151 | 37 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 253 | 317 | 369 | 686 | 116 | 302 | 18 | 8 | 307 | 93 | -1 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | PHI | 47% | 242 | 219 | 56 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 44 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 256 | 321 | 383 | 704 | 126 | 302 | 18 | 8 | 314 | 97 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -1 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | PHI | 52% | 288 | 261 | 67 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 53 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 257 | 323 | 390 | 713 | 133 | 302 | 18 | 8 | 318 | 100 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | PHI | 54% | 315 | 285 | 73 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 59 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 257 | 323 | 393 | 716 | 136 | 301 | 19 | 8 | 319 | 100 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +7 | 0.7 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | PHI | 54% | 325 | 294 | 74 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 61 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 256 | 322 | 392 | 714 | 136 | 301 | 19 | 8 | 318 | 100 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +7 | 0.7 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | PHI | 54% | 322 | 291 | 73 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 62 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 254 | 320 | 387 | 707 | 133 | 300 | 19 | 8 | 315 | 98 | -1 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | PHI | 53% | 308 | 278 | 71 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 60 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 251 | 317 | 380 | 697 | 129 | 298 | 19 | 8 | 311 | 95 | -2 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB CTX | PHI | 52% | 296 | 268 | 67 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 58 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 248 | 313 | 372 | 685 | 124 | 297 | 20 | 8 | 306 | 92 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB CTX | PHI | 52% | 197 | 178 | 43 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 40 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 244 | 308 | 362 | 670 | 118 | 294 | 20 | 8 | 300 | 88 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +4 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2459 | 2225 | 561 | 92 | 31 | 43 | 197 | 467 | 16 | 85 | 28 | 252 | 317 | 379 | 697 | 127 | 300 | 19 | 8 | 313 | 92 | -11 | +6 | +3 | -15 | +53 | 3.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 588 | 147 | 24 | 8 | 11 | 52 | 123 | 4 | 22 | 7 | 250 | 315 | 374 | 689 | 124 | 298 | 19 | 8 | 313 | 92 | -3 | +2 | +1 | -4 | +14 | 1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 6110 | 5519 | 1368 | 225 | 86 | 88 | 496 | 1166 | 41 | 258 | 79 | 248 | 315 | 368 | 682 | 120 | 298 | 19 | 8 | 304 | 92 | -25 | +13 | +6 | -30 | +110 | 7.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 145 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 53 | 124 | 4 | 27 | 8 | 247 | 314 | 365 | 678 | 118 | 297 | 19 | 8 | 304 | 92 | -3 | +2 | +1 | -4 | +14 | 1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAReading Fightin Phils · 306 PAwOBA .298 → .276 (−23)K% 16.3% → 19.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.34% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 6.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.025 | ×1.042 | 21.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×1.025 | ×1.042 | 5.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×1.025 | ×1.042 | 2.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 1.08% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .298 → .276; ISO .116 → .106; BABIP .288 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 17 PAwOBA .144 → .114 (−30)K% 11.8% → 15.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 15.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 3.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 12.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .144 → .114; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .143 → .126. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AClearwater Threshers · 502 PAwOBA .331 → .286 (−45)K% 14.9% → 19.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.94% | ÷1.065 | ×1.360 | — | — | 19.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.15% | ÷0.975 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 9.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.80% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.99% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×1.003 | ×1.015 | 20.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.60% | ÷0.975 | ×0.830 | ×1.003 | ×1.015 | 3.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.16% | ÷0.923 | ×0.910 | ×1.003 | ×1.015 | 3.17% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.15% | ÷1.083 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.86% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 85, K 113, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .331 → .286; ISO .118 → .109; BABIP .306 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 53 PAwOBA .337 → .275 (−62)K% 15.1% → 19.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.09% | ÷1.002 | ×1.310 | — | — | 19.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.09% | ÷1.093 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 8.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.89% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 1.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷0.966 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 26.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.073 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 4.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.045 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 93, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 100, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .337 → .275; ISO .047 → .037; BABIP .333 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAReading Fightin Phils · 22 PAwOBA .223 → .222 (0)K% 9.1% → 10.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.016 | ×1.220 | — | — | 10.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.55% | ÷0.982 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 3.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.79% | ÷0.968 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 16.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.004 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.959 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.050 | 5.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.036 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 94, 2B 101, 3B 92, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .223 → .222; ISO .095 → .098; BABIP .211 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AClearwater Threshers · 66 PAwOBA .338 → .271 (−67)K% 21.2% → 29.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.21% | ÷0.982 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 24.24% | ÷0.973 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 17.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.56% | ÷1.042 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.030 | 27.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.938 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.132 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.030 | 2.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.115 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 108, 2B 88, 3B 126, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .338 → .271; ISO .040 → .032; BABIP .333 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .