JD Dix — OGILVIE

JD DixSS Visalia Rawhide

Age 20 S/R 6'2" / 180 lbs A HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.9 · 2032

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .297 / .339

PA320

HR7

SB15

K%28

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

31↗51

PWR

35↗49

SPD

58↗59

FLD

40↗50

EYE

55↗58

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.2peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.8	$26M	+$25M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.9	$28M	+$27M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.9	$29M	+$28M
2034	Arb-1	$6M	+2.8	$28M	+$23M
2035	Arb-2	$9M	+2.5	$26M	+$17M
2036	Arb-3	$11M	+2.3	$25M	+$13M
Totals		$29M		$161M	+$133M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	A	2 teams	408	357	77	14	5	2	41	123	6	28	8	.216	.307	.300	.607	.084	.318	30	10	.268	63	-17	+2	+0	+4	+12	0.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	76	68	11	1	1	2	6	25	1	7	0	.162	.240	.294	.534	.132	.214	33	8	.226	31	-6	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
ROS	20	MLB	ARI	244	217	46	8	2	5	22	70	3	8	1	.212	.293	.336	.630	.124	.281	29	9	.282	74	-7	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.2
TOT	20	MLB	ARI	320	285	57	9	3	7	28	95	4	15	1	.200	.281	.326	.607	.126	.270	30	9	.269	64	-13	+3	-1	+3	+9	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	ARI	475	420	93	17	3	11	46	119	6	15	2	.221	.307	.355	.662	.133	.277	25	10	.298	86	-7	+2	-2	+5	+13	1.1
2028	22	MLB 28%	ARI	538	473	107	19	4	14	54	131	6	16	2	.226	.313	.372	.685	.146	.280	24	10	.309	94	-3	+2	-3	+6	+15	1.8
2029	23	MLB 48%	ARI	579	508	118	21	4	17	59	137	7	16	2	.232	.321	.390	.710	.157	.281	24	10	.316	100	-0	+2	-3	+6	+16	2.2
2030	24	MLB 62%	ARI	606	530	124	22	4	18	64	141	7	16	2	.234	.324	.392	.717	.158	.281	23	11	.320	103	+2	+2	-3	+6	+17	2.6
2031	25	MLB 80%	ARI	621	542	128	23	4	19	67	144	7	16	2	.236	.328	.399	.726	.162	.282	23	11	.323	105	+4	+2	-3	+7	+18	2.8
2032	26	MLB 94%	ARI	628	547	129	23	4	19	68	145	8	16	2	.236	.329	.397	.726	.161	.283	23	11	.325	107	+5	+2	-3	+7	+18	2.9
2033	27	MLB	ARI	627	545	128	23	4	19	69	146	8	15	2	.235	.330	.396	.726	.161	.283	23	11	.325	107	+5	+2	-3	+7	+18	2.9
2034	28	MLB	ARI	622	541	126	22	4	19	69	146	7	15	1	.233	.327	.394	.721	.161	.282	23	11	.324	106	+4	+3	-4	+7	+18	2.8
2035	29	MLB	ARI	612	532	123	22	4	18	68	145	7	14	1	.231	.326	.389	.715	.158	.281	24	11	.322	104	+3	+2	-4	+7	+17	2.5
2036	30	MLB	ARI	601	522	120	21	4	18	67	145	7	13	0	.230	.326	.389	.714	.159	.280	24	11	.319	102	+1	+3	-5	+6	+17	2.3
2037	31	MLB	ARI	587	510	115	20	3	17	65	144	7	12	0	.225	.321	.376	.698	.151	.279	25	11	.315	99	-0	+2	-6	+6	+17	1.9
2038	32	MLB	ARI	568	494	110	19	3	16	63	142	6	11	0	.223	.318	.370	.688	.148	.277	25	11	.310	96	-3	+2	-6	+6	+16	1.6
2039	33	MLB	ARI	538	468	103	18	3	14	59	138	6	10	0	.220	.315	.361	.676	.141	.276	26	11	.305	92	-5	+2	-7	+6	+15	1.1
2040	34	MLB	ARI	491	429	91	15	3	12	54	130	5	9	0	.212	.307	.345	.652	.133	.274	26	11	.299	87	-7	+2	-7	+5	+14	0.6
2041	35	MLB	ARI	435	380	78	13	2	10	47	120	5	9	0	.205	.301	.329	.630	.124	.272	28	11	.291	81	-9	+2	-8	+5	+12	0.2
2042	36	MLB	ARI	374	327	66	11	2	8	40	107	4	8	0	.202	.296	.321	.618	.119	.269	29	11	.282	74	-11	+2	-8	+4	+11	-0.3
2043	37	MLB	ARI	309	270	52	8	2	6	33	91	3	6	0	.193	.288	.304	.591	.111	.266	29	11	.273	67	-12	+1	-9	+3	+9	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9863	8612	1934	339	64	262	1055	2464	115	253	25	.225	.317	.370	.687	.145	.282	25	11	.309	95	-59	+41	-86	+106	+279	28.7
/ 162G	—			650	568	127	22	4	17	70	162	8	17	2	.224	.318	.366	.684	.143	.281	25	11	.309	95	-4	+3	-6	+7	+18	1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	A	Visalia Rawhide	230	188	49	7	2	1	38	51	3	19	4	.261	.393	.335	.728	.074	.350	22	17	.340	119	+5	+2	—	—	+7	1.4
2025	19	ROK	ACL D-backs	178	152	52	12	4	1	20	34	3	9	4	.342	.429	.493	.922	.151	.425	19	11	.403	167	+13	+0	—	—	+5	1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
JD Dix (OGILVIE)	20	31→51	35→49	58→59	58	.217/.297/.339	.122	.292	7	7	28%	9%	80	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	45→48	42→50	49→45	46	.222/.285/.324	.103	.281	10	12	24%	7%	70	-0.3	.230/.313/.368	.138	.279	13	9	21%	10%	94	+1.3	.226/.311/.371	.145	.266	15	9	20%	10%	91	+1.0
●Colby Rasmus 2007 · A	20	45→55	46→60	54→50	42	.223/.277/.357	.134	.288	13	15	27%	6%	75	-0.0	.225/.291/.388	.163	.272	19	14	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.237/.305/.454	.217	.309	28	3	32%	8%	109	+1.8
✕Jasson Domínguez 2023 · AA	20	43→53	46→50	56→60	43	.209/.282/.339	.129	.315	13	19	36%	8%	73	-0.1	.236/.308/.376	.140	.328	16	27	30%	9%	93	+1.3	.249/.323/.390	.141	.333	16	33	28%	10%	99	+1.2
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	46→52	45→50	55	51	.224/.304/.359	.135	.280	11	21	23%	9%	87	+0.8	.231/.318/.378	.147	.301	14	21	26%	10%	98	+1.6	.227/.321/.379	.152	.295	16	24	26%	10%	96	+0.9
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	43→42	45→40	53→65	45	.213/.281/.336	.123	.279	13	11	28%	8%	72	-0.2	.194/.288/.298	.104	.270	9	21	29%	10%	66	-0.6	.165/.260/.259	.093	.238	9	30	32%	10%	44	-1.1
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	46→50	53→55	45	.189/.278/.319	.129	.289	14	15	37%	10%	67	-0.5	.210/.289/.331	.121	.326	12	16	36%	9%	74	-0.1	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Alen Hanson 2013 · A	20	48→51	46→50	56→60	44	.234/.285/.374	.140	.288	11	20	23%	6%	82	+0.5	.234/.275/.365	.131	.295	10	21	23%	5%	76	+0.0	.248/.284/.386	.138	.297	12	30	20%	4%	81	+0.3
●Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	55→65	53	.217/.311/.293	.076	.288	3	19	24%	10%	74	-0.1	.194/.278/.275	.081	.289	5	10	31%	10%	55	-1.4	.238/.354/.331	.093	.320	9	44	25%	14%	100	+1.2
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	42→51	43→55	56→55	48	.206/.282/.325	.120	.283	9	13	29%	9%	69	-0.4	.212/.283/.340	.128	.306	11	16	32%	9%	73	-0.1	.232/.314/.375	.143	.300	15	24	26%	11%	91	+0.8
●Addison Russell 2014 · A	20	48→52	49→55	58→50	45	.235/.304/.393	.158	.314	14	16	29%	8%	96	+1.5	.241/.304/.403	.162	.308	17	10	26%	7%	98	+1.6	.241/.312/.408	.167	.299	18	5	25%	8%	96	+1.3
●Royce Lewis 2019 · A	20	48→49	43→60	53→50	45	.233/.286/.344	.111	.281	10	17	21%	6%	76	+0.0	.207/.254/.310	.103	.281	9	15	28%	5%	53	-1.5	.261/.323/.483	.222	.300	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
●Luis Rengifo 2018 · A	21	45→55	41→50	53→55	43	.219/.269/.323	.104	.273	8	21	23%	6%	62	-0.9	.234/.301/.352	.118	.290	9	19	21%	8%	84	+0.6	.267/.318/.414	.147	.301	17	16	17%	6%	105	+1.6
✕Abraham Almonte 2008 · A	19	42→52	43→55	50→55	50	.207/.281/.314	.108	.268	10	19	26%	9%	66	-0.6	.206/.254/.302	.096	.271	7	19	26%	6%	50	-1.7	.232/.330/.424	.192	.279	22	11	24%	12%	111	+1.5
✕Dalton Pompey 2014 · A	21	44→54	40→45	57→55	46	.212/.280/.309	.097	.289	6	21	28%	8%	63	-0.8	.250/.309/.355	.105	.324	7	26	23%	7%	87	+0.8	.260/.318/.360	.100	.329	7	29	22%	7%	88	+0.8
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	.214/.294/.340	.125	.274	14	15	26%	8%	79	+0.3	.220/.281/.362	.142	.292	16	13	29%	7%	79	+0.3	.205/.253/.387	.182	.264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Brainer Bonaci 2023 · A	21	44→45	40→45	55→50	50	.208/.290/.307	.098	.287	7	16	28%	10%	68	-0.5	.222/.281/.341	.119	.304	12	11	29%	7%	72	-0.2	.227/.267/.356	.130	.303	16	8	30%	5%	67	-0.3
●Colin Walsh 2011 · A	21	45→53	41→45	52→50	52	.215/.295/.312	.097	.270	8	10	22%	9%	72	-0.2	.225/.300/.348	.123	.272	11	8	20%	9%	82	+0.5	.212/.320/.332	.121	.306	11	7	31%	13%	85	+0.5
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45	41→55	55	43	.216/.285/.315	.099	.290	7	13	27%	7%	68	-0.5	.204/.313/.323	.119	.295	10	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	.202/.308/.336	.135	.284	11	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
●Aaron Hicks 2010 · A	20	46→56	41→60	49→55	49	.223/.289/.330	.107	.285	8	12	24%	8%	72	-0.2	.224/.302/.340	.116	.311	8	14	28%	10%	81	+0.4	.247/.358/.450	.204	.280	25	11	21%	14%	127	+2.4
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)