JD Dix — OGILVIE

JD Dix2B Hillsboro Hops

Age 20 S/R 6'2" / 180 lbs A+ HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION486 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP297

ISO91

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 51 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT51

scouting grade only

POWER49

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$7M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$8M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	19	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	230	188	49	7	2	1	38	51	3	19	4	261	393	335	728	74	350	22	17	340	117	+5	+2	—	—	+5	1.2
2025	19	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	178	152	52	12	4	1	20	34	3	9	4	342	429	493	922	151	425	19	11	403	159	+13	+0	—	—	+4	1.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	19	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	230	199	41	5	2	1	27	69	3	19	4	206	310	266	576	60	300	30	12	259	61	-11	+2	—	—	+5	-0.3
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	178	159	37	8	3	1	13	51	3	9	4	233	303	340	642	107	317	29	7	279	75	-5	+0	—	—	+4	-0.1
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	408	358	77	14	4	2	40	121	6	28	8	215	304	293	598	78	314	30	10	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	408	340	101	19	6	2	58	85	6	28	8	297	408	406	814	109	385	21	14	368	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	408	359	77	14	4	2	40	121	6	28	8	214	304	292	597	78	307	30	10	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	408	359	77	14	4	2	40	121	6	28	8	214	304	292	597	78	307	30	10	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A+ MLE	ARI	—	486	432	84	16	4	10	39	170	9	36	5	194	275	319	594	125	289	35	8	263	64	-21	+5	+0	+2	+11	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A RAW	ARI	—	235	190	48	10	2	9	32	53	8	19	1	253	383	468	851	216	298	23	14	372	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A+ RAW	ARI	—	251	223	56	12	3	3	26	71	1	17	4	251	332	372	704	121	353	28	10	318	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A+ MLE	ARI	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		290	33	11	266	66	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	A+ MLE	ARI	—	495	440	85	16	4	10	40	173	9	36	5	193	274	316	590	123	287	35	8	263	64	-21	+5	-0	+2	+11	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ARI	35%	502	446	92	17	4	10	44	161	7	17	3	206	288	330	617	123	292	32	9	278	74	-15	+2	-2	+2	+11	-0.2
2028	22	MLB MLE	ARI	49%	556	494	105	20	4	13	49	171	8	18	3	213	294	348	642	136	293	31	9	290	83	-12	+2	-2	+2	+12	0.3
2029	23	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	591	525	115	21	4	16	53	177	8	17	3	219	300	366	666	147	294	30	9	298	88	-9	+2	-2	+2	+13	0.7
2030	24	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	614	546	120	22	4	17	55	181	8	17	3	220	300	368	669	148	294	29	9	302	91	-7	+2	-2	+2	+13	0.9
2031	25	MLB MLE	ARI	56%	626	555	124	23	5	18	57	184	9	17	3	223	306	380	686	157	294	29	9	305	92	-6	+2	-2	+2	+14	1.0
2032	26	MLB MLE	ARI	56%	631	559	125	23	5	18	58	185	9	17	3	224	307	379	686	156	294	29	9	305	93	-5	+2	-2	+2	+14	1.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	629	557	123	23	4	18	58	185	9	16	3	221	304	373	678	153	294	29	9	306	93	-5	+2	-2	+2	+14	1.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	623	551	121	22	4	18	58	184	9	15	3	220	304	372	676	152	294	30	9	305	92	-6	+2	-3	+2	+13	0.9
2035	29	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	613	542	119	22	4	17	58	182	8	14	3	220	304	369	673	149	293	30	9	303	91	-6	+2	-3	+2	+13	0.7
2036	30	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	602	532	116	21	4	17	57	181	8	13	2	218	303	368	672	150	292	30	9	300	89	-8	+2	-4	+2	+13	0.5
2037	31	MLB MLE	ARI	52%	587	519	112	20	4	16	55	178	8	12	2	216	301	362	663	146	290	30	9	297	87	-9	+2	-5	+2	+13	0.3
2038	32	MLB MLE	ARI	56%	568	503	107	19	4	15	53	174	7	11	2	213	297	356	652	143	287	31	9	291	83	-11	+1	-5	+2	+12	-0.1
2039	33	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	539	477	97	17	3	13	50	168	7	9	2	203	288	333	622	130	283	31	9	285	79	-14	+1	-6	+2	+12	-0.5
2040	34	MLB MLE	ARI	50%	491	436	87	15	3	11	46	156	6	8	1	200	285	323	608	124	277	32	9	277	73	-16	+1	-7	+2	+11	-0.9
2027	21	MLB CTX	ARI	35%	174	155	32	6	2	3	15	56	2	6	1	206	285	329	614	123	299	32	9	271	74	-5	+1	-1	+1	+4	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	ARI	49%	270	240	51	10	2	6	24	83	4	9	2	212	295	346	641	133	300	31	9	283	83	-6	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	321	285	63	12	3	8	29	96	4	9	2	221	302	368	670	147	300	30	9	290	88	-5	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.3
2030	24	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	340	301	68	13	3	9	31	100	5	10	2	226	309	379	687	153	301	29	9	295	91	-4	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.5
2031	25	MLB CTX	ARI	56%	351	311	70	14	3	9	32	103	5	9	2	225	307	376	684	151	301	29	9	297	92	-3	+1	-1	+1	+8	0.6
2032	26	MLB CTX	ARI	56%	355	315	72	14	3	10	32	104	5	9	2	229	310	387	697	159	301	29	9	298	93	-3	+1	-1	+1	+8	0.6
2033	27	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	348	308	69	13	3	9	32	102	5	9	2	224	307	373	681	149	301	29	9	298	93	-3	+1	-1	+1	+8	0.6
2034	28	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	342	302	68	13	3	9	32	101	5	8	1	225	310	377	687	152	300	30	9	297	92	-3	+1	-2	+1	+7	0.5
2035	29	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	327	289	65	12	3	9	31	97	4	8	1	225	309	381	689	156	300	30	9	295	91	-3	+1	-2	+1	+7	0.4
2036	30	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	317	280	61	12	2	8	30	95	4	7	1	218	303	361	663	143	299	30	9	293	89	-4	+1	-2	+1	+7	0.3
2037	31	MLB CTX	ARI	52%	306	270	59	11	2	8	29	93	4	6	1	219	304	363	667	144	296	30	9	289	87	-5	+1	-2	+1	+7	0.1
2038	32	MLB CTX	ARI	56%	319	282	60	11	2	8	30	98	4	6	1	213	297	351	649	138	293	31	9	284	83	-6	+1	-3	+1	+7	-0.0
2039	33	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	292	259	54	10	2	7	27	91	4	5	1	208	293	344	637	135	289	31	9	278	79	-7	+1	-3	+1	+6	-0.3
2040	34	MLB CTX	ARI	50%	244	216	44	8	2	5	23	78	3	4	1	204	289	329	618	125	283	32	9	269	73	-8	+0	-3	+1	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4306	3813	836	159	35	108	397	1297	58	105	20	219	302	364	667	145	299	30	9	290	86	-65	+13	-25	+15	+93	3.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	126	24	5	16	60	196	9	16	3	219	303	361	664	142	299	30	9	290	86	-10	+2	-4	+2	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	8589	7608	1641	299	60	219	792	2591	117	229	44	216	299	357	657	141	294	30	9	295	86	-128	+26	-46	+29	+177	5.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	125	23	5	17	60	196	9	17	3	217	301	363	664	146	295	30	9	295	86	-10	+2	-4	+2	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#3Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	6.5	4,307	115	105	217	297	363	+44	+0	11.0	9.4
/162	664	18	16	+6.8	+0.0	1.7	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
JD Dix (OGILVIE)	20	31→51	35→49	58→59	58	195/276/301	106	290	5	18	33%	9%	66	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	40→50	40→45	55	44	197/265/289	92	278	8	16	30%	8%	58	-1.7	238/299/342	104	319	7	24	25%	8%	82	+0.0	258/316/357	98	327	7	29	22%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	40→49	38→45	59→55	46	192/267/282	90	275	4	17	30%	8%	57	-1.8	216/291/301	85	288	6	17	25%	9%	70	-0.8	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Leo Rivas 2019 · A	21	43→53	37→40	52→65	50	198/286/272	74	292	4	13	31%	10%	63	-1.4	198/277/283	85	297	6	10	32%	9%	61	-1.5	241/356/333	92	321	9	44	24%	14%	102	+1.0
✕Jonatan Clase 2022 · A	20	44→46	40→50	59→65	45	210/283/306	96	307	7	26	32%	8%	69	-0.9	205/280/349	144	302	15	39	34%	9%	78	-0.3	202/277/349	146	289	15	47	33%	8%	74	-0.5
✕Lucius Fox 2017 · A	20	40→49	38→40	55→60	43	193/256/270	77	275	5	20	30%	7%	50	-2.3	211/278/280	69	305	4	22	30%	7%	60	-1.6	189/252/269	80	275	7	24	32%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	42→52	43→50	56→55	47	203/279/323	120	288	8	13	30%	9%	71	-0.8	213/282/343	130	314	11	16	33%	9%	76	-0.4	236/319/383	147	308	15	24	26%	11%	96	+0.7
✕Blake Perkins 2018 · A	21	44→51	40→50	51→55	44	213/273/305	91	288	7	15	28%	7%	64	-1.3	202/271/287	85	292	7	17	31%	8%	59	-1.6	226/309/352	126	299	12	25	27%	10%	87	+0.3
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	38→48	41→45	54→65	45	190/253/296	106	249	8	22	26%	7%	55	-1.9	192/267/308	116	292	10	25	35%	8%	63	-1.3	235/311/365	130	323	13	46	29%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Abraham Almonte 2009 · A	20	40→50	41→55	53→55	44	197/254/300	103	259	9	18	27%	7%	56	-1.9	228/273/323	95	302	6	20	25%	6%	68	-1.0	228/326/410	182	278	20	11	24%	12%	106	+1.0
✕Derek Hill 2016 · A	20	42→52	37→55	58→60	44	202/257/277	75	271	4	24	26%	6%	51	-2.2	202/252/275	73	314	3	27	34%	6%	49	-2.4	242/294/410	167	331	20	27	32%	6%	94	+0.4
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	40→44	39→45	53→50	43	195/254/284	89	269	5	13	28%	7%	53	-2.1	216/286/322	106	302	9	13	29%	9%	74	-0.6	216/290/325	109	297	11	14	29%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Luis Rengifo 2017 · A	20	45→55	37→55	56→55	45	212/270/294	82	276	4	21	24%	6%	61	-1.5	229/288/342	113	288	8	20	22%	7%	78	-0.3	271/321/427	157	304	18	16	17%	6%	109	+1.5
✕Adalberto Mondesi 2015 · A	20	40→50	40→60	54→65	34	197/229/289	92	281	7	14	32%	4%	43	-2.8	210/242/330	120	295	11	25	32%	4%	57	-1.8	254/287/434	180	335	19	58	29%	4%	98	+0.7
✕Angel Genao 2023 · A	19	45→55	37→45	51→50	46	211/284/282	71	293	4	12	28%	8%	63	-1.3	242/292/348	106	310	7	11	23%	6%	80	-0.1	262/318/385	123	318	10	13	20%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Sam McWilliams 2019 · A	21	46→52	39→50	54→50	43	214/280/307	92	310	5	15	31%	7%	68	-1.0	212/272/316	104	331	8	9	36%	7%	66	-1.1	238/303/391	153	379	16	10	38%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Roman Quinn 2014 · A	21	43→53	42→45	56→65	41	213/270/315	102	287	10	26	29%	6%	65	-1.2	239/297/338	99	321	8	33	26%	7%	80	-0.1	245/301/378	133	333	11	48	28%	7%	89	+0.2
●Trent Grisham 2018 · A	21	40→49	40→60	55	47	189/275/281	92	290	6	20	34%	10%	61	-1.5	216/301/356	140	285	15	15	28%	10%	87	+0.4	240/327/432	192	284	22	14	23%	10%	111	+1.7
✕Taylor Trammell 2018 · A	20	45→46	41→55	57→55	43	217/275/321	104	306	8	21	30%	7%	69	-0.9	208/280/300	92	300	8	18	31%	9%	66	-1.1	203/297/373	170	273	21	23	32%	11%	88	+0.3
●Danny Santana 2011 · A	20	42→52	39→55	54→55	35	204/238/296	92	280	6	15	29%	4%	48	-2.5	226/262/320	94	303	6	16	26%	4%	62	-1.4	240/285/441	201	301	25	22	29%	5%	97	+0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps