Bernard Moon

SS Daytona Tortugas
Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 186 lbs A HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2423ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202419ROKCIN197.304/.426/.4102670—.220/.328/.280
202520ACIN451.236/.326/.36771759—.202/.278/.300
202621ACIN435.253/.364/.413101074—.212/.300/.336
2027PROJMLE22MLBCIN545.186/.266/.2888958-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB23MLBCIN139.194/.274/.3103264-0.1
2029PROJ46% MLB24MLBCIN209.199/.279/.3214369-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Whiff%63
Z-Con%58
K%57
BB%47
Speed42
Max EV38
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.4, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 92%
CompsAaron McKeithan (age 22) · Glenn Santiago (age 22) · Steven Baron (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .264 / .285
PA210
HR3
K%27
BB%7
ISO101
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -10.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Arb-1$0.2M———
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202318 ROKACL Reds — 2825 9110 380 51 360429480909 120529 2911 405 66 — — — — — —
202419 ROKACL Reds — 197161 49912 185016 66 304426410836 106427 259 381 70 — — — — — —
202520 ADaytona Tortugas — 451390 922437 399013 179 236326367692 131285 209 309 59 — — — — — —
202621 ADaytona Tortugas — 435363 9228010 529711 106 253364413777 160314 2212 345 74 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202318 ROK MLEACL Reds — 2826 7110 2110 51 269321385706 115423 397 266 66 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEACL Reds — 197168 37511 117316 66 220328280608 60359 376 271 70 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 451400 811835 2912113 179 203278300578 97263 276 256 59 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 435378 802308 3713211 106 212300336636 124283 309 277 74 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEACL Reds — 2826 7110 2110 51 269321385706 115467 397 266 66 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWACL Reds — 2825 9110 380 51 360429480909 120529 2911 405 66 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEACL Reds — 197168 37511 117316 66 220328280608 60379 376 271 70 — — — — — —
202419 ROK RAWACL Reds — 197161 49912 185016 66 304426410836 106427 259 381 70 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 451400 811835 2912113 179 203278300578 97272 276 256 59 — — — — — —
202520 A RAWDaytona Tortugas — 451390 922437 399013 179 236326367692 131285 209 309 59 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 435378 802308 3713211 106 212300336636 124296 309 277 74 — — — — — —
202621 A RAWDaytona Tortugas — 435363 9228010 529711 106 253364413777 160314 2212 345 74 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEACL Reds — 2826 7110 2110 51 269321385706 115423 397 266 66 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEACL Reds — 197168 37511 117316 66 220328280608 60359 376 271 70 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 451406 811835 2912113 179 200278296574 96263 276 256 59 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 435384 802308 3713211 106 208300331631 122283 309 277 74 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 ROK MLEACL Reds — 197168 37511 117316 66 220328280608 60359 376 271 70 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 451406 811835 2912113 179 200278296574 96263 276 256 59 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 435384 802308 3713211 106 208300331631 122283 309 277 74 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLECIN 0% 545487 902218 4014713 95 186266288554 101246 277 254 58 -27 -0 +0 +6 +12 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLECIN 34% 404362 691617 301079 73 193272304576 112249 267 263 64 -17 +0 +0 +4 +9 -0.4
202924 MLB MLECIN 46% 452404 791819 3511810 84 197277315592 118252 268 270 69 -17 +0 +0 +5 +10 -0.2
203025 MLB MLECIN 52% 485434 8620110 3812510 84 200280322602 122254 268 274 71 -17 +0 +0 +5 +11 -0.1
203126 MLB MLECIN 54% 499447 9120211 3912810 84 202282326608 124256 268 276 73 -16 +0 +0 +5 +11 0.0
203227 MLB MLECIN 54% 502447 9220211 4012810 74 204283328611 124257 258 277 74 -16 -0 +0 +5 +11 0.0
203328 MLB MLECIN 54% 499447 8920110 3912910 64 202281323605 121256 268 275 72 -17 -0 -1 +5 +11 -0.2
203429 MLB MLECIN 53% 488437 8720110 3812710 43 200279317596 118255 268 271 70 -18 -0 -1 +5 +11 -0.4
203530 MLB MLECIN 52% 476427 841919 371269 23 197275310585 113254 268 267 67 -19 -1 -2 +5 +10 -0.6
202823 MLB CTXCIN 34% 139125 25603 10373 21 194274310583 116249 277 266 64 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
202924 MLB CTXCIN 46% 209186 37814 16545 32 199279321600 122252 268 273 69 -8 -0 +0 +2 +5 -0.1
203025 MLB CTXCIN 52% 250224 461016 19645 42 202282328610 126255 268 277 71 -9 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.0
203126 MLB CTXCIN 54% 271242 491116 21696 42 204284333617 129256 258 279 73 -9 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.0
203227 MLB CTXCIN 54% 272243 501116 22705 42 205285335619 129258 268 280 74 -9 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.0
203328 MLB CTXCIN 54% 271243 501116 21705 32 204283330613 126257 268 278 72 -9 -0 -0 +3 +6 -0.1
203429 MLB CTXCIN 53% 259232 471016 20675 22 201280324604 122256 268 274 70 -9 -0 -1 +3 +6 -0.2
203530 MLB CTXCIN 52% 250224 451015 19665 11 199277316593 118254 268 270 67 -10 -0 -1 +3 +5 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 19211719 34977742 14849739 2314 203281329610 126258 268 275 69 -68 -1 -2 +21 +42 -0.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650582 11726214 5016813 85 201279325604 124256 268 275 69 -23 -0 -1 +7 +14 -0.3
Career— MLE — 51264565 9172081694 3901382123 9153 201282315597 114264 278 270 69 -146 -2 -4 +43 +87 -2.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650579 11626212 4917516 127 200281314595 114263 278 270 69 -24 -0 -1 +7 +14 -0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ADaytona Tortugas · 435 PAwOBA .340 → .277 (−63)K% 22.3% → 30.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.30%÷1.000×1.360——30.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.95%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0158.37%
HBP% /PA2.53%—×0.780—×1.0152.00%
Singles /BIP20.30%÷1.000×0.920×1.006×1.01519.07%
Doubles /BIP10.53%÷1.000×0.830×1.006×1.0158.92%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×1.006×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP3.76%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0153.05%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .340 → .277; ISO .160 → .128; BABIP .314 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ADaytona Tortugas · 451 PAwOBA .305 → .256 (−49)K% 20.0% → 26.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.96%÷1.008×1.360——26.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.65%÷0.956×0.690—×1.0306.43%
HBP% /PA2.88%—×0.780—×1.0302.32%
Singles /BIP19.33%÷0.980×0.920×1.014×1.03018.96%
Doubles /BIP8.00%÷1.088×0.830×1.014×1.0306.37%
Triples /BIP1.00%÷1.000×0.910×1.014×1.0300.95%
Home runs /BIP2.33%÷1.032×0.800—×1.0301.86%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 96, 2B 118, 3B 100, K 102, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .305 → .256; ISO .131 → .103; BABIP .285 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Reds · 197 PAwOBA .374 → .271 (−103)K% 25.4% → 36.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.38%÷0.989×1.440——36.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.14%÷1.005×0.620—×1.0085.68%
HBP% /PA8.12%—×0.720—×1.0085.89%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷0.970×0.820×1.050×1.00829.81%
Doubles /BIP8.11%÷1.144×0.720×1.050×1.0085.40%
Triples /BIP0.90%÷1.144×0.720×1.050×1.0080.60%
Home runs /BIP1.80%÷1.063×0.780—×1.0081.33%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 94, 2B 129, 3B 129, K 98, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .374 → .271; ISO .106 → .067; BABIP .427 → .359. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Reds · 28 PAwOBA .394 → .266 (−129)K% 28.6% → 40.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.57%÷1.027×1.440——40.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.71%÷1.040×0.620—×1.0226.53%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0220.00%
Singles /BIP41.18%÷1.004×0.820—×1.02234.39%
Doubles /BIP5.88%÷1.038×0.720—×1.0224.17%
Triples /BIP5.88%÷1.150×0.720—×1.0223.77%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.059×0.780—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 101, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 105, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .394 → .266; ISO .120 → .070; BABIP .529 → .423. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).