Bernard Moon — OGILVIE

Bernard MoonSS Daytona Tortugas

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 186 lbs A HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION328 act + 218 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .272 / .289

PA218

HR3

SB5

K%32

BB%8

BABIP273

ISO103

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$1M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.8M
2035	Arb-2	$1M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2036	Arb-3	$0.6M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$9M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	28	26	6	1	0	0	2	11	0	5	1	231	286	269	555	38	400	39	7	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	28	25	9	1	1	0	3	8	0	5	1	360	429	480	909	120	529	29	11	405	168	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	197	168	38	5	1	1	11	74	16	6	6	226	333	286	619	60	394	38	6	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	197	161	49	9	1	2	18	50	16	6	6	304	426	410	836	106	427	25	9	381	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	451	397	79	19	2	5	32	126	13	17	9	199	281	295	575	96	273	28	7	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	451	390	92	24	3	7	39	90	13	17	9	236	326	367	692	131	285	20	9	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A	CIN	—	328	284	62	22	0	6	28	116	8	9	6	218	306	359	665	141	335	35	9	293	82	-7	-1	+0	+4	+9	0.6
YTD	21	A	CIN	—	328	275	74	25	0	8	37	82	8	9	6	269	372	447	819	178	347	25	11	358	132	+12	-1	+0	+4	+9	2.5
ROS	21	A	CIN	0%	218	193	36	11	0	3	17	71	6	5	3	186	272	289	561	103	274	32	8	263	59	-10	-0	+0	+2	+6	-0.2
ROS	21	MLB	CIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		277	—	—	246	46	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	21	A	CIN	—	328	285	62	22	0	6	28	116	8	9	6	218	306	358	664	140	333	35	9	293	82	-7	-1	+0	+4	+9	0.6
TOT	21	A	CIN	—	546	477	98	33	0	9	45	187	14	14	9	205	293	331	623	126	309	34	8	281	73	-17	-1	+0	+6	+15	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	CIN	34%	581	515	99	27	1	10	46	185	15	10	6	192	278	307	585	115	277	32	8	270	65	-23	-0	+0	+6	+16	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	CIN	48%	609	540	108	29	1	12	49	187	15	10	6	200	285	324	609	124	279	31	8	279	71	-20	-0	+0	+7	+17	0.4
2029	24	MLB	CIN	53%	625	554	114	29	2	14	51	188	15	11	6	206	290	341	631	135	280	30	8	284	76	-17	-0	+0	+7	+18	0.7
2030	25	MLB	CIN	55%	624	553	115	29	2	14	51	186	15	11	6	208	292	344	636	136	281	30	8	287	78	-16	-0	+0	+7	+18	0.9
2031	26	MLB	CIN	56%	619	549	114	29	2	14	51	184	14	11	6	208	292	344	636	137	281	30	8	288	79	-15	-0	+0	+7	+18	0.9
2032	27	MLB	CIN	55%	611	541	112	28	2	14	51	182	14	11	6	207	292	344	636	137	281	30	8	288	79	-15	-0	+0	+7	+17	0.9
2033	28	MLB	CIN	55%	602	532	110	28	1	14	51	180	14	10	6	207	293	342	635	135	280	30	8	287	78	-15	-0	-1	+6	+17	0.8
2034	29	MLB	CIN	53%	592	522	106	27	1	13	51	179	14	9	5	203	291	333	625	130	279	30	9	286	77	-16	-0	-1	+6	+17	0.6
2035	30	MLB	CIN	53%	581	513	105	27	1	13	50	177	13	8	5	205	292	337	629	133	278	30	9	283	75	-17	-0	-2	+6	+16	0.4
2036	31	MLB	CIN	56%	570	503	101	26	1	12	49	175	13	7	4	201	288	328	617	127	276	31	9	279	72	-18	-0	-3	+6	+16	0.1
2027	22	MLB	CIN	34%	200	177	35	10	0	4	16	64	5	3	2	198	283	322	605	124	280	32	8	254	53	-11	-0	+0	+2	+6	-0.3
2028	23	MLB	CIN	48%	295	262	53	14	1	6	24	91	7	5	3	202	287	332	619	130	282	31	8	264	60	-13	-0	+0	+3	+8	-0.2
2029	24	MLB	CIN	53%	330	292	61	16	1	7	27	99	8	6	3	209	294	342	636	134	283	30	8	270	65	-13	+0	+0	+4	+9	-0.0
2030	25	MLB	CIN	55%	341	302	63	16	1	8	28	102	8	6	3	209	293	348	641	139	284	30	8	273	67	-13	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.1
2031	26	MLB	CIN	56%	345	305	64	16	1	8	29	103	8	6	3	210	295	348	643	138	284	30	8	274	68	-13	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.1
2032	27	MLB	CIN	55%	336	297	63	16	1	8	28	100	8	6	3	212	297	354	651	141	284	30	8	274	68	-12	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.1
2033	28	MLB	CIN	55%	329	290	62	16	1	8	28	99	8	5	3	214	301	359	659	145	283	30	9	273	67	-12	-0	-0	+4	+9	0.0
2034	29	MLB	CIN	53%	316	279	58	15	1	7	27	95	7	5	3	208	294	344	638	136	283	30	9	272	66	-12	-0	-1	+3	+9	-0.1
2035	30	MLB	CIN	53%	305	269	56	14	1	7	26	93	7	4	2	208	295	346	640	138	281	30	9	269	64	-12	+0	-1	+3	+9	-0.2
2036	31	MLB	CIN	56%	322	284	58	15	1	7	28	99	7	4	2	204	292	338	630	134	279	31	9	265	61	-14	+0	-2	+3	+9	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3119	2758	573	148	9	70	261	945	73	50	27	208	293	344	638	136	286	30	8	270	64	-125	-1	-4	+33	+88	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	120	31	2	15	54	197	15	10	6	209	293	348	641	139	286	30	8	270	64	-26	-0	-1	+7	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	6908	6106	1243	315	17	139	562	2105	177	131	75	204	290	329	619	125	283	30	8	280	73	-213	-4	-7	+74	+196	4.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	118	30	2	13	53	198	17	12	7	205	291	332	624	127	286	30	8	280	73	-20	-0	-1	+7	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	28	25	9	1	1	0	3	8	0	5	1	360	429	480	909	120	529	29	11	405	168	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	197	161	49	9	1	2	18	50	16	6	6	304	426	410	836	106	427	25	9	381	150	+11	-1	—	—	+6	1.6
2025	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	451	390	92	24	3	7	39	90	13	17	9	236	326	367	692	131	285	20	9	309	95	-3	-0	—	—	+13	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,438	72	56	202	284	330	+37	+18	2.1	2.5
	/162	664	14	11	202	284	330	+7.1	+3.5	0.4	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bernard Moon (OGILVIE)	21	40	35	50	35	205/293/331	126	309	9	14	34%	8%	73	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	47	-1.9	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Cutter Dykstra 2010 · A	21	40→50	40	47→55	43	198/260/282	84	275	8	11	30%	7%	48	-1.9	217/273/292	75	304	6	16	29%	6%	56	-1.3	232/301/316	84	315	6	16	26%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Gorge Munoz 2017 · A	21	43	38→40	50→55	42	205/260/282	78	258	5	17	22%	5%	48	-1.9	205/257/290	85	298	7	10	32%	5%	49	-1.8	185/231/261	77	287	9	9	37%	3%	28	-0.8
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	39	38→30	48→45	42	188/251/269	81	260	6	7	29%	6%	42	-2.3	199/274/280	81	291	6	6	31%	8%	55	-1.4	183/255/250	66	251	6	11	27%	8%	37	-0.7
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	41→51	39→45	50	42	199/261/284	85	279	6	11	30%	7%	50	-1.8	227/277/335	108	310	11	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	35	-2.8	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	39	39→40	46→50	36	192/235/276	84	265	7	5	30%	4%	36	-2.7	190/239/268	78	302	5	7	36%	5%	35	-2.8	130/184/163	32	225	0	6	40%	6%	-19	-1.1
✕Luke Williams 2019 · A	22	41→46	37→45	50→60	41	199/250/266	67	260	5	15	25%	5%	40	-2.4	204/263/297	93	276	7	19	27%	7%	53	-1.5	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Jose Bellorin 2011 · A	20	42	39→40	47→50	42	203/257/285	81	265	6	10	25%	6%	47	-1.9	223/280/308	85	271	6	9	19%	6%	63	-0.8	239/295/316	78	276	6	10	15%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Luis De Los Santos 2019 · A	21	40→47	40→45	53→45	35	198/241/288	90	276	7	8	30%	4%	42	-2.3	203/247/309	106	292	9	7	32%	4%	50	-1.8	216/283/335	119	291	13	7	29%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Steven Baron 2013 · A	22	39	41→45	50	37	193/232/296	103	263	8	10	30%	4%	40	-2.4	194/233/281	87	280	5	9	31%	5%	36	-2.7	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2021 · A	21	44→45	40	46→40	43	215/264/301	87	273	8	6	24%	6%	54	-1.4	227/296/326	99	305	8	4	26%	8%	75	-0.0	220/294/315	95	295	8	2	26%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Luis De La Cruz 2010 · A	21	41	38→40	47→30	40	197/233/275	77	246	5	6	22%	4%	33	-2.9	220/253/314	94	277	6	6	22%	4%	52	-1.6	244/267/328	84	295	4	3	18%	3%	57	-0.3
✕James Harris 2015 · A	21	40→50	41→40	48→50	38	199/248/293	95	285	10	12	33%	6%	46	-2.0	225/287/317	92	321	7	13	30%	7%	68	-0.5	235/301/325	90	331	5	15	28%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	191/251/266	76	262	4	12	28%	6%	40	-2.4	205/277/292	87	289	8	19	29%	8%	59	-1.1	203/290/292	89	267	11	29	26%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	39→49	38→45	48→50	44	184/272/269	85	267	5	10	31%	8%	52	-1.6	206/276/298	92	284	6	11	28%	6%	60	-1.0	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	39→40	46→45	40	193/251/277	85	270	5	6	30%	6%	43	-2.2	194/250/277	83	275	7	9	30%	6%	43	-2.2	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Andy Paz 2015 · A	22	38	38→40	45	44	185/245/261	75	253	6	5	28%	7%	37	-2.7	210/264/277	67	293	4	6	28%	7%	48	-1.9	226/270/274	48	296	3	7	23%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Adan Velazquez 2011 · A	21	42→52	41→45	52→50	40	203/262/305	102	282	7	10	29%	6%	55	-1.4	223/270/319	96	299	8	9	27%	5%	62	-0.9	248/287/342	94	301	8	6	20%	4%	71	-0.2