Maikol Orozco

SS FCL Tigers
Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2381ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKDSL Tigers 1187.301/.452/.41121363—.192/.323/.256
202519ROKDET132.226/.364/.3772242—.152/.264/.259
202620ROKDET167.315/.398/.4182153—.211/.277/.263
2027PROJMLE21MLBDET277.194/.265/.2803455-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBDET46.196/.267/.2891161-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBDET104.200/.272/.3002265-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
wRC+68
wOBA57
ISO42
Z-Con%34
K%33
Speed27
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsSteven Baron (age 21) · Chris Roller (age 21) · Ricardo Hurtado (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 86 proj PA
wRC+†55
AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .262 / .278
PA86
HR1
K%28
BB%7
ISO87
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED49
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.7M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Tigers 1 — 167133 34412 23298 93 256396346742 90305 1714 343 42 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Tigers 1 — 187146 44812 31329 138 301452411863 110372 1717 397 63 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Tigers — 132106 24622 17376 21 226364377742 151314 2813 334 42 — — — — — —
202620 ROKFCL Tigers — 167146 46522 15425 12 315398418815 103427 259 368 53 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Tigers 1 — 167140 23311 16368 93 164287221508 57192 2210 231 42 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Tigers 1 — 187156 30511 21399 138 192323256579 64240 2111 262 63 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 132112 17412 11536 21 152264259522 107238 408 230 42 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 167152 32311 9605 12 211277263540 53332 365 247 53 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Tigers 1 — 167140 23311 16368 93 164287221508 57208 2210 231 42 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Tigers 1 — 167133 34412 23298 93 256396346742 90305 1714 343 42 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Tigers 1 — 187156 30511 21399 138 192323256579 64248 2111 262 63 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL Tigers 1 — 187146 44812 31329 138 301452411863 110372 1717 397 63 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 132112 17412 11536 21 152264259522 107250 408 230 42 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWFCL Tigers — 132106 24622 17376 21 226364377742 151314 2813 334 42 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 167152 32311 9605 12 211277263540 53337 365 247 53 — — — — — —
202620 ROK RAWFCL Tigers — 167146 46522 15425 12 315398418815 103427 259 368 53 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Tigers 1 — 167141 23311 16368 93 163287220506 57192 2210 231 42 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Tigers 1 — 187155 30511 21399 138 194323258581 65240 2111 262 63 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 132114 17412 11536 21 149264254518 105238 408 230 42 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 167151 32311 9605 12 212277265542 53332 365 247 53 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL Tigers 1 — 187155 30511 21399 138 194323258581 65240 2111 262 63 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 132114 17412 11536 21 149264254518 105238 408 230 42 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 167151 32311 9605 12 212277265542 53332 365 247 53 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLEDET 0% 277251 48823 20774 41 194265280545 87263 287 250 55 -15 +0 +0 +3 +6 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLEDET 34% 134121 24412 10372 21 199270295566 97266 287 258 61 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
202923 MLB MLEDET 48% 215194 40714 16583 41 203275307582 104268 277 265 65 -9 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.2
203024 MLB MLEDET 53% 298269 561025 22805 52 207278316594 109270 277 270 69 -11 +0 +0 +3 +6 -0.1
203125 MLB MLEDET 55% 355320 671227 27945 62 209281322603 113271 268 273 71 -12 +0 +0 +4 +8 -0.0
203226 MLB MLEDET 56% 387349 741328 291026 72 211283327609 116272 267 276 73 -13 +1 +0 +4 +8 0.1
203327 MLB MLEDET 55% 401361 751328 311066 72 210282324606 114272 268 274 72 -13 +1 +0 +4 +9 0.0
203428 MLB MLEDET 55% 404364 761328 311086 62 208280320600 112271 278 272 70 -14 +0 -1 +4 +9 -0.2
203529 MLB MLEDET 53% 398359 741327 301076 62 206277314591 108270 278 268 68 -15 +0 -1 +4 +9 -0.3
202822 MLB CTXDET 34% 4642 8101 3131 10 196267289556 94261 287 254 61 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202923 MLB CTXDET 48% 10493 19312 8282 21 200272300572 101264 278 261 65 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
203024 MLB CTXDET 53% 157142 29513 12422 31 203275309584 106266 278 266 69 -6 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.1
203125 MLB CTXDET 55% 194174 36614 15513 31 205278315593 110267 268 269 71 -7 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.0
203226 MLB CTXDET 56% 215194 40714 16573 41 207280319599 112268 277 271 73 -7 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.0
203327 MLB CTXDET 55% 221199 40714 17583 41 206279317595 111267 268 270 72 -7 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.0
203428 MLB CTXDET 55% 221199 40714 17593 31 205277312589 108266 278 268 70 -8 +0 -0 +2 +5 -0.1
203529 MLB CTXDET 53% 212191 39714 16573 31 202274307581 104265 278 264 68 -8 +0 -1 +2 +5 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 13701234 25143726 10436520 237 203276313589 109265 278 267 66 -49 +2 -1 +15 +30 -0.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650585 11820312 491739 113 202273308581 106263 278 267 66 -23 +1 -1 +7 +14 -0.2
Career— MLE — 33312976 6041031955 25990468 6928 203282306588 103269 278 265 66 -99 +3 -2 +29 +58 -1.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650581 11820411 5117613 135 203282308590 105269 278 265 66 -24 +1 -1 +7 +14 -0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Tigers · 167 PAwOBA .361 → .247 (−114)K% 25.1% → 36.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.15%÷1.000×1.440——36.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.98%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9855.49%
HBP% /PA2.99%—×0.720—×0.9852.12%
Singles /BIP35.58%÷1.000×0.820×0.987×0.98528.35%
Doubles /BIP4.81%÷1.000×0.720×0.987×0.9853.36%
Triples /BIP1.92%÷1.000×0.720×0.987×0.9851.35%
Home runs /BIP1.92%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9851.48%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .361 → .247; ISO .103 → .067; BABIP .427 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Tigers · 132 PAwOBA .333 → .230 (−103)K% 28.0% → 40.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.03%÷1.001×1.440——40.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.88%÷0.996×0.620—×0.9957.98%
HBP% /PA4.55%—×0.720—×0.9953.26%
Singles /BIP20.29%÷0.974×0.820×0.950×0.99516.15%
Doubles /BIP8.70%÷0.992×0.720×0.950×0.9955.97%
Triples /BIP2.90%÷0.900×0.720×0.950×0.9952.19%
Home runs /BIP2.90%÷0.880×0.780—×0.9952.56%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 95, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 100, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .333 → .230; ISO .151 → .109; BABIP .314 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Tigers 1 · 187 PAwOBA .390 → .262 (−127)K% 17.1% → 20.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.11%÷1.002×1.220——20.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.58%÷1.009×0.700—×0.99511.45%
HBP% /PA4.81%—×0.700—×0.9953.35%
Singles /BIP28.95%÷1.014×0.680×0.993×0.99519.18%
Doubles /BIP7.02%÷0.958×0.600×0.993×0.9954.34%
Triples /BIP0.88%÷1.150×0.600×0.993×0.9950.45%
Home runs /BIP1.75%÷1.105×0.470—×0.9950.74%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 103, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 100, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .390 → .262; ISO .110 → .062; BABIP .372 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Tigers 1 · 167 PAwOBA .341 → .231 (−110)K% 17.4% → 21.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.37%÷0.995×1.220——21.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.77%÷1.009×0.700—×1.0089.62%
HBP% /PA4.79%—×0.700—×1.0083.38%
Singles /BIP25.96%÷1.058×0.680×0.975×1.00816.40%
Doubles /BIP3.85%÷0.901×0.600×0.975×1.0082.52%
Triples /BIP0.96%÷0.900×0.600×0.975×1.0080.63%
Home runs /BIP1.92%÷0.862×0.470—×1.0081.06%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 112, 2B 80, 3B 80, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .341 → .231; ISO .090 → .057; BABIP .305 → .192. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).