Maikol OrozcoSS FCL Tigers
Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION153 act + 102 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .287 / .297
PA102
HR1
K%28
BB%8
BABIP290
ISO88
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -11.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-12BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +7.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.91.80.30.71.01.11.31.31.31.21.00.9+$73M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 39
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT34
scouting grade only
POWER39
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED54
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.3$7M+$6M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.3$6M+$6M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.2$5M+$5M
2035Arb-1$2M+1.0$4M+$3M
2036Arb-2$3M+0.9$2M+$0.6M
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $8M $24M +$20M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Tigers 1 167142 27412 14428 93 190299275573 85248 258 251 50
202317 ROKDSL Tigers 1 167133 34412 23298 93 256396346742 90305 1714 343 121
202418 ROKDSL Tigers 1 187158 35611 19469 138 222339291630 70304 2510 282 74
202418 ROKDSL Tigers 1 187146 44812 31329 138 301452411863 110372 1717 397 162
202519 ROKFCL Tigers 132112 19422 11536 21 170279295574 125283 408 240 42
202519 ROKFCL Tigers 132106 24622 17376 21 226364377742 151314 2813 334 113
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD20 ROKDET 153139 31311 9554 11 223289281570 58357 366 258 56 -8 -0 +0 +2 +4 -0.2
YTD20 ROKDET 153133 43521 15384 11 323408414821 90442 2510 371 142 +7 -0 +0 +2 +4 1.3
ROS20 ROKDET 0% 10291 19311 8292 21 209287297584 88294 288 269 64 -4 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.0
ROS20 MLBDET 0% 01 0000 000 00 289 251 50 +0 +0
FULL20 ROKDET 153140 31311 9554 11 221289279568 57353 366 258 56 -8 -0 +0 +2 +4 -0.2
TOT20 ROKDET 255230 50622 17846 32 217289287575 70329 337 262 59 -12 -0 +0 +3 +7 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBDET 34% 266239 53924 20735 42 222295326622 105297 278 282 74 -8 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.3
202822 MLBDET 48% 376337 761327 291017 72 226300338639 113298 278 289 79 -9 +1 +0 +4 +11 0.7
202923 MLBDET 54% 446400 921639 351188 93 230305352657 122298 268 294 83 -9 +1 +0 +5 +13 1.0
203024 MLBDET 55% 492442 10117310 391298 104 229303348651 120299 268 296 85 -8 +0 +0 +5 +14 1.1
203125 MLBDET 56% 516461 10618311 411359 114 230305354659 124299 268 297 86 -8 +1 +0 +6 +15 1.3
203226 MLBDET 56% 530473 10919311 431399 114 230307353660 123299 268 298 86 -8 +1 +0 +6 +15 1.3
203327 MLBDET 55% 533475 10919311 441409 114 229307352658 122299 268 298 86 -8 +1 +0 +6 +15 1.3
203428 MLBDET 59% 531473 10919311 441409 114 230308353661 123298 268 297 85 -9 +1 -1 +6 +15 1.2
203529 MLBDET 61% 523466 10618311 431399 104 227305350655 122298 278 295 84 -9 +0 -1 +6 +15 1.0
203630 MLBDET 62% 513456 10418310 431389 103 228307346654 118297 278 293 82 -10 +1 -2 +5 +15 0.9
202721 MLBDET 34% 9182 18311 7252 21 220297317614 98292 278 264 61 -4 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
202822 MLBDET 48% 182163 36613 14493 31 221294325620 104293 278 272 66 -7 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.0
202923 MLBDET 54% 242217 49825 19644 52 226300350650 124293 268 277 70 -8 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.1
203024 MLBDET 55% 273244 55925 22725 52 225303340643 115294 268 279 72 -9 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.2
203125 MLBDET 56% 289259 591026 23765 62 228303351654 124294 268 280 73 -9 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.3
203226 MLBDET 56% 298267 601026 24785 62 225301345645 120294 268 280 73 -9 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.3
203327 MLBDET 55% 295264 601026 24775 62 227304348652 121294 268 281 73 -9 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.3
203428 MLBDET 59% 313279 631126 26835 62 226303344647 118294 278 280 72 -10 +0 -0 +3 +9 0.2
203529 MLBDET 61% 319284 641126 27855 62 225304342645 116293 278 278 71 -10 +0 -1 +3 +9 0.2
203630 MLBDET 62% 319284 641126 27865 62 225304342645 116292 278 276 69 -11 +0 -1 +3 +9 0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career 26212344 528891850 21369544 5118 225302343644 117297 278 278 71 -86 +3 -3 +28 +74 1.7
/ 162G 650581 13022412 5317211 134 224301337638 114295 268 278 71 -21 +1 -1 +7 +18 0.4
Career 53144725 106518333101 4331422107 12047 225305342647 117298 278 291 81 -115 +5 -4 +57 +151 9.6
/ 162G 650578 12922412 5317413 156 223303337640 114295 278 291 81 -14 +1 -1 +7 +18 1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Tigers 1 167133 34412 23298 93 256396346742 90305 1714 343 121 +4 +1 +5 0.9
202418 ROKDSL Tigers 1 187146 44812 31329 138 301452411863 110372 1717 397 162 +13 -1 +5 1.8
202519 ROKFCL Tigers 132106 24622 17376 21 226364377742 151314 2813 334 113 +2 +0 +4 0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons
62,7715555228301348+30+185.75.2
/1626641313+7.1+4.31.4pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Maikol Orozco (OGILVIE) 20 29→34 34→39 49→54 55 217/289/287 70329 23 33% 7% 59 -0.2
Christian Cerda
2023 · A
20 40→37 40 50→40 50 194/278/287 93254 69 25% 9% 58 -1.2 189/282/293 104252 114 27% 11% 62 -0.9 173/268/27510122312227%11%50-1.2
Juan Mora
2021 · A
21 43 42→45 53→55 49 209/289/317 108255 914 21% 8% 71 -0.3 228/292/345 117310 1010 28% 6% 79 +0.3 224/280/33311029810827%5%68-0.2
Adrian Abreu
2012 · A
21 39 38→40 47→55 47 190/263/273 82247 59 24% 8% 47 -1.9 212/292/300 88256 817 19% 9% 67 -0.5 209/299/2908024192516%10%66-0.2
Janelfry Zorrilla
2011 · A
20 41 40→45 50 42 202/257/291 89262 713 26% 6% 49 -1.8 224/280/353 129280 1310 24% 6% 76 +0.0 226/277/35312728514825%5%72-0.1
Emilio King
2010 · A
20 40 37→45 51→40 43 190/274/270 79258 49 26% 6% 53 -1.5 203/253/290 87301 64 33% 4% 47 -1.9 213/250/309963117233%3%47-1.0
Jeter Downs
2018 · A
20 42→40 43→50 47→55 47 208/276/316 107257 119 23% 7% 64 -0.8 211/277/355 144271 1517 27% 7% 75 -0.0 175/266/324149236182633%9%63-0.4
Jeferson Quero
2023 · A
20 44→42 44→50 49→45 41 219/269/335 116284 129 27% 6% 66 -0.6 226/283/364 138283 167 25% 7% 79 +0.3 225/289/37014526918423%7%82+0.3
Gilbert Gomez
2012 · A
20 39→35 40 52→50 40 193/252/284 91274 714 31% 6% 46 -2.0 201/271/278 77305 48 32% 8% 53 -1.5 191/271/264742963733%9%45-1.3
Jett Williams
2023 · A
19 45→46 41→45 56→55 43 214/285/313 99288 714 27% 7% 68 -0.5 203/314/320 117299 923 31% 12% 83 +0.6 201/310/335134289102630%12%81+0.3
Robert Gonzalez
2021 · A
20 42 40→45 54→60 47 195/295/296 102308 78 35% 10% 69 -0.4 201/299/281 80274 617 26% 10% 66 -0.6 179/307/2264622443020%12%56-0.5
Oswaldo Linares
2023 · A
20 42 41→40 48→40 52 203/299/297 93263 96 25% 10% 70 -0.3 188/285/268 80281 74 32% 11% 57 -1.2 161/265/226652476233%11%36-1.0
Jenner Emeterio
2013 · A
20 45 38→30 48→60 46 214/278/297 83284 513 26% 8% 59 -1.1 217/304/278 61289 324 23% 10% 66 -0.6 216/317/2604428513422%12%65-0.3
Ameilis Carvajal
2009 · A
20 41 39→40 50 48 191/281/275 84291 612 33% 10% 56 -1.3 194/264/268 74320 49 37% 8% 46 -2.0 140/204/175342670844%7%-3-1.2
Jose Meza
2023 · A
20 41→34 41→45 48→50 40 199/264/295 96283 910 32% 6% 54 -1.4 202/295/301 99301 98 33% 10% 69 -0.4 182/291/2769427591033%11%61-0.6
Braulio Vasquez
2019 · A
20 43 38→45 47→65 40 207/259/281 74295 511 30% 6% 47 -1.9 190/259/265 75304 615 36% 7% 44 -2.1 192/271/2707829353233%7%47-0.7
Rafael Morel
2022 · A
20 38 40 51→50 39 187/248/282 94270 813 32% 6% 43 -2.2 195/260/276 81313 710 37% 7% 47 -1.9 186/257/26579290101037%7%41-1.1
Angel Jimenez
2015 · A
20 42 40 49→50 47 204/283/296 92263 813 24% 8% 63 -0.8 204/263/295 91268 710 25% 6% 53 -1.5 181/231/269882298924%6%30-1.2
Rudy van Heydoorn
2009 · A
20 39 43→45 42→50 48 193/294/300 106278 1110 32% 10% 69 -0.4 183/263/286 103286 106 37% 8% 52 -1.6 153/236/25410123711238%9%32-0.9
Jose Bellorin
2011 · A
20 42 39→40 47→50 42 203/257/285 81265 610 25% 6% 47 -1.9 223/280/308 85271 69 19% 6% 63 -0.8 239/295/3167827661015%6%69-0.2
Carlos Rodriguez
2023 · A
20 38 39→45 47→45 45 181/267/268 87282 76 36% 9% 49 -1.8 190/265/267 77299 56 35% 9% 47 -1.9 170/253/254842537233%9%37-1.0