Sebastian Walcott

SS Frisco RoughRiders

Age 21 R/R 6'4" / 190 lbs AA HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #13MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP59ETA2028FG ETA2027MLB%12%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	AATEX	552	.255/.357/.386	13	32	82	—	.233/.306/.342
2026	20	AATEX	171	.322/.398/.586	9	11	119	—	.268/.327/.471
2026	20	INTLSurprise Sagu…	38	.226/.333/.387	1	5	96	—
2027PROJ12% MLB	21	MLBTEX	38	.234/.300/.383	1	1	90	0.1
2028PROJ60% MLB	22	MLBTEX	283	.241/.307/.408	9	10	98	1.0
2029PROJ76% MLB	23	MLBTEX	393	.248/.315/.434	15	13	107	1.7

Next 3 projected WAR 2.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$7M2032Arb-2$13M2033Arb-3$19M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

wOBA95

wRC+93

ISO92

Speed78

Z-Con%67

K%60

Career WAR5 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 56, comp-based) · star 16% · didn't stick 47%

CompsJackson Chourio (age 20) · Colby Rasmus (age 21) · Paul DeJong (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†90

AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .300 / .383

PA38

HR1

K%24

BB%8

BABIP289

ISO143

MLB%12%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$64M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 68

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER68

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$7M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.7	$12M	+$11M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.3	$15M	+$14M
2031	Arb-1	$7M	+2.6	$16M	+$11M
2032	Arb-2	$13M	+2.8	$16M	+$9M
2033	Arb-3	$19M	+2.7	$14M	+$4M
Totals		$42M		$80M	+$56M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	16	13	2	1	0	0	3	5	0	0	1	154	312	231	543	77	250	31	19	268	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	199	174	44	12	4	7	20	59	3	12	5	253	340	489	829	236	336	30	10	360	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	24	23	8	3	0	1	1	7	0	1	0	348	375	609	984	261	467	29	4	427	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	491	433	113	31	9	10	52	125	3	26	8	261	344	443	788	182	342	25	11	348	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	552	474	121	19	2	13	70	108	5	32	10	255	357	386	743	131	303	20	13	337	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	171	152	49	13	0	9	17	39	2	11	0	322	398	586	983	263	385	23	10	428	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	38	31	7	2	0	1	5	9	0	5	1	226	333	387	720	161	261	24	13	309	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	16	14	2	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	1	143	250	214	464	71	216	44	12	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	199	181	27	7	2	4	13	90	3	12	5	149	218	276	495	127	255	45	7	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	24	23	7	2	0	1	1	8	0	1	0	304	333	522	855	217	421	33	4	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	491	454	92	24	7	9	31	165	3	26	8	203	258	346	604	143	291	34	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	552	497	116	17	2	11	47	136	5	32	10	233	306	342	648	109	297	25	9	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	171	157	42	11	0	7	12	48	2	11	0	268	327	471	799	204	340	28	7	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	215	195	29	8	2	4	15	97	3	12	6	149	221	272	492	123	260	45	7	218	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	215	187	46	13	4	7	23	64	3	12	6	246	338	471	809	225	331	30	11	353	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	515	477	98	26	7	9	32	174	3	27	8	205	260	346	606	140	300	34	6	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	515	456	121	34	9	11	53	132	3	27	8	265	346	452	797	186	348	26	10	351	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	552	497	116	17	2	11	47	136	5	32	10	233	306	342	648	109	297	25	9	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	—	552	474	121	19	2	13	70	108	5	32	10	255	357	386	743	131	303	20	13	337	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	209	190	51	13	0	9	15	58	2	16	1	268	329	479	807	211	336	28	7	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA RAW	2 teams	—	209	183	56	15	0	10	22	48	2	16	1	306	386	552	938	246	362	23	11	406	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	215	195	29	8	2	4	15	97	3	12	6	149	221	272	492	123	252	45	7	218	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	515	475	98	26	7	9	32	174	3	27	8	206	260	347	607	141	297	34	6	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	552	495	116	17	2	11	47	136	5	32	10	234	306	343	649	109	297	25	9	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	209	190	51	13	0	9	15	58	2	16	1	268	329	479	807	211	340	28	7	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	515	475	98	26	7	9	32	174	3	27	8	206	260	347	607	141	297	34	6	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	552	495	116	17	2	11	47	136	5	32	10	234	306	343	649	109	297	25	9	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	209	190	51	13	0	9	15	58	2	16	1	268	329	479	807	211	340	28	7	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TEX	12%	469	426	99	20	2	12	36	116	4	17	4	233	299	377	676	144	290	25	8	301	90	-6	+2	-1	+5	+10	1.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	21	MLB CTX	TEX	12%	38	35	8	2	0	1	3	9	0	1	0	234	300	383	682	148	289	24	8	304	90	-0	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TEX	60%	474	430	103	20	2	15	37	115	4	17	4	240	306	401	707	161	291	24	8	313	98	-1	+2	-1	+5	+10	1.6
2029	23	MLB MLE	TEX	76%	517	467	116	22	3	19	41	123	4	17	4	246	313	425	738	179	292	24	8	326	107	+4	+2	-0	+6	+11	2.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	TEX	80%	541	487	123	23	3	22	44	127	5	17	4	251	319	445	764	193	294	23	8	335	113	+8	+2	+0	+6	+12	2.9
2031	25	MLB MLE	TEX	81%	551	496	126	23	3	24	45	129	5	16	4	254	322	456	779	202	294	23	8	341	117	+11	+2	+1	+6	+12	3.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	TEX	82%	554	498	128	23	3	25	46	129	5	16	3	256	324	462	786	207	294	23	8	344	119	+13	+2	+1	+6	+12	3.4
2033	27	MLB MLE	TEX	80%	551	495	126	23	3	24	46	130	5	14	3	255	323	460	783	205	294	24	8	343	118	+12	+2	+1	+6	+12	3.3
2034	28	MLB MLE	TEX	80%	548	493	125	23	3	24	45	130	5	12	3	253	321	455	777	203	293	24	8	340	117	+11	+1	+0	+6	+12	3.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	TEX	77%	539	486	122	22	3	23	44	129	4	10	3	251	318	449	768	199	292	24	8	337	114	+9	+1	-0	+6	+12	2.8
2036	30	MLB MLE	TEX	76%	530	478	118	22	2	22	43	129	4	8	2	248	315	442	757	194	290	24	8	333	111	+7	+1	-1	+6	+11	2.4
2037	31	MLB MLE	TEX	76%	521	470	114	21	2	21	42	129	4	5	2	244	310	433	743	189	288	25	8	327	107	+5	+0	-2	+6	+11	2.0
2038	32	MLB MLE	TEX	75%	511	463	111	20	2	20	40	129	3	3	3	238	304	420	724	181	284	25	8	319	102	+1	-1	-2	+5	+11	1.5
2039	33	MLB MLE	TEX	75%	469	427	99	17	2	18	36	121	3	3	4	232	297	404	701	172	279	26	8	310	96	-2	-1	-3	+5	+10	0.9
2040	34	MLB MLE	TEX	71%	422	385	87	15	2	15	32	112	2	3	3	224	287	385	672	162	272	27	8	298	88	-6	-1	-4	+5	+9	0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	TEX	60%	283	257	61	12	1	9	22	69	2	10	2	241	307	408	716	167	290	24	8	317	98	-1	+1	-0	+3	+6	1.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	TEX	76%	393	356	88	16	2	15	31	94	3	13	3	248	315	434	749	186	292	24	8	330	107	+3	+1	-0	+4	+9	1.7
2030	24	MLB CTX	TEX	80%	431	389	99	18	2	19	35	102	4	14	3	254	321	455	776	202	294	24	8	340	113	+7	+2	+0	+5	+9	2.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	TEX	81%	446	403	103	18	2	21	36	104	4	13	3	257	325	468	792	211	294	23	8	347	117	+9	+1	+1	+5	+10	2.6
2032	26	MLB CTX	TEX	82%	452	408	105	18	2	22	37	106	4	13	3	258	326	474	801	216	294	23	8	350	119	+10	+1	+1	+5	+10	2.8
2033	27	MLB CTX	TEX	80%	442	398	102	18	2	21	37	104	4	12	3	257	325	472	797	215	294	24	8	348	118	+10	+1	+1	+5	+10	2.7
2034	28	MLB CTX	TEX	80%	436	393	100	18	2	20	36	103	4	10	2	255	323	467	791	212	293	24	8	346	117	+9	+1	+0	+5	+9	2.5
2035	29	MLB CTX	TEX	77%	417	377	95	17	2	19	34	100	3	8	2	253	321	461	782	208	292	24	8	342	114	+7	+1	-0	+4	+9	2.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	TEX	76%	404	365	91	16	2	18	33	98	3	6	2	250	317	453	770	203	290	24	8	338	111	+5	+0	-1	+4	+9	1.8
2037	31	MLB CTX	TEX	76%	394	356	88	15	2	17	32	97	3	4	2	246	312	443	756	197	288	25	8	332	107	+3	+0	-1	+4	+9	1.5
2038	32	MLB CTX	TEX	75%	385	349	84	14	2	16	30	97	3	2	2	241	306	430	737	190	284	25	8	324	102	+1	-0	-2	+4	+8	1.1
2039	33	MLB CTX	TEX	75%	353	321	75	13	1	14	27	91	2	2	3	234	299	414	713	180	279	26	8	314	96	-2	-1	-2	+4	+8	0.7
2040	34	MLB CTX	TEX	71%	298	271	61	10	1	11	23	79	2	2	2	226	289	395	684	169	272	27	8	302	88	-4	-0	-3	+3	+6	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5134	4643	1152	203	23	222	413	1244	41	109	32	248	315	445	760	197	291	24	8	335	102	+58	+9	-7	+55	+111	23.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	146	26	3	28	52	157	5	14	4	248	315	446	760	197	291	24	8	335	102	+7	+1	-1	+7	+14	2.9
Career	—	MLE		—	8539	7723	1860	352	46	313	675	2176	69	239	70	241	308	420	727	179	293	25	8	319	102	+68	+12	-10	+76	+153	30.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	142	27	4	24	51	166	5	18	5	241	307	423	731	182	294	26	8	319	102	+6	+1	-1	+7	+14	2.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA	11.1	7,401	195	91	266	329	423	+58	+11	38.2	32.2
/162	664	17	8	+5.2	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 26
#2Travis Fryman'90-'02 * career totals — 13 seasons, 7,217 PA	10.9	7,217	223	72	264*	325*	440*	+35	+13	32.2	29.6
/162	664	21	7	+3.2	+1.2	3.0	pk7: 27
#3Freddy Parent'01-'11 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,563 PA	8.4	5,563	20	184	262*	327*	420*	+51	+27	29.0	27.5
/162	664	2	22	+6.1	+3.2	3.5	pk7: 26
#4Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	9.0	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	25.0
/162	664	20	20	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24
#5Phil Garner'73-'88 * career totals — 13 seasons, 6,860 PA	10.3	6,860	109	225	256*	321*	420*	+25	+14	26.6	24.1
/162	664	11	22	+2.5	+1.3	2.6	pk7: 22
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	7.8	5,174	209	109	247	311	438	+53	-1	26.4	22.4
/162	664	27	14	+6.8	-0.1	3.4	pk7: 18
#6Jason Kipnislast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,984 PA	7.5	4,984	126	136	260	333	416	+18	-11	22.6	21.9
/162	664	17	18	+2.4	-1.4	3.0	pk7: 21

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sebastian Walcott (OGILVIE)	21	40→49	57→68	53	49	231/297/374	142	290	8	11	25%	8%	90	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jackson Chourio 2024 · AAA	20	48→57	50→60	56→55	41	243/288/398	155	310	17	24	27%	6%	91	+0.7	267/311/444	177	322	20	22	23%	6%	111	+2.1	275/322/461	186	325	22	23	22%	6%	120	+2.7
●Colby Rasmus 2008 · AA	21	45→54	53→65	54→50	47	233/303/412	180	281	20	15	25%	8%	101	+1.4	238/304/402	164	285	19	12	23%	8%	99	+1.2	243/309/466	223	315	29	3	32%	8%	116	+1.9
●Paul DeJong 2016 · A	22	50→51	47→65	52→45	44	244/299/383	138	310	13	13	25%	6%	92	+0.7	243/292/422	179	312	23	4	29%	5%	99	+1.3	248/312/469	221	290	30	4	26%	7%	119	+2.7
★Pete Crow-Armstrong 2023 · A	21	52→53	48→65	55→60	41	255/308/405	150	338	15	21	28%	6%	100	+1.3	236/288/405	169	305	18	31	28%	6%	94	+0.9	247/308/475	228	288	29	35	25%	7%	118	+2.8
●Zach Neto 2023 · AA	22	51→48	46→60	49→55	42	249/311/386	137	314	13	12	25%	6%	97	+1.1	248/318/428	180	302	21	19	24%	6%	111	+2.1	246/319/446	200	307	24	25	27%	7%	116	+2.6
●Sean Rodríguez 2006 · A	21	44→51	46→60	49→50	53	217/301/350	133	262	13	15	22%	10%	86	+0.3	235/307/404	169	301	19	11	27%	8%	101	+1.4	244/318/452	208	301	26	12	27%	7%	113	+1.7
✕Addison Russell 2015 · AA	21	49→52	51→55	53→50	45	247/308/415	168	312	18	13	26%	7%	103	+1.6	240/302/401	161	300	18	7	25%	7%	98	+1.2	236/301/401	165	290	19	5	25%	7%	99	+1.1
●Adam Jones 2007 · MLB	21	50→56	48→60	50	42	249/299/396	146	313	15	14	25%	6%	95	+1.0	259/309/421	162	322	18	12	24%	5%	105	+1.7	276/313/466	190	309	25	11	19%	4%	119	+3.1
●Jackson Merrill 2024 · AA	21	51→57	47→60	51→50	45	253/296/391	138	291	15	12	19%	6%	93	+0.8	269/311/450	181	310	20	13	20%	6%	112	+2.2	269/313/462	193	313	22	15	21%	6%	117	+2.5
●Chris Young 2006 · AA	22	46→48	56→60	55	47	238/309/441	203	302	22	23	28%	9%	110	+2.1	236/301/437	201	274	23	20	23%	8%	106	+1.8	238/319/427	189	288	21	17	24%	10%	111	+2.3
●Junior Caminero 2023 · A	20	46→55	48→65	53→45	45	233/290/368	135	275	17	10	22%	6%	86	+0.3	260/306/451	191	302	26	6	23%	6%	111	+2.1	256/314/491	234	268	35	4	20%	7%	124	+3.1
●Mike Zunino 2013 · AA	22	49→48	51→65	49→30	46	252/301/414	162	289	19	9	20%	6%	100	+1.3	208/267/379	171	271	22	3	31%	5%	80	-0.1	229/305/466	236	295	33	0	33%	8%	115	+1.9
●Elijah Dukes 2006 · AA	22	52→54	50→55	51→50	46	262/312/420	158	307	17	16	21%	6%	105	+1.7	253/337/426	173	297	19	14	21%	10%	116	+2.5	246/353/433	188	290	20	15	21%	12%	123	+1.6
●Jo Adell 2020 · AAA	21	47	50→65	53→50	38	233/286/395	161	331	17	11	34%	6%	91	+0.6	225/275/396	171	322	20	9	35%	6%	86	+0.3	228/290/425	197	264	28	9	26%	6%	101	+1.3
●Gary Sánchez 2014 · AA	21	45→53	48→65	47→45	41	228/279/370	142	291	16	6	28%	6%	82	+0.0	248/299/402	154	302	19	6	24%	6%	97	+1.1	245/318/474	229	271	32	4	23%	8%	121	+2.3
✕Ezequiel Tovar 2023 · MLB	21	50→49	49→55	54→50	42	253/296/401	148	300	16	18	22%	5%	95	+1.0	244/280/395	151	314	16	10	27%	4%	88	+0.4	240/274/388	149	310	15	8	27%	4%	85	+0.2
✕Jake Marisnick 2012 · A	21	50→56	45→60	57→55	41	245/300/373	128	315	12	21	25%	5%	91	+0.6	236/287/360	124	301	11	20	25%	5%	82	+0.0	229/291/435	206	302	27	18	33%	6%	103	+0.8
●Luis Robert Jr. 2020 · AAA	22	49→57	52→65	58→60	36	247/296/425	178	331	19	25	31%	4%	101	+1.4	269/317/453	184	339	22	19	26%	5%	116	+2.5	281/324/495	214	333	28	17	24%	4%	129	+2.5
●Bo Bichette 2019 · AA	21	56→62	46→60	54→55	44	272/317/419	147	333	11	19	22%	6%	107	+1.8	278/323/457	179	335	19	20	22%	6%	118	+2.7	296/338/473	177	346	22	13	20%	5%	129	+3.8
●Brett Lawrie 2011 · AA	21	52→57	44→55	56→55	43	251/297/391	141	317	9	18	23%	6%	93	+0.8	266/319/430	164	312	15	17	19%	6%	110	+2.1	269/327/436	167	303	17	16	17%	7%	114	+1.9

Sebastian Walcott

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps