Carlos Gutierrez

LF Greenville Drive

Age 22 L/R 5'9" / 180 lbs A+ HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP47ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	ASF	293	.351/.445/.452	2	26	116	—	.314/.383/.391
2026	21	A+BOS	415	.271/.381/.431	9	31	80	—	.228/.301/.359
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBBOS	2	.238/.309/.349	0	0	83	-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB	23	MLBBOS	157	.242/.314/.362	3	5	88	0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBBOS	227	.244/.317/.371	4	6	91	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$0.6M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed92

BB%78

wRC+75

K%74

Chase%74

Whiff%72

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 7, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 76%

CompsJakob Marsee (age 22) · Nicky Lopez (age 22) · Alejandro Osuna (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.238 / .309 / .349

PA2

HR0

K%24

BB%8

BABIP306

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 58 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT58

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

DEFENSE53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	90	78	28	4	2	0	11	6	1	12	0	359	444	462	906	103	389	7	12	408	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	San Jose Giants	—	293	248	87	11	4	2	37	40	5	26	3	351	445	452	896	101	413	14	13	401	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+	Greenville Drive	—	415	350	95	23	3	9	59	80	3	31	4	271	381	431	812	160	328	19	14	363	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	90	82	21	3	1	0	7	7	1	12	0	256	322	317	639	61	273	8	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	293	261	82	9	4	1	24	57	5	26	3	314	383	391	774	77	392	19	8	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	415	373	85	19	3	8	36	105	3	31	4	228	301	359	660	131	288	25	9	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	90	82	21	3	1	0	7	7	1	12	0	256	322	317	639	61	280	8	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	90	78	28	4	2	0	11	6	1	12	0	359	444	462	906	103	389	7	12	408	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	293	261	82	9	4	1	24	57	5	26	3	314	383	391	774	77	399	19	8	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	San Jose Giants	—	293	248	87	11	4	2	37	40	5	26	3	351	445	452	896	101	413	14	13	401	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	415	373	85	19	3	8	36	105	3	31	4	228	301	359	660	131	295	25	9	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	—	415	350	95	23	3	9	59	80	3	31	4	271	381	431	812	160	328	19	14	363	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	90	82	21	3	1	0	7	7	1	12	0	256	322	317	639	61	273	8	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	293	262	82	9	4	1	24	57	5	26	3	313	383	389	772	76	392	19	8	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	415	373	85	19	3	8	36	105	3	31	4	228	301	359	660	131	288	25	9	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	20	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	293	262	82	9	4	1	24	57	5	26	3	313	383	389	772	76	392	19	8	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	415	373	85	19	3	8	36	105	3	31	4	228	301	359	660	131	288	25	9	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	525	471	109	20	4	8	44	127	5	19	3	231	303	340	643	109	296	24	8	291	83	-11	+3	-1	-6	+11	0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	BOS	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	238	309	349	658	111	306	0	0	297	83	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	BOS	35%	454	408	95	17	3	8	39	107	4	14	2	235	308	353	661	118	297	24	9	298	88	-7	+2	+0	-5	+10	0.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	BOS	46%	490	441	106	19	4	10	42	114	4	14	2	238	311	362	673	124	297	23	9	302	91	-5	+2	+1	-5	+11	0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	BOS	52%	529	473	114	21	4	11	46	123	5	14	2	239	312	366	678	127	297	23	9	304	92	-5	+2	+1	-6	+11	0.4
2031	26	MLB MLE	BOS	54%	547	489	117	21	4	11	48	127	5	13	2	239	313	368	680	129	297	23	9	305	93	-5	+2	+1	-6	+12	0.4
2032	27	MLB MLE	BOS	54%	551	493	119	22	4	12	48	128	5	12	2	238	312	367	679	129	296	23	9	305	92	-5	+2	+1	-6	+12	0.4
2033	28	MLB MLE	BOS	54%	549	491	116	21	4	11	48	129	5	11	1	236	310	363	673	126	295	23	9	302	91	-6	+2	+0	-6	+12	0.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	540	484	114	21	3	11	47	128	4	9	1	234	307	356	663	122	294	24	9	298	88	-8	+1	-1	-6	+12	-0.1
2035	30	MLB MLE	BOS	52%	531	476	110	20	3	10	46	128	4	8	1	231	304	348	652	117	292	24	9	294	85	-9	+1	-1	-6	+12	-0.4
2028	23	MLB CTX	BOS	35%	157	142	35	7	1	3	13	37	1	5	1	242	314	362	676	121	306	24	8	304	88	-2	+1	+0	-2	+3	0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	BOS	46%	227	203	49	10	1	4	20	53	2	6	1	244	317	371	688	126	307	23	9	308	91	-3	+1	+0	-2	+5	0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	BOS	52%	273	245	60	12	2	5	24	63	2	7	1	245	318	375	693	130	307	23	9	311	92	-3	+1	+0	-3	+6	0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	BOS	54%	297	266	65	13	2	6	26	69	3	7	1	246	319	377	695	131	306	23	9	311	93	-3	+1	+0	-3	+6	0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	BOS	54%	299	268	65	13	2	6	26	70	3	7	1	245	318	376	694	131	306	23	9	311	92	-3	+1	+0	-3	+6	0.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	BOS	54%	298	267	65	13	2	6	26	70	3	6	1	243	316	371	687	128	305	23	9	308	91	-3	+1	+0	-3	+6	0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	287	258	61	12	2	5	25	68	2	5	1	241	313	365	678	125	303	24	9	305	88	-4	+1	-0	-3	+6	-0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	BOS	52%	278	250	60	12	2	5	24	67	2	4	1	237	309	357	667	120	302	24	9	300	85	-5	+0	-1	-3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2116	1899	460	92	14	40	184	497	18	47	8	242	315	369	684	126	307	23	9	307	90	-25	+6	+1	-23	+46	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	140	28	4	12	57	153	6	14	2	240	314	364	678	123	305	24	9	307	90	-8	+2	+0	-7	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	5309	4758	1145	205	39	98	458	1230	48	175	22	241	314	362	676	121	303	23	9	301	90	-56	+15	+1	-48	+98	0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	140	25	5	12	56	151	6	21	3	240	313	362	675	122	303	23	9	301	90	-8	+2	+0	-7	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Frank Isbell'01-'09 * career totals — 9 seasons, 4,483 PA	6.8	4,483	13	250	248*	300*	403*	-42	+24	9.5	10.1
/162	664	2	37	-6.2	+3.6	1.4	pk7: 11
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Gus Felix'23-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,299 PA	3.5	2,299	12	28	243*	318*	371*	-13	+16	4.7	4.7
/162	664	3	8	-3.7	+4.7	1.4	pk7: 5
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Emil Brown'97-'09 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,508 PA	3.8	2,508	59	52	247*	314*	388*	-25	+8	3.5	4.0
/162	664	16	14	-6.6	+2.1	0.9	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	3.2	2,117	42	47	237	307	363	-13	+5	2.8	2.8
/162	664	13	15	-4.0	+1.5	0.9	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Gutierrez (OGILVIE)	22	40→58	35→40	50→53	45	229/301/337	108	296	5	11	24%	8%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→49	42→45	58→60	54	211/313/323	113	290	8	21	28%	12%	85	+0.2	220/320/345	125	277	13	33	24%	11%	93	+0.8	217/321/350	133	273	12	37	23%	11%	92	+0.8
✕Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	57→55	51	227/302/334	107	261	9	17	17%	8%	82	+0.0	255/308/340	85	288	5	13	13%	7%	84	+0.2	264/325/346	82	304	4	14	13%	8%	92	+0.6
✕Alejandro Osuna 2024 · A	21	47→56	43→45	50→55	46	226/298/334	107	305	11	21	28%	8%	81	-0.1	237/309/354	117	303	11	18	24%	8%	89	+0.5	244/321/351	107	303	9	19	21%	8%	91	+0.5
●Sal Frelick 2022 · A	22	53→63	40→45	56→55	49	250/311/350	101	314	7	17	22%	8%	88	+0.5	269/331/377	108	313	8	19	15%	8%	102	+1.5	271/336/373	101	313	6	20	15%	8%	101	+1.2
✕Victor Scott II 2023 · A	22	44→54	43→40	58→65	50	212/292/336	124	282	9	19	27%	10%	79	-0.2	228/288/323	95	287	7	44	22%	6%	74	-0.5	222/287/310	87	280	7	49	22%	7%	70	-0.8
✕Forrest Wall 2018 · A	22	46→55	40→45	50→70	43	224/276/319	94	291	8	16	25%	6%	68	-1.0	221/281/330	109	307	9	19	29%	7%	73	-0.6	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Daryl Jones 2009 · AA	22	49→57	43→45	53→50	44	236/303/346	110	312	10	16	26%	7%	85	+0.2	233/300/335	102	306	8	12	25%	7%	81	-0.1	225/294/320	95	295	7	10	25%	7%	74	-0.4
●Dylan Beavers 2024 · AA	22	50→52	45→50	53→55	47	237/304/372	135	322	10	19	28%	8%	91	+0.7	228/307/363	135	303	14	20	27%	10%	91	+0.7	225/312/362	137	293	15	21	27%	11%	91	+0.6
✕Chandler Simpson 2023 · A	22	48→58	38→30	56→70	48	226/293/312	85	299	4	17	24%	8%	73	-0.6	267/311/317	50	307	1	59	12%	6%	80	-0.2	302/334/348	46	335	0	63	9%	5%	94	+0.8
●Ezequiel Carrera 2009 · A	22	50→60	39→45	57→60	46	235/297/328	93	300	6	20	23%	7%	78	-0.3	268/329/345	77	338	3	25	20%	8%	93	+0.8	279/339/344	65	344	2	32	18%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Ji Hwan Bae 2022 · AA	23	51→55	42→45	54→60	44	241/303/349	108	331	8	22	28%	7%	85	+0.2	248/308/354	106	326	7	29	24%	8%	88	+0.5	253/316/355	102	332	7	33	24%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Carlos Rodríguez 2023 · A	22	47→57	39→40	52→55	44	222/282/309	86	303	5	16	27%	7%	68	-1.0	253/306/331	78	303	4	15	17%	7%	82	-0.0	258/310/330	72	296	5	18	14%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	44→52	39→45	58→55	46	208/280/301	93	279	6	17	26%	8%	66	-1.1	228/306/313	85	303	5	16	24%	9%	78	-0.3	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Kyle Isbel 2019 · A	22	48→52	43→50	53→55	41	231/279/347	116	311	10	19	28%	6%	76	-0.4	220/271/346	126	290	13	17	28%	6%	73	-0.6	232/292/371	139	290	13	19	24%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Victor Labrada 2022 · A	22	48→55	41→45	52→60	41	220/287/323	104	340	7	20	35%	8%	74	-0.6	211/277/311	100	317	8	25	33%	7%	68	-1.0	236/319/356	120	306	10	36	24%	9%	91	+0.5
●Brett Bateman 2024 · A	22	51→61	37→30	54→55	55	238/324/309	70	307	4	18	22%	11%	84	+0.2	252/333/313	61	337	3	21	23%	11%	88	+0.5	267/352/328	61	355	3	23	23%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Chris Pieters 2017 · A	22	48	39→45	54→55	48	225/305/313	88	293	6	17	24%	8%	79	-0.2	206/264/295	89	290	5	12	29%	6%	58	-1.7	195/251/286	91	274	5	13	29%	6%	49	-0.9
✕Tre' Morgan 2024 · A	22	51→57	41→45	53→50	53	245/312/345	100	287	7	14	17%	9%	88	+0.4	256/323/381	125	309	11	12	20%	8%	101	+1.4	251/322/379	128	310	13	11	22%	8%	97	+0.7
✕Michael Gigliotti 2018 · A	22	52	40	51→55	50	248/316/349	101	308	7	17	21%	8%	91	+0.6	231/297/318	87	305	5	20	24%	7%	76	-0.4	196/303/305	109	266	10	24	27%	11%	76	-0.2
✕Darrell Ceciliani 2012 · A	22	48→56	39→45	52→55	44	225/285/312	87	301	6	16	26%	7%	70	-0.8	247/294/342	95	330	6	18	26%	5%	80	-0.2	259/299/367	108	345	9	26	26%	4%	86	+0.2

Carlos Gutierrez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps