Drew Davies — OGILVIE

Drew DaviesOF Daytona Tortugas

Age 20 L/R 6'3" / 185 lbs A HR +9%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.0 · 2032

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .290 / .316

PA305

HR6

SB10

K%30

BB%10

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35→35

PWR

25→25

SPD

50→50

EYE

67↘60

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.0peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.9	$18M	+$17M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.0	$19M	+$18M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.0	$20M	+$19M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.9	$19M	+$15M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.7	$18M	+$12M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+1.4	$15M	+$8M
Totals		$19M		$108M	+$89M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	18	ROK	2 teams	156	134	20	3	0	2	19	63	2	1	0	.149	.265	.216	.481	.067	.257	40	12	.223	29	-13	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.9
2025	19	A	3 teams	456	387	70	13	1	4	61	156	3	8	5	.181	.297	.251	.548	.070	.287	34	13	.254	52	-25	-0	+0	-3	+13	-1.5
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	64	51	11	2	1	0	10	21	3	4	0	.216	.375	.294	.669	.078	.367	33	16	.304	91	-1	+1	+0	-0	+2	0.2
ROS	20	MLB	CIN	241	210	43	8	1	4	26	73	3	6	1	.205	.301	.310	.611	.105	.295	30	11	.286	77	-6	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.0
TOT	20	MLB	CIN	305	261	54	10	2	4	36	94	6	10	1	.207	.317	.307	.623	.100	.305	31	12	.289	80	-7	+2	+0	-2	+9	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	CIN	366	318	70	13	2	7	40	99	5	9	2	.220	.317	.340	.656	.119	.292	27	11	.301	89	-5	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.5
2028	22	MLB 28%	CIN	451	391	88	16	3	10	51	117	6	10	2	.225	.324	.358	.682	.133	.292	26	11	.311	96	-2	+1	+0	-3	+13	1.0
2029	23	MLB 48%	CIN	507	437	101	18	3	13	58	128	7	11	2	.231	.331	.375	.706	.144	.293	25	11	.317	101	+1	+1	+0	-3	+14	1.4
2030	24	MLB 62%	CIN	542	466	109	20	3	14	63	135	8	11	2	.234	.335	.380	.715	.146	.293	25	12	.322	104	+3	+1	+0	-3	+15	1.7
2031	25	MLB 80%	CIN	562	482	112	20	3	15	67	139	8	11	2	.232	.336	.380	.715	.147	.294	25	12	.325	107	+4	+1	+0	-3	+16	1.9
2032	26	MLB 94%	CIN	572	490	115	21	3	16	69	141	8	11	2	.235	.339	.388	.726	.153	.294	25	12	.327	108	+5	+1	+0	-3	+16	2.0
2033	27	MLB	CIN	574	491	115	21	3	16	70	142	8	11	1	.234	.339	.387	.726	.153	.294	25	12	.327	108	+5	+2	+0	-3	+16	2.0
2034	28	MLB	CIN	570	487	114	21	3	15	70	143	8	10	1	.234	.340	.382	.722	.148	.294	25	12	.326	107	+5	+2	-1	-3	+16	1.9
2035	29	MLB	CIN	561	479	111	20	3	15	69	142	8	10	1	.232	.338	.380	.718	.148	.293	25	12	.323	106	+4	+2	-1	-3	+16	1.7
2036	30	MLB	CIN	551	470	107	19	3	14	68	141	8	9	0	.228	.335	.370	.705	.143	.292	26	12	.320	103	+2	+2	-2	-3	+16	1.4
2037	31	MLB	CIN	537	459	104	19	3	13	66	140	7	8	0	.227	.333	.366	.699	.139	.290	26	12	.317	100	+0	+2	-3	-3	+15	1.1
2038	32	MLB	CIN	519	443	99	18	3	12	64	138	7	7	0	.223	.331	.359	.690	.135	.289	27	12	.312	97	-2	+1	-4	-3	+15	0.8
2039	33	MLB	CIN	489	420	90	16	2	11	60	133	6	6	0	.214	.321	.340	.661	.126	.287	27	12	.306	93	-4	+1	-4	-3	+14	0.4
2040	34	MLB	CIN	443	380	81	14	2	10	54	124	6	6	0	.213	.320	.339	.660	.126	.285	28	12	.300	88	-6	+1	-5	-3	+13	0.0
2041	35	MLB	CIN	388	333	69	12	2	8	47	113	5	6	0	.207	.314	.327	.642	.120	.283	29	12	.292	82	-8	+1	-6	-2	+11	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8485	7277	1618	292	43	199	1022	2267	113	151	21	.222	.327	.356	.684	.134	.292	27	12	.310	96	-41	+22	-25	-51	+240	14.8
/ 162G	—			650	557	123	22	3	15	78	174	9	12	2	.221	.326	.352	.677	.131	.291	27	12	.310	96	-3	+2	-2	-4	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	18	ROK	ACL Reds	127	98	21	4	0	2	26	35	2	1	0	.214	.389	.316	.705	.102	.306	28	20	.335	114	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2024	18	INTL	Adelaide Giants	29	28	5	1	0	0	1	11	0	0	0	.179	.207	.214	.421	.036	.294	38	3	.193	6	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	184	147	35	6	0	2	33	40	0	6	3	.238	.378	.320	.698	.082	.306	22	18	.322	105	+1	+0	—	—	+5	0.6
2025	19	ROK	ACL Reds	127	101	26	5	2	2	23	35	2	2	1	.257	.405	.406	.811	.149	.375	28	18	.368	140	+6	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2025	19	INTL	Adelaide Giants	145	127	35	9	0	1	17	35	1	0	1	.276	.366	.370	.736	.094	.374	24	12	.337	116	+3	-0	—	—	+4	0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Drew Davies (OGILVIE)	20	35	25	50	60	.205/.290/.316	.112	.286	6	5	30%	10%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A	20	40→36	40→30	49→50	49	.191/.281/.282	.091	.264	6	11	28%	9%	59	-1.1	.179/.294/.247	.068	.289	3	14	35%	11%	57	-1.2	.155/.287/.208	.053	.265	2	16	36%	11%	43	-1.1
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	45	.183/.271/.272	.089	.286	7	6	36%	10%	52	-1.6	.190/.265/.267	.077	.298	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	.182/.268/.267	.085	.274	6	3	33%	10%	48	-0.6
✕Iverson Leonardo 2022 · A	20	42	44→50	47→50	42	.203/.279/.327	.124	.304	10	9	34%	8%	69	-0.4	.188/.266/.293	.105	.307	9	8	39%	8%	55	-1.4	.155/.246/.249	.095	.261	8	8	40%	9%	34	-0.7
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A	20	45→47	41→45	46→55	51	.216/.301/.314	.097	.294	9	7	28%	10%	74	-0.1	.227/.294/.343	.116	.313	11	10	29%	8%	79	+0.3	.228/.299/.352	.124	.336	11	21	33%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	46→50	53→55	45	.189/.278/.319	.129	.289	14	15	37%	10%	67	-0.5	.210/.289/.331	.121	.326	12	16	36%	9%	74	-0.1	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Ricardo Burgos 2007 · A	20	45	41→45	48→40	53	.213/.305/.314	.101	.294	7	6	28%	11%	76	+0.1	.214/.289/.333	.119	.306	12	5	31%	9%	75	-0.0	.191/.262/.333	.141	.266	19	2	34%	8%	63	-0.2
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	.214/.278/.298	.084	.285	5	12	26%	8%	60	-1.0	.216/.302/.277	.061	.288	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	.216/.317/.260	.044	.285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Nelson B Alvarez 2016 · A	20	44	40	46→40	48	.209/.287/.305	.096	.294	7	5	29%	9%	66	-0.6	.192/.273/.267	.075	.264	5	4	27%	9%	51	-1.7	.153/.246/.204	.051	.208	4	4	26%	10%	23	-1.1
✕Yeicok Calderon 2012 · A	20	43	43→45	49→45	41	.209/.272/.325	.115	.304	10	7	33%	7%	65	-0.7	.192/.241/.314	.122	.306	13	5	40%	6%	49	-1.8	.179/.225/.300	.121	.279	15	3	40%	5%	36	-0.9
✕Jose Roman 2011 · A	20	45	40	46→45	45	.215/.275/.308	.093	.293	6	5	28%	8%	61	-1.0	.231/.290/.327	.096	.288	7	6	21%	7%	72	-0.2	.249/.309/.344	.095	.292	8	6	17%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	40	43→45	43→50	47	.193/.290/.298	.105	.281	11	10	32%	10%	67	-0.5	.182/.264/.285	.103	.284	10	6	37%	8%	52	-1.6	.153/.236/.254	.101	.237	11	2	38%	9%	32	-0.9
✕LeVon Washington 2012 · A	21	44	39→45	51→50	46	.205/.280/.288	.083	.305	6	13	32%	9%	59	-1.1	.234/.309/.335	.101	.341	7	12	30%	9%	82	+0.5	.246/.314/.364	.118	.341	8	12	28%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Herman Armas 2007 · A	20	41	40→45	47→50	41	.197/.264/.291	.093	.287	7	11	32%	6%	53	-1.5	.217/.285/.327	.110	.286	11	9	26%	7%	72	-0.2	.218/.293/.335	.117	.266	14	9	23%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Jake Fox 2023 · A	20	45→42	39→40	54→50	49	.212/.298/.304	.091	.296	6	15	28%	9%	71	-0.3	.198/.270/.293	.095	.273	7	11	28%	8%	56	-1.3	.181/.255/.273	.092	.248	7	10	28%	9%	42	-1.5
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A	19	42→40	41→50	46→40	44	.207/.262/.297	.091	.272	9	9	27%	7%	53	-1.5	.205/.256/.301	.096	.278	8	7	27%	6%	51	-1.7	.210/.263/.325	.115	.276	10	3	27%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Jose Quero 2018 · A	19	43	40	44→30	44	.212/.272/.297	.086	.272	8	3	25%	7%	57	-1.2	.195/.254/.291	.096	.250	9	4	25%	7%	48	-1.9	.196/.247/.344	.148	.225	15	4	21%	6%	63	-0.2
✕Omar Lebron 2019 · A	20	39	41→40	49→55	46	.194/.268/.289	.095	.249	9	15	25%	7%	55	-1.4	.192/.265/.284	.092	.267	7	10	29%	7%	52	-1.6	.150/.240/.231	.081	.213	3	9	28%	8%	27	-0.8
✕Daury Arias 2022 · A	20	43→38	45→40	50→45	51	.216/.290/.337	.122	.261	13	9	22%	9%	76	+0.1	.189/.274/.285	.096	.258	9	8	28%	9%	56	-1.3	.161/.251/.238	.077	.233	7	8	31%	9%	32	-1.4
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A	19	41→38	37→40	49→55	43	.188/.266/.261	.074	.308	4	9	37%	9%	46	-2.0	.191/.277/.276	.085	.308	5	14	36%	10%	55	-1.4	.187/.286/.266	.080	.296	4	18	34%	11%	55	-0.8
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	42	42→45	47→50	43	.205/.277/.309	.104	.271	9	8	27%	6%	64	-0.8	.224/.284/.326	.102	.290	5	11	24%	5%	70	-0.3	.226/.280/.337	.111	.291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)