Drew Davies — OGILVIE

Drew DaviesOF Daytona Tortugas

Age 20 L/R 6'3" / 185 lbs A HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION298 act + 198 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .305 / .250

PA198

HR1

K%30

BB%13

BABIP279

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	18	ROK	2 teams	—	156	134	20	3	0	2	19	63	2	1	0	149	265	216	481	67	257	40	12	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	2 teams	—	156	126	26	5	0	2	27	46	2	1	0	206	355	294	648	87	304	29	17	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	3 teams	—	456	384	70	12	2	4	64	154	3	8	5	182	304	255	559	73	288	34	14	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	3 teams	—	456	375	96	20	2	5	73	110	3	8	5	256	381	360	741	104	346	24	16	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	CIN	—	298	245	54	11	1	2	37	94	9	5	4	220	344	298	642	78	338	32	12	290	80	-7	-1	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
YTD	20	A	CIN	—	298	233	60	12	1	2	49	66	9	5	4	258	405	343	749	86	341	22	16	345	122	+7	-1	+0	-2	+8	1.4
ROS	20	A	CIN	0%	198	167	31	6	1	1	25	60	4	3	2	185	305	250	556	66	272	30	13	266	62	-9	-0	+0	-1	+6	-0.4
ROS	20	MLB	CIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		275	—	—	253	52	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	20	A	CIN	—	298	246	54	11	1	2	37	94	9	5	4	220	344	297	640	77	335	32	12	290	80	-7	-1	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
TOT	20	A	CIN	—	496	412	85	17	2	3	62	154	13	8	6	206	328	279	607	73	313	31	12	280	73	-15	-1	+0	-3	+14	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	CIN	34%	444	377	72	14	1	5	56	131	8	5	3	191	308	273	582	82	274	30	13	275	69	-16	-0	+0	-3	+13	-0.6
2028	22	MLB	CIN	48%	506	429	86	16	2	8	63	144	9	6	3	200	315	303	618	103	276	28	12	286	77	-13	+0	+0	-3	+14	-0.2
2029	23	MLB	CIN	54%	544	462	96	18	2	10	67	152	10	6	3	208	321	320	641	113	278	28	12	292	82	-11	+0	+0	-3	+15	0.1
2030	24	MLB	CIN	55%	567	483	101	19	2	11	69	156	10	6	4	209	320	325	645	116	280	28	12	296	85	-10	-0	+0	-3	+16	0.3
2031	25	MLB	CIN	56%	578	492	103	19	2	12	71	159	10	6	4	209	321	329	650	120	280	28	12	298	86	-9	-0	+0	-3	+16	0.4
2032	26	MLB	CIN	60%	583	496	104	19	2	12	72	160	10	7	4	210	322	329	650	119	279	27	12	299	87	-9	-0	+0	-3	+17	0.4
2027	21	MLB	CIN	34%	153	130	25	5	0	2	19	45	3	2	1	192	309	277	586	85	276	29	12	263	60	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
2028	22	MLB	CIN	48%	245	209	42	8	1	4	30	70	4	3	2	201	313	306	619	105	279	29	12	275	68	-9	-0	+0	-1	+7	-0.4
2029	23	MLB	CIN	54%	295	252	52	10	1	5	36	82	5	3	2	206	317	313	631	107	281	28	12	282	74	-9	-0	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
2030	24	MLB	CIN	55%	314	267	56	11	1	6	38	87	6	4	2	210	322	326	647	116	282	28	12	286	77	-8	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.1
2031	25	MLB	CIN	56%	324	275	59	11	1	7	40	89	6	4	2	215	327	338	665	124	282	27	12	288	78	-8	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.1
2032	26	MLB	CIN	60%	350	298	63	12	1	7	43	96	6	4	2	211	323	329	652	117	282	27	12	288	79	-8	+0	+0	-2	+10	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1681	1432	297	57	5	31	206	469	30	20	11	207	320	319	639	112	283	28	12	282	74	-49	-0	+0	-10	+48	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	554	115	22	2	12	80	181	12	8	4	208	321	319	640	112	283	28	12	282	74	-19	+0	+0	-4	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	4032	3424	683	126	14	65	506	1179	66	48	28	199	314	301	615	102	281	29	13	284	75	-112	-2	+0	-24	+114	-2.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	552	109	20	2	10	82	190	11	8	5	197	314	295	609	98	278	29	13	284	75	-18	-0	+0	-4	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	127	98	21	4	0	2	26	35	2	1	0	214	389	316	705	102	306	28	20	335	114	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2024	18	INTL	Adelaide Giants	—	29	28	5	1	0	0	1	11	0	0	0	179	207	214	421	36	294	38	3	193	6	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	184	147	35	6	0	2	33	40	0	6	3	238	378	320	698	82	306	22	18	322	105	+1	+0	—	—	+5	0.6
2025	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	127	101	26	5	2	2	23	35	2	2	1	257	405	406	811	149	375	28	18	368	140	+6	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2025	19	INTL	Adelaide Giants	—	145	127	35	9	0	1	17	35	1	0	1	276	366	370	736	94	374	24	12	337	116	+3	-0	—	—	+4	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	2,001	33	23	199	310	302	-12	+0	-0.9	-0.1
	/162	664	11	8	199	310	302	-4.0	+0.0	-0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Drew Davies (OGILVIE)	20	35	25	50	60	206/328/279	73	313	3	8	31%	12%	73	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Quero 2019 · A	20	38	39→40	44→30	44	188/251/267	79	246	7	3	26%	7%	40	-2.4	205/261/315	110	263	10	6	25%	7%	57	-1.2	196/247/344	148	225	15	4	21%	6%	63	-0.2
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	42	36→45	46→55	52	196/279/261	65	256	3	9	23%	10%	52	-1.6	220/298/308	88	314	7	14	29%	10%	71	-0.3	212/292/305	93	325	9	17	34%	10%	65	-0.3
✕Oswal Leones 2021 · A	20	41	36→30	46→50	46	196/259/262	66	262	4	12	25%	7%	43	-2.2	196/259/262	66	296	3	8	32%	7%	43	-2.2	176/243/231	55	271	2	9	33%	7%	25	-1.1
✕Leandro Pineda 2022 · A	20	35→39	37→45	43→45	46	171/257/239	68	251	4	7	31%	9%	37	-2.6	189/260/297	108	280	9	5	33%	7%	53	-1.5	202/271/322	120	261	12	6	26%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	20	41	36→40	45→50	44	192/261/262	70	277	4	9	30%	8%	43	-2.2	192/257/257	65	308	3	10	35%	8%	40	-2.4	156/232/188	31	269	0	14	38%	9%	10	-1.5
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A	20	40→36	40→30	50	49	191/283/285	94	262	7	12	28%	10%	60	-1.0	181/291/247	66	292	3	14	35%	10%	56	-1.3	157/284/207	50	266	2	16	36%	11%	41	-1.2
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2014 · A	20	39	38→40	47→50	39	189/242/268	78	269	6	5	31%	6%	37	-2.7	186/245/258	72	280	3	6	32%	6%	36	-2.7	147/214/205	58	225	0	6	32%	6%	7	-1.5
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	39→45	47→45	45	181/267/268	87	282	7	6	36%	9%	49	-1.8	190/265/267	77	299	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	170/253/254	84	253	7	2	33%	9%	37	-1.0
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	42	-2.3	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Hector Hernandez 2016 · A	20	41	35→30	46→45	45	192/262/254	62	262	2	7	26%	7%	43	-2.2	190/260/256	66	301	3	8	35%	8%	42	-2.3	114/195/149	34	227	0	10	45%	8%	-12	-1.3
✕Fernando Diaz 2015 · A	20	42	35→30	50→45	53	192/296/252	60	254	2	8	22%	10%	58	-1.2	195/292/256	61	260	3	10	24%	10%	57	-1.2	163/305/196	33	199	4	16	18%	13%	48	-0.4
✕Kelvin Alarcon 2019 · A	20	43	35→30	48→55	51	200/292/258	58	284	3	8	28%	11%	57	-1.2	209/271/272	63	327	3	8	34%	7%	50	-1.7	201/262/235	34	319	0	8	34%	7%	34	-0.6
✕Freizer Pedron 2007 · A	20	44	37→40	49→55	42	207/263/283	75	275	4	12	25%	6%	50	-1.8	229/295/302	73	307	3	16	24%	7%	69	-0.4	262/328/337	75	341	2	29	22%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Adonis Pacheco 2011 · A	20	40	35→50	42→55	45	188/250/244	57	257	2	9	26%	7%	34	-2.8	204/261/291	87	267	3	14	23%	7%	50	-1.7	202/257/304	102	256	4	17	21%	6%	49	-0.6
✕Aaron Shipman 2013 · A	21	39→35	35→30	44→50	48	182/265/240	58	277	2	9	32%	10%	40	-2.4	219/302/285	66	307	2	16	26%	10%	67	-0.5	235/324/293	58	319	1	21	24%	11%	73	-0.1
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	198/268/265	67	279	4	12	29%	8%	47	-1.9	206/304/278	72	297	4	26	29%	9%	68	-0.5	217/333/268	51	299	3	35	25%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	50	-1.7	214/303/312	98	272	7	8	22%	10%	76	+0.0	196/299/311	116	258	12	6	27%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Anthony Seigler 2019 · A	20	45→39	38→50	48→55	50	214/284/293	79	268	6	5	22%	8%	61	-1.0	194/272/271	77	286	5	5	31%	9%	52	-1.6	226/317/363	137	277	12	28	21%	11%	91	+0.6
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	36→40	37→45	48→40	48	171/261/237	65	254	5	3	32%	10%	39	-2.5	205/290/309	104	318	11	4	35%	10%	69	-0.4	200/285/307	107	317	13	2	38%	10%	64	-0.5
✕Kleininger Teran 2009 · A	20	45	35→30	43→45	52	208/281/264	56	258	2	5	19%	9%	53	-1.5	228/279/297	69	279	2	4	18%	6%	59	-1.1	243/286/311	68	291	1	2	16%	5%	62	-0.3