Macon Winslow — OGILVIE

Macon WinslowC Clearwater Threshers

Age 22 R/R A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 93 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .273 / .325

PA93

HR2

K%30

BB%7

ISO118

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$10M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	85	74	17	4	1	2	9	22	2	0	0	230	329	392	721	162	300	26	11	326	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	85	77	13	3	1	1	6	30	2	0	0	169	247	273	520	104	270	35	7	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	85	77	13	3	1	1	6	30	2	0	0	169	247	273	520	104	261	35	7	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	85	74	17	4	1	2	9	22	2	0	0	230	329	392	721	162	300	26	11	326	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	85	77	13	3	1	1	6	30	2	0	0	169	247	273	520	104	270	35	7	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	85	77	13	3	1	1	6	30	2	0	0	169	247	273	520	104	270	35	7	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	195	177	38	7	2	4	14	59	2	2	1	210	275	328	603	118	290	30	7	272	70	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	182	165	37	7	2	4	13	55	2	1	0	213	279	335	614	123	291	30	7	276	73	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	PHI	46%	294	267	57	11	2	6	21	87	4	2	1	215	282	342	624	126	292	30	7	280	76	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	362	329	71	13	3	8	26	105	4	3	1	217	284	346	631	129	292	29	7	283	78	-10	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.5
2031	26	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	406	368	80	15	3	9	30	117	5	3	1	219	286	350	636	131	291	29	7	285	79	-10	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.6
2032	27	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	427	387	84	16	3	9	32	122	5	3	1	219	287	350	637	131	291	29	7	286	79	-10	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.7
2033	28	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	437	396	85	16	3	9	33	126	5	3	2	217	285	345	630	128	290	29	8	283	78	-12	-0	-1	+8	+9	0.5
2034	29	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	435	395	85	16	3	9	32	127	5	2	2	215	282	339	621	125	288	29	7	279	75	-13	-0	-1	+8	+9	0.3
2035	30	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	431	391	82	15	3	8	32	127	5	2	5	211	278	331	610	120	286	29	7	274	72	-14	-2	-2	+8	+9	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	63	58	12	2	1	1	4	19	1	0	0	214	280	340	621	126	291	30	6	279	73	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	PHI	46%	136	123	27	5	1	3	10	40	2	1	0	217	283	347	630	130	292	29	7	283	76	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	187	169	38	7	2	4	14	54	2	1	0	219	286	352	638	133	292	29	7	286	78	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	220	199	44	8	2	5	16	63	3	2	1	220	288	356	643	136	292	29	7	288	79	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	232	210	46	8	2	5	17	66	3	2	1	220	288	356	644	136	291	28	7	288	79	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2033	28	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	237	214	47	9	2	5	18	68	3	1	1	219	286	351	637	133	290	29	8	286	78	-6	-0	-0	+4	+5	0.3
2034	29	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	231	209	45	8	2	5	17	67	3	1	1	216	283	345	628	129	289	29	7	282	75	-7	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	226	205	44	8	2	5	17	67	2	1	2	213	279	337	616	124	287	30	8	277	72	-8	-1	-1	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1532	1387	303	55	14	33	113	444	19	9	6	218	286	350	636	131	294	29	7	284	76	-43	-1	-2	+27	+33	1.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	128	23	6	14	48	188	8	4	3	218	286	349	634	131	293	29	7	284	76	-18	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3152	2860	612	115	24	65	232	924	38	20	13	214	282	339	621	125	290	29	7	280	76	-87	-1	-4	+55	+66	3.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	126	24	5	13	48	191	8	4	3	214	282	337	619	124	290	29	7	280	76	-18	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.4	1,624	34	11	217	281	344	+29	+20	2.7	2.6
/162	664	14	4	+11.9	+8.2	1.1	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Macon Winslow (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	208/273/325	117	290	2	1	30%	7%	70	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrew Susac 2013 · A	23	42→39	43→50	45→30	45	206/281/318	112	290	11	4	31%	9%	71	-0.8	222/298/364	142	296	16	3	29%	9%	88	+0.4	223/303/379	156	290	18	1	28%	9%	91	+0.3
✕Pablo Aliendo 2023 · A	22	44	41→50	44→45	39	212/274/305	93	304	9	5	32%	6%	65	-1.2	204/270/346	142	306	16	5	37%	6%	74	-0.5	183/251/335	152	281	19	3	40%	6%	62	-0.8
✕Nick Hutchins 2019 · A	23	42	45→50	47→40	38	209/265/339	129	291	12	3	31%	5%	70	-0.9	205/246/304	99	290	8	5	31%	4%	54	-2.0	191/219/276	85	269	7	4	31%	2%	34	-1.7
✕Bryan Holaday 2011 · A	23	42	42→45	47→40	42	201/282/303	102	295	9	5	33%	8%	69	-0.9	214/267/303	89	277	7	6	24%	6%	61	-1.5	214/275/334	120	247	13	2	19%	6%	74	-0.2
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	46→50	44→40	39	182/248/308	126	266	15	5	36%	7%	57	-1.8	208/266/323	115	283	12	4	30%	7%	66	-1.1	206/265/315	109	274	12	2	28%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Rodolfo Castro 2021 · A	22	38→42	48→55	46→50	35	200/242/343	143	282	16	6	35%	5%	61	-1.5	216/272/376	160	285	20	8	31%	6%	81	-0.1	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Darrien Miller 2024 · A	23	39→42	44→45	48→45	47	194/289/310	116	258	12	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	192/313/294	102	262	8	5	27%	11%	80	-0.2	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Yu Chang 2017 · A	21	41→47	45→50	49→45	38	207/258/338	131	290	12	8	32%	6%	66	-1.1	209/270/355	146	291	16	8	32%	7%	75	-0.5	217/278/367	150	284	17	4	29%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Pedro Pagés 2022 · A	23	43→44	43→50	42→40	42	211/278/315	104	301	11	4	32%	7%	69	-0.9	213/278/334	121	292	14	4	30%	8%	74	-0.6	224/283/361	136	280	17	2	26%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	49	206/292/311	105	279	9	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	222/303/310	88	316	7	6	29%	9%	78	-0.3	239/331/311	72	336	7	6	28%	11%	86	+0.1
✕Miguel Palma 2024 · A	22	45	45	46→40	43	225/282/345	121	284	13	4	26%	6%	77	-0.3	206/270/306	100	275	10	4	27%	7%	64	-1.3	183/256/276	93	240	11	1	28%	7%	49	-0.8
✕Kendall Simmons 2022 · A	22	41	48→50	49→50	39	208/274/357	149	292	15	9	33%	6%	78	-0.3	200/263/343	143	284	16	9	34%	6%	70	-0.8	201/265/348	147	289	17	7	35%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Jason Lopez 2021 · A	23	41	43→50	46→45	38	204/251/318	114	286	10	7	32%	5%	59	-1.6	198/261/298	100	298	9	10	34%	8%	58	-1.7	169/237/256	87	252	9	10	35%	8%	38	-0.8
✕Rodolfo Durán 2021 · A	23	40	47→50	47→45	36	209/246/340	131	279	16	4	31%	4%	62	-1.4	203/244/336	133	263	14	4	28%	5%	61	-1.5	229/272/378	149	281	17	3	25%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Kevin Padlo 2018 · A	22	37→42	46→55	44→50	48	186/273/317	131	265	13	8	33%	10%	68	-1.0	200/284/350	150	294	15	9	35%	9%	80	-0.2	196/269/361	165	267	20	12	33%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Luca Tresh 2022 · A	22	44→42	41→50	49→40	39	209/261/310	101	312	8	7	35%	6%	61	-1.5	211/273/348	137	275	17	4	28%	8%	75	-0.5	201/265/338	137	254	18	2	28%	7%	67	-0.7
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	42	40→50	49→40	44	206/262/301	95	270	7	6	26%	6%	59	-1.6	193/252/308	115	279	11	4	33%	6%	58	-1.7	215/280/358	143	272	16	1	27%	7%	77	-0.1
✕Yorberto Mejicano 2023 · A	22	46	43→45	48→45	41	225/274/332	107	299	11	8	28%	6%	71	-0.8	221/277/330	109	296	10	9	27%	6%	72	-0.7	213/273/322	109	278	10	9	26%	7%	67	-0.4
✕Jake Rogers 2018 · A	23	41→40	44→60	47→45	42	205/269/329	123	282	11	10	30%	7%	69	-0.9	200/273/347	147	275	17	7	32%	8%	75	-0.5	210/288/419	208	272	29	1	33%	8%	97	+0.6
✕Jack Payton 2024 · A	22	45	40→45	51→45	38	216/272/307	91	306	8	9	31%	5%	65	-1.2	213/291/319	106	300	9	6	30%	8%	75	-0.5	211/289/318	107	294	9	6	29%	8%	73	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps