Zander Mueth

P Bradenton Marauders

Age 22 RHP 6'6" / 205 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

Scout OFP45ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	MIX2 levels	20	19	74	2.31	3.34	23.8%	15.1%	—	K 16.6% · BB 18.3% · FIP 4.52
2025	20	MIX2 levels	12	12	26	6.58	4.33	25.2%	21.5%	—	K 17.9% · BB 25.4% · FIP 5.47
2026	21	MIX2 levels	14	10	35	8.66	6.98	15.5%	18.8%	—	K 12.0% · BB 22.5% · FIP 7.83
2027PROJ	22	MLBPIT	8	8	45	6.33	6.33	16.4%	20.0%	-0.7
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBPIT	4	4	23	5.88	5.71	18.8%	16.9%	-0.2
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBPIT	6	6	33	5.49	5.31	20.3%	14.9%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff52Control40Command43FB velo57

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsJackson Fristoe (age 22) · Kyle Larsen (age 21) · Marco Jimenez (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 153145vR 137

ERA6.33

FIP6.33

K%16.4%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-3.6%

Proj IP45

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF5055

CTRL4040

CMD4045

K†4050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	19	74	332	79	50	2	95%	3.7	16.6%	18.3%	-1.7%	0.9%	2.31	4.52	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	19	74	332	79	50	2	95%	3.7	16.6%	18.3%	-1.7%	0.9%	2.31	4.52	—
2024	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	19	74	332	79	50	2	95%	3.7	23.8%	15.1%	8.7%	0.6%	2.31	3.34	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	12	26	135	34	29	1	100%	2.2	17.9%	25.4%	-7.6%	1.2%	6.58	5.47	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	12	26	135	34	29	1	100%	2.2	17.9%	25.4%	-7.6%	1.2%	6.58	5.47	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	12	26	135	34	29	1	100%	2.2	25.2%	21.5%	3.7%	0.7%	6.58	4.33	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	10	35	181	28	34	7	71%	2.5	12.0%	22.5%	-10.5%	5.3%	8.66	7.83	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	10	35	181	28	34	7	71%	2.5	12.0%	22.5%	-10.5%	5.3%	8.66	7.83	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	10	35	181	28	34	7	71%	2.5	15.5%	18.8%	-3.3%	3.9%	8.66	6.98	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	PIT	8	8	45	190	31	38	6	100%	5.6	16.4%	20.0%	-3.6%	3.1%	6.33	6.33	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	PIT	8	8	46	195	37	33	6	100%	5.8	18.8%	16.9%	1.9%	3.0%	5.88	5.71	-0.4
2029	24	MLB MLE	PIT	8	8	48	201	41	30	6	100%	5.9	20.3%	14.9%	5.4%	3.0%	5.49	5.31	-0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	PIT	8	8	48	203	43	28	6	100%	6.0	21.2%	13.6%	7.6%	3.0%	5.21	5.05	-0.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	PIT	8	8	48	203	44	27	6	100%	6.0	21.6%	13.4%	8.2%	3.0%	5.08	5.00	-0.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	PIT	8	8	47	200	43	27	6	100%	5.9	21.6%	13.5%	8.1%	3.0%	5.05	5.04	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	PIT	4	4	23	97	18	16	3	100%	5.8	18.8%	16.9%	1.9%	3.0%	5.88	5.71	-0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	PIT	6	6	33	139	28	21	4	100%	5.5	20.3%	14.9%	5.4%	3.0%	5.49	5.31	-0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	PIT	7	7	39	165	35	22	5	100%	5.6	21.2%	13.6%	7.6%	3.0%	5.21	5.05	-0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	PIT	7	7	42	177	38	24	5	100%	6.0	21.6%	13.4%	8.2%	3.0%	5.08	5.00	-0.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	PIT	7	7	43	182	39	24	6	100%	6.1	21.6%	13.5%	8.1%	3.0%	5.05	5.04	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		31	31	180	759	159	108	23	100%	5.8	20.9%	14.2%	6.7%	3.0%	5.28	4.79	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	177	120	26	100%	5.8	20.9%	14.2%	6.7%	3.0%	5.28	4.79	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		46	41	135	648	101	136	14	89%	2.9	15.6%	21.0%	-5.4%	2.2%	4.79	5.64	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	61	200	958	149	201	21	89%	2.9	15.6%	21.0%	-5.4%	2.2%	4.79	5.64	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zander Mueth (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.33	16.4%	20.0%	3.1%	—	5.35	20.1%	5.0%	142	-0.98	—	—	—
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	90
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	87
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	83
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	81
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	81
Gage Stanifer R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	20	SP	5.65	17.2%	21.4%	2.4%	.318	3.96	26.2%	11.6%	199	-1.69	2.85	301	80
Holt Jones R 2022 · 6.63 FIP	23	SP	6.63	17.9%	19.5%	4.7%	.296	4.64	18.4%	0.8%	147	-1.99	4.21	254	80
Kohl Franklin R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	22	SP	5.24	17.8%	14.6%	3.3%	.320	5.66	19.9%	7.9%	105	+0.42	4.38	205	80
Hunter Parks R 2023 · 5.15 FIP	22	SP	5.15	18.9%	19.3%	2.2%	.265	4.95	20.8%	4.6%	139	-0.20	4.42	301	79
Fernando Baez R 2015 · 6.56 FIP	23	SP-	6.56	18.6%	18.8%	4.8%	.322	4.51	26.9%	7.8%	94	-2.05	3.45	129	79
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	79
Dane Acker R 2022 · 5.60 FIP	23	SP	5.60	19.3%	15.2%	4.0%	.284	4.39	20.2%	8.6%	215	-1.21	4.29	257	78
Noah Hall R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	23	SP	5.65	15.1%	17.0%	3.1%	.450	4.88	18.6%	3.6%	236	-0.77	4.27	248	78
Luis Mora R 2016 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	16.3%	15.4%	3.8%	.303	5.27	23.9%	1.2%	43	-0.51	3.95	119	78
Peyton Pallette R 2023 · 5.56 FIP	22	SP	5.56	18.0%	15.1%	3.8%	.254	3.91	23.8%	12.0%	201	-1.65	3.54	273	78
Rubén Menes R 2024 · 5.62 FIP	22	SP-	5.62	15.8%	15.2%	3.5%	.235	4.77	15.6%	2.4%	81	-0.85	3.39	112	78
Trey Riley R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	10.6%	19.0%	2.1%	.344	5.78	17.4%	5.2%	74	-0.00	4.35	227	77
Dylan Questad R 2024 · 6.95 FIP	19	SP-	6.95	17.6%	24.0%	4.2%	.392	6.50	17.3%	-5.3%	89	-0.45	6.31	117	77
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	76
Andrew Landry R 2024 · 5.70 FIP	22	SP	5.70	9.8%	20.7%	1.5%	.290	4.09	17.2%	5.1%	157	-1.61	3.22	177	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.4	47	20.0%	15.3%	1.17	5.50
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*