Zander Mueth P Bradenton Marauders
Age 21 RHP 6'6" / 205 lbs A peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION18 act + 36 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 150141vR 131
ERA5.84
FIP5.84
K%19.1%
BB%19.3%
K-BB%-0.2%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP
K: -2.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-2KBB: -6.9 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-7BBCONTACT: -3.2 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-3CONTACTSTAM: +2.2 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -1.05 (54 IP)-1.1WAR
-0.10.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
OFP45
STUF5050
CTRL4040
CMD3540
K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202419MIX2 levels2019743327950295%3.716.6%18.3%-1.7%1.0%2.314.57
202419MIX2 levels2019743327950295%3.723.8%15.1%8.7%0.6%2.313.34
202520MIX2 levels12122613534291100%2.217.9%25.4%-7.6%1.3%6.585.52
202520MIX2 levels12122613534291100%2.225.2%21.5%3.7%0.7%6.584.33
▸ 2026 Season
202621ABradenton Marauders6518931516383%3.011.9%20.3%-8.4%4.2%8.006.97-0.5
ROS21MLBPIT663615129294100%6.019.1%19.3%-0.2%2.8%5.845.84-0.5
ROS21MLBPIT019.1%19.3%-0.2%2.8%5.845.84
2026 TOT21MLBPIT542444445718.0%18.5%-0.5%2.9%6.566.22-1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722MLBPIT773815833264100%5.420.9%16.4%4.5%2.7%5.455.30-0.3
202722MLBPIT33187616122100%6.020.9%16.4%4.5%2.7%5.455.30-0.2
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career44187816132100%4.620.9%16.4%4.5%2.7%5.454.92-0.1
/ 200 IP393920084417414122100%5.120.9%16.4%4.5%2.7%5.454.92+1.1
Career383611856090114995%3.116.1%20.4%-4.2%1.6%4.125.20+0.3
/ 200 IP64612009491531931595%3.116.1%20.4%-4.2%1.6%4.125.20+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Zander Mueth (OGILVIE) 5.84 19.1%19.3%2.8% 5.30 20.9%4.5%38 -0.54
Alex McFarlane R 2027 · 4.91 FIP 22 SP 4.91 21.9%19.2%2.2%.344 4.02 20.5%6.2%108 -0.89 3.64 159 86
Jackson Fristoe R 2027 · 5.78 FIP 22 SP- 5.78 17.0%24.2%1.9%.258 6.42 15.6%-2.0%110 +0.64 4.79 138 83
Nolan Perry R 2025 · 4.88 FIP 20 SP 4.88 20.4%22.2%1.2%.303 3.24 29.0%19.3%52 -1.64 3.24 136 83
Marco Jimenez R 2027 · 5.16 FIP 22 SP- 5.16 19.6%17.7%2.7%.372 4.06 18.3%6.7%148 -1.10 3.36 183 83
Dane Acker R 2028 · 5.44 FIP 23 SP 5.44 19.3%15.2%3.7%.284 4.44 20.3%8.3%215 -1.00 4.23 257 83
Jose Diaz R 2026 · 5.40 FIP 21 SP 5.40 16.5%17.5%2.7%.357 4.96 17.6%0.9%89 -0.44 3.95 189 82
Steven Brooks R 2027 · 5.61 FIP 22 SP 5.61 16.6%17.9%3.0%.268 4.80 25.0%9.8%40 -0.81 4.80 103 82
Victor Mederos R 2026 · 5.03 FIP 21 SP 5.03 15.6%14.0%2.7%.286 5.29 16.5%5.4%301 +0.26 4.19 360 82
Kohl Franklin R 2027 · 5.37 FIP 22 SP 5.37 17.8%14.6%3.5%.320 5.45 19.9%7.9%105 +0.08 5.37 174 81
Esteban Mejia R 2024 · 6.99 FIP 19 SP 6.99 16.0%31.0%2.4%.303 2.97 122 81
Hyun-Seok Jang R 2026 · 5.37 FIP 21 SP 5.37 22.8%21.6%2.7%.224 5.11 20.3%8.7%62 -0.26 5.11 127 81
Chen-Wei Lin R 2026 · 6.46 FIP 21 SP 6.46 21.3%22.0%4.3%.379 3.67 20.8%8.1%221 -2.79 3.03 233 81
Joey Oakie R 2025 · 5.67 FIP 20 SP 5.67 18.9%22.6%2.4%.359 4.30 105 80
Luis Hernandez R 2026 · 4.86 FIP 21 SP 4.86 16.7%14.0%2.5%.311 6.15 21.4%4.1%64 +1.29 4.16 109 80
Mason Denaburg R 2027 · 4.88 FIP 22 SP 4.88 16.3%16.4%2.0%.278 5.91 13.1%-7.7%92 +1.03 4.45 151 80
Ryan Harvey R 2027 · 4.98 FIP 22 SP 4.98 16.7%13.1%3.0%.294 3.81 16.9%3.9%66 -1.17 3.56 112 80
Kyle Larsen R 2026 · 5.50 FIP 21 SP- 5.50 15.8%17.9%2.7%.274 5.00 20.2%6.7%77 -0.50 4.71 137 80
Felix Cepeda R 2026 · 6.04 FIP 21 SP 6.04 17.0%21.6%3.0%.276 4.84 17.6%0.9%144 -1.20 3.61 204 79
Jeter Martinez R 2025 · 4.89 FIP 20 SP 4.89 15.7%15.9%2.0%.307 3.51 209 79
Ryan Degges R 2027 · 5.50 FIP 22 SP- 5.50 15.1%16.7%2.8%.296 6.74 21.2%5.9%21 +1.24 5.50 102 78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION23720.0%17.8%1.075.64
Touki Toussaint ('24)74023.1%14.1%1.255.39
Amir Garrett ('23)65125.8%13.4%1.505.10
Daniel Bard ('23)45025.1%13.5%0.813.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)510419.2%13.3%0.944.48
John Gant ('21)48520.1%12.5%0.793.91
Fernando Rodney ('19)55924.6%11.8%0.884.21