Zander Mueth
P
Bradenton Marauders
Age 21
RHP
6'6" / 205 lbs
A
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION18 act + 36 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 150141vR 131
ERA5.84
FIP5.84
K%19.1%
BB%19.3%
K-BB%-0.2%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 19 | 74 | 332 | 79 | 50 | 2 | 95% | 3.7 | 16.6% | 18.3% | -1.7% | 1.0% | 2.31 | 4.57 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 19 | 74 | 332 | 79 | 50 | 2 | 95% | 3.7 | 23.8% | 15.1% | 8.7% | 0.6% | 2.31 | 3.34 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 12 | 26 | 135 | 34 | 29 | 1 | 100% | 2.2 | 17.9% | 25.4% | -7.6% | 1.3% | 6.58 | 5.52 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 12 | 26 | 135 | 34 | 29 | 1 | 100% | 2.2 | 25.2% | 21.5% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 6.58 | 4.33 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 6 | 5 | 18 | 93 | 15 | 16 | 3 | 83% | 3.0 | 11.9% | 20.3% | -8.4% | 4.2% | 8.00 | 6.97 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | PIT | 6 | 6 | 36 | 151 | 29 | 29 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.1% | 19.3% | -0.2% | 2.8% | 5.84 | 5.84 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.1% | 19.3% | -0.2% | 2.8% | 5.84 | 5.84 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 54 | 244 | 44 | 45 | 7 | — | — | 18.0% | 18.5% | -0.5% | 2.9% | 6.56 | 6.22 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | PIT | 7 | 7 | 38 | 158 | 33 | 26 | 4 | 100% | 5.4 | 20.9% | 16.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 5.45 | 5.30 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | PIT | 3 | 3 | 18 | 76 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.9% | 16.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 5.45 | 5.30 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4 | 4 | 18 | 78 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 100% | 4.6 | 20.9% | 16.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 5.45 | 4.92 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 39 | 200 | 844 | 174 | 141 | 22 | 100% | 5.1 | 20.9% | 16.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 5.45 | 4.92 | +1.1 | ||
| Career | — | 38 | 36 | 118 | 560 | 90 | 114 | 9 | 95% | 3.1 | 16.1% | 20.4% | -4.2% | 1.6% | 4.12 | 5.20 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 64 | 61 | 200 | 949 | 153 | 193 | 15 | 95% | 3.1 | 16.1% | 20.4% | -4.2% | 1.6% | 4.12 | 5.20 | +0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zander Mueth (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.84 | 19.1% | 19.3% | 2.8% | — | 5.30 | 20.9% | 4.5% | 38 | -0.54 | — | — | — |
| Alex McFarlane R 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.91 | 21.9% | 19.2% | 2.2% | .344 | 4.02 | 20.5% | 6.2% | 108 | -0.89 | 3.64 | 159 | 86 |
| Jackson Fristoe R 2027 · 5.78 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.78 | 17.0% | 24.2% | 1.9% | .258 | 6.42 | 15.6% | -2.0% | 110 | +0.64 | 4.79 | 138 | 83 |
| Nolan Perry R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.88 | 20.4% | 22.2% | 1.2% | .303 | 3.24 | 29.0% | 19.3% | 52 | -1.64 | 3.24 | 136 | 83 |
| Marco Jimenez R 2027 · 5.16 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.6% | 17.7% | 2.7% | .372 | 4.06 | 18.3% | 6.7% | 148 | -1.10 | 3.36 | 183 | 83 |
| Dane Acker R 2028 · 5.44 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.44 | 19.3% | 15.2% | 3.7% | .284 | 4.44 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 215 | -1.00 | 4.23 | 257 | 83 |
| Jose Diaz R 2026 · 5.40 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.40 | 16.5% | 17.5% | 2.7% | .357 | 4.96 | 17.6% | 0.9% | 89 | -0.44 | 3.95 | 189 | 82 |
| Steven Brooks R 2027 · 5.61 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.61 | 16.6% | 17.9% | 3.0% | .268 | 4.80 | 25.0% | 9.8% | 40 | -0.81 | 4.80 | 103 | 82 |
| Victor Mederos R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.03 | 15.6% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .286 | 5.29 | 16.5% | 5.4% | 301 | +0.26 | 4.19 | 360 | 82 |
| Kohl Franklin R 2027 · 5.37 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.37 | 17.8% | 14.6% | 3.5% | .320 | 5.45 | 19.9% | 7.9% | 105 | +0.08 | 5.37 | 174 | 81 |
| Esteban Mejia R 2024 · 6.99 FIP | 19 | SP | 6.99 | 16.0% | 31.0% | 2.4% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.97 | 122 | 81 |
| Hyun-Seok Jang R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.37 | 22.8% | 21.6% | 2.7% | .224 | 5.11 | 20.3% | 8.7% | 62 | -0.26 | 5.11 | 127 | 81 |
| Chen-Wei Lin R 2026 · 6.46 FIP | 21 | SP | 6.46 | 21.3% | 22.0% | 4.3% | .379 | 3.67 | 20.8% | 8.1% | 221 | -2.79 | 3.03 | 233 | 81 |
| Joey Oakie R 2025 · 5.67 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.67 | 18.9% | 22.6% | 2.4% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.30 | 105 | 80 |
| Luis Hernandez R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.86 | 16.7% | 14.0% | 2.5% | .311 | 6.15 | 21.4% | 4.1% | 64 | +1.29 | 4.16 | 109 | 80 |
| Mason Denaburg R 2027 · 4.88 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.88 | 16.3% | 16.4% | 2.0% | .278 | 5.91 | 13.1% | -7.7% | 92 | +1.03 | 4.45 | 151 | 80 |
| Ryan Harvey R 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.98 | 16.7% | 13.1% | 3.0% | .294 | 3.81 | 16.9% | 3.9% | 66 | -1.17 | 3.56 | 112 | 80 |
| Kyle Larsen R 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.50 | 15.8% | 17.9% | 2.7% | .274 | 5.00 | 20.2% | 6.7% | 77 | -0.50 | 4.71 | 137 | 80 |
| Felix Cepeda R 2026 · 6.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 6.04 | 17.0% | 21.6% | 3.0% | .276 | 4.84 | 17.6% | 0.9% | 144 | -1.20 | 3.61 | 204 | 79 |
| Jeter Martinez R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.89 | 15.7% | 15.9% | 2.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 209 | 79 |
| Ryan Degges R 2027 · 5.50 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.50 | 15.1% | 16.7% | 2.8% | .296 | 6.74 | 21.2% | 5.9% | 21 | +1.24 | 5.50 | 102 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 37 | 20.0% | 17.8% | 1.07 | 5.64 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |