Roiner Quintana — OGILVIE

Roiner QuintanaOF FCL Astros

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 157 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION134 act + 12 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .250 / .182

PA12

HR0

K%25

BB%8

BABIP282

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE59

scouting grade only

SPEED61

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	125	109	22	3	1	3	15	23	0	10	3	202	298	330	629	128	226	18	12	286	80	-3	+1	—	—	+3	0.0
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	147	123	36	4	1	2	23	28	1	10	4	293	408	390	798	98	366	19	16	367	134	+6	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2024	19	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	148	118	17	3	1	1	25	23	3	15	1	144	308	212	520	68	167	16	17	257	60	-7	+3	—	—	+3	-0.1
2025	20	ROK	FCL Astros	—	79	66	18	4	1	0	11	14	2	3	4	273	392	364	756	91	346	18	14	350	123	+2	-1	—	—	+2	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	—	125	116	18	2	1	2	8	34	0	10	3	155	210	241	451	86	188	27	6	204	24	-11	+1	—	—	+3	-0.8
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	147	132	29	3	1	2	14	40	1	10	4	220	299	303	602	83	293	27	10	261	63	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	148	128	15	2	1	1	15	34	3	15	1	117	226	172	398	55	142	23	10	188	13	-15	+3	—	—	+3	-1.0
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	79	70	15	3	1	0	7	20	2	3	4	214	304	286	590	71	281	25	9	249	55	-4	-1	—	—	+2	-0.4
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	—	125	116	18	2	1	2	8	34	0	10	3	155	210	241	451	86	198	27	6	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Orange	—	125	109	22	3	1	3	15	23	0	10	3	202	298	330	629	128	226	18	12	286	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	147	132	29	3	1	2	14	40	1	10	4	220	299	303	602	83	300	27	10	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	147	123	36	4	1	2	23	28	1	10	4	293	408	390	798	98	366	19	16	367	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	148	128	15	2	1	1	15	34	3	15	1	117	226	172	398	55	147	23	10	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	148	118	17	3	1	1	25	23	3	15	1	144	308	212	520	68	167	16	17	257	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	79	70	15	3	1	0	7	20	2	3	4	214	304	286	590	71	300	25	9	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	—	79	66	18	4	1	0	11	14	2	3	4	273	392	364	756	91	346	18	14	350	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	—	125	116	18	2	1	2	8	34	0	10	3	155	210	241	451	86	188	27	6	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	147	131	29	3	1	2	14	40	1	10	4	221	299	305	605	84	293	27	10	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	148	129	15	2	1	1	15	34	3	15	1	116	226	171	397	54	142	23	10	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	79	70	15	3	1	0	7	20	2	3	4	214	304	286	590	71	281	25	9	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	147	131	29	3	1	2	14	40	1	10	4	221	299	305	605	84	293	27	10	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	148	129	15	2	1	1	15	34	3	15	1	116	226	171	397	54	142	23	10	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	79	70	15	3	1	0	7	20	2	3	4	214	304	286	590	71	281	25	9	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	ROK MLE	HOU	—	134	117	23	1	1	2	12	42	3	9	3	197	288	274	561	77	280	31	9	263	64	-6	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	ROK RAW	HOU	—	134	110	30	2	2	3	19	29	3	9	3	273	394	409	803	136	338	22	14	361	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	ROK MLE	HOU	0%	12	11	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	182	250	182	432		280	25	8	266	67	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	ROK MLE	HOU	—	146	128	25	1	1	2	13	45	3	9	3	195	285	266	550	70	277	31	9	263	64	-6	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	194	173	37	6	1	3	17	52	2	5	1	214	292	312	604	98	284	27	9	279	75	-6	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2028	23	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	308	274	61	10	2	6	27	81	4	8	2	223	302	339	641	117	286	26	9	285	79	-8	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	389	347	77	12	3	8	34	101	5	10	3	222	301	343	643	121	287	26	9	289	82	-8	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	436	390	87	14	3	9	38	113	5	11	3	223	300	344	644	121	287	26	9	291	83	-9	+1	+0	-3	+9	-0.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	464	414	92	15	3	10	41	120	6	12	3	222	302	345	647	123	287	26	9	292	83	-9	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	476	425	94	15	3	10	42	124	6	12	3	221	300	341	641	120	286	26	9	292	84	-9	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	479	427	94	15	3	10	43	125	6	12	3	220	300	340	640	119	286	26	9	291	83	-10	+1	-1	-3	+10	-0.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	474	422	93	15	3	10	43	125	6	11	3	220	301	341	643	121	285	26	9	289	82	-10	+1	-1	-3	+10	-0.3
2027	22	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	67	60	12	2	0	1	6	18	1	2	0	200	284	283	567	83	286	27	9	270	75	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	149	133	30	5	1	3	13	39	2	4	1	226	304	346	650	120	287	26	9	277	79	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	205	182	41	7	1	4	18	53	3	5	1	225	305	341	646	115	289	26	9	281	82	-4	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	239	213	48	8	2	5	21	62	3	6	2	225	304	352	656	127	289	26	9	282	83	-5	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	258	230	51	8	2	5	23	67	3	6	2	222	301	339	640	117	289	26	9	283	83	-5	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	262	234	52	9	2	5	23	68	3	7	2	222	300	342	642	120	288	26	9	283	84	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	262	233	51	8	2	5	24	68	3	6	2	219	300	335	635	116	288	26	9	282	83	-5	+0	-0	-2	+6	-0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	253	225	50	8	2	5	23	67	3	6	2	222	303	342	645	120	287	26	9	280	82	-6	+0	-1	-2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1695	1510	335	55	12	33	151	442	21	42	12	222	301	340	641	118	290	26	9	281	76	-36	+4	-1	-10	+37	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	129	21	5	13	58	169	8	16	5	223	302	344	646	121	290	26	9	281	76	-14	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3731	3329	714	112	25	71	330	972	46	119	33	214	294	327	621	113	279	26	9	280	76	-70	+8	-2	-19	+70	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	124	20	4	12	57	169	8	21	6	214	293	324	617	110	279	26	9	280	76	-14	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.7	1,784	35	44	221	297	339	-11	+0	0.3	0.4
/162	664	13	16	-4.0	+0.0	0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Roiner Quintana (OGILVIE)	21	41→46	34→39	56→61	59	204/283/292	88	280	1	3	28%	9%	67	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cody Freeman 2022 · A	21	43→53	41→50	53→50	48	209/283/307	98	259	8	11	22%	8%	70	-0.9	206/261/321	115	251	13	9	23%	6%	63	-1.3	248/292/385	137	277	15	10	16%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	74	-0.5	227/292/341	114	308	10	10	28%	6%	80	-0.1	222/278/328	106	295	10	8	27%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→48	42→50	56→50	42	223/275/338	115	301	9	15	28%	6%	72	-0.7	214/270/329	115	284	10	12	27%	6%	69	-0.9	226/275/366	139	277	16	14	24%	5%	77	-0.3
✕Albertson Asigen 2023 · A	21	48	36→40	56→55	47	220/289/287	67	302	2	12	26%	8%	66	-1.1	221/299/304	83	342	6	20	34%	8%	74	-0.5	212/299/299	88	345	7	27	37%	9%	70	-0.3
✕Brandon Lockridge 2019 · A	22	48→55	38→45	55→65	44	225/292/317	92	312	4	10	28%	7%	74	-0.5	209/258/329	120	307	11	14	34%	5%	64	-1.3	253/321/335	81	356	3	53	27%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Wes Rogers 2015 · A	21	45→51	41→40	57→65	42	217/271/315	97	295	9	18	28%	6%	65	-1.2	224/281/312	88	298	5	34	25%	7%	69	-0.9	227/285/318	91	299	5	42	24%	6%	69	-0.7
✕Kristopher Negrón 2007 · A	21	43→50	39→45	56→55	44	206/262/291	85	252	6	12	20%	5%	57	-1.8	214/276/298	84	281	5	18	24%	6%	64	-1.3	226/289/352	126	323	14	14	32%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	40→49	38→45	59→55	46	192/267/282	90	275	4	17	30%	8%	57	-1.8	216/291/301	85	288	6	17	25%	9%	70	-0.8	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Lane Adams 2011 · A	21	44→46	37→45	57→60	40	206/257/280	74	300	4	14	31%	6%	52	-2.2	213/263/314	101	299	8	14	30%	6%	62	-1.4	227/280/350	123	310	14	36	30%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
●Maikel Garcia 2021 · A	21	43→53	36→50	51→60	42	203/261/270	67	295	3	13	31%	7%	51	-2.2	244/303/338	94	314	6	24	22%	8%	82	+0.0	261/321/393	132	295	10	24	15%	8%	100	+1.2
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	43→51	40→45	59→55	40	207/258/309	101	292	7	20	30%	6%	59	-1.7	225/281/337	112	302	8	18	27%	6%	74	-0.5	227/288/340	113	297	9	18	25%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Jared Serna 2023 · A	21	41→48	43→45	54→50	49	203/292/313	110	263	10	21	26%	9%	75	-0.5	220/278/337	117	273	11	15	23%	6%	74	-0.6	216/272/322	106	264	10	16	22%	6%	65	-1.1
✕Ryan Vilade 2021 · A	22	47→51	41→55	51→50	46	226/283/325	100	287	8	13	24%	7%	72	-0.7	221/279/309	88	288	6	11	24%	7%	67	-1.1	225/289/385	159	278	18	15	25%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Dru Baker 2022 · A	22	45→55	38→40	56→60	41	213/266/296	82	298	4	14	29%	6%	59	-1.6	243/300/346	103	343	9	30	30%	7%	84	+0.1	253/307/340	88	352	8	39	29%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Evan Van Hoosier 2015 · A	21	46→47	44→50	56→50	44	227/279/354	127	284	10	10	23%	6%	78	-0.3	229/273/336	107	306	6	9	26%	5%	70	-0.8	232/274/341	110	322	5	10	28%	4%	70	-0.3
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2017 · A	21	44→38	39→50	55	45	208/278/297	89	275	6	19	25%	7%	65	-1.2	201/273/331	130	270	13	18	29%	7%	71	-0.8	188/266/323	135	254	14	19	30%	8%	65	-1.0
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	40→46	40	53→60	46	188/283/278	90	291	7	16	35%	10%	63	-1.3	193/292/274	81	290	6	18	32%	11%	66	-1.1	205/292/276	72	294	4	31	28%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Anthony Alford 2014 · A	20	44→51	40→45	55	45	208/281/305	97	297	6	12	30%	8%	68	-1.0	210/283/305	95	343	7	16	37%	8%	69	-0.9	215/296/306	91	327	7	21	33%	9%	71	-0.5
✕Junior Boni 2012 · A	21	44	37→40	55	48	204/278/285	80	264	2	16	22%	8%	62	-1.4	200/272/276	76	269	3	12	25%	8%	57	-1.8	146/233/191	44	204	0	13	25%	9%	22	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps