Roiner Quintana

OF FCL Astros
Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 157 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202419ROKDSL Astros Or…148.144/.308/.2121157—.103/.226/.159
202520ROKHOU79.273/.392/.3640354—.214/.304/.286
202621ROKHOU134.273/.394/.4093962—.197/.288/.274
2027PROJMLE22MLBHOU244.200/.276/.2893561-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB23MLBHOU39.207/.282/.3041166-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Speed87
wRC+66
ISO59
wOBA52
K%48
BB%41
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsCharcer Burks (age 22) · Nelson Medina (age 22) · David Kandilas (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 69 proj PA
wRC+†61
AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .274 / .286
PA69
HR1
K%28
BB%8
ISO88
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.4 runs (Positional adjustment)-0POSREP: +1.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT41
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE57
scouting grade only
SPEED58
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202217 ROKDSL HOU Orange — 125109 22313 15230 103 202298330629 128226 1812 286 11 — — — — — —
202318 ROKDSL Astros Blue — 147123 36412 23281 104 293408390798 98366 1916 367 49 — — — — — —
202419 ROKDSL Astros Orange — 148118 17311 25233 151 144308212520 68167 1617 257 7 — — — — — —
202520 ROKFCL Astros — 7966 18410 11142 34 273392364756 91346 1814 350 54 — — — — — —
202621 ROKFCL Astros — 134110 30223 19293 93 273394409803 136338 2214 361 62 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202217 ROK MLEDSL HOU Orange — 125114 16212 10290 103 140210228438 88158 238 184 11 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Astros Blue — 147130 24211 16341 104 185279238517 54244 2311 241 49 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEDSL Astros Orange — 148126 13211 17293 151 103226159385 56117 2011 178 7 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 7970 15310 7202 34 214304286590 71280 259 248 54 — — — — — —
202621 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 134117 23112 12423 93 197288274561 77272 319 260 62 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL HOU Orange — 125114 16212 10290 103 140210228438 88167 238 184 11 — — — — — —
202217 ROK RAWDSL HOU Orange — 125109 22313 15230 103 202298330629 128226 1812 286 11 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Astros Blue — 147130 24211 16341 104 185279238517 54242 2311 241 49 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWDSL Astros Blue — 147123 36412 23281 104 293408390798 98366 1916 367 49 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEDSL Astros Orange — 148126 13211 17293 151 103226159385 56122 2011 178 7 — — — — — —
202419 ROK RAWDSL Astros Orange — 148118 17311 25233 151 144308212520 68167 1617 257 7 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 7970 15310 7202 34 214304286590 71300 259 248 54 — — — — — —
202520 ROK RAWFCL Astros — 7966 18410 11142 34 273392364756 91346 1814 350 54 — — — — — —
202621 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 134117 23112 12423 93 197288274561 77280 319 260 62 — — — — — —
202621 ROK RAWFCL Astros — 134110 30223 19293 93 273394409803 136338 2214 361 62 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL HOU Orange — 125114 16212 10290 103 140210228438 88158 238 184 11 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Astros Blue — 147129 24211 16341 104 186279240519 54244 2311 241 49 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEDSL Astros Orange — 148127 13211 17293 151 102226157384 55117 2011 178 7 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 7970 15310 7202 34 214304286590 71280 259 248 54 — — — — — —
202621 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 134118 23112 12423 93 195288271559 76272 319 260 62 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 ROK MLEDSL Astros Orange — 148127 13211 17293 151 102226157384 55117 2011 178 7 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 7970 15310 7202 34 214304286590 71280 259 248 54 — — — — — —
202621 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 134118 23112 12423 93 195288271559 76272 319 260 62 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLEHOU 0% 244219 44723 20693 51 200276289564 88274 288 259 61 -11 +1 +0 -1 +5 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLEHOU 34% 113102 21312 9311 21 205280301581 96276 278 265 66 -5 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.3
202823 MLB CTXHOU 34% 3936 7101 3110 10 207282304586 97280 288 267 66 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3936 7101 3110 10 194256306562 111250 288 267 41 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650600 11717017 501830 170 195257308565 113250 288 267 41 -27 +3 +0 -4 +14 -1.3
Career— MLE — 815721 1251579 7720411 5016 173263251514 78226 259 229 41 -8 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650575 1001267 611639 4013 174264252516 78227 259 229 41 -28 +1 +0 -4 +14 -1.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Astros · 134 PAwOBA .357 → .260 (−98)K% 21.6% → 31.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.64%÷1.000×1.440——31.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.18%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9858.66%
HBP% /PA2.24%—×0.720—×0.9851.59%
Singles /BIP28.40%÷1.000×0.820×1.028×0.98523.57%
Doubles /BIP2.47%÷1.000×0.720×1.028×0.9851.80%
Triples /BIP2.47%÷1.000×0.720×1.028×0.9851.80%
Home runs /BIP3.70%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9852.85%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.

Result: wOBA .357 → .260; ISO .136 → .099; BABIP .338 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Astros · 79 PAwOBA .342 → .248 (−94)K% 17.7% → 25.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.72%÷0.984×1.440——25.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.92%÷0.992×0.620—×0.9958.66%
HBP% /PA2.53%—×0.720—×0.9951.81%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷0.956×0.820×0.990×0.99521.12%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷0.982×0.720×0.990×0.9955.56%
Triples /BIP1.92%÷1.030×0.720×0.990×0.9951.32%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.023×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 91, 2B 96, 3B 106, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .342 → .248; ISO .091 → .062; BABIP .346 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Astros Orange · 148 PAwOBA .255 → .178 (−77)K% 15.5% → 19.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.54%÷0.966×1.220——19.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.89%÷1.011×0.700—×0.99511.64%
HBP% /PA2.03%—×0.700—×0.9951.41%
Singles /BIP12.63%÷0.946×0.680×1.018×0.9959.19%
Doubles /BIP3.16%÷0.955×0.600×1.018×0.9952.01%
Triples /BIP1.05%÷0.985×0.600×1.018×0.9950.65%
Home runs /BIP1.05%÷0.900×0.470—×0.9950.55%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 89, 2B 91, 3B 97, K 93, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.

Result: wOBA .255 → .178; ISO .068 → .042; BABIP .167 → .117. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Astros Blue · 147 PAwOBA .358 → .241 (−117)K% 19.0% → 23.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.05%÷1.005×1.220——23.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.65%÷0.992×0.700—×1.00811.12%
HBP% /PA0.68%—×0.700—×1.0080.48%
Singles /BIP30.53%÷1.034×0.680×1.039×1.00821.00%
Doubles /BIP4.21%÷1.077×0.600×1.039×1.0082.45%
Triples /BIP1.05%÷1.030×0.600×1.039×1.0080.64%
Home runs /BIP2.11%÷0.950×0.470—×1.0081.05%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 107, 2B 115, 3B 106, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.

Result: wOBA .358 → .241; ISO .098 → .054; BABIP .366 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL HOU Orange · 125 PAwOBA .281 → .184 (−97)K% 18.4% → 23.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.40%÷0.978×1.220——22.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.00%÷1.127×0.700—×1.0227.62%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×1.0220.00%
Singles /BIP17.44%÷0.978×0.680×1.034×1.02212.83%
Doubles /BIP3.49%÷1.051×0.600×1.034×1.0222.11%
Triples /BIP1.16%÷1.035×0.600×1.034×1.0220.71%
Home runs /BIP3.49%÷0.912×0.470—×1.0221.84%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 96, 2B 110, 3B 107, K 96, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.

Result: wOBA .281 → .184; ISO .128 → .072; BABIP .226 → .158. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).