Dalvy Rosario — OGILVIE

Dalvy RosarioOF Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 195 lbs AA HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 211 proj PA

wRC+†24

AVG/OBP/SLG.163 / .206 / .239

PA17

HR0

K%34

BB%5

ISO76

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 21 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT21

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE36

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	18	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	279	249	64	13	2	4	22	64	1	26	3	257	320	373	693	116	324	23	8	305	92	-3	+4	—	—	+6	0.8
2021	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	343	299	67	12	2	3	33	75	5	17	2	224	312	308	619	84	286	22	10	282	77	-9	+3	—	—	+7	0.1
2022	22	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	25	21	8	1	1	0	3	6	0	2	0	381	458	524	982	143	500	24	12	417	168	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	22	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	467	427	107	18	5	9	24	117	7	28	7	251	301	379	681	129	318	25	5	299	89	-6	+3	—	—	+10	0.7
2023	23	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	208	184	41	6	0	5	16	50	4	11	4	223	299	337	636	114	275	24	8	285	79	-5	+1	—	—	+5	-0.0
2023	23	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	214	195	43	5	1	2	15	68	1	9	3	221	280	287	567	67	320	32	7	257	60	-10	+1	—	—	+5	-0.5
2024	24	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	64	62	14	5	0	0	2	22	0	1	0	226	250	306	556	81	350	34	3	249	55	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	131	122	25	2	1	1	5	36	0	6	2	205	236	262	499	57	279	27	4	220	35	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2024	24	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	42	36	5	2	0	1	5	15	0	4	1	139	244	278	522	139	200	36	12	237	46	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	24	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	34	30	4	2	0	1	4	14	0	3	0	133	235	300	535	167	200	41	12	245	52	-2	+1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	25	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	64	56	8	0	1	2	6	19	0	0	0	143	226	286	512	143	167	30	9	226	39	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	25	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	134	120	23	3	0	3	11	43	0	6	2	192	260	292	551	100	267	32	8	247	54	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	279	257	45	8	1	3	14	92	1	26	3	175	221	249	470	74	245	33	5	208	27	-24	+4	—	—	+6	-1.5
2021	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	343	309	58	8	2	3	23	100	5	17	2	188	255	256	511	68	251	29	7	223	37	-26	+3	—	—	+7	-1.6
2022	22	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	25	22	7	1	1	0	2	7	0	2	0	318	375	455	830	136	451	28	8	376	141	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	22	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	467	434	85	14	3	8	17	156	7	28	7	196	238	297	535	101	272	33	4	234	45	-31	+3	—	—	+10	-1.8
2023	23	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	208	190	35	5	0	4	10	62	4	11	4	184	240	274	514	89	240	30	5	225	38	-15	+1	—	—	+5	-1.0
2023	23	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	214	199	33	3	1	2	11	91	1	9	3	166	213	221	434	55	270	43	5	189	14	-22	+1	—	—	+5	-1.7
2024	24	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	64	63	11	4	0	0	1	26	0	1	0	175	188	238	426	63	313	41	2	193	17	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2024	24	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	131	124	23	2	1	1	3	42	0	6	2	185	205	242	447	56	257	32	2	188	13	-14	+0	—	—	+3	-1.0
2024	24	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	42	37	5	2	0	1	4	20	0	4	1	135	220	270	490	135	173	48	10	173	3	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	25	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	64	58	7	0	1	2	4	23	0	0	0	121	177	259	436	138	146	36	6	176	5	-7	+0	—	—	+1	-0.6
2025	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	134	124	20	3	0	2	7	53	0	6	2	161	206	234	440	73	239	40	5	191	15	-13	+0	—	—	+3	-1.0
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	279	257	45	8	1	3	14	92	1	26	3	175	221	249	470	74	253	33	5	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	279	249	64	13	2	4	22	64	1	26	3	257	320	373	693	116	324	23	8	305	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	343	309	58	8	2	3	23	100	5	17	2	188	255	256	511	68	263	29	7	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	343	299	67	12	2	3	33	75	5	17	2	224	312	308	619	84	286	22	10	282	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	492	456	93	15	4	8	19	164	7	30	7	204	247	307	554	103	291	33	4	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	492	448	115	19	6	9	27	123	7	30	7	257	309	386	695	129	327	25	5	305	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	422	389	67	8	1	5	21	153	5	20	7	172	224	237	461	64	263	36	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	422	379	84	11	1	7	31	118	5	20	7	222	289	311	601	90	297	28	7	271	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	4 teams	—	271	256	43	8	1	2	10	101	0	14	3	168	199	230	430	62	266	37	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	4 teams	—	271	250	48	11	1	3	16	87	0	14	3	192	241	280	521	88	280	32	6	233	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	198	182	27	3	1	4	11	76	0	6	2	148	197	242	439	93	221	38	6	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	198	176	31	3	1	5	17	62	0	6	2	176	249	290	538	114	234	31	9	241	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	279	262	45	8	1	3	14	92	1	26	3	172	221	244	465	73	245	33	5	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	343	312	58	8	2	3	23	100	5	17	2	186	255	253	508	67	251	29	7	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	492	463	93	15	4	8	19	164	7	30	7	201	247	302	549	102	281	33	4	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	422	393	67	8	1	5	21	153	5	20	7	170	224	234	458	64	255	36	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	4 teams	—	271	259	43	8	1	2	10	101	0	14	3	166	199	228	427	62	257	37	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	198	185	27	3	1	4	11	76	0	6	2	146	197	238	435	92	209	38	6	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	422	393	67	8	1	5	21	153	5	20	7	170	224	234	458	64	255	36	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	4 teams	—	271	259	43	8	1	2	10	101	0	14	3	166	199	228	427	62	257	37	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	198	185	27	3	1	4	11	76	0	6	2	146	197	238	435	92	209	38	6	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	26	MLB MLE	MIA	2%	17	16	2	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	125	176	125	301		236	35	6	203	24	-2	+0	+0	-0	+0	-1.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	MIA	27%	275	258	44	7	1	4	14	90	1	7	2	171	216	252	468	81	242	33	5	216	32	-22	+1	+0	-2	+6	-1.8
2027	27	MLB CTX	MIA	27%	74	70	11	2	0	1	4	24	0	2	1	157	203	229	431	71	236	32	5	207	32	-6	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	74	70	11	2	0	1	4	24	0	2	1	157	203	229	431	71	222	32	5	207	31	-6	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	615	97	18	0	9	35	211	0	18	9	158	203	231	434	73	223	32	5	207	31	-53	+0	+0	-4	+14	-4.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2297	2123	379	57	11	29	113	782	19	120	26	179	227	257	483	78	262	34	5	214	31	-24	+1	+0	-2	+6	-1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	601	107	16	3	8	32	221	5	34	7	178	226	255	480	77	261	34	5	214	31	-53	+1	+0	-4	+14	-4.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dalvy Rosario (OGILVIE)	26	21	35	52	36	163/206/239	76	236	3	5	34%	5%	24	-1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Branden Fryman 2023 · AAA	25	37	39→30	50	38	186/229/264	78	254	7	15	29%	5%	38	-3.2	203/241/302	99	289	8	11	31%	4%	51	-2.3	193/216/293	100	272	7	9	31%	2%	36	-1.1
✕Cody Wilson 2022 · AAA	26	32	37→30	52→55	39	161/228/227	66	258	4	19	37%	7%	30	-3.8	174/236/243	69	315	5	27	43%	6%	36	-3.3	154/219/208	54	296	4	33	46%	5%	21	-1.6
✕Cale Iorg 2012 · AAA	26	35→41	41→45	46→50	33	179/213/270	91	256	9	13	34%	3%	33	-3.6	178/218/268	90	270	8	13	36%	4%	35	-3.4	122/158/182	60	198	2	8	38%	3%	-11	-1.9
✕Zach Watson 2023 · AA	26	35→33	44→45	51→50	32	183/224/298	115	280	13	13	39%	4%	45	-2.7	195/241/312	117	286	12	15	35%	5%	55	-2.0	166/209/288	122	225	15	24	33%	4%	35	-1.2
✕Jonathan Schwind 2016 · AA	26	40	38→30	48→50	38	194/243/273	78	283	5	11	32%	5%	45	-2.7	214/273/322	108	291	10	9	28%	7%	68	-1.0	203/271/287	84	269	7	5	26%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Trey Martin 2018 · AA	25	41→39	38→40	48→55	34	197/233/271	74	288	6	14	33%	4%	40	-3.0	201/250/298	97	315	9	15	37%	6%	54	-2.0	180/233/272	92	292	8	19	39%	6%	42	-2.0
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	38	39→45	50→55	41	183/248/269	86	262	6	14	31%	6%	47	-2.5	191/270/312	121	306	13	16	39%	8%	66	-1.1	174/262/298	124	289	15	19	41%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Devin Hairston 2022 · AAA	26	34	39→30	49→40	36	172/221/253	81	272	7	7	38%	6%	32	-3.6	199/253/292	93	326	8	9	38%	6%	54	-2.0	178/233/243	65	322	3	3	43%	6%	32	-0.8
✕Rosario Irazoqui 2012 · AAA	26	42	39→30	53→45	36	203/246/288	85	292	7	14	32%	5%	50	-2.3	217/261/293	76	290	6	7	26%	4%	57	-1.8	212/252/259	47	276	4	4	24%	3%	42	-1.0
✕Ryan Metzler 2019 · AAA	26	40	40	50	38	196/250/283	87	289	8	15	33%	6%	51	-2.3	205/260/298	93	305	8	12	33%	6%	57	-1.8	147/203/184	38	244	3	8	39%	6%	9	-1.0
✕Anthony Garibaldi 2007 · A	26	36	42→40	45	36	184/246/281	97	273	10	9	35%	5%	49	-2.4	193/254/293	100	311	10	8	39%	6%	55	-1.9	150/217/234	84	266	8	5	44%	6%	25	-1.1
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	32	42→40	49→45	41	168/229/263	95	238	11	5	34%	7%	38	-3.2	192/259/282	90	264	8	8	28%	8%	54	-2.0	175/250/251	77	232	6	7	26%	9%	40	-1.1
✕Isaac Galloway 2016 · AAA	26	40→42	40→45	51→55	33	200/225/290	90	281	7	15	31%	3%	41	-3.0	216/260/332	116	288	12	24	29%	5%	65	-1.2	209/257/350	142	277	17	25	31%	5%	66	-0.5
✕Victor Mesa 2022 · AA	26	44→41	37→30	52→55	43	208/256/276	68	260	5	13	22%	5%	51	-2.3	210/261/282	72	261	6	28	21%	5%	54	-2.0	199/247/245	45	245	4	48	20%	4%	40	-1.7
✕Travis Tartamella 2014 · AAA	26	37	38→30	43→30	35	186/227/257	71	272	6	4	34%	5%	35	-3.4	183/224/246	63	271	5	5	33%	5%	32	-3.7	152/187/183	31	228	1	0	33%	4%	1	-1.8
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	37→38	37→40	43→45	44	179/255/251	73	251	5	8	29%	7%	47	-2.6	194/257/270	76	290	5	7	32%	7%	51	-2.3	168/234/218	51	258	3	3	33%	7%	28	-2.1
✕Santiago Chávez 2022 · AAA	26	36	38→30	48→30	34	175/230/245	70	278	6	6	38%	5%	34	-3.5	179/238/257	78	270	6	5	34%	6%	40	-3.0	146/208/200	54	220	4	0	34%	6%	14	-1.6
✕Matt Hagen 2006 · A	26	38	39→45	48→45	35	188/230/275	87	278	6	9	34%	4%	40	-3.0	184/248/289	105	267	10	8	33%	7%	52	-2.2	137/213/241	104	188	12	5	34%	8%	28	-1.7
✕Jake Oester 2012 · AA	26	39	37→40	43→30	35	186/235/259	73	287	4	4	35%	5%	39	-3.1	203/264/282	79	319	5	6	35%	6%	56	-1.9	190/261/253	63	311	2	3	36%	7%	47	-1.1
✕Tra Holmes 2021 · A	25	39→36	37→30	49→50	36	186/250/255	69	292	4	13	36%	6%	45	-2.7	198/255/283	85	411	7	17	49%	6%	53	-2.1	129/189/164	35	426	3	38	66%	6%	-2	-1.1