Dalvy Rosario — OGILVIE

Dalvy RosarioOF Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 195 lbs AA HR -4%BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

wRC+†33

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .228 / .273

PA211

HR4

SB6

K%36

BB%5

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20→20

PWR

37→37

SPD

52→52

EYE

36→36

trajectory · 10 yrs

-1.1peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-20M		$-50M	-$30M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$30M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	DSL Marlins	279	257	45	8	1	3	14	92	1	26	3	.175	.221	.249	.470	.074	.253	33	5	.208	17	-26	+4	+0	-2	+8	-1.6
2021	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	343	309	58	8	2	3	23	99	5	17	2	.188	.255	.256	.511	.068	.262	29	7	.224	30	-27	+3	+0	-2	+10	-1.7
2022	22	A+	2 teams	492	456	97	15	5	8	19	154	7	30	7	.213	.255	.320	.575	.107	.295	31	4	.248	48	-29	+3	+0	-3	+14	-1.5
2023	23	A+	2 teams	422	389	69	9	1	6	21	152	5	20	7	.177	.229	.252	.481	.075	.267	36	5	.210	19	-39	+1	+0	-3	+12	-2.9
2024	24	AA	4 teams	271	256	42	8	1	2	10	103	0	14	3	.164	.195	.227	.422	.062	.263	38	4	.184	-1	-31	+2	+0	-2	+8	-2.4
2025	25	AA	2 teams	198	182	25	3	0	4	11	80	0	6	2	.137	.187	.220	.406	.082	.210	40	6	.184	-1	-23	+0	+0	-1	+6	-1.8
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	MIA	211	197	37	6	1	4	11	77	1	6	2	.188	.234	.289	.524	.102	.274	36	5	.228	33	-16	+0	+0	-1	+6	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB 11%	MIA	275	255	48	8	1	5	16	96	2	7	2	.188	.242	.286	.528	.098	.276	35	6	.238	40	-19	+1	+0	-2	+8	-1.2
2028	28	MLB 22%	MIA	322	298	57	10	1	6	19	111	2	8	2	.191	.245	.292	.536	.101	.277	34	6	.243	44	-20	+1	-1	-2	+9	-1.3
2029	29	MLB 34%	MIA	341	315	61	10	1	7	21	116	2	8	2	.194	.249	.298	.547	.105	.277	34	6	.245	46	-21	+1	-1	-2	+10	-1.4
2030	30	MLB 44%	MIA	354	327	63	11	1	7	22	121	2	7	2	.193	.248	.297	.544	.104	.276	34	6	.244	45	-22	+1	-2	-2	+10	-1.6
2031	31	MLB 58%	MIA	345	319	60	10	1	6	21	119	2	5	1	.188	.243	.282	.525	.094	.274	34	6	.240	42	-23	+1	-3	-2	+10	-1.7
2032	32	MLB 76%	MIA	329	304	57	10	1	6	20	115	2	4	1	.188	.242	.286	.529	.099	.273	35	6	.236	39	-23	+0	-4	-2	+9	-1.9
2033	33	MLB 93%	MIA	302	278	51	8	1	5	19	108	2	2	0	.183	.241	.273	.514	.090	.271	36	6	.231	35	-22	+0	-4	-2	+9	-2.0
2034	34	MLB	MIA	260	241	43	7	1	4	16	95	1	1	0	.178	.233	.266	.498	.087	.269	37	6	.224	30	-21	+0	-5	-2	+7	-2.0
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4744	4383	813	131	19	76	263	1638	34	161	36	.185	.237	.276	.513	.091	.272	35	6	.228	33	-360	+18	-20	-28	+134	-26.1
/ 162G	—			650	601	111	18	3	10	36	224	5	22	5	.185	.237	.275	.512	.090	.272	34	6	.228	33	-49	+2	-3	-4	+18	-3.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	DSL Marlins	279	249	64	13	2	4	22	64	1	26	3	.257	.320	.373	.693	.116	.324	23	8	.305	91	-3	+4	—	—	+8	0.9
2021	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	343	299	67	12	2	3	33	75	5	17	2	.224	.312	.308	.619	.084	.286	22	10	.282	74	-10	+3	—	—	+10	0.2
2022	22	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	25	21	8	1	1	0	3	6	0	2	0	.381	.458	.524	.982	.143	.500	24	12	.417	177	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	22	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	467	427	107	18	5	9	24	117	7	28	7	.251	.301	.379	.681	.129	.318	25	5	.299	87	-7	+3	—	—	+13	0.9
2023	23	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	208	184	41	6	0	5	16	50	4	11	4	.223	.299	.337	.636	.114	.275	24	8	.285	77	-6	+1	—	—	+6	0.1
2023	23	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	214	195	43	5	1	2	15	68	1	9	3	.221	.280	.287	.567	.067	.320	32	7	.257	55	-11	+1	—	—	+6	-0.4
2024	24	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	64	62	14	5	0	0	2	22	0	1	0	.226	.250	.306	.556	.081	.350	34	3	.249	49	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2024	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	131	122	25	2	1	1	5	36	0	6	2	.205	.236	.262	.499	.057	.279	27	4	.220	26	-11	+0	—	—	+4	-0.7
2024	24	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	42	36	5	2	0	1	5	15	0	4	1	.139	.244	.278	.522	.139	.200	36	12	.237	39	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	24	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	34	30	4	2	0	1	4	14	0	3	0	.133	.235	.300	.535	.167	.200	41	12	.245	46	-2	+1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	25	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	64	56	8	0	1	2	6	19	0	0	0	.143	.226	.286	.512	.143	.167	30	9	.226	31	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	25	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	134	120	23	3	0	3	11	43	0	6	2	.192	.260	.292	.551	.100	.267	32	8	.247	48	-8	+0	—	—	+4	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dalvy Rosario (OGILVIE)	26	20	37	52	36	.182/.228/.273	.092	.274	4	6	36%	5%	33	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ryan Metzler 2019 · AAA	26	40	40	50	38	.193/.248/.281	.088	.293	8	15	36%	6%	43	-2.2	.204/.258/.297	.093	.310	9	12	35%	6%	51	-1.7	.145/.202/.182	.037	.248	4	8	41%	6%	-4	-1.0
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	37	39→45	50→55	40	.183/.248/.270	.087	.268	6	14	32%	6%	40	-2.4	.194/.274/.324	.130	.304	14	16	38%	9%	67	-0.5	.179/.266/.318	.140	.290	17	19	41%	9%	60	-0.7
✕Connor Kopach 2021 · AAA	26	39→33	44→45	54→55	37	.193/.254/.311	.118	.297	12	18	37%	6%	54	-1.4	.184/.251/.289	.105	.364	11	16	48%	7%	47	-1.9	.105/.185/.185	.080	.240	12	21	58%	8%	-9	-1.7
✕Cody Bohanek 2021 · AAA	26	38→36	38→40	45→50	39	.179/.267/.254	.075	.295	6	11	38%	7%	46	-2.0	.179/.276/.286	.107	.293	9	15	39%	8%	59	-1.1	.155/.261/.260	.105	.255	9	18	39%	9%	45	-1.1
✕Bryan Arias 2023 · AA	26	38	43→45	51→50	40	.188/.263/.297	.108	.296	12	13	38%	8%	55	-1.4	.201/.277/.307	.106	.299	10	14	34%	8%	63	-0.9	.196/.298/.302	.106	.259	11	24	26%	10%	67	-0.1
✕Isaac Galloway 2016 · AAA	26	40→42	40→45	51→55	32	.197/.222/.288	.092	.281	7	16	32%	3%	32	-3.0	.212/.254/.325	.113	.286	12	23	29%	5%	56	-1.3	.208/.256/.349	.142	.276	18	25	31%	5%	61	-0.4
✕Caleb Hamilton 2021 · AAA	26	38	41→45	45	42	.191/.251/.292	.101	.267	9	8	31%	7%	47	-1.9	.183/.267/.313	.130	.280	16	7	37%	10%	61	-1.0	.145/.237/.274	.129	.209	19	3	39%	10%	37	-0.8
✕Michael O'Neill 2018 · AA	26	41→40	43→45	52→55	36	.205/.252/.312	.108	.296	10	18	34%	5%	53	-1.5	.211/.261/.312	.101	.314	10	21	34%	5%	56	-1.3	.207/.257/.292	.085	.310	9	23	35%	5%	46	-1.5
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	38→39	45	45→50	39	.191/.258/.315	.124	.278	12	11	34%	6%	57	-1.2	.189/.266/.294	.105	.293	8	13	36%	8%	56	-1.3	.164/.257/.268	.103	.258	7	16	36%	9%	46	-1.0
✕Jordan Betts 2018 · AA	26	36→29	43→45	46→40	35	.184/.232/.292	.108	.283	11	5	38%	6%	39	-2.5	.203/.251/.317	.114	.300	13	4	35%	6%	54	-1.4	.191/.237/.292	.101	.273	13	0	34%	5%	38	-1.6
✕Max Burt 2023 · AAA	26	39	46→45	54→55	36	.202/.252/.327	.125	.285	14	17	34%	5%	57	-1.2	.190/.247/.303	.113	.282	13	22	36%	6%	49	-1.8	.172/.233/.265	.093	.260	10	26	36%	6%	31	-1.4
✕Dylan Rosa 2021 · AA	25	38→31	44→45	49→45	37	.192/.247/.304	.112	.288	12	9	36%	6%	49	-1.8	.192/.246/.327	.135	.337	16	8	45%	6%	55	-1.4	.158/.215/.300	.142	.290	19	6	50%	5%	32	-1.0
✕Marty Bechina 2022 · AAA	25	35→34	45	47→45	31	.179/.230/.302	.123	.296	13	8	42%	5%	41	-2.3	.186/.258/.305	.119	.310	12	9	41%	7%	55	-1.4	.167/.257/.278	.111	.280	12	8	41%	8%	44	-1.4
✕T.J. Steele 2012 · AA	25	40→32	43→45	53→50	33	.204/.231/.318	.115	.283	10	17	32%	3%	45	-2.1	.197/.234/.302	.105	.282	10	15	33%	4%	42	-2.3	.172/.210/.253	.081	.252	7	13	34%	4%	15	-1.2
✕Scott Hurst 2022 · AAA	26	38→31	39→40	43→50	39	.185/.242/.267	.083	.288	7	7	37%	7%	37	-2.7	.221/.294/.329	.108	.299	11	19	28%	8%	76	+0.0	.239/.321/.353	.114	.297	13	25	23%	9%	89	+0.6
✕Bubba Starling 2019 · AAA	26	37→46	44→45	48→50	36	.191/.237/.305	.113	.270	12	11	33%	5%	45	-2.1	.222/.265/.343	.121	.297	14	11	29%	5%	66	-0.6	.223/.261/.347	.125	.289	15	11	28%	5%	63	-0.4
✕Cale Iorg 2012 · AAA	26	35→41	42→45	46→50	32	.182/.215/.278	.096	.264	10	13	35%	3%	27	-3.3	.177/.215/.269	.092	.269	8	13	36%	4%	26	-3.4	.125/.160/.188	.063	.200	3	8	38%	3%	-22	-1.9
✕Zach Watson 2023 · AA	26	36→33	46→50	51→50	31	.186/.228/.311	.124	.286	15	14	40%	4%	42	-2.3	.194/.239/.318	.124	.291	14	15	37%	5%	49	-1.8	.168/.213/.301	.132	.231	17	24	35%	4%	31	-1.0
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	38→36	41→40	48→50	40	.191/.255/.290	.099	.266	9	14	31%	6%	49	-1.8	.203/.269/.317	.114	.286	10	15	31%	6%	62	-0.9	.179/.252/.313	.134	.265	12	20	35%	6%	50	-0.4
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→29	40→45	48→55	36	.179/.243/.270	.091	.285	8	11	38%	6%	39	-2.5	.186/.268/.305	.119	.285	12	20	36%	9%	59	-1.1	.181/.273/.314	.132	.266	14	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)