Junior Barajas

C San Jose Giants

Age 23 L/R 6'3" / 225 lbs A HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#424ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	22	ASF	384	.265/.347/.462	13	1	67	—	.205/.272/.353
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBSF	494	.221/.284/.362	13	8	81	0.5
2028PROJ38% MLB	24	MLBSF	121	.220/.283/.358	3	2	84	0.3
2029PROJ55% MLB	25	MLBSF	205	.221/.285/.362	5	3	86	0.5

Next 3 projected WAR 1.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

ISO79

Z-Con%72

K%65

wOBA58

Whiff%56

wRC+52

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%

CompsTrey Hair (age 23) · Darrien Miller (age 23) · César Salazar (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .281 / .359

PA210

HR5

K%26

BB%7

ISO141

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$26M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT41

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$0.6M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A	San Jose Giants	—	384	340	90	24	2	13	36	82	7	1	0	265	347	462	809	197	313	21	9	358	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	384	351	72	18	2	10	25	111	7	1	0	205	272	353	625	148	262	29	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	384	351	72	18	2	10	25	111	7	1	0	205	272	353	625	148	268	29	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	San Jose Giants	—	384	340	90	24	2	13	36	82	7	1	0	265	347	462	809	197	313	21	9	358	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	384	349	72	18	2	10	25	111	7	1	0	206	272	355	627	149	262	29	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	384	349	72	18	2	10	25	111	7	1	0	206	272	355	627	149	262	29	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	SF	0%	494	451	100	19	3	13	34	128	6	8	2	221	284	362	646	141	277	26	7	288	81	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	SF	38%	320	291	66	13	2	9	22	82	4	5	1	224	287	369	656	145	279	26	7	292	84	-6	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.7
2029	25	MLB MLE	SF	55%	371	338	76	15	2	10	26	94	4	6	2	226	289	373	662	147	280	25	7	295	86	-6	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.9
2030	26	MLB MLE	SF	64%	401	365	82	16	2	11	29	101	4	7	2	227	291	375	666	148	280	25	7	297	87	-6	+1	+0	+7	+9	1.0
2031	27	MLB MLE	SF	66%	413	375	84	16	2	11	30	104	5	7	2	227	291	374	666	148	280	25	7	296	87	-6	+1	+0	+7	+9	1.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	SF	67%	416	379	84	16	2	11	30	105	4	6	2	226	291	371	662	145	280	25	7	295	86	-7	+0	-1	+7	+9	0.9
2033	29	MLB MLE	SF	66%	409	372	83	16	2	11	30	105	4	6	2	223	288	365	653	142	278	26	7	291	83	-8	+0	-1	+7	+9	0.7
2034	30	MLB MLE	SF	65%	399	363	80	15	2	10	29	104	4	5	2	220	284	357	641	137	276	26	7	287	80	-9	+0	-2	+7	+9	0.5
2035	31	MLB MLE	SF	65%	366	333	73	14	2	9	26	96	4	4	3	216	279	347	627	131	273	26	7	281	76	-10	-0	-3	+7	+8	0.1
2036	32	MLB MLE	SF	70%	329	300	63	12	1	8	23	88	3	3	5	211	273	335	608	124	269	27	7	273	71	-11	-1	-4	+6	+7	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	SF	38%	121	111	25	5	1	3	8	31	1	2	1	220	283	358	641	138	275	26	7	286	84	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2029	25	MLB CTX	SF	55%	205	187	41	8	1	5	14	52	2	3	1	221	285	362	647	140	276	25	7	289	86	-3	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.5
2030	26	MLB CTX	SF	64%	255	232	51	10	1	7	18	65	3	4	1	222	287	364	651	142	276	25	7	290	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2031	27	MLB CTX	SF	66%	271	246	54	11	1	7	20	69	3	5	1	222	287	363	650	141	276	25	7	290	87	-4	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2032	28	MLB CTX	SF	67%	278	253	55	11	1	7	20	70	3	4	1	221	287	360	647	139	276	25	7	289	86	-5	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	29	MLB CTX	SF	66%	269	245	54	11	1	7	19	69	3	4	1	219	284	354	638	135	274	26	7	286	83	-5	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2034	30	MLB CTX	SF	65%	260	236	51	10	1	6	19	67	3	3	1	216	280	347	627	131	272	26	7	281	80	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2035	31	MLB CTX	SF	65%	237	216	45	9	1	5	17	62	2	3	2	212	276	337	613	125	269	26	7	275	76	-7	-0	-2	+4	+5	0.1
2036	32	MLB CTX	SF	70%	231	211	43	8	1	5	16	62	2	2	3	207	269	325	595	119	265	27	7	268	71	-8	-1	-2	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2127	1937	419	83	9	52	151	547	22	30	12	216	281	349	630	133	272	26	7	284	81	-45	+1	-7	+38	+46	3.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	128	25	3	16	46	167	7	9	4	216	281	350	630	133	272	26	7	284	81	-14	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4018	3659	805	159	20	105	284	1045	45	53	22	220	284	360	645	140	277	26	7	288	81	-76	+2	-10	+65	+79	6.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	130	26	3	17	46	169	7	9	4	220	284	360	644	140	276	26	7	288	81	-14	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ASan Jose Giants · 384 PAwOBA .349 → .267 (−83)K% 21.4% → 29.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.35%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	29.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.38%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	—	6.47%
HBP% /PA	1.82%	—	×0.780	—	—	1.42%
Singles /BIP	19.77%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.950	—	17.28%
Doubles /BIP	9.30%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.950	—	7.33%
Triples /BIP	0.78%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.950	—	0.67%
Home runs /BIP	5.04%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	—	4.03%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .349 → .267; ISO .197 → .148; BABIP .313 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#4John Bateman'63-'72 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,585 PA	5.4	3,585	81	10	229*	274*	381*	+64	+0	8.2	8.5
/162	664	15	2	+11.9	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 9
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.5	2,337	61	34	223	284	364	+42	+28	5.7	5.3
/162	664	17	10	+11.9	+8.0	1.6	pk7: 5
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Junior Barajas (OGILVIE)	23	36→41	45→50	43→48	49	219/281/359	139	277	5	3	26%	7%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Trey Hair 2018 · A	23	43	48→55	51→45	44	217/286/366	149	280	15	6	27%	7%	84	+0.2	225/285/338	113	297	8	7	26%	6%	76	-0.4	215/274/384	169	274	21	5	29%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Darrien Miller 2024 · A	23	39→42	44→45	48→45	47	194/289/310	116	258	12	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	192/313/294	102	262	8	5	27%	11%	80	-0.2	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕César Salazar 2019 · A	23	43→40	48→45	49→45	39	217/279/354	138	308	17	8	34%	6%	79	-0.2	210/265/318	108	263	11	8	24%	5%	65	-1.2	206/307/310	103	242	10	6	18%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Jeferson Morales 2022 · A	23	41→47	47→45	48→50	48	209/292/350	141	261	14	9	25%	8%	83	+0.1	206/282/335	129	268	13	9	27%	7%	76	-0.4	222/297/349	127	274	11	8	22%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Austin Wells 2022 · A	23	43→44	48→55	56→50	47	212/302/359	147	307	15	12	34%	10%	88	+0.5	219/297/382	163	280	19	10	28%	9%	92	+0.7	215/296/383	167	260	20	8	25%	9%	91	+0.5
✕Travis Scott 2009 · A	24	43	49→55	46→40	42	221/276/367	146	289	17	5	29%	7%	80	-0.1	220/272/371	151	280	17	5	27%	6%	80	-0.2	220/274/391	171	267	19	2	25%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Trey Sweeney 2022 · A	22	44→45	50	53→55	46	221/292/385	164	297	17	9	31%	9%	90	+0.6	211/284/353	142	277	15	19	28%	8%	80	-0.1	219/291/353	133	286	15	17	27%	8%	81	-0.1
✕Johnny Monell 2009 · A	23	47→43	43→50	48→45	47	227/295/345	118	284	10	10	23%	7%	82	+0.0	228/285/359	131	288	13	6	24%	7%	82	-0.0	225/286/348	123	283	13	8	24%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	42→48	48→55	52→55	44	215/274/360	145	274	16	12	28%	7%	78	-0.3	228/295/388	160	293	16	20	27%	8%	92	+0.7	227/300/392	165	291	17	22	27%	9%	94	+0.7
✕Reese Havens 2010 · A	23	42→40	48→45	44→40	49	215/300/354	139	265	15	5	24%	9%	87	+0.4	223/297/361	138	303	15	4	30%	9%	87	+0.4	212/289/341	129	305	15	2	33%	9%	76	-0.2
✕Tucker Mitchell 2024 · A	23	43	47→50	50→45	40	210/286/337	127	310	15	9	35%	7%	78	-0.3	198/250/292	94	278	10	7	31%	5%	53	-2.1	162/205/229	67	228	8	5	32%	4%	18	-1.7
✕Jimmy Crooks 2024 · A	23	47	44→50	46→40	43	227/290/349	123	306	11	4	29%	7%	81	-0.1	240/306/372	132	335	14	4	30%	7%	92	+0.7	240/311/381	141	337	17	2	32%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Kody Clemens 2019 · A	23	46→43	44→60	50→45	45	227/285/346	119	293	11	8	26%	7%	78	-0.3	202/262/333	131	275	13	8	30%	7%	67	-1.1	225/282/430	205	254	26	9	23%	6%	97	+0.9
✕Matt Cogen 2019 · A	23	46	47→55	54→40	46	229/290/368	139	282	13	5	24%	7%	85	+0.2	203/264/287	84	285	6	5	29%	7%	57	-1.8	160/223/197	36	238	0	2	30%	7%	19	-1.4
✕Jace Jung 2024 · AA	23	43→44	52→50	48→40	48	220/300/383	163	290	20	5	30%	9%	93	+0.8	216/304/368	152	282	17	4	28%	11%	91	+0.7	205/299/350	146	260	16	3	27%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Alex Isola 2021 · A	23	46→44	45→50	49→40	44	228/280/350	122	288	12	8	25%	6%	77	-0.3	216/283/360	144	273	19	4	27%	8%	82	-0.0	212/283/353	141	263	19	2	26%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Alejandro Segovia 2013 · A	23	42→45	49→50	50→30	47	217/279/366	149	245	17	5	20%	6%	81	-0.1	220/296/364	144	265	16	3	23%	8%	87	+0.4	212/294/352	139	256	16	1	23%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Jake Rogers 2018 · A	23	41→40	44→60	47→45	42	205/269/329	123	282	11	10	30%	7%	69	-0.9	200/273/347	147	275	17	7	32%	8%	75	-0.5	210/288/419	208	272	29	1	33%	8%	97	+0.6
✕Brock Lundquist 2019 · A	23	45→44	47→50	48→45	42	227/293/360	133	302	15	4	29%	6%	85	+0.2	207/271/318	111	301	11	6	33%	7%	67	-1.1	184/250/279	96	278	9	6	35%	7%	49	-1.1
✕Daniel Johnson 2018 · A	23	46→51	50→55	48→55	39	235/279/388	153	287	18	13	25%	4%	86	+0.3	242/290/392	150	313	15	15	27%	5%	91	+0.6	229/282/384	156	310	16	14	30%	6%	84	+0.1

Junior Barajas

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps