Junior Barajas — OGILVIE

Junior BarajasC San Jose Giants

Age 22 L/R 6'3" / 225 lbs A HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION262 act + 174 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .266 / .328

PA174

HR4

K%29

BB%6

BABIP268

ISO126

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT36

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Arb-2	$0.4M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$7M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	SF	—	262	239	42	9	1	5	16	83	6	1	0	176	245	285	530	109	243	32	6	237	40	-18	+0	+0	+5	+7	-0.6
YTD	22	A	SF	—	262	232	54	12	2	6	23	62	6	1	0	233	318	379	697	147	291	24	9	314	99	-0	+0	+0	+5	+7	1.2
ROS	22	A	SF	0%	174	158	32	6	1	4	11	51	3	2	0	202	266	328	594	126	264	29	6	261	58	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.0
ROS	22	MLB	SF	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		259	—	—	245	46	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A	SF	—	262	240	42	9	1	5	16	83	6	1	0	175	245	283	529	108	242	32	6	237	40	-18	+0	+0	+5	+7	-0.6
TOT	22	A	SF	—	436	397	74	15	2	9	27	134	9	3	0	186	254	302	555	116	253	31	6	247	47	-26	+1	+0	+8	+12	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	SF	43%	520	473	97	18	3	12	35	147	7	7	2	205	270	332	602	127	268	28	7	270	65	-21	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.4
2028	24	MLB	SF	58%	520	472	99	19	3	12	36	145	7	8	2	210	276	339	615	129	271	28	7	276	70	-18	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.7
2029	25	MLB	SF	65%	520	471	100	19	3	13	37	143	7	9	2	212	280	348	628	136	272	28	7	280	72	-16	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.9
2030	26	MLB	SF	68%	520	471	100	19	3	13	37	142	7	9	2	212	280	348	628	136	273	27	7	281	73	-16	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.9
2031	27	MLB	SF	68%	520	471	100	19	3	13	37	143	7	9	2	212	280	348	628	136	272	28	7	281	73	-16	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.9
2032	28	MLB	SF	68%	520	470	100	19	3	13	38	143	7	9	2	213	282	349	630	136	272	28	7	280	72	-16	+1	-1	+9	+15	0.8
2033	29	MLB	SF	66%	520	470	99	19	3	12	38	144	7	9	2	211	280	340	620	130	271	28	7	278	71	-17	+1	-1	+9	+15	0.7
2034	30	MLB	SF	66%	520	470	97	18	3	12	38	146	7	8	2	206	276	334	610	128	270	28	7	275	69	-18	+1	-2	+9	+15	0.5
2035	31	MLB	SF	65%	504	455	94	18	3	11	37	143	7	8	2	207	277	332	608	125	267	28	7	271	66	-20	+1	-3	+9	+14	0.2
2036	32	MLB	SF	70%	489	444	87	16	2	10	36	140	6	7	2	196	265	309	574	113	264	29	7	266	62	-21	+1	-4	+9	+14	-0.2
2027	23	MLB	SF	43%	224	204	41	8	1	5	15	64	3	3	1	201	266	324	589	123	263	29	7	255	54	-12	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	SF	58%	301	273	57	11	2	7	21	84	4	5	1	209	275	341	616	132	266	28	7	261	58	-14	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.0
2029	25	MLB	SF	65%	337	305	64	12	2	8	24	93	5	6	1	210	278	341	619	131	267	28	7	265	61	-15	+1	+0	+6	+10	0.1
2030	26	MLB	SF	68%	354	321	67	13	2	8	25	97	5	6	2	209	276	336	613	128	268	27	7	266	62	-15	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.1
2031	27	MLB	SF	68%	354	320	67	13	2	8	26	97	5	6	2	209	279	338	617	128	267	27	7	266	62	-15	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.2
2032	28	MLB	SF	68%	353	319	65	12	2	8	26	97	5	6	2	204	274	329	603	125	267	27	7	265	61	-16	+0	-0	+6	+10	0.1
2033	29	MLB	SF	66%	345	312	64	12	2	8	25	96	5	6	2	205	275	333	608	128	266	28	7	263	60	-16	+0	-1	+6	+10	-0.0
2034	30	MLB	SF	66%	341	308	64	12	2	8	25	96	5	6	1	208	278	338	616	130	265	28	7	261	58	-16	+1	-1	+6	+10	-0.1
2035	31	MLB	SF	65%	328	297	60	11	2	7	24	93	4	5	1	202	271	323	594	121	262	28	7	257	55	-17	+1	-2	+6	+9	-0.3
2036	32	MLB	SF	70%	344	312	61	11	2	7	25	99	4	5	1	196	264	311	575	115	259	29	7	252	51	-19	+1	-2	+6	+10	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3281	2972	610	115	19	74	236	916	45	54	14	205	274	331	605	126	268	28	7	261	58	-155	+5	-7	+59	+93	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	122	23	4	15	47	181	9	11	3	207	276	336	613	129	270	28	7	261	58	-31	+1	-1	+12	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	5327	4825	1005	190	30	125	380	1487	72	85	20	208	276	338	614	130	271	28	7	275	69	-187	+9	-10	+95	+151	5.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	123	23	4	15	46	181	9	10	2	209	276	338	614	129	272	28	7	275	69	-23	+1	-1	+12	+18	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,601	84	58	210	274	339	+64	+28	4.2	3.9
	/162	664	15	11	210	274	339	+11.9	+5.2	0.8	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Junior Barajas (OGILVIE)	22	31→36	41→46	43→48	48	186/254/302	116	253	9	3	31%	6%	47	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	39	45→55	47→45	45	200/277/324	124	256	13	8	27%	7%	68	-0.5	216/273/378	162	292	20	4	32%	6%	80	+0.4	212/264/396	184	278	26	0	33%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A	23	36→43	44→50	52→40	42	187/249/306	120	252	12	7	30%	7%	51	-1.7	207/278/346	139	286	15	3	31%	8%	73	-0.1	222/289/402	180	281	22	1	28%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Johnny Monell 2008 · A	22	43→44	44→50	44→45	48	213/288/328	115	279	11	8	27%	9%	73	-0.1	232/294/362	130	291	12	8	23%	7%	84	+0.6	211/282/355	144	277	15	6	28%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Darrien Miller 2023 · A	22	37→41	48→45	50→45	49	193/307/330	137	261	17	7	31%	10%	84	+0.6	184/294/281	97	261	9	5	30%	10%	66	-0.6	174/315/272	98	251	9	3	30%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Brian Holberton 2014 · A	22	42	45	47→30	51	208/291/330	122	251	13	6	22%	9%	76	+0.0	212/273/316	104	251	9	3	18%	7%	63	-0.9	208/267/312	103	241	9	1	17%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Carlos Soto 2021 · A	22	42	41→50	47→30	41	206/265/302	96	286	9	5	30%	6%	56	-1.3	194/271/313	119	274	11	3	31%	9%	62	-0.9	169/256/291	122	232	12	0	31%	10%	49	-0.8
✕Isan Díaz 2018 · A	22	39→42	46→55	45	43	196/268/326	129	288	14	8	35%	8%	64	-0.8	209/275/354	145	294	16	8	32%	8%	74	-0.1	208/287/373	164	275	21	5	31%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Mark Fleury 2011 · A	23	39	46→45	48→45	41	202/258/331	130	269	13	4	30%	6%	61	-1.0	203/275/301	98	305	7	6	33%	8%	60	-1.0	189/278/266	77	293	4	6	33%	10%	51	-0.6
✕Jose Brizuela 2016 · A	23	41→40	43→50	50→45	46	204/274/320	117	274	10	7	28%	8%	65	-0.7	211/268/334	123	297	13	5	32%	7%	66	-0.6	195/247/325	130	268	17	1	33%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→35	44→45	49→50	45	196/278/309	113	276	13	10	32%	9%	64	-0.8	190/263/303	113	285	10	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	175/248/290	115	270	9	16	36%	8%	43	-1.1
✕Dom Nuñez 2017 · A	22	42→44	45	44→45	46	214/271/327	113	261	14	7	24%	7%	65	-0.7	190/262/302	112	246	13	8	27%	8%	56	-1.3	166/252/296	130	219	16	5	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Drew Robinson 2014 · A	22	41→40	44→55	49→50	45	201/281/320	119	294	11	8	33%	9%	68	-0.5	192/266/342	150	282	16	11	36%	9%	67	-0.5	213/286/393	179	309	20	12	36%	9%	85	+0.5
✕Omar Martinez 2023 · A	22	41→38	43→45	42→40	46	200/285/309	109	287	11	5	32%	9%	67	-0.5	192/271/311	119	296	14	5	37%	9%	62	-0.9	177/257/291	114	276	14	3	39%	9%	48	-1.3
✕Matt Wallach 2009 · A	23	40	48→50	46→40	39	206/262/350	144	278	15	3	31%	6%	68	-0.5	213/271/331	118	263	12	3	23%	6%	66	-0.6	215/288/338	123	247	15	3	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Michael Cruz 2018 · A	22	40	40→55	48→30	48	196/276/284	88	244	7	5	22%	8%	57	-1.2	213/266/361	148	243	17	4	20%	6%	72	-0.2	187/252/334	147	215	19	1	23%	6%	58	-0.5
✕Kendall Simmons 2022 · A	22	41	48→50	49→50	39	207/274/357	150	293	15	9	33%	6%	75	-0.0	200/267/348	148	290	17	9	35%	6%	69	-0.4	198/264/347	149	294	17	7	37%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Miguel Amaya 2021 · A	22	42	47→50	48→40	46	215/286/350	135	266	15	4	25%	7%	78	+0.2	219/309/349	130	303	13	6	30%	9%	88	+0.9	228/299/368	140	271	16	1	22%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Ryan Mount 2009 · A	22	45	48→50	52→50	41	228/273/369	140	288	16	12	27%	5%	76	+0.1	230/268/366	136	295	15	11	27%	4%	73	-0.1	251/293/410	160	306	19	8	24%	5%	95	+0.5
✕Alexander Ovalles 2023 · AA	22	44→41	46→50	46→50	44	217/282/344	127	285	13	8	28%	7%	75	-0.0	214/278/320	106	313	10	11	32%	8%	66	-0.6	179/251/225	46	304	4	15	39%	9%	26	-0.7