Junior Barajas — OGILVIE

Junior BarajasC San Jose Giants

Age 22 L/R 6'3" / 225 lbs A HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION384 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP268

ISO152

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$68M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$7M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.1	$5M	+$3M
2035	Arb-2	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.1M
2036	Arb-3	$4M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$10M		$27M	+$21M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	22	A MLE	SF	—	384	350	72	18	1	11	26	110	7	1	0	206	274	357	631	151	265	29	7	274	72	-13	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A RAW	SF	—	384	340	90	24	2	13	36	82	7	1	0	265	347	462	809	197	313	21	9	358	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A MLE	SF	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		274	22	11	292	84	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	22	A MLE	SF	—	393	358	73	18	1	11	27	112	7	1	0	204	273	352	625	148	263	28	7	274	72	-13	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	SF	48%	454	413	91	19	2	14	32	119	6	6	1	220	286	378	664	157	275	26	7	297	87	-7	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.2
2028	24	MLB MLE	SF	65%	490	445	100	21	2	15	36	126	6	7	2	225	292	382	674	157	277	26	7	302	90	-6	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2029	25	MLB MLE	SF	73%	520	471	108	22	3	17	38	133	6	8	2	229	295	397	692	168	278	26	7	305	92	-5	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.7
2030	26	MLB MLE	SF	76%	520	470	108	22	3	17	39	132	6	9	2	230	297	398	695	168	278	25	8	306	93	-4	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2031	27	MLB MLE	SF	76%	520	470	107	22	2	17	39	133	6	9	2	228	295	391	687	164	278	26	8	306	93	-4	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2032	28	MLB MLE	SF	76%	520	469	106	22	2	17	40	133	6	9	2	226	295	390	685	164	277	26	8	305	92	-5	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.7
2033	29	MLB MLE	SF	81%	520	469	106	22	2	17	40	134	6	9	2	226	295	390	685	164	276	26	8	303	91	-5	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.5
2034	30	MLB MLE	SF	85%	520	469	105	22	2	16	40	136	6	8	2	224	293	382	675	158	275	26	8	300	89	-7	+1	-2	+9	+11	1.3
2035	31	MLB MLE	SF	87%	504	454	99	20	2	15	39	133	6	8	2	218	289	370	659	152	273	26	8	296	87	-8	+1	-3	+9	+11	1.0
2036	32	MLB MLE	SF	88%	489	443	95	19	2	14	37	131	6	7	2	214	284	361	645	147	269	27	8	290	83	-10	+1	-4	+9	+11	0.6
2037	33	MLB MLE	SF	90%	473	429	90	18	2	13	36	129	5	7	2	210	279	352	631	142	265	27	8	283	78	-12	+1	-4	+8	+10	0.3
2038	34	MLB MLE	SF	85%	438	397	81	15	2	12	33	122	5	6	1	204	274	343	616	139	258	28	8	274	72	-15	+1	-5	+8	+9	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	SF	48%	219	198	43	9	1	6	16	57	3	3	1	217	286	364	649	146	269	26	7	280	87	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2028	24	MLB CTX	SF	65%	318	288	63	13	2	9	23	82	4	5	1	219	286	372	657	153	271	26	7	285	90	-4	+1	+0	+6	+7	1.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	SF	73%	377	341	76	16	2	11	28	96	5	6	1	223	291	378	670	155	272	25	7	287	92	-3	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	SF	76%	396	359	79	16	2	12	29	101	5	7	2	220	288	376	664	156	272	26	7	289	93	-3	+1	+0	+7	+9	1.3
2031	27	MLB CTX	SF	76%	396	358	79	16	2	12	30	101	5	7	2	221	290	377	667	156	272	26	8	289	93	-3	+1	+0	+7	+9	1.3
2032	28	MLB CTX	SF	76%	395	357	79	16	2	12	30	101	5	7	2	221	291	378	669	157	271	26	8	288	92	-4	+1	-1	+7	+9	1.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	SF	81%	422	382	83	17	2	12	32	109	5	7	2	217	286	366	653	149	271	26	8	286	91	-4	+1	-1	+8	+9	1.2
2034	30	MLB CTX	SF	85%	439	397	87	18	2	13	34	114	5	7	2	219	289	373	662	154	269	26	8	283	89	-6	+1	-2	+8	+10	1.1
2035	31	MLB CTX	SF	87%	438	396	84	17	2	12	34	116	5	7	2	212	283	356	639	144	267	26	8	280	87	-7	+1	-2	+8	+9	0.9
2036	32	MLB CTX	SF	88%	433	392	83	17	2	12	33	116	5	6	2	212	281	357	639	145	263	27	8	274	83	-9	+0	-3	+8	+9	0.6
2037	33	MLB CTX	SF	90%	424	384	78	15	2	11	32	116	5	6	1	203	273	339	612	135	259	27	8	268	78	-11	+1	-4	+8	+9	0.3
2038	34	MLB CTX	SF	85%	373	338	66	13	1	9	28	104	4	5	1	195	265	320	584	124	253	28	8	259	72	-13	+1	-4	+7	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4630	4190	900	183	22	131	349	1213	56	73	19	215	284	363	647	148	268	26	8	281	88	-70	+7	-17	+83	+100	10.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	126	26	3	18	49	170	8	10	3	214	284	361	644	146	268	26	8	281	88	-10	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	5977	5407	1197	244	26	184	450	1563	70	93	22	221	290	378	668	157	274	26	8	298	88	-88	+10	-20	+107	+130	14.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	131	27	3	20	49	170	8	10	2	223	291	381	672	158	277	26	8	298	88	-10	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	3.3	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
/162	664	19	8	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	7.5	4,949	151	77	223	288	380	+88	+40	15.3	12.9
/162	664	20	10	+11.9	+5.4	2.1	pk7: 10
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Junior Barajas (OGILVIE)	22	37→42	48→53	43→48	50	217/282/368	151	274	9	3	27%	7%	84	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Darrien Miller 2023 · A	22	38→41	47→45	50→45	48	196/307/325	129	265	16	7	30%	10%	84	+0.2	187/296/284	97	258	8	5	29%	10%	71	-0.8	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Trey Sweeney 2022 · A	22	43	50	53→55	45	220/289/382	163	296	17	9	31%	8%	88	+0.5	208/282/344	136	276	15	19	28%	8%	78	-0.3	213/282/342	129	276	14	17	27%	8%	75	-0.4
✕Trey Hair 2018 · A	23	44	48→55	51→45	44	220/290/372	152	284	15	6	27%	7%	87	+0.4	226/287/341	115	299	8	7	26%	6%	78	-0.3	221/280/392	172	282	21	5	29%	5%	85	+0.1
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→51	46→55	48→50	52	226/305/358	133	270	13	12	21%	9%	89	+0.5	230/298/389	159	277	18	11	23%	8%	93	+0.8	222/292/383	160	263	19	11	23%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Matthew Sweeney 2010 · A	22	46→40	48→50	46→45	44	232/288/382	150	289	15	5	25%	7%	88	+0.4	188/250/297	109	272	10	4	33%	7%	55	-2.0	159/223/255	96	232	9	1	34%	7%	32	-1.5
✕Miguel Amaya 2021 · A	22	42→41	46→50	48→40	46	211/282/339	129	262	14	4	25%	7%	77	-0.3	219/310/346	127	298	13	6	29%	9%	89	+0.5	212/319/354	142	290	16	3	30%	10%	93	+0.3
✕Jimmy Crooks 2023 · A	22	48→45	47→50	51→40	43	228/313/368	140	332	14	6	33%	8%	95	+0.9	233/294/354	121	326	12	4	30%	7%	84	+0.1	229/298/368	139	321	17	2	32%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Tyler Ogle 2013 · A	22	47→43	49→50	45→30	44	236/297/383	148	295	17	5	26%	7%	92	+0.7	222/308/356	134	269	15	3	22%	10%	90	+0.6	212/302/353	141	254	17	2	23%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Ryan Costello 2018 · A	22	46→39	50	50→30	44	228/293/387	159	316	16	6	32%	8%	91	+0.7	203/278/344	141	279	16	3	31%	9%	76	-0.4	187/268/327	140	252	16	1	31%	10%	67	-0.9
✕Travis Scott 2008 · A	23	44	50→55	43→40	44	225/284/373	148	289	18	3	28%	7%	84	+0.2	224/278/380	156	289	18	5	28%	7%	84	+0.1	218/272/379	160	276	18	3	27%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Drew Gilbert 2023 · A	22	48	47→50	53→45	48	239/297/376	137	271	15	16	18%	7%	90	+0.6	224/293/368	144	273	16	9	23%	7%	87	+0.4	210/294/357	148	242	16	5	20%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Austin Wells 2022 · A	23	43	48→55	56→50	47	211/301/358	147	306	15	12	34%	10%	88	+0.4	216/294/377	161	276	19	10	28%	9%	90	+0.6	211/292/376	165	256	20	8	25%	9%	87	+0.3
✕César Salazar 2019 · A	23	43→41	48→45	49→45	39	217/279/354	138	308	17	8	34%	6%	79	-0.2	211/267/319	108	265	11	8	24%	5%	66	-1.1	203/308/311	108	241	12	6	20%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Rylan Bannon 2018 · A	22	46→44	50	51→50	44	235/298/388	153	288	19	8	25%	7%	94	+0.9	217/287/358	141	284	15	5	28%	8%	82	+0.0	191/289/327	136	253	16	12	29%	11%	75	-0.4
✕Shed Long Jr. 2018 · AA	22	47→49	47→50	50	43	234/291/373	139	314	14	10	30%	7%	86	+0.3	231/292/368	137	313	14	12	29%	7%	86	+0.3	226/290/362	136	303	14	12	29%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Eddys Leonard 2023 · A	22	44→46	48→50	44→50	42	221/289/365	144	293	15	5	29%	6%	85	+0.2	216/274/354	138	278	15	8	27%	5%	76	-0.4	209/263/347	138	261	16	9	26%	5%	69	-0.7
✕Trent D'Antonio 2007 · A	21	42	52→55	46→45	44	223/273/387	165	249	21	9	21%	6%	84	+0.1	230/295/330	100	301	9	11	25%	8%	78	-0.3	246/328/276	30	343	0	15	25%	10%	75	-0.2
✕Jeferson Morales 2022 · A	23	41→48	47→45	48→50	48	209/292/350	141	261	14	9	25%	8%	83	+0.1	204/281/333	129	269	13	9	28%	7%	75	-0.5	221/295/347	125	275	11	8	22%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Ryan Mount 2009 · A	22	45	48→50	52→50	41	228/273/369	140	288	16	12	27%	5%	79	-0.2	229/268/351	122	295	13	11	26%	4%	73	-0.6	249/293/390	141	308	15	8	23%	5%	90	+0.2
✕Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	40→43	49→55	54→50	48	203/290/352	149	278	16	16	32%	10%	82	+0.0	214/299/386	172	268	20	10	27%	10%	93	+0.8	205/292/383	178	245	22	6	26%	10%	88	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps