Chris Clark

P Montgomery Biscuits

Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 195 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 1.0 · 2028

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	A+LAA	22	22	105	6.09	4.30	21.6%	12.3%	—	K 16.6% · BB 14.1% · FIP 5.38
2025	23	MIX3 levels	28	26	145	4.73	3.31	24.3%	7.5%	—	K 18.0% · BB 8.6% · FIP 4.36
2026	24	MIX2 levels	33	9	88	4.72	4.01	24.7%	9.4%	—	K 20.3% · BB 10.0% · FIP 4.78
2027PROJ	25	MLBTB	12	12	74	5.03	5.03	18.6%	10.2%	-0.1
2028PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBTB	9	9	57	4.89	4.88	19.2%	10.0%	-0.0
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBTB	13	13	81	4.86	4.87	19.4%	9.9%	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$0.4M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control50Command45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 3, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%

CompsCarlos Sano (age 25) · Ricky Castro (age 24) · Tanner Hall (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 112

ERA5.03

FIP5.03

K%18.6%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%8.4%

Proj IP74

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 74 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL5050

CMD4545

K†4545

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	6	6	19	86	22	5	1	100%	3.2	18.9%	6.9%	12.1%	1.7%	4.66	3.29	—
2023	21	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	6	6	19	86	22	5	1	100%	3.2	25.6%	5.8%	19.8%	1.2%	4.66	2.27	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	22	22	105	473	102	58	12	100%	4.8	16.6%	14.1%	2.5%	3.5%	6.09	5.38	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	22	22	105	473	102	58	12	100%	4.8	16.6%	14.1%	2.5%	3.5%	6.09	5.38	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Tri-City Dust Devils	22	22	105	473	102	58	12	100%	4.8	21.6%	12.3%	9.3%	2.5%	6.09	4.30	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	26	145	630	153	47	15	93%	5.2	18.0%	8.6%	9.3%	3.1%	4.73	4.36	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	26	145	630	153	47	15	93%	5.2	18.0%	8.6%	9.3%	3.1%	4.73	4.36	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	26	145	630	153	47	15	93%	5.2	24.3%	7.5%	16.8%	2.4%	4.73	3.31	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	9	88	361	89	34	12	27%	2.7	20.3%	10.0%	10.3%	3.9%	4.72	4.78	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	9	88	361	89	34	12	27%	2.7	20.3%	10.0%	10.3%	3.9%	4.72	4.78	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	9	88	361	89	34	12	27%	2.7	24.7%	9.4%	15.2%	3.3%	4.72	4.01	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	TB	12	12	74	312	58	32	10	100%	6.2	18.6%	10.2%	8.4%	3.3%	5.03	5.03	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	TB	21	21	130	550	105	55	18	100%	6.2	19.2%	10.0%	9.2%	3.3%	4.94	4.93	-0.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	TB	21	21	128	541	105	53	18	100%	6.1	19.4%	9.9%	9.5%	3.3%	4.91	4.92	-0.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	TB	21	21	124	525	102	52	18	100%	5.9	19.4%	9.9%	9.5%	3.4%	4.93	4.97	-0.1
2031	29	MLB MLE	TB	20	20	119	502	96	51	18	100%	5.9	19.2%	10.1%	9.2%	3.6%	5.01	5.08	-0.2
2032	30	MLB MLE	TB	18	18	112	472	89	49	18	100%	6.2	18.9%	10.4%	8.5%	3.8%	5.16	5.26	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	TB	9	9	57	241	46	24	8	100%	6.3	19.2%	10.0%	9.2%	3.2%	4.89	4.88	-0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	TB	13	13	81	342	66	34	11	100%	6.2	19.4%	9.9%	9.5%	3.2%	4.86	4.87	-0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	TB	16	16	94	397	77	39	13	100%	5.9	19.4%	9.9%	9.5%	3.3%	4.88	4.92	-0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	TB	16	16	97	410	79	41	14	100%	6.1	19.2%	10.1%	9.2%	3.5%	4.96	5.03	-0.2
2032	30	MLB CTX	TB	16	16	96	405	76	42	15	100%	6.0	18.9%	10.4%	8.5%	3.7%	5.10	5.20	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		70	70	425	1795	345	180	61	100%	6.1	19.2%	10.0%	9.2%	3.4%	4.94	4.61	+1.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	162	85	29	100%	6.1	19.2%	10.0%	9.2%	3.4%	4.94	4.61	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		89	63	357	1550	281	163	51	71%	4.0	18.1%	10.5%	7.6%	3.3%	5.12	4.71	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		50	35	200	869	158	91	29	71%	4.0	18.1%	10.5%	7.6%	3.3%	5.12	4.71	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chris Clark (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.03	18.6%	10.2%	3.3%	—	4.94	19.3%	9.4%	383	-0.09	—	—	—
Carlos Sano R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	25	SP-	4.82	17.6%	11.2%	3.3%	.282	9.22	19.7%	7.1%	18	+4.40	4.82	105	89
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	87
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	85
Derek True R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP-	4.90	18.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.333	4.95	17.6%	5.9%	73	+0.05	4.50	170	85
Andrew Politi R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	25	SP-	5.21	21.0%	12.2%	4.3%	.320	4.04	22.9%	13.8%	138	-1.17	3.38	292	84
Kenten Egbert R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	23	SP-	4.26	19.6%	9.6%	2.9%	.257	4.34	10.8%	3.5%	133	+0.08	4.04	231	84
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.27	22.8%	15.4%	121	+0.08	2.98	262	84
Paxton Schultz R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	25	SP-	4.87	19.5%	11.9%	3.5%	.319	4.02	23.3%	14.9%	227	-0.85	3.83	543	83
Logan Martin R 2024 · 3.95 FIP	23	SP-	3.95	16.9%	8.9%	2.1%	.278	4.58	17.6%	5.0%	140	+0.63	3.95	242	82
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	82
Nick Payero R 2024 · 4.21 FIP	24	SP-	4.21	16.5%	6.3%	3.1%	.285	5.81	16.6%	4.6%	107	+1.60	4.21	178	82
Hunter Adkins R 2016 · 4.64 FIP	25	SW	4.64	16.2%	10.3%	2.9%	.290	4.82	11.8%	0.5%	58	+0.18	4.64	160	82
Kyle Scott R 2024 · 4.12 FIP	22	SP-	4.12	17.7%	8.2%	2.7%	.269	3.94	15.9%	4.3%	42	-0.18	3.94	138	81
Angel Araiza R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	25	SP-	4.57	16.7%	6.5%	3.8%	.287	3.79	15.0%	7.6%	193	-0.78	3.40	289	81
Yaisel Sierra R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	25	SW	4.32	16.9%	8.6%	2.8%	.338	3.04	22.4%	12.3%	71	-1.28	3.04	176	81
Nick Dean R 2024 · 3.86 FIP	23	SP-	3.86	17.5%	8.1%	2.2%	.275	3.47	21.7%	14.6%	111	-0.39	2.73	202	81
Logan Evans R 2024 · 4.17 FIP	23	SP-	4.17	17.8%	10.3%	2.3%	.257	4.17	17.9%	10.2%	125	+0.00	4.17	232	80
Rorik Maltrud R 2024 · 3.91 FIP	24	SP-	3.91	20.4%	9.6%	2.4%	.300	4.40	18.6%	9.4%	193	+0.49	3.91	298	80
Buck Farmer R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	25	SP-	4.29	19.5%	8.7%	3.2%	.309	3.78	20.9%	12.5%	309	-0.51	3.16	907	80
TJ Shook R 2023 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	21.0%	9.6%	3.6%	.273	4.02	21.6%	12.8%	192	-0.49	3.35	452	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.4	114	19.2%	10.0%	1.33	4.99
Jeff Juden ('99)	2.7	107	18.8%	10.5%	1.23	4.81
John Tsitouris ('57-'68, 1 WAR*)	3.3	110	19.5%*	9.7%*	1.30*	4.80*
Jim Mooney ('31-'34, 1 WAR*)	1.8	89	17.5%*	10.4%*	1.30*	4.76*
Jackie Brown ('70-'77, 1 WAR*)	4.5	128	19.7%*	8.9%*	1.21*	4.93*
Matt Kinney ('05)	1.9	97	16.8%	9.9%	1.39	5.29
Robert Person ('03)	4.5	128	19.8%	11.2%	1.29	4.64