Nick Sando — OGILVIE

Nick Sando P Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 25 LHP 6'2" / 205 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION27 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108117vR 125

ERA4.82

FIP4.82

K%20.5%

BB%12.7%

K-BB%7.9%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 33 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4550

CMD4050

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	3	74	311	90	35	1	12%	3.1	20.5%	13.6%	6.9%	0.4%	3.15	3.33	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	3	74	311	90	35	1	12%	3.1	20.5%	13.6%	6.9%	0.4%	3.15	3.33	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	3	74	311	90	35	1	12%	3.1	28.9%	11.3%	17.7%	0.3%	3.15	2.27	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	11	92	382	107	42	7	37%	3.1	20.6%	12.7%	7.9%	2.2%	3.33	4.18	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	11	92	382	107	42	7	37%	3.1	20.6%	12.7%	7.9%	2.2%	3.33	4.18	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	11	92	382	107	42	7	37%	3.1	28.0%	11.0%	17.0%	1.8%	3.33	3.13	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	7	6	27	107	34	15	0	86%	3.8	26.7%	15.5%	11.2%	0.0%	1.69	2.81	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	7	6	27	107	34	15	0	86%	3.8	26.7%	15.5%	11.2%	0.0%	1.69	2.81	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AA RAW	CIN	6	5	21	85	28	12	0	83%	3.4	32.9%	14.1%	18.8%	0.0%	2.18	2.11	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	CIN	1	1	6	22	6	3	0	100%	6.0	27.3%	13.6%	13.6%	0.0%	0.00	2.52	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	CIN	1	1	6	27	6	3	1	100%	6.4	20.5%	12.7%	7.9%	2.7%	4.82	4.82	+0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	CIN	—	—	33	134	40	18	1	—	—	29.5%	13.7%	15.8%	0.5%	2.29	3.20	+0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CIN	79	0	83	350	73	42	9	0%	1.0	20.9%	12.1%	8.8%	2.7%	4.74	4.73	-0.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	CIN	78	0	82	345	72	41	10	0%	1.0	21.0%	11.9%	9.2%	2.8%	4.72	4.73	-0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	CIN	75	0	79	334	77	37	10	0%	1.1	22.9%	11.0%	11.9%	2.9%	4.59	4.52	+0.0
2030	29	MLB MLE	CIN	72	0	76	319	72	36	10	0%	1.0	22.7%	11.2%	11.5%	3.0%	4.63	4.65	-0.1
2031	30	MLB MLE	CIN	68	0	71	300	67	34	10	0%	1.0	22.4%	11.5%	10.9%	3.2%	4.75	4.83	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	CIN	34	0	36	152	32	18	4	0%	1.1	20.9%	12.1%	8.8%	2.7%	4.74	4.73	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	CIN	50	0	52	220	46	26	6	0%	1.0	21.0%	11.9%	9.2%	2.8%	4.72	4.73	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	CIN	57	0	60	253	58	28	7	0%	1.1	22.9%	11.0%	11.9%	2.9%	4.59	4.52	+0.0
2030	29	MLB CTX	CIN	59	0	62	262	59	29	8	0%	1.1	22.7%	11.2%	11.5%	3.0%	4.63	4.65	-0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	CIN	58	0	61	258	58	30	8	0%	1.1	22.4%	11.5%	10.9%	3.2%	4.75	4.83	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		258	0	271	1143	253	131	34	0%	1.0	22.1%	11.5%	10.7%	3.0%	4.68	4.31	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	97	25	0%	1.1	22.1%	11.5%	10.7%	3.0%	4.68	4.31	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		61	20	193	800	171	107	10	33%	3.2	21.4%	13.4%	8.0%	1.2%	3.03	3.67	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		63	21	200	829	177	111	10	33%	3.2	21.4%	13.4%	8.0%	1.2%	3.03	3.67	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nick Sando (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.82	20.5%	12.7%	2.7%	—	4.66	21.6%	10.0%	244	-0.16	—	—	—
Nick Maronde L 2015 · 3.85 FIP	25	SW	3.85	18.3%	8.9%	2.1%	.359	3.62	16.3%	8.9%	48	-0.23	3.62	133	82
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	82
Jared Beck L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	21.1%	15.9%	1.5%	.338	6.15	20.1%	-8.4%	82	+2.00	4.15	158	80
Lael Lockhart L 2023 · 4.29 FIP	25	SW	4.29	22.6%	12.9%	2.7%	.302	4.94	19.6%	8.8%	307	+0.65	3.59	520	79
Matt Tracy L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SW	3.96	14.4%	9.8%	1.5%	.306	4.10	14.7%	5.5%	208	+0.14	3.24	298	78
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	78
Garrett Schoenle L 2023 · 5.38 FIP	25	SP-	5.38	20.5%	15.0%	3.9%	.307	3.59	20.9%	12.2%	172	-1.79	2.32	359	77
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	77
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	77
Adam Wolf L 2022 · 3.91 FIP	25	SW	3.91	19.4%	10.6%	2.0%	.292	4.18	16.8%	5.9%	109	+0.27	3.91	383	77
Edgar Barclay L 2023 · 4.71 FIP	25	SW	4.71	23.8%	12.1%	3.8%	.307	5.59	15.7%	5.5%	157	+0.88	2.06	402	75
Larson Kindreich L 2023 · 5.29 FIP	24	SW	5.29	21.5%	18.8%	3.0%	.269	4.68	23.0%	9.0%	79	-0.61	4.16	214	75
Brad Hand L 2015 · 3.95 FIP	25	SW	3.95	16.4%	7.6%	2.3%	.326	2.71	32.9%	25.0%	241	-1.24	0.84	577	75
Zack Thompson L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	25	SP-	4.50	22.8%	12.9%	3.1%	.355	4.69	23.0%	10.8%	107	+0.19	2.03	402	75
Adam Tulloch L 2023 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	20.3%	14.1%	2.4%	.313	4.62	18.1%	1.5%	150	+0.11	4.24	246	74
Colin Rodgers L 2018 · 4.36 FIP	24	SW	4.36	16.8%	9.7%	2.6%	.346	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	313	73
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	72
Alec Gamboa L 2022 · 5.36 FIP	25	SW	5.36	14.8%	13.1%	3.4%	.287	3.96	15.8%	4.0%	169	-1.40	1.46	439	72
Kohl Drake L 2023 · 4.81 FIP	23	SW	4.81	16.3%	11.9%	2.9%	.391	4.32	21.8%	12.5%	292	-0.49	3.32	327	70
Drake Britton L 2015 · 4.69 FIP	26	SW	4.69	11.1%	9.7%	2.4%	.268	4.79	8.0%	-2.2%	41	+0.10	4.69	125	70

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	77	21.8%	11.7%	1.12	4.71
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Archie Bradley ('21)	2.2	74	23.2%	9.8%	0.85	3.93
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77