Otto Kemp — OGILVIE

Otto KempOF Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 185 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 0.535 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION281 act + 187 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 10494vR 68

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .308 / .396

PA187

HR7

SB8

K%28

BB%6

BABIP275

ISO176

MLB%55%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

1714.8%

xwOBA

410.298

POWER55

Barrel%

6710.8

Avg EV

4889.0

Bat Spd

4470.7

EYE45

Chase%

5730.4%

SPEED60

Sprint

6828.2

Platoon Splits2025 · 218 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

144

—

wRC+

123

◀◀L

wOBA

346

295

◀L

ISO

231

152

◀◀L

BABIP

314

303

◀L

35.1%

28.5%

▶▶R

BB%

9.5%

3.5%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.535 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$7M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2029	Arb-1	$1M	+0.6	$2M	+$1.0M
2030	Arb-2	$2M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.2M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$5M		$13M	+$9M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	48	41	4	0	0	0	5	18	2	0	0	98	229	98	327		174	38	10	176	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	48	39	5	0	0	0	7	13	2	0	0	128	292	128	420		192	27	15	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A	2 teams	—	458	390	78	14	4	6	44	149	16	21	7	200	307	303	609	103	296	33	10	275	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A	2 teams	—	458	375	91	17	6	7	57	109	16	21	7	243	364	376	740	133	315	24	12	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	5 teams	—	592	513	119	22	9	14	38	164	34	21	10	232	326	392	718	160	307	28	6	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	5 teams	—	592	487	139	26	9	22	63	127	34	21	10	285	403	511	915	226	339	21	11	400	164	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	2 teams	—	561	496	123	29	1	23	33	169	26	15	4	248	328	450	778	202	323	30	6	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	2 teams	—	561	481	134	35	1	24	48	151	26	15	4	279	375	505	880	227	353	27	9	385	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AAA	PHI	—	281	243	44	5	1	9	15	80	18	7	3	181	279	321	600	140	220	28	5	270	65	-11	+0	-2	-3	+8	-0.8
YTD	26	AAA	PHI	—	281	237	51	6	1	11	21	68	18	7	3	215	326	388	714	173	245	24	7	320	103	+1	+0	-2	-3	+8	0.4
ROS	26	AAA	PHI	55%	187	164	36	6	1	7	12	53	9	8	2	219	308	396	703	176	270	28	6	308	94	-1	+1	-3	+1	+5	0.2
ROS	26	MLB	PHI	55%	103	91	19	3	0	4	6	29	5	5	1	209	294	374	668	165	272	28	6	275	69	-4	+1	-2	+0	+3	-0.2
FULL	26	AAA	PHI	—	384	334	63	8	1	13	21	109	23	12	4	189	283	335	618	147	229	28	5	271	66	-15	+1	-4	-3	+11	-1.0
TOT	26	AAA	PHI	—	468	407	80	11	2	16	27	133	27	15	5	196	290	351	642	155	242	28	6	285	76	-12	+1	-5	-2	+13	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	PHI	65%	610	537	116	20	2	22	39	173	29	26	6	216	304	384	688	168	272	28	6	309	95	-4	+3	-10	+2	+17	0.8
2028	28	MLB	PHI	70%	598	527	113	19	2	21	38	170	28	24	5	214	302	378	679	163	271	28	6	308	94	-4	+3	-11	+2	+17	0.7
2029	29	MLB	PHI	71%	586	516	111	19	2	21	38	168	27	22	5	215	303	382	685	167	270	29	6	306	93	-5	+2	-11	+2	+17	0.5
2030	30	MLB	PHI	71%	574	505	107	18	2	20	37	166	27	20	4	212	301	374	675	162	269	29	6	303	90	-6	+2	-12	+2	+16	0.3
2027	27	MLB	PHI	65%	396	349	77	13	2	15	25	112	19	17	4	221	308	398	706	178	274	28	6	277	70	-13	+2	-7	+1	+11	-0.6
2028	28	MLB	PHI	70%	420	370	81	14	2	15	27	120	20	17	4	219	307	389	696	170	273	29	6	276	70	-14	+2	-8	+1	+12	-0.7
2029	29	MLB	PHI	71%	415	366	79	13	2	15	27	119	19	16	4	216	303	385	689	169	272	29	7	274	68	-15	+2	-8	+1	+12	-0.8
2030	30	MLB	PHI	71%	409	360	76	13	1	14	27	118	19	14	3	211	300	369	670	158	271	29	7	272	66	-16	+2	-9	+1	+12	-1.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1961	1733	378	67	7	71	124	565	89	71	18	218	304	388	691	170	277	29	6	279	72	-62	+7	-39	+8	+56	-3.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	125	22	2	24	41	187	30	24	6	218	304	389	692	171	275	29	6	279	72	-21	+2	-13	+3	+18	-1.0
Career	—			—	4214	3689	807	147	23	134	284	1230	198	157	43	219	309	380	689	161	285	29	7	307	93	-34	+14	-54	+15	+119	6.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	126	23	4	21	44	190	31	24	7	221	312	387	699	165	289	29	7	307	93	-5	+2	-8	+2	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	48	39	5	0	0	0	7	13	2	0	0	128	292	128	420		192	27	15	227	32	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	23	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	128	112	25	5	1	0	8	30	3	4	3	223	288	286	574	62	294	23	6	258	56	-6	-0	—	—	+4	-0.3
2023	23	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	330	263	66	12	5	7	49	79	13	17	4	251	394	414	808	163	324	24	15	363	136	+13	+2	—	—	+9	2.5
2024	24	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	54	45	9	2	0	0	5	18	4	1	1	200	333	244	578	44	333	33	9	284	75	-1	-0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2024	24	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	273	233	60	12	3	11	23	62	13	9	5	258	356	476	832	219	301	23	8	365	137	+11	-0	—	—	+8	1.9
2024	24	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	182	150	50	8	5	4	21	29	9	8	2	333	444	533	978	200	387	16	12	427	185	+18	+1	—	—	+5	2.4
2024	24	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	20	14	7	2	1	1	3	3	3	2	1	500	650	1.000	1.650	500	600	15	15	664	366	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2024	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	63	45	13	2	0	6	11	15	5	1	1	289	475	733	1.209	444	269	24	17	491	234	+10	-0	—	—	+2	1.1
2025	25	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	218	197	46	11	0	8	12	67	7	2	2	234	301	411	712	178	306	31	6	315	99	-0	-0	-6	+2	+6	0.1
2025	25	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	343	284	88	24	1	16	36	84	19	13	2	310	422	570	992	261	383	24	10	430	187	+34	+2	—	—	+10	4.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	218	197	46	11	0	8	12	67	7	2	2	234	301	411	712	178	306	31	6	315	99	-0	-0	-6	+2	+6	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Nate McLouthlast yr '14 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,737 PA	10	3,737	101	133	247	332	410	-2	-53	11.0	11.9
	/162	664	18	24	247	332	410	-0.3	-9.4	2.0	pk7: 13
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#4Marquis Grissomlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,850 PA	6	2,850	96	47	262	299	424	-4	-29	4.8	4.8
	/162	664	22	11	262	299	424	-0.9	-6.8	1.1	pk7: 5
#5Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,999	72	74	219	301	389	-9	-19	4.1	4.1
	/162	664	24	25	219	301	389	-2.8	-6.2	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Otto Kemp (OGILVIE)	26	45	55	60	45	196/290/351	155	242	16	15	28%	6%	76	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Samad Taylor 2023 · AAA	25	46→55	51→50	58→65	42	234/296/390	156	317	20	33	32%	7%	92	+1.2	235/305/350	115	323	11	40	28%	8%	85	+0.7	233/305/335	103	318	8	43	27%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Cade Marlowe 2023 · AAA	26	47→52	55	57→60	41	238/304/426	188	335	23	25	35%	8%	105	+2.1	215/285/351	136	323	14	34	35%	8%	77	+0.1	213/285/330	117	316	9	42	33%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Justin Maxwell 2009 · MLB	25	42→44	54→60	55→60	44	221/289/403	182	280	23	23	30%	8%	93	+1.3	218/297/368	150	319	17	29	34%	9%	87	+0.8	223/297/433	210	304	27	17	34%	9%	101	+0.9
✕Blake Tekotte 2012 · MLB	25	44→48	53→55	53→55	44	228/293/405	176	290	21	24	29%	8%	95	+1.4	199/253/331	132	275	13	16	31%	6%	59	-1.1	189/253/305	116	256	9	10	28%	6%	49	-0.9
●Steven Souza Jr. 2015 · MLB	26	52→56	55→60	54→55	47	263/329/457	193	325	23	24	26%	8%	123	+3.3	245/323/433	188	329	24	16	31%	10%	115	+2.7	235/325/431	197	314	26	14	32%	11%	113	+2.2
●Randy Arozarena 2021 · MLB	26	52→57	54→55	51→55	44	262/336/446	184	324	22	23	25%	6%	124	+3.4	263/342/453	190	333	21	22	26%	9%	128	+3.6	259/347/445	186	326	21	23	25%	10%	124	+3.6
✕Keon Broxton 2016 · AAA	26	47→48	49→55	58→60	40	227/283/383	156	332	16	25	35%	7%	84	+0.6	218/290/386	168	342	19	35	39%	9%	89	+0.9	199/280/366	166	324	20	40	42%	9%	77	+0.1
●Royce Lewis 2023 · MLB	24	50→49	54→60	55→50	45	256/314/439	183	307	21	23	24%	7%	112	+2.6	258/314/460	202	301	28	14	24%	7%	118	+3.0	245/301/434	189	280	27	12	23%	7%	103	+1.2
✕Dylan Moore 2021 · MLB	28	46→47	53→50	52→65	45	235/316/418	183	297	20	26	27%	8%	108	+2.3	217/319/392	175	287	20	31	30%	10%	103	+1.9	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
✕Drew Stubbs 2011 · MLB	26	49→51	48→50	59→60	47	242/311/383	141	320	15	32	28%	9%	96	+1.5	231/302/359	128	317	14	30	30%	9%	86	+0.8	227/297/360	133	323	13	24	32%	9%	81	+0.3
●Jake McCarthy 2023 · MLB	26	51→59	49→50	62→60	46	251/315/408	156	318	15	33	25%	7%	105	+2.1	257/320/382	125	308	11	32	19%	7%	99	+1.7	263/323/401	137	306	11	27	17%	6%	102	+1.3
✕Reggie Abercrombie 2008 · MLB	27	45→48	50→55	61→60	35	230/273/390	160	308	18	34	31%	4%	82	+0.5	220/253/349	129	328	14	28	36%	3%	63	-0.9	219/262/360	141	323	17	25	37%	3%	68	-0.3
✕Max Schuemann 2023 · AAA	26	46→47	46→45	59→60	46	223/313/356	133	303	14	29	29%	9%	92	+1.2	222/312/331	109	296	11	21	26%	10%	85	+0.7	215/311/310	95	283	9	20	25%	10%	77	+0.1
●B.J. Upton 2012 · MLB	27	47→57	53→60	58→60	53	240/323/421	181	297	19	34	26%	11%	111	+2.5	224/296/392	168	290	20	24	28%	9%	92	+1.2	226/293/371	145	300	16	25	29%	8%	81	+0.3
●Nate McLouth 2008 · MLB	26	50→55	50→60	60	50	251/323/413	162	289	16	27	19%	8%	109	+2.4	253/338/441	188	277	20	20	16%	10%	123	+3.3	244/335/426	182	264	20	19	16%	10%	111	+2.4
✕Michael Helman 2023 · AAA	27	40→41	52→55	57→55	45	217/276/382	165	258	21	26	26%	7%	82	+0.5	223/280/386	163	269	20	22	25%	6%	85	+0.7	215/273/387	171	253	20	20	23%	6%	79	+0.1
✕Michael A. Taylor 2018 · MLB	27	47→53	52→55	54→60	40	238/288/402	164	323	20	24	32%	6%	92	+1.2	226/281/380	154	318	16	24	32%	7%	82	+0.5	242/299/384	143	312	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.8
✕Jose Siri 2022 · MLB	27	50→57	52→65	57→55	34	243/287/415	172	366	20	26	38%	5%	95	+1.4	227/278/435	208	311	27	21	35%	6%	97	+1.5	206/264/422	216	269	31	17	36%	6%	87	+0.5
●Desmond Jennings 2013 · MLB	26	49→59	48→50	62→60	50	243/315/390	147	288	15	31	21%	8%	100	+1.7	242/316/389	147	288	14	20	20%	9%	100	+1.7	240/318/381	142	284	12	19	19%	9%	97	+1.1
✕Tyler Greene 2012 · MLB	28	50→53	48→50	59→55	44	244/317/394	150	330	15	26	29%	8%	102	+1.8	228/282/364	136	320	14	18	31%	6%	79	+0.3	219/264/338	119	315	12	13	33%	5%	61	-0.6