Denison Sanchez
P
FCL Red Sox
Age 20
RHP
6'1" / 164 lbs
ROK
2026 ROS PROJECTION21 act + 18 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126116vR 107
ERA4.71
FIP4.71
K%22.6%
BB%11.4%
K-BB%11.2%
ROS IP18
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | ROK | DSL BOS Blue | 15 | 1 | 17 | 102 | 14 | 25 | 3 | 7% | 1.2 | 9.3% | 30.6% | -21.3% | 5.2% | 8.31 | 9.06 | — |
| 2022 | 16 | ROK | DSL BOS Blue | 15 | 1 | 17 | 102 | 14 | 25 | 3 | 7% | 1.2 | 13.7% | 24.5% | -10.8% | 2.9% | 8.31 | 8.06 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | 13 | 0 | 19 | 104 | 22 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 14.4% | 26.4% | -12.1% | 7.6% | 9.00 | 9.38 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | 13 | 0 | 19 | 104 | 22 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.2% | 21.2% | 0.0% | 3.8% | 9.00 | 6.99 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Blue | 16 | 0 | 32 | 159 | 38 | 27 | 1 | 0% | 2.0 | 16.3% | 21.2% | -5.0% | 0.9% | 4.45 | 4.91 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Blue | 16 | 0 | 32 | 159 | 38 | 27 | 1 | 0% | 2.0 | 23.9% | 17.0% | 6.9% | 0.6% | 4.45 | 3.66 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 11 | 1 | 32 | 152 | 42 | 30 | 4 | 9% | 2.9 | 18.8% | 24.7% | -5.9% | 5.9% | 6.25 | 7.85 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 11 | 1 | 32 | 152 | 42 | 30 | 4 | 9% | 2.9 | 27.6% | 19.7% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 6.25 | 4.93 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 11 | 0 | 21 | 105 | 12 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.9 | 7.8% | 29.8% | -22.0% | 2.7% | 7.84 | 7.68 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | BOS | 17 | 0 | 18 | 77 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 3.1% | 4.71 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 3.1% | 4.71 | 4.71 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 39 | 182 | 29 | 34 | 4 | — | — | 16.1% | 18.6% | -2.4% | 2.4% | 6.37 | 6.29 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | BOS | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 4.58 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | BOS | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 4.58 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 4.58 | 4.14 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 4.58 | 4.14 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 66 | 2 | 121 | 622 | 87 | 161 | 26 | 3% | 1.8 | 14.0% | 25.9% | -11.9% | 4.2% | 6.77 | 7.52 | -3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 109 | 3 | 200 | 1028 | 144 | 267 | 44 | 3% | 1.8 | 14.0% | 25.9% | -11.9% | 4.2% | 6.77 | 7.52 | -5.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Denison Sanchez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.71 | 22.6% | 11.4% | 3.1% | — | 4.52 | 23.1% | 12.6% | 20 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| Carlos Campos R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.43 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 3.1% | .304 | 5.57 | 15.3% | 8.1% | 19 | +1.14 | 4.43 | 134 | 87 |
| Kyle Zurak R 2028 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 86 |
| Justin Meis R 2027 · 3.80 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.80 | 25.6% | 13.6% | 2.1% | .300 | 5.11 | 18.2% | 5.5% | 261 | +1.31 | 3.80 | 385 | 86 |
| Danny Dopico R 2027 · 3.87 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.87 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .333 | 3.98 | 22.8% | 8.1% | 173 | +0.11 | 3.00 | 318 | 85 |
| Blake Workman R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.00 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .307 | 3.92 | 23.8% | 19.5% | 105 | -0.08 | 3.34 | 213 | 85 |
| Kendeglys Virguez R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.58 | 22.5% | 10.8% | 3.7% | .260 | 3.26 | 25.7% | 12.2% | 25 | -1.32 | 3.26 | 126 | 85 |
| Chris Gau R 2027 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 85 |
| Joangel Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.42 | 18.3% | 11.7% | 2.5% | .312 | 4.91 | 19.4% | 3.4% | 93 | +0.49 | 3.96 | 127 | 85 |
| Sandy Lugo R 2027 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.86 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.94 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 119 | +0.08 | 3.28 | 146 | 85 |
| Caleb Freeman R 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.98 | 24.6% | 12.9% | 2.4% | .267 | 5.17 | 21.7% | 8.1% | 58 | +1.19 | 3.98 | 222 | 85 |
| Kai Wynyard R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.41 | 21.1% | 9.1% | 3.5% | .269 | 4.09 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 138 | -0.32 | 3.29 | 240 | 84 |
| Jeremy Beasley R 2027 · 4.71 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.71 | 19.5% | 11.6% | 3.3% | .273 | 4.08 | 17.7% | 8.7% | 234 | -0.63 | 3.17 | 337 | 84 |
| Anthony Hoopii-Tuionetoa R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.12 | 25.1% | 13.3% | 2.6% | .327 | 3.37 | 23.8% | 13.4% | 81 | -0.75 | 3.30 | 104 | 84 |
| Luis Alvarado R 2027 · 5.24 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.24 | 20.2% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .276 | 5.27 | 18.7% | 4.4% | 140 | +0.03 | 5.04 | 162 | 84 |
| Kyle Marman R 2028 · 3.98 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.98 | 22.2% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .270 | 5.27 | 22.5% | 8.4% | 71 | +1.29 | 3.98 | 117 | 83 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 83 |
| Pedro Da Costa Lemos R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.62 | 23.5% | 13.2% | 1.5% | .286 | 5.15 | 17.2% | 6.2% | 157 | +1.53 | 3.62 | 181 | 83 |
| Mason Fox R 2027 · 3.59 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.59 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 1.6% | .260 | 7.31 | 21.3% | 4.8% | 30 | +3.72 | 3.59 | 112 | 83 |
| Jordan Mikel R 2028 · 4.57 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.57 | 20.5% | 12.5% | 2.9% | .330 | 4.23 | 19.2% | 9.0% | 109 | -0.34 | 3.09 | 195 | 83 |
| David Garner R 2028 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .282 | 4.65 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.94 | 154 | 83 |