Adilson Peralta P Jersey Shore BlueClaws
Age 23 RHP 6'4" / 175 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION27 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 149140vR 131
ERA5.80
FIP5.80
K%15.8%
BB%16.6%
K-BB%-0.8%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 89 IP
K: -1.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -7.8 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-8BBCONTACT: -6.9 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-7CONTACTSTAM: +9.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+10STAMTotal WAR: -0.64 (89 IP)-0.6WAR
0.00.00.10.10.10.026283031
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF3535
CTRL3030
CMD3030
K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202219ROKDSL Phillies Red76221031811086%3.111.9%13.3%-1.5%0.0%7.063.79
202219ROKDSL Phillies Red76221031811086%3.117.5%10.7%6.8%0.0%7.062.96
202320ROKDSL Phillies Red1110441964420191%4.015.3%12.8%2.5%0.7%3.253.79
202320ROKDSL Phillies Red1110441964420191%4.022.4%10.2%12.2%0.5%3.252.76
202421ROKFCL Phillies16032143442030%2.020.9%17.5%3.4%3.5%4.265.45
202421ROKFCL Phillies16032143442030%2.030.8%14.0%16.8%2.1%4.263.45
202522MIX2 levels29152224492933%1.816.1%15.6%0.6%1.5%3.614.54
202522MIX2 levels29152224492933%1.821.9%12.9%8.9%1.3%3.613.64
▸ 2026 Season
202623A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws23027126401750%1.224.4%15.5%8.9%5.0%5.935.72-0.4
ROS23MLBPHI59062260414370%1.015.8%16.6%-0.8%2.8%5.805.80-0.9
ROS23MLBPHI015.8%16.6%-0.8%2.8%5.805.80
2026 TOT23MLBPHI8938681601221.0%15.6%5.4%3.2%5.845.78-0.6
2026 FULL23MLBPHI0100015.8%16.6%-0.8%2.8%5.805.42-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724MLBPHI60063266464070%1.117.3%14.8%2.5%2.8%5.525.44-0.6
202825MLBPHI61064270493780%1.018.2%13.8%4.5%2.8%5.315.23-0.4
202926MLBPHI61064270503680%1.018.7%13.5%5.2%2.8%5.205.16-0.4
202724MLBPHI26027114201730%1.017.3%14.8%2.5%2.8%5.525.44-0.3
202825MLBPHI40042177322450%1.118.2%13.8%4.5%2.8%5.315.23-0.3
202926MLBPHI49051215402960%1.018.7%13.5%5.2%2.8%5.205.16-0.4
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career11501215099371140%1.018.2%13.9%4.3%2.8%5.314.87+0.7
/ 200 IP1900200844154118230%1.118.2%13.9%4.3%2.8%5.314.87+1.2
Career86171777921391181620%2.117.6%14.9%2.6%2.0%4.424.61+1.6
/ 200 IP97192008931571331820%2.117.6%14.9%2.6%2.0%4.424.61+1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Adilson Peralta (OGILVIE) 5.80 15.8%16.6%2.8% 5.28 18.1%4.1%191 -0.52
Cole Percival R 2026 · 5.20 FIP 23 SU 5.20 15.4%14.5%2.9%.297 4.19 17.9%5.9%182 -1.01 3.59 327 90
Brett Lockwood R 2027 · 5.51 FIP 24 SU 5.51 16.2%15.5%3.3%.312 4.61 11.0%-6.3%79 -0.90 4.29 132 89
Cole Hillier R 2026 · 4.69 FIP 23 SU 4.69 16.9%14.7%2.1%.297 4.61 18.4%4.4%95 -0.08 3.72 153 87
Jeff Soptic R 2027 · 5.27 FIP 24 SU 5.27 15.5%17.2%2.4%.237 5.45 13.6%-1.7%68 +0.18 5.27 124 87
Nicholas Regalado R 2026 · 5.62 FIP 23 SU 5.62 15.0%15.5%3.3%.252 2.99 132 86
Kris Hall R 2027 · 4.65 FIP 24 SU 4.65 18.3%17.8%1.5%.281 7.02 12.7%-7.8%34 +2.37 4.65 106 86
Blake Quinn R 2026 · 5.32 FIP 23 SW 5.32 16.9%15.3%3.1%.328 4.28 17.1%3.3%48 -1.04 4.28 122 85
Jhonny Polanco R 2026 · 4.76 FIP 23 SW 4.76 18.9%14.2%2.7%.283 3.92 21.3%5.7%48 -0.84 3.92 116 85
Carlos Polanco R 2026 · 5.37 FIP 23 SU 5.37 13.9%20.0%1.7%.267 3.58 276 84
Junior Rincon R 2026 · 4.93 FIP 23 SU 4.93 17.8%13.8%2.9%.318 3.77 17.6%5.1%82 -1.16 3.50 113 84
Jacob Morris R 2027 · 5.72 FIP 24 SU 5.72 18.0%19.6%3.0%.218 4.72 18.7%-2.4%46 -1.00 4.72 102 84
Luis Ledo R 2026 · 5.45 FIP 23 SU 5.45 17.1%17.6%2.9%.329 3.60 20.8%8.0%85 -1.85 3.22 376 84
Luis Germán R 2026 · 5.67 FIP 23 SU 5.67 16.0%19.6%2.6%.305 8.13 12.2%-10.4%19 +2.46 5.21 115 83
Cody Scroggins R 2027 · 5.62 FIP 24 SU 5.62 17.4%15.1%3.8%.263 4.25 18.6%4.4%59 -1.37 3.67 108 83
Kyle Roche R 2026 · 4.64 FIP 23 SU 4.64 15.5%13.3%2.1%.349 4.98 16.5%5.8%47 +0.34 4.64 110 83
Cody Adcock R 2026 · 5.54 FIP 23 SU 5.54 18.6%16.5%3.5%.253 3.69 25.7%3.9%26 -1.85 3.34 139 83
Jacinto Arredondo R 2026 · 5.22 FIP 23 SU 5.22 14.4%12.7%3.1%.310 4.89 15.7%5.0%50 -0.33 4.89 101 83
Hunter Mann R 2026 · 5.68 FIP 23 SU 5.68 18.4%18.5%3.3%.303 4.27 19.6%8.1%49 -1.41 3.01 135 83
David Trexler R 2027 · 4.91 FIP 24 SU 4.91 17.7%13.4%2.9%.313 4.44 18.3%4.8%31 -0.47 4.44 100 83
Austin Pettibone R 2026 · 4.94 FIP 23 SU 4.94 14.6%16.2%1.9%.333 3.80 142 83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION46317.5%14.6%1.095.45
Touki Toussaint ('24)74023.1%14.1%1.255.39
Tyler Chatwood ('21)510419.2%13.3%0.944.48
Amir Garrett ('23)65125.8%13.4%1.505.10
Steven Brault ('21)65718.8%11.3%1.004.77
Miguel Castro ('23)75920.8%12.0%1.043.99
John Gant ('21)48520.1%12.5%0.793.91