Adilson Peralta — OGILVIE

Adilson Peralta P Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 23 RHP 6'4" / 175 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146138vR 130

ERA5.95

FIP5.95

K%15.8%

BB%17.8%

K-BB%-2.0%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL3030

CMD3030

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	7	6	22	103	18	11	0	86%	3.1	11.9%	13.3%	-1.5%	0.0%	7.06	3.79	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	7	6	22	103	18	11	0	86%	3.1	17.5%	10.7%	6.8%	0.0%	7.06	2.96	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	11	10	44	196	44	20	1	91%	4.0	15.3%	12.8%	2.5%	0.7%	3.25	3.80	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	11	10	44	196	44	20	1	91%	4.0	15.3%	12.8%	2.5%	0.7%	3.25	3.80	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	11	10	44	196	44	20	1	91%	4.0	22.4%	10.2%	12.2%	0.5%	3.25	2.76	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	16	0	32	143	44	20	3	0%	2.0	20.9%	17.5%	3.4%	3.2%	4.26	5.29	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	16	0	32	143	44	20	3	0%	2.0	20.9%	17.5%	3.4%	3.2%	4.26	5.29	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	16	0	32	143	44	20	3	0%	2.0	30.8%	14.0%	16.8%	2.1%	4.26	3.45	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	1	52	224	49	29	3	3%	1.8	16.1%	15.6%	0.6%	1.6%	3.61	4.61	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	1	52	224	49	29	3	3%	1.8	16.1%	15.6%	0.6%	1.6%	3.61	4.61	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	1	52	224	49	29	3	3%	1.8	21.9%	12.9%	8.9%	1.3%	3.61	3.64	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	28	0	32	151	45	21	6	0%	1.1	22.9%	16.0%	7.0%	5.0%	6.47	5.91	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	28	0	32	151	45	21	6	0%	1.1	22.9%	16.0%	7.0%	5.0%	6.47	5.91	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A+ RAW	PHI	28	0	32	151	45	21	6	0%	1.1	29.8%	13.9%	15.9%	4.0%	6.47	4.53	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	PHI	5	0	5	22	3	4	1	0%	1.0	15.8%	17.8%	-2.0%	2.8%	5.95	5.95	-0.1
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	PHI	—	—	37	173	48	25	7	—	—	28.0%	14.4%	13.6%	3.8%	6.40	5.92	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	PHI	60	0	63	266	46	42	8	0%	1.1	17.3%	15.7%	1.6%	2.8%	5.65	5.55	-0.7
2028	25	MLB MLE	PHI	61	0	64	270	49	39	8	0%	1.0	18.2%	14.4%	3.8%	2.8%	5.41	5.32	-0.5
2027	24	MLB CTX	PHI	26	0	27	114	20	18	3	0%	1.0	17.3%	15.7%	1.6%	2.8%	5.65	5.55	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	PHI	40	0	42	177	32	26	5	0%	1.1	18.2%	14.4%	3.8%	2.8%	5.41	5.32	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		66	0	70	294	53	44	8	0%	1.1	17.9%	14.9%	3.0%	2.8%	5.50	5.03	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	152	126	23	0%	1.0	17.9%	14.9%	3.0%	2.8%	5.50	5.03	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		91	17	182	817	143	123	17	19%	2.0	17.5%	15.0%	2.5%	2.1%	4.55	4.67	-1.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		100	19	200	898	157	135	19	19%	2.0	17.5%	15.0%	2.5%	2.1%	4.55	4.67	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Adilson Peralta (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.95	15.8%	17.8%	2.8%	—	5.43	17.8%	2.7%	127	-0.52	—	—	—
Carlos Polanco R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	23	SU	5.71	13.9%	20.0%	2.3%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	276	88
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	87
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	87
Cole Percival R 2022 · 5.21 FIP	23	SU	5.21	15.4%	14.5%	2.9%	.297	4.27	17.9%	5.9%	182	-0.94	3.58	327	87
Ocean Gabonia R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SU	5.04	15.4%	14.6%	2.5%	.283	3.29	19.1%	10.9%	91	-1.75	2.79	144	85
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	85
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	85
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	84
Luis Ledo R 2018 · 5.51 FIP	23	SU	5.51	17.1%	17.6%	3.0%	.329	3.65	20.8%	8.0%	85	-1.86	3.27	376	84
Jon Keller R 2016 · 5.48 FIP	23	SW	5.48	15.3%	20.9%	1.9%	.265	3.84	8.9%	-2.9%	15	-1.64	3.64	156	83
Austin Pettibone R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	23	SU	5.11	14.6%	16.2%	2.2%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	142	83
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	83
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	83
David Lucroy R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	23	SU	4.99	15.8%	16.8%	2.0%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	103	83
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	82
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	82
Roberto Espinosa R 2015 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.9%	18.6%	1.9%	.273	4.43	14.8%	2.2%	77	-0.49	4.32	117	81
Jack Jasiak R 2023 · 5.03 FIP	22	SU	5.03	12.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.288	3.81	19.8%	12.1%	193	-1.22	3.24	262	81
Audry Lugo R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	23	SU	5.76	13.7%	16.3%	3.2%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	4.05	113	81
Dylan Rheault R 2015 · 5.75 FIP	23	SU	5.75	6.5%	14.9%	2.4%	.288	4.11	14.1%	4.8%	96	-1.64	3.88	198	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	63	17.1%	15.9%	1.09	5.67
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99