Robert Phelps — OGILVIE

Robert PhelpsSS Clearwater Threshers

Age 22 R/R 5'10" / 180 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION302 act + 201 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .336 / .341

PA201

HR4

SB7

K%26

BB%12

BABIP297

ISO117

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 51 / POW 43

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT51

scouting grade only

POWER43

scouting grade only

EYE71

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.1	$12M	+$11M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$10M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$8M	+$8M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.5	$7M	+$5M
2035	Arb-2	$4M	+1.2	$5M	+$3M
2036	Arb-3	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.1M
Totals		$13M		$42M	+$36M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	53	42	8	2	0	0	9	10	1	5	1	190	346	238	584	48	242	19	17	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	53	39	9	2	0	0	12	8	1	5	1	231	423	282	705	51	281	15	23	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	PHI	—	302	252	54	7	1	5	37	77	10	15	6	214	338	310	647	95	283	25	12	296	85	-5	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.7
YTD	22	A	PHI	—	302	240	62	8	1	6	49	54	10	15	6	258	405	375	780	117	306	18	16	359	133	+11	+1	+0	+3	+9	2.4
ROS	22	A	PHI	0%	201	170	38	6	1	4	24	53	5	7	2	223	336	341	677	117	288	26	12	302	89	-2	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.6
ROS	22	MLB	PHI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		290	—	—	287	78	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A	PHI	—	302	253	54	7	1	5	37	77	10	15	6	213	338	308	646	95	282	25	12	296	85	-5	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.7
TOT	22	A	PHI	—	503	422	92	13	2	9	61	130	15	22	8	218	337	322	659	104	289	26	12	298	86	-8	+1	+0	+5	+14	1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	PHI	43%	556	474	105	17	2	11	65	144	12	13	4	222	330	335	666	114	290	26	12	304	91	-6	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.7
2028	24	MLB	PHI	58%	570	489	110	18	3	12	65	146	11	13	4	225	329	348	677	123	291	26	11	308	94	-4	+1	+0	+6	+16	2.0
2029	25	MLB	PHI	65%	576	495	112	19	3	12	65	146	11	13	4	226	329	349	679	123	291	25	11	310	95	-3	+1	+0	+6	+16	2.1
2030	26	MLB	PHI	68%	575	494	112	19	3	12	65	145	11	13	4	227	330	350	680	123	291	25	11	310	96	-3	+1	+0	+6	+16	2.1
2031	27	MLB	PHI	68%	570	489	111	19	3	12	65	144	11	13	4	227	331	352	683	125	291	25	11	311	96	-3	+1	+0	+6	+16	2.1
2032	28	MLB	PHI	68%	563	482	108	18	2	12	65	143	11	12	4	224	330	344	674	120	291	25	12	310	95	-3	+1	-1	+6	+16	1.9
2033	29	MLB	PHI	66%	554	474	106	18	2	12	64	142	11	11	4	224	330	346	676	122	290	26	12	308	94	-4	+1	-1	+6	+16	1.7
2034	30	MLB	PHI	66%	545	467	103	17	2	11	63	141	10	10	3	221	326	336	662	116	289	26	12	305	92	-5	+1	-2	+6	+15	1.5
2035	31	MLB	PHI	65%	535	458	100	17	2	10	62	140	10	9	3	218	325	330	654	111	287	26	12	302	89	-7	+1	-3	+6	+15	1.2
2036	32	MLB	PHI	65%	406	348	74	12	1	8	47	108	8	5	2	213	320	322	642	109	284	27	12	297	85	-7	+0	-4	+4	+12	0.6
2027	23	MLB	PHI	43%	240	205	46	8	1	5	28	62	5	6	2	224	332	346	678	122	292	26	12	291	81	-5	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2028	24	MLB	PHI	58%	330	282	64	11	1	7	38	84	7	8	3	227	333	348	681	121	293	25	12	295	84	-6	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.7
2029	25	MLB	PHI	65%	373	321	73	12	2	8	42	94	7	9	3	227	330	352	682	125	293	25	11	297	86	-6	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.9
2030	26	MLB	PHI	68%	391	336	77	13	2	9	44	99	8	9	3	229	332	360	693	131	293	25	11	298	86	-6	+1	+0	+4	+11	1.0
2031	27	MLB	PHI	68%	388	333	77	13	2	9	44	98	8	9	3	231	335	363	698	132	293	25	11	298	86	-6	+1	+0	+4	+11	1.0
2032	28	MLB	PHI	68%	383	329	75	13	2	8	44	97	7	8	3	228	332	353	684	125	293	25	11	297	86	-6	+0	-0	+4	+11	0.9
2033	29	MLB	PHI	66%	368	315	72	12	2	8	43	94	7	8	2	229	334	356	690	127	292	26	12	296	84	-6	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.8
2034	30	MLB	PHI	66%	357	306	67	11	1	7	41	92	7	7	2	219	325	330	655	111	291	26	11	293	83	-7	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.6
2035	31	MLB	PHI	65%	348	298	65	11	1	7	40	91	7	6	2	218	325	332	657	114	289	26	11	289	80	-8	+0	-2	+4	+10	0.4
2036	32	MLB	PHI	65%	263	226	49	8	1	5	30	70	5	4	1	217	322	327	649	111	286	27	11	284	76	-7	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3441	2952	665	112	15	73	394	881	68	74	24	225	330	348	678	122	294	26	11	294	84	-64	+5	-7	+37	+97	7.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	558	126	21	3	14	74	166	13	14	5	226	330	349	680	124	294	26	11	294	84	-12	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	5704	4882	1087	182	24	116	659	1462	112	124	39	223	329	341	670	118	291	26	12	306	93	-47	+9	-10	+61	+162	17.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	556	124	21	3	13	75	167	13	14	4	223	329	342	671	119	292	26	12	306	93	-5	+1	-1	+7	+18	2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	53	39	9	2	0	0	12	8	1	5	1	231	423	282	705	51	281	15	23	340	118	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#2Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#3Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,583	74	75	224	325	344	+38	+21	11.5	10.2
	/162	664	14	14	224	325	344	+7.1	+3.9	2.1	pk7: 9
#6Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Robert Phelps (OGILVIE)	22	46→51	38→43	55→60	71	218/337/322	104	289	9	22	26%	12%	86	+1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	47	44→45	55	46	225/302/347	122	301	11	14	27%	8%	83	+0.6	226/284/337	111	307	10	9	28%	5%	73	-0.1	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	47→49	41→45	49→45	50	221/327/317	97	287	8	9	24%	9%	88	+0.9	227/313/341	114	287	11	7	24%	7%	88	+0.9	227/317/342	114	286	11	5	23%	7%	86	+0.4
✕Taylor Motter 2012 · A	22	49→50	42→55	55	53	235/311/343	108	288	9	20	21%	10%	85	+0.7	230/295/334	104	286	9	20	21%	8%	76	+0.1	214/291/395	181	261	23	5	27%	9%	90	+0.6
✕Mario Lisson 2006 · A	22	46→49	43→55	57→55	49	219/303/341	122	299	9	19	28%	10%	82	+0.5	220/282/336	116	290	11	21	26%	7%	72	-0.2	231/301/377	146	300	19	8	28%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Nick Senzel 2017 · A	22	47→56	44→50	51→50	46	228/291/356	128	301	9	16	26%	8%	81	+0.4	248/302/388	140	329	12	14	27%	7%	93	+1.3	253/307/401	148	331	14	16	26%	7%	96	+0.9
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→50	58→60	54	209/313/325	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	83	+0.6	220/319/358	138	276	15	33	24%	11%	94	+1.3	216/315/358	142	266	16	40	24%	11%	89	+1.0
●Ke'Bryan Hayes 2019 · AA	22	50→55	42→50	52→50	48	238/300/350	112	299	8	14	22%	8%	82	+0.5	248/307/389	141	308	12	12	22%	7%	96	+1.5	257/313/393	137	315	12	16	21%	7%	97	+1.3
●Matt McLain 2022 · A	22	45→55	44→55	53→55	48	218/295/334	116	293	11	20	28%	9%	77	+0.1	236/317/422	186	323	21	22	31%	9%	109	+2.4	231/315/405	174	310	20	23	30%	9%	102	+1.7
●Zack Gelof 2022 · A	22	49→50	47→55	54→55	43	236/299/379	142	334	15	17	32%	8%	90	+1.0	235/298/420	185	327	24	20	34%	8%	101	+1.8	229/294/414	185	314	24	24	33%	8%	95	+1.2
✕Corey Toups 2015 · A	22	50→49	40→45	54→50	52	233/312/338	105	299	6	8	23%	9%	85	+0.7	223/281/338	115	305	8	16	28%	6%	72	-0.2	213/271/332	119	296	9	18	30%	6%	63	-0.7
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	44→48	43→45	51→50	41	215/278/328	113	300	10	11	30%	6%	68	-0.5	198/268/323	125	313	14	12	39%	7%	63	-0.8	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8
✕Steve Tolleson 2006 · A	22	42→52	44→45	50	51	209/292/329	120	248	12	8	20%	9%	75	-0.0	236/309/339	103	302	8	12	23%	9%	84	+0.6	255/312/378	123	303	11	12	19%	7%	91	+0.9
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	51→55	44	215/274/342	127	287	12	11	29%	7%	70	-0.3	231/293/393	162	278	19	13	24%	7%	92	+1.2	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3
●Kelby Tomlinson 2012 · A	22	49→59	40	56→60	44	236/285/341	105	298	6	13	22%	6%	73	-0.1	220/276/279	59	297	2	21	25%	7%	53	-1.5	281/340/350	69	342	3	24	17%	7%	94	+1.0
✕Brent Morel 2009 · A	22	51→57	43→50	54→50	45	251/298/360	109	298	11	12	20%	6%	84	+0.6	251/287/381	130	292	13	12	18%	5%	85	+0.7	254/289/385	131	290	13	11	17%	4%	83	+0.5
✕Logan Vick 2014 · A	23	48	41→45	52→50	56	225/323/333	108	304	7	15	26%	12%	89	+0.9	193/286/291	98	295	7	13	33%	11%	63	-0.8	143/250/225	82	230	6	13	36%	12%	30	-2.1
●Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	57→55	51	229/304/337	108	264	10	17	17%	8%	82	+0.5	248/300/333	85	280	5	13	13%	6%	77	+0.1	266/326/350	84	306	4	14	13%	8%	90	+0.8
●Connor Norby 2022 · A	22	48→49	42→55	48→50	45	228/302/336	108	326	10	11	31%	8%	80	+0.4	236/297/399	163	309	19	11	29%	7%	95	+1.4	245/305/413	168	324	20	11	29%	7%	99	+1.5
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2008 · A	22	48	40	52→55	47	227/297/321	94	300	7	18	26%	8%	74	-0.1	200/258/275	75	312	5	11	35%	5%	46	-2.0	135/182/184	49	223	4	5	40%	2%	-12	-1.0
●Hunter Goodman 2022 · A	22	46→44	42→60	50→40	43	219/290/331	112	302	9	7	29%	7%	75	-0.0	208/261/404	196	274	26	4	34%	5%	82	+0.5	224/280/438	214	267	30	4	29%	6%	96	+1.1