Zach Shank
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 25 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 464 | .290/.355/.377 | 3 | 1 | 77 | — | .265/.311/.346 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAASEA | 418 | .215/.286/.307 | 2 | 14 | 34 | — | .180/.237/.255 |
| 2018 | 27 | AASEA | 24 | .294/.500/.294 | 0 | 0 | 99 | — | .263/.417/.263 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 22 | A | Clinton LumberKings | — | 25 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 286 | 375 | 429 | 804 | 143 | 278 | 12 | 4 | 351 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | ROK | Pulaski Mariners | — | 215 | 183 | 42 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 22 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 230 | 325 | 361 | 686 | 131 | 253 | 10 | 10 | 303 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ | High Desert Mavericks | — | 248 | 227 | 59 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 260 | 303 | 396 | 699 | 137 | 301 | 17 | 4 | 302 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A | Clinton LumberKings | — | 271 | 235 | 71 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 39 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 302 | 381 | 460 | 841 | 157 | 339 | 14 | 8 | 368 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 121 | 111 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 252 | 297 | 360 | 657 | 108 | 270 | 9 | 6 | 287 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 227 | 197 | 49 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 50 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 249 | 339 | 345 | 684 | 96 | 331 | 22 | 8 | 310 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 312 | 281 | 82 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 55 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 292 | 352 | 395 | 747 | 103 | 351 | 18 | 7 | 332 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 152 | 133 | 38 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 286 | 362 | 338 | 701 | 53 | 388 | 23 | 8 | 317 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 418 | 368 | 79 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 94 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 215 | 286 | 307 | 593 | 92 | 276 | 22 | 8 | 264 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 24 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 294 | 500 | 294 | 794 | 417 | 21 | 25 | 394 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 25 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 286 | 375 | 429 | 804 | 143 | 261 | 16 | 4 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Mariners | — | 215 | 191 | 36 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 31 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 188 | 258 | 293 | 552 | 105 | 204 | 14 | 6 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 248 | 230 | 51 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 61 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 222 | 257 | 326 | 583 | 104 | 272 | 25 | 3 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 271 | 242 | 64 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 52 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 264 | 328 | 384 | 713 | 120 | 304 | 19 | 5 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 121 | 113 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 239 | 271 | 345 | 616 | 106 | 246 | 12 | 4 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 227 | 202 | 45 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 63 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 223 | 299 | 312 | 611 | 89 | 313 | 28 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 312 | 290 | 77 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 68 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 266 | 306 | 362 | 668 | 97 | 325 | 22 | 4 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 152 | 137 | 36 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 43 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 263 | 322 | 314 | 636 | 51 | 362 | 28 | 5 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 418 | 377 | 68 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 118 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 180 | 237 | 255 | 492 | 74 | 241 | 28 | 6 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 24 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 263 | 417 | 263 | 680 | 369 | 25 | 17 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 22 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 240 | 212 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 198 | 270 | 307 | 577 | 108 | 225 | 15 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 240 | 204 | 48 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 235 | 330 | 368 | 698 | 132 | 256 | 10 | 9 | 308 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 519 | 472 | 115 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 113 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 244 | 294 | 356 | 650 | 112 | 303 | 22 | 4 | 277 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 519 | 462 | 130 | 26 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 81 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 281 | 344 | 429 | 772 | 147 | 320 | 16 | 6 | 337 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 348 | 315 | 72 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 19 | 76 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 229 | 289 | 324 | 613 | 95 | 296 | 22 | 5 | 262 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 348 | 308 | 77 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 26 | 61 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 250 | 325 | 351 | 675 | 101 | 306 | 18 | 7 | 302 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 464 | 427 | 112 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 111 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 262 | 309 | 340 | 649 | 77 | 346 | 24 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 464 | 414 | 120 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 90 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 290 | 355 | 377 | 732 | 87 | 362 | 19 | 8 | 327 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 418 | 377 | 68 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 118 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 180 | 237 | 255 | 492 | 74 | 250 | 28 | 6 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA RAW | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 418 | 368 | 79 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 94 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 215 | 286 | 307 | 593 | 92 | 276 | 22 | 8 | 264 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 24 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 263 | 417 | 263 | 680 | 385 | 25 | 17 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 27 | AA RAW | Arkansas Travelers | — | 24 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 294 | 500 | 294 | 794 | 417 | 21 | 25 | 394 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 22 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 240 | 217 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 194 | 270 | 300 | 570 | 106 | 210 | 15 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 519 | 480 | 115 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 113 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 240 | 294 | 350 | 644 | 110 | 289 | 22 | 4 | 277 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 348 | 318 | 72 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 19 | 76 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 226 | 289 | 321 | 610 | 94 | 290 | 22 | 5 | 262 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 464 | 432 | 112 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 111 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 259 | 309 | 336 | 645 | 76 | 337 | 24 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 418 | 387 | 68 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 118 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 176 | 237 | 248 | 485 | 72 | 241 | 28 | 6 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 24 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 263 | 417 | 263 | 680 | 369 | 25 | 17 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2013 | 1822 | 414 | 74 | 24 | 15 | 104 | 459 | 40 | 41 | 15 | 227 | 284 | 319 | 603 | 92 | 292 | 23 | 5 | 260 | 62 | -92 | +2 | +0 | +7 | +44 | -3.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 134 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 34 | 148 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 228 | 285 | 321 | 606 | 94 | 293 | 23 | 5 | 260 | 62 | -30 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAArkansas Travelers · 24 PAwOBA .386 → .315 (−71)K% 20.8% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.83% | ÷1.022 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.097 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 15.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.17% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 3.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 41.67% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 36.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.920 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.925 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.925 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 84, 3B 85, K 104, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .386 → .315; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .417 → .369. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAATacoma Rainiers · 418 PAwOBA .261 → .219 (−42)K% 22.5% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.49% | ÷1.028 | ×1.290 | — | — | 28.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.89% | ÷0.979 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 5.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.96% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.71% | ÷0.978 | ×0.900 | ×0.961 | ×1.018 | 17.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.57% | ÷0.988 | ×0.810 | ×0.961 | ×1.018 | 5.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.82% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.961 | ×1.018 | 1.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.73% | ÷0.963 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 0.60% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 96, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 106, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .261 → .219; ISO .092 → .076; BABIP .276 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAATacoma Rainiers · 312 PAwOBA .324 → .287 (−37)K% 17.6% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.63% | ÷1.041 | ×1.290 | — | — | 21.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.05% | ÷1.115 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 4.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.96% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.99% | ÷0.987 | ×0.900 | ×0.992 | ×1.033 | 25.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.08% | ÷0.901 | ×0.810 | ×0.992 | ×1.033 | 6.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.88% | ÷1.063 | ×0.810 | ×0.992 | ×1.033 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.33% | ÷0.896 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 1.19% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 97, 2B 80, 3B 113, K 108, BB 123 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .324 → .287; ISO .103 → .092; BABIP .351 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAJackson Generals · 152 PAwOBA .310 → .272 (−38)K% 23.0% → 28.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.03% | ÷1.001 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.89% | ÷1.011 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 5.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.63% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 2.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.67% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | ×1.005 | ×0.998 | 31.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.06% | ÷0.889 | ×0.910 | ×1.005 | ×0.998 | 3.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.04% | ÷1.138 | ×0.880 | ×1.005 | ×0.998 | 1.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.992 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 98, 2B 78, 3B 128, K 100, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .310 → .272; ISO .053 → .046; BABIP .388 → .362. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAJackson Generals · 227 PAwOBA .304 → .268 (−36)K% 22.0% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.03% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.37% | ÷0.950 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 6.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.52% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 3.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.49% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 23.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.032 | ×0.910 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 4.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.08% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 4.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.890 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 95, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 95, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .304 → .268; ISO .096 → .090; BABIP .331 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAATacoma Rainiers · 121 PAwOBA .282 → .251 (−30)K% 9.1% → 11.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.049 | ×1.290 | — | — | 11.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.79% | ÷1.046 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 4.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.995 | ×0.900 | ×0.967 | ×1.048 | 18.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.910 | ×0.810 | ×0.967 | ×1.048 | 4.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.967 | ×1.048 | 1.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.00% | ÷1.127 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 0.73% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 99, 2B 82, 3B 80, K 110, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .282 → .251; ISO .108 → .095; BABIP .270 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AClinton LumberKings · 271 PAwOBA .361 → .303 (−58)K% 14.4% → 19.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.39% | ÷1.018 | ×1.360 | — | — | 19.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.75% | ÷1.068 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 4.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.32% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 2.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.98% | ÷0.999 | ×0.920 | ×1.014 | ×0.990 | 22.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.67% | ÷0.969 | ×0.830 | ×1.014 | ×0.990 | 7.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.51% | ÷1.023 | ×0.910 | ×1.014 | ×0.990 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.06% | ÷1.129 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 2.15% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 100, 2B 94, 3B 105, K 104, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .361 → .303; ISO .157 → .125; BABIP .339 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+High Desert Mavericks · 248 PAwOBA .296 → .248 (−49)K% 16.9% → 24.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.94% | ÷0.925 | ×1.340 | — | — | 24.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.03% | ÷0.961 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 2.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.61% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.16% | ÷0.981 | ×0.910 | ×1.020 | ×0.998 | 20.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.86% | ÷1.015 | ×0.820 | ×1.020 | ×0.998 | 4.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.001 | ×0.760 | ×1.020 | ×0.998 | 2.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.16% | ÷1.097 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 1.81% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 96, 2B 103, 3B 100, K 85, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .296 → .248; ISO .137 → .106; BABIP .301 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).