Bryan Rincon

SS Reading Fightin Phils

Age 23 S/R 5'10" / 185 lbs AA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #708MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP49ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	A+PHI	359	.181/.306/.298	6	40	21	—	.137/.215/.218
2025	21	INTLSurprise Sagu…	52	.068/.212/.136	1	4	9	—
2026	22	AAPHI	534	.267/.413/.517	26	30	123	—	.244/.357/.448
2027PROJ2% MLB	23	MLBPHI	6	.215/.314/.382	0	0	95	0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBPHI	230	.219/.317/.390	8	10	98	0.9
2029PROJ62% MLB	25	MLBPHI	343	.221/.318/.394	12	15	99	1.5

Next 3 projected WAR 2.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$6M2032Arb-2$9M2033Arb-3$11M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

BB%96

Chase%92

wOBA91

wRC+90

ISO90

Whiff%78

Career WAR2 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 33, comp-based) · star 12% · didn't stick 52%

CompsBo Naylor (age 23) · Anthony Volpe (age 23) · Jakob Marsee (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†95

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .314 / .382

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%17

BABIP271

ISO159

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$42M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$3M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.5	$10M	+$10M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.7	$11M	+$10M
2031	Arb-1	$6M	+1.7	$10M	+$6M
2032	Arb-2	$9M	+1.6	$9M	+$4M
2033	Arb-3	$11M	+1.3	$7M	+$0.5M
Totals		$28M		$50M	+$33M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	42	34	6	2	0	2	6	7	1	4	0	176	317	412	729	235	160	17	14	321	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	77	62	16	4	0	0	9	13	3	4	4	258	378	323	701	65	308	17	12	318	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	348	276	63	13	1	8	59	63	6	23	10	228	375	370	745	141	261	18	17	338	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	140	114	23	9	0	2	23	44	1	8	0	202	341	333	674	132	300	31	16	310	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	73	64	12	2	1	0	9	15	0	8	0	188	288	250	538	62	245	21	12	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	359	299	54	13	2	6	50	103	4	40	5	181	306	298	604	117	250	29	14	279	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	52	44	3	0	0	1	8	15	0	4	1	68	212	136	348	68	71	29	15	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	534	424	113	24	2	26	95	111	11	30	4	267	413	517	930	250	299	21	18	408	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	42	36	5	1	0	2	4	10	1	4	0	139	244	333	577	194	117	24	10	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	77	65	14	3	0	0	6	17	3	4	4	215	311	262	572	46	268	22	8	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	348	291	60	11	1	7	44	84	6	23	10	206	323	323	646	117	247	24	13	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	140	122	19	7	0	2	15	56	1	8	0	156	254	262	516	107	257	40	11	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	359	321	44	9	1	5	28	135	4	40	5	137	215	218	433	81	208	38	8	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	534	451	110	22	2	22	68	136	11	30	4	244	357	448	804	204	292	25	13	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	42	36	5	1	0	2	4	10	1	4	0	139	244	333	577	194	125	24	10	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	—	42	34	6	2	0	2	6	7	1	4	0	176	317	412	729	235	160	17	14	321	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	425	356	75	15	1	7	50	101	9	27	14	211	323	317	640	107	265	24	12	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	425	338	79	17	1	8	68	76	9	27	14	234	376	361	737	127	270	18	16	334	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	213	187	30	11	0	3	23	86	1	16	0	160	256	267	523	107	270	40	11	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	213	178	35	11	1	2	32	59	1	16	0	197	322	303	626	107	277	28	15	291	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	411	369	52	11	2	6	32	154	4	44	6	141	217	230	448	89	218	37	8	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	411	343	57	13	2	7	58	118	4	44	6	166	294	277	571	111	227	29	14	267	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	534	451	110	22	2	22	68	136	11	30	4	244	357	448	804	204	296	25	13	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA RAW	Reading Fightin Phils	—	534	424	113	24	2	26	95	111	11	30	4	267	413	517	930	250	299	21	18	408	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	42	37	5	1	0	2	4	10	1	4	0	135	244	324	568	189	117	24	10	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	425	363	75	15	1	7	50	101	9	27	14	207	323	311	634	105	251	24	12	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	213	187	30	11	0	3	23	86	1	16	0	160	256	267	523	107	257	40	11	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	411	372	52	11	2	6	32	154	4	44	6	140	217	228	446	89	208	37	8	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	534	450	110	22	2	22	68	136	11	30	4	244	357	449	805	204	292	25	13	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	213	187	30	11	0	3	23	86	1	16	0	160	256	267	523	107	257	40	11	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	411	372	52	11	2	6	32	154	4	44	6	140	217	228	446	89	208	37	8	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	534	450	110	22	2	22	68	136	11	30	4	244	357	449	805	204	292	25	13	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	PHI	2%	555	480	102	21	2	17	62	153	8	25	3	213	312	373	686	161	270	28	11	309	95	-3	+4	+1	+6	+12	1.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	PHI	2%	6	5	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	215	314	382	697	167	271	33	17	313	95	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	PHI	43%	534	462	100	21	2	17	59	145	8	24	3	216	315	381	696	164	272	27	11	313	98	-1	+4	+2	+6	+12	2.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	PHI	62%	549	475	104	21	2	18	61	147	8	25	3	218	316	384	701	166	273	27	11	314	99	-1	+4	+2	+6	+12	2.4
2030	26	MLB MLE	PHI	71%	553	479	105	21	2	18	61	147	8	25	3	220	317	385	702	166	274	27	11	315	99	-0	+4	+2	+6	+12	2.4
2031	27	MLB MLE	PHI	74%	553	481	107	22	2	18	60	147	7	24	3	220	316	384	700	164	275	27	11	314	99	-1	+4	+2	+6	+12	2.4
2032	28	MLB MLE	PHI	75%	550	479	105	21	2	17	59	146	7	21	3	220	314	381	695	161	275	27	11	312	97	-2	+3	+2	+6	+12	2.1
2033	29	MLB MLE	PHI	74%	542	472	103	21	2	17	58	145	7	18	2	217	312	375	686	157	274	27	11	309	95	-3	+3	+1	+6	+12	1.8
2034	30	MLB MLE	PHI	73%	533	464	100	20	2	16	57	145	7	15	2	215	308	367	676	153	272	27	11	304	92	-5	+2	+0	+6	+12	1.5
2035	31	MLB MLE	PHI	72%	520	454	96	19	2	15	55	143	6	10	2	211	304	358	661	147	269	28	11	299	88	-7	+1	-0	+6	+11	1.0
2036	32	MLB MLE	PHI	72%	502	439	89	18	1	13	52	140	6	5	1	205	298	345	643	140	265	28	10	291	83	-10	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.6
2037	33	MLB MLE	PHI	72%	473	417	82	16	1	12	48	135	5	1	1	199	290	330	621	131	260	29	10	282	77	-13	-0	-2	+5	+10	0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	PHI	43%	230	199	44	9	1	8	26	62	3	10	1	219	317	390	707	171	273	27	11	317	98	-1	+2	+1	+2	+5	0.9
2029	25	MLB CTX	PHI	62%	343	297	65	13	1	12	38	92	5	15	2	221	318	394	712	173	274	27	11	319	99	-0	+2	+2	+4	+7	1.5
2030	26	MLB CTX	PHI	71%	395	344	77	15	2	14	43	105	5	18	2	222	319	395	714	173	275	27	11	319	99	-0	+3	+2	+4	+9	1.7
2031	27	MLB CTX	PHI	74%	407	355	79	15	2	14	44	108	5	18	2	222	318	393	711	171	275	27	11	318	99	-1	+3	+2	+4	+9	1.7
2032	28	MLB CTX	PHI	75%	411	359	81	16	2	14	44	109	5	16	2	222	316	390	706	168	275	27	11	316	97	-1	+2	+1	+4	+9	1.6
2033	29	MLB CTX	PHI	74%	399	348	76	15	1	13	43	107	5	13	2	220	314	384	697	164	274	27	11	313	95	-2	+2	+1	+4	+9	1.3
2034	30	MLB CTX	PHI	73%	388	339	72	14	1	12	41	105	5	11	1	217	310	376	686	159	272	27	11	308	92	-4	+2	+0	+4	+8	1.1
2035	31	MLB CTX	PHI	72%	377	330	70	14	1	11	40	104	4	7	1	213	305	366	671	153	269	28	11	302	88	-5	+1	-0	+4	+8	0.8
2036	32	MLB CTX	PHI	72%	362	317	66	13	1	10	38	101	4	4	1	207	299	353	652	146	265	28	10	295	83	-7	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.4
2037	33	MLB CTX	PHI	72%	341	299	60	11	1	9	35	97	4	1	1	201	292	337	629	136	260	28	10	285	77	-9	-0	-2	+4	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3653	3187	690	135	13	117	392	990	45	113	15	217	311	377	688	161	273	27	11	309	89	-31	+17	+5	+39	+79	11.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	567	123	24	2	21	70	176	8	20	3	217	312	377	689	160	273	27	11	309	89	-6	+3	+1	+7	+14	2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	7254	6297	1322	272	24	211	783	2015	100	304	49	210	307	361	668	151	270	28	11	299	89	-46	+27	+9	+60	+122	17.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	564	118	24	2	19	70	181	9	27	4	209	306	360	666	151	269	28	11	299	89	-5	+3	+1	+7	+14	2.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Lyn Lary'29-'40 * career totals — 12 seasons, 5,424 PA	8.2	5,424	38	162	241*	335*	368*	+54	-2	19.2	20.4
/162	664	5	20	+6.6	-0.2	2.4	pk7: 22
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.5	3,658	110	113	215	307	371	+39	+12	12.3	11.4
/162	664	20	21	+7.1	+2.1	2.2	pk7: 11
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Doug Baird'15-'20 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,353 PA	3.5	2,353	6	118	235*	301*	401*	+8	+16	7.4	7.4
/162	664	2	33	+2.1	+4.7	2.1	pk7: 7
#5Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7
#6Dylan Moorelast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,922 PA	2.9	1,922	63	118	206	310	383	+4	+8	6.6	6.6
/162	664	22	41	+1.3	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bryan Rincon (OGILVIE)	23	30→42	40→45	50	60	211/310/370	159	270	10	15	28%	11%	95	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	42→46	50→55	54→50	49	211/301/366	155	290	17	16	32%	10%	90	+0.6	217/302/391	174	272	21	10	27%	10%	96	+1.0	206/293/384	178	246	22	6	26%	10%	92	+0.5
✕Anthony Volpe 2024 · MLB	23	42→50	52→55	58→55	48	218/296/393	175	269	19	27	26%	9%	94	+0.9	225/286/370	145	282	14	22	25%	7%	84	+0.2	226/286/365	138	282	13	24	24%	7%	83	+0.1
●Jakob Marsee 2024 · AA	23	47→49	47→45	58→60	58	234/337/363	130	285	15	28	22%	12%	103	+1.5	219/318/347	128	277	12	34	24%	11%	92	+0.7	217/321/350	133	273	12	37	23%	11%	92	+0.8
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	41→51	50→55	59→55	48	209/297/370	161	292	17	24	33%	10%	89	+0.5	248/327/426	178	332	20	21	29%	9%	113	+2.3	229/312/388	159	300	18	22	28%	9%	98	+1.1
✕Jeter Downs 2021 · AA	23	43→41	51→50	52→55	45	223/290/390	167	279	19	17	27%	8%	91	+0.7	180/256/301	121	262	15	21	35%	8%	59	-1.7	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Danny Espinosa 2010 · A	23	46→50	48→55	51→50	44	225/299/374	149	312	16	18	32%	8%	91	+0.6	237/302/400	163	306	18	17	28%	7%	97	+1.1	239/305/404	166	305	19	17	27%	7%	100	+1.4
✕Trey Sweeney 2024 · AA	24	42→45	47→50	54→55	49	213/293/347	134	271	14	19	26%	9%	82	+0.0	222/286/356	134	295	15	16	28%	8%	82	-0.0	219/281/356	137	291	16	15	29%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Henry Davis 2023 · AA	23	46→47	49→50	52→50	42	230/312/381	150	296	16	13	27%	6%	98	+1.2	223/306/371	148	287	17	12	27%	8%	93	+0.8	210/295/352	142	268	18	11	27%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Brett Wisely 2023 · AAA	24	47→51	49→50	54→55	46	237/301/384	147	305	16	24	27%	8%	93	+0.8	233/299/358	125	300	12	15	25%	8%	86	+0.3	230/298/342	112	290	10	18	23%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Josh Smith 2022 · AA	24	50→53	50→45	56→50	48	247/333/406	159	303	17	23	24%	8%	111	+2.1	232/323/356	124	290	11	13	22%	9%	96	+1.0	240/326/364	124	289	12	10	20%	9%	98	+0.9
✕Oswaldo Cabrera 2022 · AAA	23	44→49	52→55	50	40	229/273/400	170	296	20	15	30%	6%	86	+0.3	228/283/373	145	288	16	15	26%	7%	84	+0.2	241/292/345	104	296	13	9	23%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Austin Wells 2023 · AA	24	43→44	52→55	57→50	48	221/305/386	165	294	19	14	30%	10%	96	+1.0	218/292/386	168	268	20	8	26%	9%	91	+0.7	211/285/386	175	250	21	5	25%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Eguy Rosario 2023 · AAA	23	48→54	48→55	52→55	45	238/301/386	148	304	14	21	26%	7%	94	+0.9	222/284/374	152	291	16	17	28%	7%	85	+0.2	202/265/351	149	268	17	17	30%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Yonathan Perlaza 2023 · AA	24	44→54	52→55	47→50	45	224/292/395	171	297	19	10	30%	8%	93	+0.8	240/311/410	170	311	17	12	27%	9%	103	+1.5	252/321/420	168	321	16	12	25%	9%	105	+1.7
✕Connor Norby 2023 · AAA	23	46→51	52→55	49→50	45	236/302/402	166	297	20	12	27%	7%	98	+1.2	247/306/406	159	329	18	11	29%	7%	100	+1.3	247/320/404	157	334	17	14	30%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2015 · MLB	23	47→51	49→55	57→55	40	237/279/392	156	310	15	23	28%	6%	86	+0.3	212/254/352	140	300	13	22	32%	5%	68	-1.0	211/258/373	162	290	17	14	32%	6%	72	-0.4
✕Blake Tekotte 2011 · AA	24	45→47	48→50	50→55	47	228/290/372	144	279	15	18	24%	8%	86	+0.3	214/274/356	142	286	15	21	29%	7%	77	-0.3	194/258/314	120	261	9	10	28%	6%	59	-0.8
✕Parker Meadows 2024 · MLB	24	43→48	49→55	57→55	46	219/284/373	154	279	17	17	28%	8%	84	+0.2	234/303/394	160	302	16	20	26%	9%	96	+1.0	236/310/408	171	300	16	22	26%	9%	101	+0.9
✕Nick Franklin 2014 · MLB	23	50→51	47→50	53→50	49	244/309/387	142	306	14	12	24%	8%	97	+1.1	231/295/371	140	294	15	13	25%	8%	88	+0.4	225/286/360	135	284	15	14	26%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	213/278/339	126	273	14	11	26%	8%	74	-0.5	223/286/391	168	267	21	13	25%	7%	88	+0.3

Bryan Rincon

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps