Eric Guevara — OGILVIE

Eric GuevaraSS Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 22 R/R A HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 77 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .284 / .316

PA77

HR2

K%30

BB%9

ISO107

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$12M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	61	50	12	0	0	2	11	15	0	6	0	240	377	360	737	120	303	25	18	342	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	61	53	11	0	0	2	8	20	0	6	0	208	311	321	632	113	275	33	13	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	61	53	11	0	0	2	8	20	0	6	0	208	311	321	632	113	290	33	13	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	61	50	12	0	0	2	11	15	0	6	0	240	377	360	737	120	303	25	18	342	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	61	53	11	0	0	2	8	20	0	6	0	208	311	321	632	113	275	33	13	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	61	53	11	0	0	2	8	20	0	6	0	208	311	321	632	113	275	33	13	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	171	153	33	4	1	4	15	52	1	4	1	212	286	319	605	107	290	30	9	275	72	-6	+0	+1	+2	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIA	25%	171	153	33	4	1	4	15	51	1	4	1	215	289	326	615	111	291	30	9	279	75	-5	+0	+1	+2	+4	0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIA	36%	285	256	56	7	1	7	25	84	2	6	1	217	291	331	623	114	292	29	9	282	77	-8	+1	+2	+3	+6	0.5
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIA	43%	356	320	70	9	2	8	31	103	2	7	1	219	293	336	629	117	292	29	9	284	78	-9	+1	+3	+4	+8	0.6
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIA	47%	402	361	80	10	2	10	35	115	3	8	1	220	294	339	633	119	292	29	9	286	80	-10	+1	+3	+4	+9	0.8
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIA	48%	425	382	84	11	2	10	37	121	3	8	1	220	294	340	635	120	291	28	9	286	80	-10	+1	+3	+5	+9	0.8
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIA	52%	435	391	85	11	2	10	38	125	3	7	1	219	292	336	628	117	291	29	9	284	78	-11	+1	+3	+5	+9	0.7
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIA	50%	434	390	85	11	2	10	38	126	3	7	1	216	290	330	619	113	289	29	9	280	76	-12	+1	+2	+5	+9	0.5
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIA	54%	430	388	83	11	2	9	37	126	2	7	1	214	286	322	609	109	288	29	9	276	73	-14	+1	+1	+5	+9	0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIA	25%	43	39	8	1	0	1	4	13	0	1	0	209	283	313	596	104	283	30	9	271	75	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIA	36%	103	92	19	2	0	2	9	30	1	2	0	211	286	318	604	107	284	29	9	274	77	-3	+0	+1	+1	+2	0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIA	43%	152	137	28	3	1	3	13	44	1	3	0	213	287	322	609	110	284	29	9	277	78	-4	+1	+1	+2	+3	0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIA	47%	187	168	35	4	1	4	16	54	1	4	0	214	288	325	614	112	283	29	9	278	80	-5	+1	+1	+2	+4	0.4
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIA	48%	202	181	39	5	1	5	18	57	1	4	1	214	288	326	615	112	283	28	9	279	80	-5	+0	+2	+2	+4	0.4
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIA	52%	228	205	43	5	1	5	20	65	1	4	1	212	287	322	609	110	282	29	9	276	78	-6	+0	+1	+2	+5	0.3
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIA	50%	218	196	42	5	1	5	19	63	1	3	0	210	284	316	601	106	281	29	9	273	76	-6	+1	+1	+2	+5	0.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIA	54%	230	207	43	5	1	5	20	67	1	4	1	207	281	309	590	102	280	29	9	269	73	-7	+0	+1	+2	+5	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1363	1225	257	30	6	30	119	393	7	25	3	210	283	318	601	108	281	29	9	275	77	-37	+4	+9	+15	+30	2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	122	14	3	14	57	187	3	12	1	209	282	315	597	106	280	29	9	275	77	-18	+2	+4	+7	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	3076	2764	602	76	14	72	271	894	19	62	8	218	292	334	626	116	292	29	9	282	77	-82	+8	+19	+32	+65	4.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	127	16	3	15	57	189	4	13	2	217	291	332	624	115	292	29	9	282	77	-18	+2	+4	+7	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.2	1,440	33	26	218	289	334	+15	+20	2.0	2.0
/162	664	15	12	+7.1	+9.2	0.9	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eric Guevara (OGILVIE)	22	50	45	50	—	210/284/316	106	290	2	2	30%	9%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dom Keegan 2023 · A	22	48→52	46→45	50→40	42	231/293/362	131	322	13	8	31%	7%	85	+0.2	230/295/359	129	310	12	3	28%	8%	85	+0.2	226/292/357	131	305	12	1	28%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	44	42→45	55	47	215/295/325	110	284	9	14	26%	8%	78	-0.3	222/280/325	103	297	9	9	27%	6%	72	-0.7	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Ricardo Olivar 2024 · A	22	49→50	44→45	51→50	45	233/311/357	125	326	10	9	30%	8%	91	+0.7	224/296/352	128	290	14	9	26%	9%	84	+0.2	215/289/349	134	265	17	10	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Ryan Bliss 2022 · A	22	43→51	47→50	51→60	39	215/265/348	133	294	15	16	31%	6%	72	-0.7	215/279/342	127	288	12	32	28%	7%	76	-0.4	232/299/362	129	300	10	41	25%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Jared Serna 2024 · A	22	45→48	45	53→50	45	226/284/352	126	276	13	18	23%	7%	79	-0.2	214/271/321	107	261	11	15	22%	6%	68	-1.0	202/265/300	97	245	10	16	21%	6%	58	-1.4
✕Christopher Bostick 2015 · A	22	43→53	44→45	52→55	40	213/267/336	123	296	11	15	31%	6%	69	-0.9	229/277/342	113	302	9	14	26%	5%	74	-0.6	245/298/359	114	318	9	7	25%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Tommy Troy 2024 · A	22	47→55	46→45	57→50	44	228/298/359	132	326	13	18	32%	8%	86	+0.3	223/292/336	113	299	10	17	27%	8%	79	-0.2	233/306/347	114	304	10	17	25%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Cayden Wallace 2024 · AA	22	45→49	44→50	53→50	45	220/280/345	125	285	10	13	26%	7%	76	-0.4	226/279/351	125	289	12	13	25%	6%	77	-0.3	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Andy Burns 2013 · A	22	43→53	47→50	54→55	42	211/280/356	145	295	13	13	32%	7%	80	-0.2	239/287/369	130	297	11	16	22%	6%	84	+0.1	250/295/369	119	301	10	15	20%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Jack Brannigan 2023 · A	22	42	43→50	48→50	43	204/277/310	106	298	11	13	33%	8%	68	-1.0	202/279/357	155	294	19	17	36%	8%	80	-0.2	186/267/343	157	262	20	18	36%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Ben Ross 2023 · A	22	46→44	46→45	54→55	46	224/295/357	132	306	13	14	30%	8%	85	+0.2	187/251/310	123	264	14	13	33%	7%	58	-1.7	186/257/314	129	258	15	19	33%	8%	59	-1.3
✕Cooper Bowman 2022 · A	22	44	45	56→60	41	214/289/346	132	303	12	19	32%	7%	81	-0.1	204/281/321	117	287	12	34	31%	8%	72	-0.7	210/283/330	120	279	11	40	27%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Brice Matthews 2024 · A	22	45	44→50	54→60	46	211/306/329	118	322	12	22	35%	10%	84	+0.1	217/298/371	154	326	18	30	36%	9%	90	+0.6	208/288/365	156	305	19	33	36%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Damiano Palmegiani 2022 · A	22	48→42	43→50	50→40	45	229/300/343	114	314	11	7	29%	8%	84	+0.1	204/282/366	162	271	20	5	31%	8%	83	+0.1	192/273/350	158	256	20	4	32%	8%	74	-0.5
✕Marcus Wilson 2019 · A	22	44→51	43→50	49→50	41	212/273/323	110	310	10	12	33%	7%	68	-1.0	207/276/339	132	334	14	13	39%	8%	74	-0.6	191/276/341	150	316	16	16	41%	9%	72	-0.5
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	46→50	42→50	51→50	42	219/286/327	109	306	9	11	30%	7%	74	-0.5	211/283/339	128	327	14	12	37%	7%	77	-0.3	246/324/371	124	344	12	15	29%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Yorberto Mejicano 2023 · A	22	46	43→45	48→45	41	225/274/332	107	299	11	8	28%	6%	71	-0.8	221/277/330	109	296	10	9	27%	6%	72	-0.7	213/273/322	109	278	10	9	26%	7%	67	-0.4
✕Taylor Featherston 2013 · A	23	47→46	44→50	51→50	44	226/291/350	124	304	11	11	28%	7%	82	-0.0	221/268/359	138	289	14	12	28%	5%	75	-0.5	213/256/352	139	273	14	12	27%	4%	67	-0.8
✕Cutter Dykstra 2011 · A	22	49→57	40	52→55	45	231/296/316	86	310	7	16	27%	8%	76	-0.4	222/281/298	76	309	5	16	28%	7%	65	-1.2	239/306/325	86	316	6	16	24%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Jack Marder 2012 · A	22	48	44→45	49→50	41	235/292/354	119	291	11	12	23%	4%	83	+0.1	240/299/357	117	292	10	13	21%	5%	86	+0.3	238/300/350	112	289	10	12	20%	5%	83	+0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps