Aiva Arquette — OGILVIE

Aiva ArquetteSS Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 22 R/R 6'5" / 220 lbs AA HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION291 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP277

ISO138

MLB%6%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$19M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 58

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER58

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$6M	+$6M
2030	Arb-1	$4M	+1.1	$6M	+$4M
2031	Arb-2	$7M	+1.1	$6M	+$2M
2032	Arb-3	$9M	+1.0	$5M	+$0.1M
Totals		$23M		$27M	+$14M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	117	99	24	5	0	1	17	27	0	7	2	242	353	323	677	81	319	23	15	313	98	-0	+1	—	—	+3	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	117	104	20	4	0	1	12	37	0	7	2	192	276	260	535	67	276	32	10	240	49	-7	+1	—	—	+3	-0.4
2025	21	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	117	104	20	4	0	1	12	37	0	7	2	192	276	260	535	67	284	32	10	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	Beloit Sky Carp	—	117	99	24	5	0	1	17	27	0	7	2	242	353	323	677	81	319	23	15	313	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	117	104	20	4	0	1	12	37	0	7	2	192	276	260	535	67	276	32	10	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	117	104	20	4	0	1	12	37	0	7	2	192	276	260	535	67	276	32	10	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AA MLE	MIA	—	291	275	62	8	1	9	11	78	4	21	2	225	266	360	626	135	280	27	4	277	73	-9	+3	+0	+3	+6	0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ RAW	MIA	—	63	58	16	4	2	2	4	17	1	5	1	276	333	517	851	241	359	27	6	370	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AA RAW	MIA	—	228	210	57	6	0	10	14	45	3	16	1	271	326	443	769	171	301	20	6	340	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	AA MLE	MIA	6%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		285	22	11	289	82	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	22	MLB CTX	MIA	6%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						277	0	0	273	82	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	22	MLB A+C	MIA	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	273	74	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	22	AA MLE	MIA	—	300	283	63	8	1	9	12	80	4	21	2	223	264	353	618	131	277	27	4	277	74	-9	+3	-0	+3	+6	0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	MIA	46%	321	296	70	11	2	10	19	79	3	10	1	236	289	389	678	152	289	25	6	302	90	-4	+2	-0	+3	+7	0.8
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIA	59%	398	366	88	14	2	13	25	96	4	10	1	240	296	396	692	156	290	24	6	309	95	-2	+2	-0	+4	+9	1.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	433	398	97	16	2	15	28	104	4	10	1	244	300	407	707	163	290	24	6	313	98	-1	+2	-0	+5	+9	1.5
2030	26	MLB MLE	MIA	68%	454	416	102	17	2	16	30	109	5	10	1	245	304	411	715	166	291	24	7	316	100	-0	+2	-0	+5	+10	1.6
2031	27	MLB MLE	MIA	68%	458	419	102	17	2	16	31	110	5	10	1	243	303	408	711	165	290	24	7	316	100	+0	+2	-0	+5	+10	1.6
2032	28	MLB MLE	MIA	68%	457	418	102	17	2	16	31	110	5	10	1	244	304	409	713	165	290	24	7	315	99	-0	+2	-1	+5	+10	1.5
2033	29	MLB MLE	MIA	66%	449	410	99	16	2	16	31	109	5	9	1	241	303	407	710	166	290	24	7	313	98	-1	+1	-2	+5	+10	1.4
2034	30	MLB MLE	MIA	66%	440	403	97	16	2	15	30	108	4	8	1	241	300	402	702	161	289	25	7	311	96	-2	+1	-2	+5	+10	1.1
2035	31	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	427	391	92	15	2	14	29	106	4	8	1	235	295	391	686	156	287	25	7	307	94	-3	+1	-3	+5	+9	0.9
2036	32	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	408	373	87	14	2	13	28	103	4	7	1	233	294	386	680	153	284	25	7	302	90	-5	+1	-4	+4	+9	0.6
2037	33	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	379	346	79	12	1	12	26	98	4	6	1	228	290	373	663	145	280	26	7	295	86	-6	+1	-4	+4	+8	0.2
2038	34	MLB MLE	MIA	60%	334	306	67	10	1	10	22	88	3	5	1	219	278	356	634	137	275	26	7	286	80	-8	+1	-5	+4	+7	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	MIA	46%	146	135	31	5	1	4	9	36	1	4	1	230	283	370	653	141	281	25	6	286	90	-2	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIA	59%	235	216	50	8	1	7	15	57	2	6	1	231	288	375	663	144	282	24	6	293	95	-1	+1	-0	+3	+5	0.7
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	283	260	61	10	1	9	18	68	3	7	1	235	292	385	676	150	282	24	6	297	98	-1	+1	-0	+3	+6	1.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	MIA	68%	310	284	68	11	1	11	20	74	3	7	1	239	296	401	698	162	282	24	6	299	100	-0	+1	-0	+3	+7	1.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	MIA	68%	312	285	68	11	1	11	21	75	3	7	1	239	298	400	698	161	282	24	7	299	100	+0	+1	-0	+3	+7	1.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	MIA	68%	311	284	67	11	1	10	21	75	3	7	1	236	295	387	683	151	282	24	7	299	99	-0	+1	-1	+3	+7	1.0
2033	29	MLB CTX	MIA	66%	298	273	64	10	1	10	20	73	3	6	1	234	294	388	682	154	281	24	7	297	98	-1	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.9
2034	30	MLB CTX	MIA	66%	288	263	61	10	1	9	20	71	3	6	1	232	294	380	674	148	281	25	7	295	96	-1	+1	-2	+3	+6	0.8
2035	31	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	278	254	58	9	1	9	19	69	3	5	1	228	290	378	668	150	279	25	7	291	94	-2	+1	-2	+3	+6	0.6
2036	32	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	264	241	54	8	1	8	18	67	3	5	1	224	286	365	651	141	276	25	7	286	90	-3	+1	-2	+3	+6	0.4
2037	33	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	245	224	49	7	1	7	17	63	2	4	1	219	280	353	633	134	272	26	7	280	86	-4	+0	-3	+3	+5	0.1
2038	34	MLB CTX	MIA	60%	201	184	41	6	1	6	13	53	2	3	0	223	281	364	646	141	267	26	6	272	80	-5	+1	-3	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3172	2904	672	106	12	101	211	781	31	67	11	231	291	381	671	149	280	25	7	292	93	-20	+9	-15	+34	+69	7.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	138	22	2	21	43	160	6	14	2	232	290	382	671	150	281	25	7	292	93	-4	+2	-3	+7	+14	1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5084	4654	1103	179	22	167	343	1259	50	110	14	237	296	393	689	156	288	25	7	306	93	-33	+16	-23	+53	+108	12.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	141	23	3	21	44	161	6	14	2	237	296	392	688	155	288	25	7	306	93	-4	+2	-3	+7	+14	1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#2Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	5.5	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
/162	664	23	11	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
#3Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.8	3,182	108	67	240	295	400	+33	-1	10.9	9.6
/162	664	23	14	+6.8	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 8
#5Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#6Tim Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,743 PA	2.6	1,743	63	13	248	301	431	+19	-13	6.1	6.1
/162	664	24	5	+7.1	-4.8	2.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aiva Arquette (OGILVIE)	22	38→49	50→58	55→53	50	229/281/364	135	285	5	8	25%	6%	82	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→46	45→55	51→55	44	214/275/343	129	286	12	11	29%	7%	74	-0.5	230/293/385	155	277	18	13	23%	8%	91	+0.6	230/293/400	170	266	20	16	22%	7%	92	+0.7
●Miguel Vargas 2022 · AA	22	50→52	49→55	51→50	45	253/303/401	148	297	17	9	21%	6%	98	+1.2	227/306/381	154	270	16	12	22%	9%	95	+0.9	224/326/406	183	249	21	12	19%	12%	105	+1.6
✕Logan O'Hoppe 2022 · AAA	22	43→48	48→55	46→45	43	221/272/355	134	264	16	7	24%	6%	76	-0.4	236/307/409	173	277	23	6	24%	8%	102	+1.5	238/313/422	183	282	26	4	25%	8%	105	+1.1
●Zach Neto 2023 · AA	22	49→48	46→60	49→55	42	243/302/374	131	307	13	12	25%	5%	92	+0.7	246/317/424	178	299	21	19	25%	6%	109	+2.0	246/317/445	199	306	24	25	27%	7%	110	+2.1
✕Addison Russell 2015 · AA	21	47→53	50→55	53→50	44	238/298/398	160	301	17	13	26%	7%	95	+1.0	240/306/401	161	301	18	7	25%	8%	99	+1.3	239/310/406	168	295	19	5	25%	8%	97	+0.9
●Zack Gelof 2022 · A	22	48→50	49→55	54→55	43	235/299/383	148	333	16	17	33%	8%	93	+0.8	233/296/404	171	326	21	20	33%	8%	97	+1.1	229/294/405	176	316	22	24	33%	8%	93	+0.7
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2023 · AA	22	46→55	49→55	58→55	37	233/270/393	160	293	16	19	27%	4%	84	+0.1	242/279/395	153	304	16	23	25%	4%	88	+0.4	253/291/409	156	303	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Nick Senzel 2017 · A	22	48→57	45→50	51→50	46	230/295/364	133	302	10	16	26%	8%	86	+0.3	251/305/391	140	330	12	14	26%	7%	96	+1.0	256/310/402	146	332	13	16	26%	7%	97	+0.7
●Sean Rodríguez 2007 · AA	22	46→49	52→60	48→50	46	235/306/404	170	299	19	12	28%	8%	100	+1.3	229/300/399	170	291	20	10	28%	7%	97	+1.1	234/307/425	191	291	23	12	27%	7%	102	+1.1
●Paul DeJong 2016 · A	22	50→51	47→65	52→45	44	245/300/384	139	311	13	13	25%	6%	93	+0.8	242/291/421	179	311	22	4	29%	5%	99	+1.2	250/315/472	223	293	30	4	26%	7%	118	+2.6
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→51	46→55	48→50	52	226/305/358	133	270	13	12	21%	9%	89	+0.5	230/298/389	159	277	18	11	23%	8%	93	+0.8	222/292/383	160	263	19	11	23%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Chris Nelson 2008 · A	22	46→56	47→50	53→50	42	228/277/370	142	282	13	13	24%	6%	81	-0.1	229/282/356	127	285	12	12	23%	6%	80	-0.2	257/301/390	133	311	13	7	21%	5%	91	+0.5
●Yainer Diaz 2021 · A	22	52→60	45→60	50→40	43	255/292/378	123	296	12	5	18%	4%	88	+0.4	263/298/432	169	306	21	3	21%	4%	103	+1.6	280/313/466	185	314	24	1	19%	4%	114	+1.9
✕Connor Norby 2023 · AAA	23	45→49	51→55	49→50	44	231/295/391	160	292	19	12	28%	7%	93	+0.8	239/298/393	154	317	17	11	29%	7%	94	+0.9	239/312/395	156	325	18	14	30%	8%	98	+1.0
✕Jake Marisnick 2013 · AA	22	47→54	43→60	56→55	41	227/284/350	123	289	10	19	24%	5%	79	-0.2	231/278/351	120	296	11	23	25%	4%	77	-0.3	231/295/439	208	305	27	18	33%	6%	102	+0.7
✕Drew Gilbert 2023 · A	22	48	47→50	53→45	48	239/297/376	137	271	15	16	18%	7%	90	+0.6	224/293/368	144	273	16	9	23%	7%	87	+0.4	210/294/357	148	242	16	5	20%	8%	82	+0.0
●Matt McLain 2022 · A	22	45→55	44→55	53→55	48	220/298/335	115	296	11	20	28%	9%	81	-0.1	235/317/411	176	321	19	22	30%	9%	106	+1.8	231/315/396	166	310	19	23	30%	9%	99	+1.1
●Mike Zunino 2013 · AA	22	49→48	50→65	49→30	46	249/297/405	156	285	18	9	20%	6%	97	+1.1	206/264/375	169	269	21	3	31%	5%	78	-0.3	228/303/462	235	292	33	0	33%	8%	111	+1.7
●Elijah Dukes 2006 · AA	22	51→52	49→55	51→50	45	254/303/403	149	298	16	16	21%	6%	98	+1.2	245/329/409	164	289	18	14	21%	10%	109	+2.0	235/343/409	174	277	18	13	21%	13%	112	+1.4
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	48→46	43→45	47→70	45	232/293/349	117	280	10	9	21%	6%	82	-0.0	219/293/329	110	283	9	26	25%	8%	78	-0.3	225/318/339	113	300	10	63	26%	9%	88	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps