Aiva Arquette — OGILVIE

Aiva ArquetteSS Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 22 R/R 6'5" / 220 lbs AA HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION185 act + 123 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .286 / .383

PA123

HR4

K%26

BB%7

BABIP272

ISO160

MLB%6%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$7M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$10M	+$9M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.7	$11M	+$10M
2030	Arb-1	$4M	+1.8	$11M	+$8M
2031	Arb-2	$6M	+1.8	$10M	+$6M
2032	Arb-3	$9M	+1.7	$9M	+$4M
Totals		$22M		$57M	+$44M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	117	103	19	4	0	1	13	39	0	7	2	184	276	252	528	68	281	33	11	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	117	99	24	5	0	1	17	27	0	7	2	242	353	323	677	81	319	23	15	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	AA	MIA	—	185	175	34	5	1	8	8	51	2	12	2	194	238	371	609	177	224	28	4	265	61	-8	+2	+0	+2	+5	0.1
YTD	22	AA	MIA	—	185	171	41	7	2	9	12	39	2	12	2	240	297	462	759	222	260	21	6	333	113	+3	+2	+0	+2	+5	1.2
ROS	22	AA	MIA	6%	123	112	25	4	1	4	9	32	1	4	1	223	286	383	669	160	268	26	7	294	83	-2	+0	-0	+1	+3	0.3
ROS	22	MLB	MIA	6%	7	7	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	143	143	143	286		263	29	0	282	74	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	22	AA	MIA	—	192	182	35	5	1	8	8	53	2	12	2	192	234	363	597	170	223	28	4	265	61	-8	+2	-0	+2	+5	0.1
TOT	22	AA	MIA	—	308	287	59	9	2	12	17	83	3	16	3	205	257	376	633	171	243	27	6	276	70	-11	+2	-0	+3	+9	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	MIA	46%	319	290	67	12	2	11	23	81	3	8	2	231	294	400	694	169	274	25	7	303	90	-4	+1	-0	+3	+9	1.0
2028	24	MLB	MIA	59%	396	360	83	15	2	14	29	99	4	9	2	231	295	400	695	169	277	25	7	309	94	-3	+1	-0	+4	+11	1.4
2029	25	MLB	MIA	65%	432	393	92	16	3	16	32	107	4	10	2	234	298	412	711	178	278	25	7	312	97	-1	+1	-0	+5	+12	1.7
2030	26	MLB	MIA	68%	453	412	97	17	3	17	34	112	4	10	2	235	300	415	715	180	278	25	8	314	99	-1	+1	-0	+5	+13	1.8
2031	27	MLB	MIA	68%	458	416	97	17	3	17	35	113	4	10	2	233	299	411	710	178	278	25	8	314	99	-1	+1	-0	+5	+13	1.8
2032	28	MLB	MIA	68%	457	415	97	17	3	17	35	113	4	9	2	234	300	412	712	178	278	25	8	314	98	-1	+1	-1	+5	+13	1.7
2033	29	MLB	MIA	66%	449	407	94	17	2	16	35	112	4	9	2	231	298	400	699	170	277	25	8	312	97	-2	+1	-2	+5	+13	1.5
2034	30	MLB	MIA	66%	440	399	91	16	2	16	34	111	4	8	2	228	295	398	694	170	276	25	8	309	95	-3	+1	-2	+5	+12	1.3
2035	31	MLB	MIA	65%	426	386	87	15	2	15	33	109	4	8	2	225	293	391	684	166	274	26	8	305	92	-4	+1	-3	+5	+12	1.1
2036	32	MLB	MIA	65%	408	369	82	14	2	14	32	106	4	7	2	222	291	385	676	163	271	26	8	300	88	-6	+1	-4	+4	+12	0.7
2037	33	MLB	MIA	65%	379	344	75	13	2	12	29	100	3	6	1	218	285	372	657	154	267	26	8	293	83	-7	+1	-4	+4	+11	0.4
2038	34	MLB	MIA	60%	334	302	63	10	2	10	26	91	3	5	1	209	278	354	632	146	262	27	8	285	76	-9	+1	-5	+4	+9	-0.1
2039	35	MLB	MIA	56%	282	257	51	8	1	8	21	79	2	4	1	198	264	331	595	132	255	28	7	275	68	-10	+0	-6	+3	+8	-0.5
2027	23	MLB	MIA	46%	146	134	30	5	1	5	10	37	1	4	1	224	283	388	671	164	269	25	7	292	81	-3	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.3
2028	24	MLB	MIA	59%	234	213	48	9	1	8	17	58	2	5	1	225	289	390	678	164	272	25	7	297	86	-4	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.6
2029	25	MLB	MIA	65%	282	256	59	10	2	10	21	70	3	6	1	230	296	402	699	172	273	25	7	300	88	-4	+1	-0	+3	+8	0.8
2030	26	MLB	MIA	68%	309	280	64	11	2	11	23	76	3	7	1	229	294	400	694	171	273	25	7	302	90	-4	+1	-0	+3	+9	0.9
2031	27	MLB	MIA	68%	312	282	65	12	2	11	24	77	3	7	1	230	298	404	702	174	273	25	8	303	90	-4	+1	-0	+3	+9	1.0
2032	28	MLB	MIA	68%	311	281	64	11	2	11	24	77	3	6	1	228	295	399	694	171	273	25	8	302	89	-4	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.9
2033	29	MLB	MIA	66%	298	270	62	11	2	11	23	75	3	6	1	230	297	407	705	178	272	25	8	300	88	-4	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.7
2034	30	MLB	MIA	66%	288	261	59	10	2	10	22	73	3	5	1	226	294	395	688	169	271	25	8	298	86	-5	+1	-2	+3	+8	0.6
2035	31	MLB	MIA	65%	277	251	55	10	1	9	22	71	2	5	1	219	287	375	662	155	269	26	8	294	83	-5	+1	-2	+3	+8	0.4
2036	32	MLB	MIA	65%	264	240	52	9	1	9	20	69	2	5	1	217	282	375	657	158	266	26	8	289	79	-6	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.2
2037	33	MLB	MIA	65%	245	222	48	8	1	8	19	65	2	4	1	216	284	369	653	153	262	27	8	283	74	-7	+0	-3	+3	+7	-0.0
2038	34	MLB	MIA	60%	201	182	38	6	1	6	15	55	2	3	1	209	276	352	628	143	257	27	7	274	68	-7	+0	-3	+2	+6	-0.2
2039	35	MLB	MIA	56%	157	143	29	4	1	5	12	44	1	2	1	203	269	350	619	147	251	28	8	265	61	-7	+0	-3	+2	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3331	3022	674	116	19	114	252	849	30	65	13	223	289	387	677	164	270	25	8	294	83	-63	+8	-18	+36	+94	5.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	132	23	4	22	49	166	6	13	3	224	290	388	678	164	272	26	8	294	83	-12	+1	-4	+7	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	5473	4965	1120	195	30	188	420	1404	48	114	26	226	292	391	683	165	274	26	8	303	90	-60	+12	-29	+59	+155	13.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	133	23	4	22	50	167	6	14	3	225	293	390	683	164	275	26	8	303	90	-7	+2	-3	+7	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	117	99	24	5	0	1	17	27	0	7	2	242	353	323	677	81	319	23	15	313	98	-0	+1	—	—	+3	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#3Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,335	117	66	229	292	397	+33	-2	10.1	9.0
	/162	664	23	13	229	292	397	+6.6	-0.4	2.0	pk7: 8
#6Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aiva Arquette (OGILVIE)	22	37→49	51→60	54→52	50	205/257/376	171	243	12	16	27%	6%	70	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Addison Russell 2015 · AA	21	47→52	50→55	52→50	44	239/300/400	161	302	18	13	26%	7%	96	+1.5	239/305/397	158	301	17	7	25%	8%	98	+1.6	237/308/399	162	294	18	5	25%	8%	94	+1.1
●Sean Rodríguez 2007 · AA	22	46→49	52→60	48→50	46	235/306/406	171	300	20	12	28%	8%	101	+1.8	230/301/408	178	293	21	10	28%	7%	99	+1.7	237/310/439	202	292	25	12	27%	7%	107	+1.7
●Miguel Vargas 2022 · AA	22	50→53	52→55	51→50	44	256/304/419	164	299	20	9	22%	6%	103	+1.9	229/306/389	160	271	17	12	22%	9%	96	+1.5	221/322/407	185	244	21	11	19%	12%	106	+1.7
●Zack Gelof 2022 · A	22	49→50	47→55	54→55	43	236/299/379	142	334	15	17	32%	8%	90	+1.0	235/298/420	185	327	24	20	34%	8%	101	+1.8	229/294/414	185	314	24	24	33%	8%	95	+1.2
●Connor Norby 2023 · AAA	23	45→49	51→55	50	44	232/297/394	162	296	20	12	28%	7%	93	+1.3	242/301/407	165	320	20	11	29%	7%	98	+1.6	245/305/413	168	324	20	11	29%	7%	99	+1.5
✕Aaron Luna 2009 · A	22	42→44	50	51→45	45	210/316/367	157	290	18	7	32%	8%	96	+1.5	216/319/370	154	271	17	7	26%	8%	98	+1.6	214/320/367	152	267	17	7	25%	8%	95	+0.9
✕Henry Davis 2023 · AA	23	47→45	48→50	52→50	41	230/312/373	143	305	15	13	28%	6%	95	+1.4	220/304/371	151	284	18	12	28%	8%	92	+1.2	207/291/353	147	263	19	11	28%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Rylan Bannon 2018 · A	22	46→42	50	51→50	44	235/298/388	153	288	19	8	25%	7%	93	+1.3	210/279/350	140	281	15	5	29%	8%	75	-0.0	197/295/350	153	257	19	12	30%	11%	80	+0.3
●Zach Neto 2023 · AA	22	49→48	47→60	49→55	41	242/301/379	137	306	14	12	25%	5%	92	+1.2	249/319/435	186	302	22	19	25%	6%	115	+2.7	247/321/459	212	303	27	25	27%	7%	117	+2.6
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	51→55	44	215/274/342	127	287	12	11	29%	7%	70	-0.3	231/293/393	162	278	19	13	24%	7%	92	+1.2	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3
●Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	40→44	52→55	54→50	48	206/295/372	166	284	19	16	33%	10%	88	+0.9	216/301/395	179	269	22	10	27%	10%	96	+1.5	207/293/388	181	246	23	6	26%	10%	89	+0.7
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→52	46→55	48→50	52	224/303/356	132	269	13	12	22%	9%	86	+0.8	237/303/415	178	282	22	11	24%	8%	102	+1.8	230/299/411	181	267	23	11	23%	8%	96	+1.1
●Joshua Rodriguez 2008 · A	23	43→53	50	52→50	47	224/283/376	152	269	17	14	24%	8%	82	+0.5	227/292/343	116	297	10	10	25%	8%	77	+0.1	244/304/360	116	311	11	6	24%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2023 · AA	22	46→48	51→55	58→55	37	235/272/402	167	295	18	19	27%	4%	85	+0.7	240/277/395	155	301	17	23	26%	4%	85	+0.7	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
●Matt McLain 2022 · A	22	45→55	44→55	53→55	48	218/295/334	116	293	11	20	28%	9%	77	+0.1	236/317/422	186	323	21	22	31%	9%	109	+2.4	231/315/405	174	310	20	23	30%	9%	102	+1.7
●Paul DeJong 2016 · A	22	50	47→60	52→45	43	247/300/387	140	314	13	13	25%	6%	92	+1.2	242/291/419	177	315	22	4	29%	5%	98	+1.6	247/312/461	214	291	28	4	26%	7%	115	+2.8
✕Jeferson Morales 2022 · A	23	41→45	48→50	48→50	48	211/295/361	150	263	15	9	26%	8%	85	+0.7	204/282/341	137	270	14	9	29%	7%	74	-0.1	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Ronny Simon 2022 · A	22	39→49	50	53→55	42	205/263/357	153	269	17	14	31%	7%	70	-0.3	221/270/363	142	283	16	22	27%	6%	74	-0.1	261/322/377	116	323	10	29	21%	7%	95	+1.0
●Gordon Beckham 2009 · A	22	47→56	48→50	46→45	45	240/288/377	137	278	16	7	20%	6%	85	+0.7	253/317/400	147	292	14	7	18%	7%	103	+1.9	247/314/384	136	287	13	6	18%	7%	96	+1.4
✕Everson Pereira 2023 · AA	22	46	52→55	54→50	39	226/284/396	170	330	19	16	36%	7%	89	+0.9	225/287/381	156	333	18	15	36%	7%	86	+0.8	218/287/372	154	315	19	15	35%	7%	80	+0.2