Garrett Baumann — OGILVIE

Garrett Baumann P Columbus Clingstones

+1.3 WAR

Age 21 RHP 6'8" / 245 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 2.9 · 2030

ERA4.41

FIP4.41

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%19.9%

BB%8.1%

K-BB%11.8%

IP114

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.9peak

2030

K†4555

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2023	18	A	Augusta GreenJackets	1	1	2	9	1	2	0	—	—	—	4.50	—	—
2024	19	A+	Rome Emperors	20	19	99	407	89	23	3	16.2%	7.1%	1.0%	3.18	3.18	+2.4
2025	20	A+	Rome Emperors	23	23	114	481	108	31	10	17.3%	7.4%	3.1%	3.40	4.29	+1.3
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	AA	Columbus Clingstones	3	3	14	63	16	7	3	20.6%	12.2%	5.7%	6.91	6.05	-0.2
ROS	21	MLB	ATL	21	21	114	480	96	39	14	19.9%	8.2%	2.9%	4.41	4.41	+1.1
2026 Total	21	MLB	ATL	—	—	128	543	112	46	17	20.6%	8.5%	3.1%	4.69	4.59	+1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	22	MLB	ATL	26	26	141	597	126	46	17	21.2%	7.7%	2.8%	4.29	4.22	+1.7
2028	23	MLB	ATL	30	30	167	704	155	52	20	22.0%	7.4%	2.8%	4.18	4.10	+2.3
2029	24	MLB	ATL	34	34	187	789	178	57	22	22.5%	7.2%	2.8%	4.08	4.02	+2.7
2030	25	MLB	ATL	34	34	189	799	183	56	22	22.9%	7.1%	2.8%	4.01	3.97	+2.9
2031	26	MLB	ATL	34	34	189	799	184	56	22	23.1%	7.0%	2.8%	3.97	3.94	+2.9
2032	27	MLB	ATL	34	34	188	793	183	56	22	23.1%	7.1%	2.8%	3.96	3.95	+2.9
2033	28	MLB	ATL	34	34	185	781	180	56	22	23.1%	7.1%	2.8%	3.97	3.98	+2.8
2034	29	MLB	ATL	33	33	181	763	175	55	22	22.9%	7.2%	2.9%	4.00	4.03	+2.6
2035	30	MLB	ATL	32	32	175	741	168	54	22	22.7%	7.3%	2.9%	4.05	4.09	+2.4
2036	31	MLB	ATL	31	31	169	715	161	53	21	22.5%	7.4%	3.0%	4.12	4.16	+2.2
2037	32	MLB	ATL	30	30	162	686	152	52	21	22.2%	7.6%	3.1%	4.20	4.25	+1.9
2038	33	MLB	ATL	28	28	155	655	144	51	21	21.9%	7.7%	3.2%	4.29	4.35	+1.7
2039	34	MLB	ATL	27	27	147	622	134	49	20	21.6%	7.9%	3.3%	4.39	4.46	+1.4
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			47	46	229	960	163	74	23	17.0%	7.7%	2.4%	3.54	3.94	+3.5
/ 200 IP	—			41	40	200	838	142	65	20	17.0%	7.7%	2.4%	3.54	3.94	+3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Garrett Baumann (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.41	19.9%	8.2%	2.9%	—	4.10	22.0%	14.5%	495	-0.31	—	—	—
Blake Money R 2027 · 3.53 FIP	22	SP-	3.53	20.7%	6.9%	2.4%	.281	4.05	23.6%	14.1%	121	+0.52	3.53	224	93
Chris McMahon R 2027 · 3.96 FIP	22	SP-	3.96	18.9%	7.6%	2.7%	.330	5.28	16.7%	9.2%	85	+1.32	3.96	199	91
Colton Eastman R 2027 · 4.33 FIP	22	SP-	4.33	19.4%	7.9%	3.4%	.304	4.97	17.0%	2.8%	155	+0.64	4.19	349	91
Ryan Gallagher R 2027 · 4.34 FIP	22	SP-	4.34	20.5%	6.6%	3.9%	.304	4.08	20.6%	8.6%	14	-0.26	4.08	135	91
Brett Conine R 2027 · 3.21 FIP	22	SP-	3.21	22.3%	7.2%	2.0%	.290	5.79	15.4%	4.9%	205	+2.58	3.21	319	90
Mason Adams R 2028 · 3.66 FIP	23	SP-	3.66	20.4%	7.3%	2.5%	.315	3.76	18.2%	12.0%	120	+0.10	3.66	229	90
Jack Wenninger R 2027 · 4.25 FIP	22	SP-	4.25	20.9%	9.3%	3.2%	.309	3.90	21.4%	13.1%	136	-0.35	3.90	251	90
Ty Langenberg R 2027 · 3.53 FIP	22	SP-	3.53	19.2%	7.6%	2.0%	.325	3.82	16.2%	4.6%	105	+0.29	3.53	213	90
Reid Johnston R 2028 · 3.74 FIP	23	SP-	3.74	19.4%	6.1%	2.7%	.297	5.02	19.5%	5.6%	92	+1.28	3.74	204	90
Owen Wild R 2027 · 3.68 FIP	22	SP-	3.68	23.2%	7.2%	2.9%	.319	5.42	17.4%	7.8%	105	+1.74	3.68	226	90
Jason Bahr R 2028 · 3.79 FIP	23	SP-	3.79	20.3%	8.2%	2.5%	.297	4.07	20.3%	7.1%	155	+0.28	3.32	315	89
Colin Peluse R 2028 · 4.20 FIP	23	SP-	4.20	20.4%	7.2%	3.5%	.299	5.61	15.0%	6.8%	236	+1.41	3.05	395	89
Javi Rivera R 2027 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	22.3%	7.9%	3.0%	.259	3.72	18.6%	9.0%	93	-0.13	2.77	186	89
Logan Workman R 2028 · 4.34 FIP	23	SP-	4.34	19.3%	7.4%	3.5%	.287	3.98	20.4%	12.5%	362	-0.36	3.84	494	89
Austin Cates R 2027 · 3.95 FIP	22	SP-	3.95	19.7%	9.0%	2.5%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.95	110	89
Jack Mahoney R 2027 · 3.90 FIP	22	SP-	3.90	17.3%	7.1%	2.5%	.307	4.57	13.9%	3.2%	105	+0.67	3.90	225	89
Jaden Hamm R 2026 · 3.82 FIP	21	SP-	3.82	23.5%	8.9%	2.9%	.273	4.78	17.1%	7.3%	83	+0.96	3.82	182	89
Michael Fulmer R 2027 · 3.20 FIP	22	SP-	3.20	19.7%	7.0%	1.6%	.290	3.79	19.2%	12.5%	471	+0.59	2.98	874	88
Wil Jensen R 2028 · 4.38 FIP	23	SP-	4.38	18.9%	6.9%	3.6%	.300	4.37	21.0%	11.3%	266	-0.01	3.50	368	88
Max Rajcic R 2026 · 3.14 FIP	21	SP-	3.14	19.0%	6.4%	1.5%	.276	4.47	17.4%	8.0%	262	+1.33	3.14	385	88

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+2.7	$24M	+$23M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+2.9	$26M	+$25M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.9	$27M	+$26M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+2.9	$28M	+$21M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+2.8	$28M	+$17M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$14M	+2.6	$26M	+$12M
Totals		$34M		$158M	+$124M