Max Rajcic — OGILVIE

Max Rajcic P Memphis Redbirds

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 240 lbs AAA ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 ROS PROJECTION50 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 105

ERA4.65

FIP4.65

K%16.6%

BB%9.4%

K-BB%7.2%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5050

CMD4545

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	123	489	123	27	6	100%	5.4	19.0%	6.4%	12.5%	1.5%	2.48	3.15	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	123	489	123	27	6	100%	5.4	19.0%	6.4%	12.5%	1.5%	2.48	3.15	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	123	489	123	27	6	100%	5.4	25.2%	5.5%	19.6%	1.2%	2.48	2.39	—
2024	22	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	25	24	131	568	131	44	18	96%	5.2	18.7%	8.5%	10.2%	2.7%	4.33	4.11	—
2024	22	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	25	24	131	568	131	44	18	96%	5.2	18.7%	8.5%	10.2%	2.7%	4.33	4.11	—
2024	22	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	25	24	131	568	131	44	18	96%	5.2	23.1%	7.7%	15.3%	3.2%	4.33	3.89	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	118	543	100	54	15	100%	4.4	15.0%	9.9%	5.1%	3.3%	4.96	4.92	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	118	543	100	54	15	100%	4.4	15.0%	9.9%	5.1%	3.3%	4.96	4.92	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	27	118	543	100	54	15	100%	4.4	18.4%	9.9%	8.5%	2.8%	4.96	4.43	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			6	0	9	39	8	6	1	0%	1.5	20.5%	15.4%	5.1%	2.6%	5.00	4.77	-0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	32	1	50	201	54	20	6	3%	1.6	23.6%	7.8%	15.8%	3.4%	3.26	3.96	—
YTD	24	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	32	1	50	201	54	20	6	3%	1.6	23.6%	7.8%	15.8%	3.4%	3.26	3.96	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	AAA RAW	STL	26	1	41	162	46	14	5	4%	1.6	28.4%	8.6%	19.8%	3.1%	2.88	3.49	—
2026	24	MLB RAW	STL	6	0	9	39	8	6	1	0%	1.5	20.5%	15.4%	5.1%	2.6%	5.00	4.72	—
SO FAR	24	MLB RAW	STL	6	0	9	39	8	6	1	0%	1.5	20.5%	15.4%	5.1%	2.6%	5.00	4.72	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	STL	4	0	4	18	3	2	1	0%	1.1	16.6%	9.4%	7.2%	3.2%	4.65	4.65	-0.0
ROS	24	MLB CTX	STL	4	0	4	17	3	2	1	0%	1.0	16.6%	9.4%	7.2%	3.2%	4.65	4.65	-0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	STL	—	—	54	219	57	22	7	—	—	26.0%	9.9%	16.1%	3.0%	3.37	4.01	+0.3
FULL	24	MLB A+C	STL	—	—	13	56	57	22	7	—	—	101.5%	38.7%	62.9%	11.7%	13.69	5.86	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	STL	20	20	119	504	87	49	16	100%	6.0	17.3%	9.7%	7.6%	3.1%	5.01	4.97	-0.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	STL	20	20	119	504	91	48	16	100%	6.0	18.0%	9.5%	8.5%	3.1%	4.90	4.87	+0.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	STL	19	19	118	497	90	47	16	100%	6.2	18.2%	9.5%	8.7%	3.2%	4.88	4.88	+0.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	STL	19	19	114	482	88	46	16	100%	6.0	18.2%	9.6%	8.6%	3.3%	4.91	4.95	-0.1
2031	29	MLB MLE	STL	18	18	109	460	83	45	16	100%	6.1	17.9%	9.8%	8.1%	3.4%	5.01	5.08	-0.2
2032	30	MLB MLE	STL	17	17	102	433	76	44	16	100%	6.0	17.6%	10.1%	7.5%	3.6%	5.16	5.26	-0.4
2027	25	MLB CTX	STL	19	19	113	477	82	46	15	100%	5.9	17.3%	9.7%	7.6%	3.1%	5.01	4.97	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	STL	19	19	113	477	86	45	15	100%	5.9	18.0%	9.5%	8.5%	3.1%	4.90	4.87	+0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	STL	19	19	112	473	86	45	15	100%	5.9	18.2%	9.5%	8.7%	3.2%	4.88	4.88	+0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	STL	18	18	108	456	83	44	15	100%	6.0	18.2%	9.6%	8.6%	3.3%	4.91	4.95	-0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	STL	17	17	104	439	79	43	15	100%	6.1	17.9%	9.8%	8.1%	3.4%	5.01	5.08	-0.2
2032	30	MLB CTX	STL	16	16	97	410	72	41	15	100%	6.1	17.6%	10.1%	7.5%	3.6%	5.16	5.26	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		117	107	661	2793	500	272	91	91%	5.7	17.9%	9.8%	8.1%	3.3%	4.97	4.61	+2.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	32	200	845	151	82	28	91%	5.6	17.9%	9.8%	8.1%	3.3%	4.97	4.61	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		107	75	422	1801	328	149	48	70%	3.9	18.2%	8.3%	9.9%	2.7%	3.84	4.08	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		51	36	200	854	155	71	23	70%	3.9	18.2%	8.3%	9.9%	2.7%	3.84	4.08	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Max Rajcic (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.17	15.3%	9.6%	3.2%	—	4.91	17.8%	8.3%	356	-0.26	—	—	—
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	89
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	89
Hunter Adkins R 2016 · 4.64 FIP	25	SW	4.64	16.2%	10.3%	2.9%	.290	4.82	11.8%	0.5%	58	+0.18	4.64	160	89
Matt Peacock R 2018 · 4.20 FIP	24	SP-	4.20	16.0%	7.6%	2.7%	.300	4.27	13.6%	5.2%	202	+0.07	3.93	354	87
Devereaux Harrison R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SP-	5.04	17.6%	11.3%	3.6%	.252	4.76	16.6%	4.4%	294	-0.28	4.43	388	86
Yaisel Sierra R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	25	SW	4.32	16.9%	8.6%	2.8%	.338	3.04	22.4%	12.3%	71	-1.28	3.04	176	86
Matt Marsh R 2015 · 4.14 FIP	24	SW	4.14	15.5%	10.7%	1.8%	.275	3.65	20.5%	11.4%	70	-0.49	3.13	143	85
Joey Mancini R 2023 · 4.22 FIP	23	SP-	4.22	18.1%	10.0%	2.5%	.354	4.40	16.6%	6.3%	296	+0.18	3.64	391	85
Thomas Ponticelli R 2021 · 4.50 FIP	24	SW	4.50	17.2%	9.7%	3.0%	.264	5.28	14.8%	3.5%	163	+0.78	2.59	367	84
Carlos Sano R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	25	SP-	4.82	17.6%	11.2%	3.3%	.282	9.22	19.7%	7.1%	18	+4.40	4.82	105	83
Felipe Gonzalez R 2016 · 5.47 FIP	24	SP-	5.47	14.7%	10.6%	4.1%	.330	4.12	19.9%	10.4%	139	-1.35	3.27	339	83
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.73	25.0%	14.9%	174	-0.70	2.47	304	83
Justin Dillon R 2018 · 5.26 FIP	24	SP-	5.26	11.8%	8.8%	3.7%	.265	4.34	15.6%	9.1%	124	-0.92	3.65	239	83
Johnathan Harmon R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	22	SP-	4.30	17.8%	10.2%	2.6%	.293	5.14	15.1%	6.3%	193	+0.84	3.52	282	83
Kyle Haynes R 2015 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	14.3%	10.3%	1.6%	.302	4.58	15.7%	5.8%	124	+0.50	4.08	240	83
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2015 · 5.06 FIP	24	SP-	5.06	18.8%	10.2%	4.1%	.327	4.01	23.2%	13.0%	155	-1.05	2.64	315	82
Tanner Burns R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SW	5.27	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.257	5.00	17.7%	4.6%	131	-0.27	4.34	382	82
Nick Hull R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	23	SP-	4.26	17.2%	12.1%	2.0%	.251	4.84	17.7%	6.3%	200	+0.58	4.26	292	81
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	81
Jonathan Hughes R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	24	SP-	4.60	12.9%	12.5%	1.8%	.351	3.79	16.5%	6.2%	146	-0.81	3.44	219	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.8	109	17.6%	9.7%	1.26	4.99
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Luis Perdomo ('22)	2.3	90	16.6%	7.8%	1.08	5.09
Sal Romano ('21)	1.3	86	17.0%	8.8%	1.29	5.10
Zach Davies ('23)	5.2	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25