Max Rajcic
P
Memphis Redbirds
Age 24
RHP
6'0" / 240 lbs
AAA
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 ROS PROJECTION50 act + 49 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 109
ERA4.78
FIP4.78
K%17.0%
BB%10.4%
K-BB%6.6%
ROS IP49
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 98 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 123 | 489 | 123 | 27 | 6 | 100% | 5.4 | 19.0% | 6.4% | 12.5% | 1.5% | 2.48 | 3.12 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 123 | 489 | 123 | 27 | 6 | 100% | 5.4 | 25.2% | 5.5% | 19.6% | 1.2% | 2.48 | 2.39 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 25 | 24 | 131 | 568 | 131 | 44 | 18 | 96% | 5.2 | 18.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 2.1% | 4.33 | 3.78 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 25 | 24 | 131 | 568 | 131 | 44 | 18 | 96% | 5.2 | 23.1% | 7.7% | 15.3% | 3.2% | 4.33 | 3.89 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 118 | 543 | 100 | 54 | 15 | 100% | 4.4 | 15.3% | 10.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.96 | 5.17 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 118 | 543 | 100 | 54 | 15 | 100% | 4.4 | 18.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 4.96 | 4.43 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 32 | 1 | 50 | 201 | 54 | 20 | 6 | 3% | 1.6 | 25.0% | 9.1% | 15.9% | 3.4% | 3.26 | 4.00 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | STL | 46 | 0 | 49 | 205 | 35 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.0% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 4.78 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | STL | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 35 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.0% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 4.78 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | STL | — | — | 98 | 406 | 89 | 41 | 13 | — | — | 21.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 4.01 | 4.39 | +1.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | STL | — | — | 58 | 243 | 89 | 41 | 13 | — | — | 36.5% | 17.0% | 19.6% | 5.2% | 6.85 | 5.04 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | STL | 14 | 14 | 87 | 366 | 64 | 38 | 12 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.4% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 5.11 | 5.07 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | STL | 14 | 14 | 87 | 366 | 66 | 37 | 12 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 5.00 | 4.97 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | STL | 14 | 14 | 82 | 346 | 60 | 36 | 11 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.4% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 5.11 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | STL | 14 | 14 | 82 | 346 | 63 | 35 | 11 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 5.00 | 4.97 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 80 | 27 | 223 | 941 | 167 | 98 | 30 | 34% | 2.8 | 17.7% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 4.99 | 4.67 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 72 | 25 | 200 | 845 | 150 | 88 | 27 | 34% | 2.8 | 17.7% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 4.99 | 4.67 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 107 | 75 | 422 | 1801 | 332 | 156 | 46 | 70% | 3.9 | 18.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 3.84 | 4.05 | +6.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 36 | 200 | 854 | 157 | 74 | 22 | 70% | 3.9 | 18.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 3.84 | 4.05 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Max Rajcic (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.31 | 15.5% | 10.5% | 3.3% | — | 5.02 | 17.8% | 7.6% | 174 | -0.29 | — | — | — |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 90 |
| Cooper Chandler R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.50 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% | .300 | 3.74 | 23.5% | 17.1% | 18 | -0.76 | 3.74 | 107 | 85 |
| Matt Marsh R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 15.5% | 10.7% | 1.9% | .275 | 3.87 | 20.5% | 11.4% | 70 | -0.34 | 3.13 | 143 | 84 |
| Hunter Adkins R 2027 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.37 | 16.2% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.81 | 11.8% | 0.5% | 58 | +0.44 | 4.37 | 160 | 82 |
| Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 82 |
| Yaisel Sierra R 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.01 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 71 | -1.30 | 3.01 | 176 | 82 |
| Grant Ford R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 81 |
| Jonathan Hughes R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.59 | 12.9% | 12.5% | 1.8% | .351 | 3.81 | 16.5% | 6.2% | 146 | -0.78 | 3.50 | 219 | 81 |
| Carlos Sano R 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 9.58 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.60 | 4.98 | 105 | 81 |
| Thomas Ponticelli R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.73 | 17.2% | 9.7% | 3.4% | .264 | 5.29 | 15.3% | 2.9% | 163 | +0.56 | 2.59 | 367 | 81 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2026 · 5.46 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.46 | 14.7% | 10.6% | 4.1% | .330 | 4.19 | 19.9% | 10.4% | 139 | -1.27 | 3.27 | 339 | 81 |
| Matt Peacock R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.22 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .300 | 4.20 | 13.6% | 5.2% | 202 | -0.02 | 3.96 | 354 | 81 |
| Jake Dunning R 2028 · 5.65 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.65 | 13.4% | 9.6% | 4.5% | .354 | 4.21 | 14.1% | 2.8% | 74 | -1.44 | 4.13 | 120 | 80 |
| Zach Linginfelter R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.72 | 19.1% | 16.0% | 4.0% | .295 | 4.94 | 18.8% | -0.6% | 46 | -0.78 | 3.58 | 109 | 80 |
| Holden Wilkerson R 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.86 | 15.8% | 11.0% | 3.1% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.37 | 114 | 80 |
| Tanner Burns R 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.52 | 19.4% | 12.5% | 4.5% | .257 | 5.02 | 18.7% | 3.7% | 127 | -0.50 | 4.07 | 378 | 80 |
| Justin Dillon R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.23 | 11.8% | 8.8% | 3.7% | .265 | 4.34 | 15.6% | 9.1% | 124 | -0.89 | 3.63 | 239 | 79 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2029 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 79 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2028 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 79 |
| Marco Camarena R 2027 · 4.53 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.53 | 11.0% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .365 | 3.81 | 8.4% | 0.9% | 73 | -0.72 | 3.81 | 142 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 77 | 17.2% | 10.3% | 1.24 | 5.12 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Sal Romano ('21) | 3 | 86 | 17.0% | 8.8% | 1.29 | 5.10 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |