Estevan Moreno — OGILVIE

Estevan MorenoSS Inland Empire 66ers

Age 23 R/R A K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .260 / .340

PA320

HR9

SB8

K%32

BB%7

ISO144

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	403	356	97	26	3	18	39	133	5	26	4	272	352	514	867	242	380	33	10	377	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	403	368	68	17	2	12	27	181	5	26	4	185	250	340	590	155	312	45	7	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	403	368	68	17	2	12	27	181	5	26	4	185	250	340	590	155	315	45	7	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	—	403	356	97	26	3	18	39	133	5	26	4	272	352	514	867	242	380	33	10	377	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	403	368	68	17	2	12	27	181	5	26	4	185	250	340	590	155	312	45	7	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	403	368	68	17	2	12	27	181	5	26	4	185	250	340	590	155	312	45	7	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	513	468	94	18	3	15	35	165	5	12	3	200	262	343	606	144	269	32	7	270	69	-19	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	SEA	30%	442	404	82	16	2	13	31	139	4	11	2	204	267	352	619	148	271	31	7	276	73	-14	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	SEA	44%	480	438	91	17	3	15	34	149	5	12	3	206	271	358	628	151	273	31	7	280	76	-14	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	SEA	51%	501	455	95	18	3	15	36	153	5	13	3	209	273	362	635	153	273	31	7	283	77	-13	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.4
2031	27	MLB MLE	SEA	52%	510	463	98	19	3	16	37	155	5	13	3	209	275	362	636	152	274	30	7	283	78	-13	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.5
2032	28	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	511	464	98	19	3	15	37	154	5	12	3	210	275	360	635	150	274	30	7	283	78	-14	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.4
2033	29	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	505	459	95	18	2	15	36	154	5	11	3	207	272	354	626	146	273	30	7	279	75	-15	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	SEA	56%	496	454	92	18	2	14	35	152	4	10	3	205	269	346	616	142	271	31	7	275	72	-16	+1	-2	+5	+11	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	SEA	30%	133	122	25	5	1	4	9	42	1	3	1	201	265	346	611	145	269	32	7	273	73	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	SEA	44%	212	193	39	8	1	6	15	66	2	5	1	204	269	352	621	148	270	31	7	277	76	-6	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	SEA	51%	254	231	48	9	1	8	18	78	3	6	1	206	271	356	627	150	271	31	7	280	77	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	SEA	52%	267	243	50	10	1	8	19	81	3	7	1	207	273	356	628	149	271	30	7	280	78	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2032	28	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	272	247	51	10	1	8	20	82	3	6	1	207	273	354	627	147	272	30	7	280	78	-7	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	265	242	50	10	1	8	19	81	2	6	1	205	270	348	619	143	270	31	7	276	75	-8	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	SEA	56%	280	256	52	10	1	8	20	86	2	6	1	202	267	341	608	139	269	31	7	272	72	-9	+1	-1	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1683	1534	315	62	7	50	120	516	16	39	7	205	270	353	623	147	272	31	7	277	74	-49	+5	-2	+18	+36	0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	122	24	3	19	46	199	6	15	3	206	270	353	623	147	273	31	7	277	74	-19	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4168	3797	777	153	22	124	295	1340	41	116	26	205	269	354	624	150	277	32	7	277	74	-112	+9	-4	+40	+82	1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	121	24	3	19	46	209	6	18	4	204	269	351	620	147	277	32	7	277	74	-19	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Michael A. Taylorlast yr '25 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,758 PA	5.7	3,758	108	128	232	288	380	+12	+64	13.3	12.9
/162	664	19	23	+2.1	+11.2	2.3	pk7: 13
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	3.0	2,004	59	47	207	268	356	+21	+12	2.2	2.2
/162	664	20	16	+7.1	+4.0	0.7	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Estevan Moreno (OGILVIE)	23	20→25	48→53	57→62	50	198/260/340	143	269	9	8	32%	7%	69	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2016 · A	23	41→36	49→50	53→50	39	208/269/355	147	289	16	9	33%	6%	75	-0.5	208/272/340	132	295	14	10	33%	6%	73	-0.6	202/272/344	143	283	16	9	33%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A	22	38	49→50	54→50	37	197/258/345	148	285	17	14	36%	6%	69	-0.9	206/268/346	140	308	16	13	36%	7%	73	-0.6	188/254/312	124	285	15	12	37%	7%	57	-1.0
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/250/319	131	265	15	10	34%	6%	60	-1.6	206/269/349	143	296	16	9	34%	6%	74	-0.6	201/265/348	147	289	17	7	35%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Tyler Kolodny 2011 · A	23	40→37	49→45	51→50	40	207/277/361	153	275	17	9	30%	6%	80	-0.2	209/284/321	112	285	10	10	29%	6%	74	-0.6	205/290/288	83	271	7	10	25%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Kenedy Corona 2023 · A	23	42	47→50	53→55	40	214/271/352	138	294	15	21	32%	6%	75	-0.5	206/270/322	116	285	12	24	30%	7%	68	-1.0	202/273/295	93	277	8	27	28%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Jase Bowen 2024 · AA	23	37→42	47→50	55	36	194/247/321	127	273	15	17	34%	5%	59	-1.7	209/260/339	130	297	14	20	33%	5%	68	-1.0	209/260/343	134	298	14	23	33%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Kevin Smith 2019 · A	23	43→45	48→55	53→50	36	219/261/365	146	296	16	15	31%	4%	74	-0.5	205/255/362	157	286	18	14	34%	6%	72	-0.7	209/261/367	157	281	19	15	32%	6%	73	-0.5
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	41→40	47→50	54→55	44	208/283/351	143	281	14	17	30%	8%	80	-0.2	198/279/320	122	275	12	17	30%	8%	71	-0.8	173/262/276	103	236	10	19	29%	9%	53	-1.1
✕Jeter Downs 2021 · AA	23	43→41	51→50	52→55	45	223/290/390	167	279	19	17	27%	8%	91	+0.7	180/256/301	121	262	15	21	35%	8%	59	-1.7	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Jack Brannigan 2024 · A	23	42	50	54→50	43	209/290/360	151	317	19	19	38%	9%	84	+0.2	195/271/346	151	282	18	14	36%	8%	74	-0.5	175/254/322	147	250	17	12	36%	8%	60	-0.8
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	38→45	48→50	57→55	45	200/273/344	144	263	16	19	30%	8%	74	-0.5	218/289/354	136	286	15	17	28%	8%	82	+0.0	219/291/353	133	286	15	17	27%	8%	81	-0.1
✕Cody Puckett 2010 · A	23	38→40	46→50	51→50	37	199/250/327	129	279	15	11	34%	6%	61	-1.5	204/255/347	143	278	15	11	31%	5%	68	-1.0	196/250/340	143	260	16	11	30%	5%	63	-1.1
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	213/278/339	126	273	14	11	26%	8%	74	-0.5	223/286/391	168	267	21	13	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Jonny DeLuca 2022 · A	24	40→37	53→60	56→55	45	215/274/388	172	252	21	15	24%	7%	84	+0.2	225/290/408	183	256	22	16	22%	7%	95	+1.0	223/291/402	179	250	21	19	20%	7%	93	+0.5
✕Braxton Fulford 2023 · A	24	44→41	47→50	52→50	44	216/299/348	131	298	14	10	31%	8%	85	+0.2	213/288/349	136	291	14	10	30%	7%	82	-0.0	207/283/351	144	282	15	9	30%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Max Wagner 2024 · AA	22	41→38	46→50	55→50	42	204/275/332	128	291	13	18	33%	8%	72	-0.7	195/261/317	122	302	13	12	37%	7%	63	-1.3	190/255/330	140	291	17	7	39%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Damiano Palmegiani 2023 · A	23	37→42	53→50	50→40	44	205/281/376	172	252	22	5	29%	7%	85	+0.2	198/279/345	147	276	17	5	33%	8%	78	-0.3	183/271/316	133	262	16	3	34%	8%	66	-0.8
✕Niko Hulsizer 2019 · A	22	43→30	47→60	51→50	42	207/297/346	139	317	15	12	36%	8%	84	+0.2	204/282/377	173	332	21	8	42%	8%	86	+0.3	194/269/385	191	316	25	12	44%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Chris Williams 2021 · A	24	35→31	49→55	49→40	47	187/275/336	149	266	17	5	35%	10%	74	-0.6	187/267/334	147	293	18	4	39%	9%	70	-0.8	175/259/344	169	246	24	4	38%	9%	68	-0.7
✕Gabriel Rincones Jr. 2024 · A	23	41→42	47→50	54→55	42	207/279/346	139	294	14	18	33%	8%	77	-0.3	212/287/351	139	290	15	20	30%	8%	81	-0.1	206/286/345	139	274	16	20	29%	8%	77	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps