Cameron Leary

LF Midland RockHounds
Age 25 L/L 5'11" / 205 lbs AA HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422AOAK96.222/.315/.3953447—.179/.250/.298
202523A+/AOAK556.269/.388/.415105666—.206/.294/.306
202624AAOAK488.228/.330/.382124856—.186/.262/.305
2027PROJMLE25MLBOAK4.201/.279/.3160065-0.0
2028PROJ23% MLB26MLBOAK58.204/.282/.3251368-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Speed90
BB%71
Chase%68
ISO53
wOBA43
Z-Con%42
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 0.1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 97%
CompsMike Antico (age 25) · Michael Siani (age 25) · Alerick Soularie (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .279 / .316
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%9
BABIP290
ISO117
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -8.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +1.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: -0.6 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: -2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.12728
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202422 AStockton Ports — 9681 18503 10191 40 222315395710 173246 2010 307 47 — — — — — —
202523 A+Lansing Lugnuts — 134109 30411 16323 123 275383358741 83367 2412 328 55 — — — — — —
202523 AStockton Ports — 422349 932729 66984 445 266389433822 166343 2316 368 70 — — — — — —
202624 AAMidland RockHounds — 488421 9621412 621352 488 228330382712 154303 2813 321 56 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202422 A MLEStockton Ports — 9684 15402 7251 40 179250298548 119207 267 237 47 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLELansing Lugnuts — 134114 25311 11423 123 219305289594 70285 318 249 55 — — — — — —
202523 A MLEStockton Ports — 422372 752116 431324 445 202291312603 110288 3110 272 70 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLEMidland RockHounds — 488440 821749 431652 488 186262305566 118264 349 251 56 — — — — — —
202422 A MLEStockton Ports — 9684 15402 7251 40 179250298548 119220 267 237 47 — — — — — —
202422 A RAWStockton Ports — 9681 18503 10191 40 222315395710 173246 2010 307 47 — — — — — —
202523 A MLE2 teams — 556486 1002427 541747 568 206294307601 101299 3110 266 66 — — — — — —
202523 A RAW2 teams — 556458 12331310 821307 568 269388415802 146349 2315 358 66 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLEMidland RockHounds — 488440 821749 431652 488 186262305566 118271 349 251 56 — — — — — —
202624 AA RAWMidland RockHounds — 488421 9621412 621352 488 228330382712 154303 2813 321 56 — — — — — —
202422 A MLEStockton Ports — 9688 15402 7251 40 170250284534 114207 267 237 47 — — — — — —
202523 A MLE2 teams — 556490 1002427 541747 568 204294304598 100287 3110 266 66 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLEMidland RockHounds — 488440 821749 431652 488 186262305566 118264 349 251 56 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A MLEStockton Ports — 9688 15402 7251 40 170250284534 114207 267 237 47 — — — — — —
202523 A MLE2 teams — 556490 1002427 541747 568 204294304598 100287 3110 266 66 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLEMidland RockHounds — 488440 821749 431652 488 186262305566 118264 349 251 56 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLEOAK 2% 380340 661426 341233 193 195273306579 111280 329 264 65 -16 +3 -1 -4 +8 -0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXOAK 2% 44 0000 010 00 201279316595 115290 250 270 65 -0 +0 -0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLEOAK 23% 254227 45915 23812 112 198276314591 116281 329 268 68 -10 +1 -1 -3 +6 -0.6
202826 MLB CTXOAK 23% 5853 10201 5180 30 204282325607 120291 319 275 68 -2 +1 -0 -1 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 5853 10201 5180 30 189259283542 94265 319 275 62 -2 +1 -0 -1 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650594 11122011 562020 340 187257279536 93262 319 275 62 -25 +7 -2 -7 +14 -1.3
Career— MLE — 16041425 27962827 14651313 13020 196277307584 112281 329 260 62 -19 +3 -1 -5 +10 -1.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650577 11325311 592085 538 196276307582 111281 329 260 62 -26 +4 -2 -7 +14 -1.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAMidland RockHounds · 488 PAwOBA .315 → .251 (−64)K% 27.7% → 33.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.66%÷1.000×1.220——33.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.70%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9988.88%
HBP% /PA0.41%—×0.870—×0.9980.36%
Singles /BIP20.63%÷1.000×0.920×0.978×0.99818.52%
Doubles /BIP7.34%÷1.000×0.840×0.978×0.9986.02%
Triples /BIP1.40%÷1.000×0.940×0.978×0.9981.28%
Home runs /BIP4.20%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9983.35%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .315 → .251; ISO .154 → .123; BABIP .303 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AStockton Ports · 422 PAwOBA .362 → .272 (−90)K% 23.2% → 31.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.22%÷1.011×1.360——31.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.64%÷1.029×0.690—×0.98010.27%
HBP% /PA0.95%—×0.780—×0.9800.72%
Singles /BIP21.91%÷1.003×0.920×0.975×0.98019.19%
Doubles /BIP10.76%÷0.990×0.830×0.975×0.9808.61%
Triples /BIP0.80%÷1.150×0.910×0.975×0.9800.60%
Home runs /BIP3.59%÷1.113×0.800—×0.9802.53%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 101, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 102, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .362 → .272; ISO .166 → .121; BABIP .343 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 134 PAwOBA .327 → .249 (−78)K% 23.9% → 31.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.88%÷0.969×1.270——31.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.94%÷1.048×0.710—×0.9888.00%
HBP% /PA2.24%—×0.790—×0.9881.75%
Singles /BIP31.17%÷1.078×0.920×0.953×0.98825.05%
Doubles /BIP5.19%÷1.199×0.810×0.953×0.9883.31%
Triples /BIP1.30%÷1.150×0.850×0.953×0.9880.90%
Home runs /BIP1.30%÷0.921×0.800—×0.9881.11%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 116, 2B 140, 3B 130, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.

Result: wOBA .327 → .249; ISO .083 → .061; BABIP .367 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AStockton Ports · 96 PAwOBA .305 → .237 (−68)K% 19.8% → 26.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.79%÷1.015×1.360——26.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.42%÷1.021×0.690—×0.9906.97%
HBP% /PA1.04%—×0.780—×0.9900.80%
Singles /BIP16.13%÷1.004×0.920×0.965×0.99014.12%
Doubles /BIP8.06%÷0.979×0.830×0.965×0.9906.53%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.910×0.965×0.9900.00%
Home runs /BIP4.84%÷1.164×0.800—×0.9903.29%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 101, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 103, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.

Result: wOBA .305 → .237; ISO .173 → .128; BABIP .246 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).