Cameron Leary — OGILVIE

Cameron LearyOF Midland RockHounds

Age 24 L/L 5'11" / 205 lbs AA HR -6%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.4 · 2028

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .290 / .333

PA320

HR7

SB21

K%30

BB%9

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

45→45

SPD

55→55

FLD

45→45

EYE

53→53

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.5peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.9M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.5M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.9M	+$0.0M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$7M		$0.5M	-$6M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A	Stockton Ports	96	84	15	4	0	2	7	25	1	4	0	.179	.250	.298	.548	.119	.220	26	7	.248	48	-6	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
2025	23	A	2 teams	556	484	101	24	2	8	56	172	7	56	8	.209	.300	.316	.616	.107	.300	31	10	.273	67	-21	+8	+0	-3	+16	-0.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	24	AA	Midland RockHounds	57	54	13	1	1	1	1	21	1	8	1	.241	.268	.352	.620	.111	.364	37	2	.253	52	-3	+1	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
ROS	24	MLB	OAK	263	236	50	10	1	5	22	81	3	13	2	.212	.287	.326	.614	.114	.297	31	8	.283	75	-7	+2	-1	-2	+7	-0.0
TOT	24	MLB	OAK	320	290	63	11	2	6	23	102	4	21	3	.217	.284	.331	.615	.114	.310	32	7	.278	71	-11	+3	-1	-2	+9	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB 8%	OAK	370	331	74	15	2	8	32	95	4	15	2	.224	.300	.353	.653	.130	.284	26	9	.294	84	-7	+2	-1	-2	+10	0.3
2028	26	MLB 17%	OAK	407	364	82	16	2	10	36	103	4	14	2	.225	.302	.363	.665	.137	.286	25	9	.298	87	-6	+2	-1	-2	+12	0.4
2029	27	MLB 25%	OAK	420	374	85	17	2	10	38	107	5	13	2	.227	.307	.364	.671	.136	.286	25	9	.300	88	-6	+2	-1	-3	+12	0.4
2030	28	MLB 31%	OAK	425	379	86	17	2	10	38	108	5	11	1	.227	.306	.361	.667	.135	.286	25	9	.299	87	-6	+2	-2	-3	+12	0.3
2031	29	MLB 37%	OAK	420	375	84	16	2	10	38	108	4	10	1	.224	.302	.357	.659	.133	.285	26	9	.297	86	-7	+2	-2	-3	+12	0.2
2032	30	MLB 41%	OAK	414	369	81	16	2	9	38	108	4	9	1	.220	.299	.347	.646	.127	.283	26	9	.294	83	-8	+1	-3	-2	+12	-0.0
2033	31	MLB 49%	OAK	401	358	78	15	2	9	36	106	4	7	0	.218	.296	.346	.643	.128	.282	26	9	.290	80	-9	+1	-4	-2	+11	-0.2
2034	32	MLB 58%	OAK	384	342	74	14	2	8	35	104	4	6	0	.216	.297	.339	.636	.123	.281	27	9	.286	77	-10	+1	-4	-2	+11	-0.5
2035	33	MLB 68%	OAK	355	317	66	13	1	7	32	98	3	6	0	.208	.287	.322	.609	.114	.279	28	9	.280	73	-11	+1	-5	-2	+10	-0.7
2036	34	MLB 79%	OAK	311	277	57	11	1	6	28	89	3	5	0	.206	.286	.318	.603	.112	.277	29	9	.274	68	-11	+1	-6	-2	+9	-0.9
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4822	4290	933	188	21	102	436	1304	51	169	19	.217	.297	.342	.640	.125	.285	27	9	.288	79	-115	+26	-30	-29	+137	-1.1
/ 162G	—			650	578	126	25	3	14	59	176	7	23	3	.218	.298	.344	.642	.126	.286	27	9	.288	79	-15	+3	-4	-4	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A	Stockton Ports	96	81	18	5	0	3	10	19	1	4	0	.222	.315	.395	.710	.173	.246	20	10	.307	93	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.3
2025	23	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	134	109	30	4	1	1	16	32	3	12	3	.275	.383	.358	.741	.083	.367	24	12	.328	109	+1	+1	—	—	+4	0.6
2025	23	A	Stockton Ports	422	349	93	27	2	9	66	98	4	44	5	.266	.389	.433	.822	.166	.343	23	16	.368	140	+19	+7	—	—	+12	3.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cameron Leary (OGILVIE)	24	40	45	55	53	.208/.290/.333	.125	.287	7	12	30%	9%	76	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Elijah Dunham 2022 · A	24	44→43	48→50	55→60	45	.221/.293/.368	.147	.294	15	21	29%	8%	85	+0.7	.213/.285/.362	.149	.289	16	27	30%	8%	81	+0.4	.202/.276/.353	.151	.276	17	29	32%	8%	71	-0.2
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	41→38	45→40	55→50	46	.206/.287/.332	.126	.261	12	15	25%	8%	74	-0.1	.217/.304/.312	.095	.269	8	15	21%	9%	76	+0.1	.215/.313/.285	.071	.263	6	15	19%	10%	71	-0.1
✕Kameron Misner 2022 · AA	24	43→42	43→50	55	43	.203/.278/.320	.117	.313	10	19	36%	8%	66	-0.6	.200/.289/.347	.147	.322	15	23	39%	10%	79	+0.3	.192/.287/.345	.153	.303	17	26	39%	11%	74	-0.0
✕Juan Silva 2014 · A	23	47	42→45	51→55	49	.223/.298/.330	.106	.304	9	20	28%	9%	77	+0.1	.226/.302/.321	.095	.300	6	23	24%	10%	76	+0.1	.221/.301/.304	.083	.291	4	24	23%	10%	68	-0.2
✕Brian O'Grady 2016 · A	24	40→39	43→60	54→50	48	.198/.276/.315	.117	.263	10	14	28%	9%	64	-0.8	.194/.274/.318	.124	.270	12	14	31%	9%	65	-0.7	.210/.274/.401	.191	.276	23	15	32%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Quincy Hamilton 2023 · AA	25	46→45	46→50	53→50	48	.227/.308/.358	.131	.293	14	18	26%	9%	89	+1.0	.206/.284/.348	.142	.267	16	13	28%	9%	77	+0.1	.176/.257/.318	.142	.226	17	10	29%	9%	55	-0.8
●Ka'ai Tom 2018 · A	24	46→49	44→55	52→50	47	.223/.285/.344	.120	.280	10	14	24%	8%	75	-0.0	.231/.294/.389	.158	.297	16	11	27%	7%	91	+1.1	.218/.291/.382	.164	.284	18	7	29%	7%	85	+0.5
✕Alerick Soularie 2023 · A	24	40	44→45	53→60	45	.197/.277/.310	.114	.292	11	16	34%	9%	64	-0.8	.198/.281/.314	.116	.292	13	25	34%	9%	67	-0.5	.178/.270/.288	.111	.256	14	39	34%	9%	55	-0.5
✕Kyle Isbel 2021 · A	24	43→51	45→50	52→55	39	.215/.260/.338	.123	.281	12	17	28%	5%	63	-0.9	.225/.284/.361	.136	.286	13	18	25%	6%	79	+0.3	.226/.284/.366	.140	.280	13	19	24%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Travis Swaggerty 2022 · AAA	24	44→45	42→45	51→55	45	.213/.279/.317	.104	.294	10	16	30%	8%	66	-0.6	.215/.278/.334	.119	.306	10	19	31%	8%	69	-0.4	.209/.277/.321	.112	.309	8	20	32%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Drew Avans 2021 · AA	25	45→53	46→45	54→60	42	.222/.279/.347	.126	.302	13	20	30%	7%	73	-0.1	.225/.296/.338	.113	.325	8	28	30%	9%	78	+0.2	.218/.296/.324	.106	.311	8	30	30%	9%	71	-0.2
✕Zach Kokoska 2023 · A	24	43	49→55	55	42	.221/.285/.371	.150	.283	17	16	28%	6%	82	+0.5	.201/.268/.369	.168	.279	21	17	35%	6%	76	+0.0	.171/.243/.342	.171	.244	23	19	39%	6%	56	-0.7
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	38→43	48→50	57→55	45	.200/.272/.345	.145	.264	16	19	30%	8%	71	-0.3	.213/.284/.353	.140	.278	16	18	28%	8%	78	+0.2	.213/.283/.350	.137	.276	16	17	28%	8%	73	-0.1
✕John Rave 2022 · A	24	42→43	46→50	53→50	39	.205/.270/.332	.127	.311	15	13	37%	7%	66	-0.6	.215/.283/.352	.137	.306	16	15	33%	8%	77	+0.1	.214/.283/.361	.147	.282	16	17	29%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Danny Payne 2011 · A	25	41→42	41→45	54→50	50	.195/.286/.299	.104	.285	8	18	32%	11%	65	-0.7	.199/.285/.324	.125	.314	11	14	36%	10%	71	-0.3	.179/.276/.323	.144	.296	13	11	40%	11%	66	-0.4
✕Ronnie Dawson 2019 · AA	24	45→48	45	50→55	41	.221/.279/.347	.125	.305	13	18	31%	7%	73	-0.1	.195/.262/.318	.123	.291	13	16	36%	7%	59	-1.1	.187/.261/.298	.111	.273	11	15	34%	7%	51	-1.2
✕Carlo Testa 2011 · A	24	47→50	46→50	56→50	43	.228/.291/.368	.139	.320	12	16	31%	8%	83	+0.6	.221/.279/.353	.132	.331	12	15	35%	7%	75	-0.0	.213/.270/.345	.132	.324	13	15	36%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→46	44→50	51→40	43	.212/.273/.333	.122	.278	12	9	28%	7%	67	-0.5	.228/.285/.377	.149	.300	18	5	29%	6%	85	+0.7	.226/.286/.378	.152	.294	19	3	29%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Anthony Norman 2009 · A	24	47→42	46→50	62→55	51	.232/.311/.373	.141	.276	13	23	21%	9%	94	+1.3	.217/.292/.348	.131	.277	11	15	24%	8%	79	+0.3	.207/.277/.320	.112	.287	8	9	28%	7%	65	-0.2
✕Clay Fuller 2011 · AA	24	42→46	43→45	54→55	44	.207/.282/.319	.112	.290	10	19	31%	8%	68	-0.5	.216/.268/.334	.118	.294	13	15	30%	6%	66	-0.6	.215/.255/.332	.117	.280	16	15	29%	5%	56	-0.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)