Angel Arredondo — OGILVIE

Angel ArredondoSS Hickory Crawdads

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 190 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION330 act + 220 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .307 / .312

PA220

HR3

K%24

BB%10

BABIP277

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.5	$14M	+$13M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.5	$13M	+$12M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.5	$12M	+$11M
2034	Arb-1	$5M	+2.5	$11M	+$9M
2035	Arb-2	$8M	+2.3	$9M	+$6M
2036	Arb-3	$11M	+2.1	$8M	+$4M
Totals		$27M		$66M	+$56M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	107	84	11	2	0	1	16	35	6	2	3	131	311	190	502	60	204	33	15	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	107	76	14	3	0	1	24	24	6	2	3	184	415	263	678	79	250	22	22	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	2 teams	—	183	158	33	4	1	0	16	52	6	4	2	209	306	247	552	38	306	28	9	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	2 teams	—	183	148	40	6	1	0	26	35	6	4	2	270	400	324	724	54	348	19	14	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A	TEX	—	330	288	57	11	2	6	32	86	9	3	2	198	298	312	610	115	260	26	10	275	69	-12	-0	+0	+4	+9	0.1
YTD	19	A	TEX	—	330	269	68	14	3	7	51	61	9	3	2	253	389	405	794	152	303	18	15	362	135	+13	-0	+0	+4	+9	2.6
ROS	19	A	TEX	0%	220	192	41	8	1	3	21	53	5	3	1	214	307	312	620	99	277	24	10	286	77	-6	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.3
ROS	19	MLB	TEX	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		279	—	—	272	66	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	A	TEX	—	330	289	57	11	2	6	32	86	9	3	2	197	298	311	609	114	259	26	10	275	69	-12	-0	+0	+4	+9	0.1
TOT	19	A	TEX	—	550	480	98	19	3	9	53	139	14	6	3	204	302	312	614	108	267	25	10	280	72	-17	+0	+0	+6	+16	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	TEX	43%	397	348	77	15	2	7	38	92	8	5	2	221	312	336	648	115	282	23	10	299	87	-6	+0	+0	+4	+11	1.0
2028	21	MLB	TEX	61%	609	533	122	24	4	12	59	140	12	8	3	229	320	356	676	128	284	23	10	304	91	-6	+0	+0	+7	+17	1.8
2029	22	MLB	TEX	68%	627	549	127	25	4	13	61	142	12	9	4	231	322	362	684	131	285	23	10	309	95	-4	+0	+0	+7	+18	2.1
2030	23	MLB	TEX	71%	628	550	129	25	4	14	61	140	12	10	4	235	324	371	695	136	286	22	10	313	97	-2	+0	+0	+7	+18	2.4
2031	24	MLB	TEX	71%	623	545	129	25	4	14	61	138	12	10	4	237	327	374	701	138	286	22	10	315	99	-1	+0	+0	+7	+18	2.5
2032	25	MLB	TEX	71%	615	538	126	24	4	14	60	136	12	10	4	234	325	372	696	138	286	22	10	316	100	+0	+0	+0	+7	+17	2.5
2033	26	MLB	TEX	76%	606	529	125	24	4	14	60	134	12	10	4	236	328	376	704	140	286	22	10	317	101	+0	+0	+0	+6	+17	2.5
2034	27	MLB	TEX	78%	595	519	121	23	3	14	59	132	12	10	4	233	325	370	695	137	286	22	10	317	101	+0	+0	+0	+6	+17	2.5
2035	28	MLB	TEX	73%	588	512	120	23	3	14	59	131	12	9	3	234	328	373	701	139	286	22	10	316	100	+0	+1	-1	+6	+17	2.3
2036	29	MLB	TEX	76%	577	503	116	22	3	13	58	130	11	9	3	231	323	364	687	133	285	23	10	314	99	-1	+1	-1	+6	+16	2.1
2037	30	MLB	TEX	78%	565	492	115	22	3	13	57	128	11	8	3	234	327	370	697	136	285	23	10	312	97	-2	+0	-2	+6	+16	1.9
2038	31	MLB	TEX	79%	552	480	110	21	3	12	56	127	11	8	3	229	324	360	684	131	283	23	10	308	94	-4	+0	-3	+6	+16	1.6
2039	32	MLB	TEX	80%	541	471	106	20	3	11	55	127	10	7	3	225	319	350	669	125	280	23	10	303	90	-6	+0	-4	+6	+15	1.2
2040	33	MLB	TEX	81%	502	438	96	18	2	10	50	120	9	6	2	219	312	338	650	119	276	24	10	296	85	-9	+0	-4	+5	+14	0.7
2027	20	MLB	TEX	43%	171	150	34	7	1	3	16	40	3	2	1	227	314	347	660	120	284	23	9	286	77	-5	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2028	21	MLB	TEX	61%	371	325	74	14	2	7	36	85	7	5	2	228	318	348	666	120	285	23	10	291	81	-8	+0	+0	+4	+11	0.7
2029	22	MLB	TEX	68%	427	375	86	17	2	9	41	96	8	6	2	229	318	357	676	128	286	22	10	296	85	-7	+0	+0	+5	+12	1.0
2030	23	MLB	TEX	71%	446	391	92	18	3	10	43	100	9	7	3	235	325	373	698	138	287	22	10	300	88	-6	+0	+0	+5	+13	1.2
2031	24	MLB	TEX	71%	442	387	92	18	3	10	43	98	9	7	3	238	328	377	705	140	288	22	10	302	89	-5	+0	+0	+5	+13	1.2
2032	25	MLB	TEX	71%	436	381	90	17	3	10	43	96	9	7	3	236	328	375	703	139	288	22	10	303	90	-5	+0	+0	+5	+12	1.3
2033	26	MLB	TEX	76%	460	403	95	18	3	11	45	101	9	7	3	236	326	377	703	141	288	22	10	304	91	-5	+0	+0	+5	+13	1.4
2034	27	MLB	TEX	78%	465	407	96	18	3	11	46	103	9	7	3	236	327	376	703	140	288	22	10	304	91	-5	+0	+0	+5	+13	1.4
2035	28	MLB	TEX	73%	431	377	88	17	2	10	43	96	8	7	3	233	325	369	693	135	288	22	10	303	90	-5	+0	-1	+5	+12	1.2
2036	29	MLB	TEX	76%	439	383	89	17	2	10	44	99	9	7	3	232	326	366	691	133	287	23	10	302	89	-5	+0	-1	+5	+12	1.1
2037	30	MLB	TEX	78%	440	383	89	17	2	10	45	100	9	6	2	232	327	366	693	133	286	23	10	299	87	-6	+0	-2	+5	+12	1.0
2038	31	MLB	TEX	79%	437	382	87	17	2	9	44	101	8	6	2	228	320	353	674	126	284	23	10	295	84	-8	+0	-2	+5	+12	0.8
2039	32	MLB	TEX	80%	433	378	85	16	2	9	44	101	8	6	2	225	319	349	668	124	281	23	10	290	80	-10	+0	-3	+5	+12	0.5
2040	33	MLB	TEX	81%	405	353	78	14	2	8	41	97	8	5	2	221	316	340	656	119	277	24	10	284	75	-11	+0	-3	+4	+11	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5803	5076	1175	225	32	127	574	1313	113	85	34	231	323	363	687	132	286	23	10	298	86	-91	+3	-12	+62	+164	13.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	132	25	4	14	64	147	13	10	4	232	324	364	688	132	287	23	10	298	86	-10	+0	-1	+7	+18	1.5
Career	—			—	8535	7441	1704	325	48	179	847	1957	173	128	52	229	322	358	680	129	285	23	10	308	94	-62	+5	-15	+91	+242	26.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	131	25	4	14	65	149	13	10	4	231	324	363	687	132	287	23	10	308	94	-5	+0	-1	+7	+18	2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	107	76	14	3	0	1	24	24	6	2	3	184	415	263	678	79	250	22	22	338	117	+2	-1	—	—	+3	0.4
2025	18	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	23	22	1	0	0	0	1	11	0	0	0	45	87	45	132		91	48	4	70	-88	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	160	126	39	6	1	0	25	24	6	4	2	310	446	373	819	63	375	15	16	376	146	+8	+0	—	—	+5	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	12	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.2	25.1
	/162	664	17	6	252	318	423	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	6,063	130	89	232	320	363	+65	+33	20.4	16.4
	/162	664	14	10	232	320	363	+7.1	+3.6	2.2	pk7: 12
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#5Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Angel Arredondo (OGILVIE)	19	55	20	45	60	204/302/312	108	267	9	6	25%	10%	72	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andy Paz 2012 · A	19	50	36→40	44→45	50	231/310/298	67	290	3	8	20%	8%	74	-0.1	208/273/281	73	275	4	5	24%	8%	53	-1.5	208/262/276	68	271	6	4	24%	7%	43	-0.5
✕Luis Perez 2010 · A	19	49	37→30	45→50	58	225/321/310	84	276	3	7	18%	11%	82	+0.5	226/294/321	95	269	6	10	17%	7%	73	-0.1	228/288/337	109	268	7	11	17%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Sherman Lacrus 2014 · A	20	51	39→30	47→50	48	243/318/320	77	276	7	9	14%	6%	83	+0.6	216/283/305	89	263	6	7	19%	7%	64	-0.8	192/256/280	88	238	6	6	21%	6%	45	-0.6
✕Alain Camou 2023 · A	19	52	37→40	46→50	53	241/307/322	81	285	3	10	16%	8%	78	+0.2	207/265/272	65	271	2	6	22%	7%	47	-1.9	177/232/223	46	237	0	2	24%	6%	19	-1.0
✕Henry Henry 2007 · A	20	53	39→40	48→60	52	250/330/338	87	313	5	15	20%	9%	92	+1.2	245/315/330	85	282	6	20	14%	7%	84	+0.6	250/305/317	67	277	4	30	11%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Juan Fernandez 2018 · A	19	48→57	41→40	48→50	47	230/294/335	105	278	8	6	20%	7%	77	+0.1	200/257/274	74	263	4	4	24%	6%	45	-2.1	239/301/332	93	297	10	9	22%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Edgar Munoz 2012 · A	20	55	37→30	47→55	51	258/328/330	72	294	4	18	13%	7%	89	+1.0	217/276/281	64	262	4	17	18%	6%	54	-1.4	213/265/284	71	260	7	19	20%	6%	46	-0.6
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	49	40→45	51→50	43	233/286/331	98	308	6	13	25%	6%	71	-0.3	210/256/293	83	314	4	11	32%	5%	49	-1.8	178/220/246	68	283	3	12	36%	4%	17	-1.1
✕Brallan Perez 2015 · A	19	52	34→30	48→50	56	238/317/294	56	266	1	12	11%	9%	76	+0.1	238/297/296	58	278	3	10	14%	7%	66	-0.6	250/302/293	43	306	2	6	18%	5%	63	-0.4
✕Jesus Morelli 2009 · A	19	49	42→45	48→50	49	234/311/346	112	300	9	12	24%	8%	87	+0.8	220/282/289	69	304	4	10	27%	6%	59	-1.1	219/279/260	41	287	0	14	22%	6%	47	-0.5
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	51→61	38→45	49→50	48	238/291/324	86	288	3	12	18%	7%	71	-0.3	236/280/312	76	293	3	12	19%	5%	63	-0.8	270/315/371	102	328	4	17	18%	5%	90	+0.8
✕Ulises Montilla 2012 · A	20	54	38→45	44→50	54	253/315/342	89	278	4	9	10%	8%	86	+0.8	235/293/328	93	276	4	9	15%	7%	74	-0.1	230/290/330	99	271	4	10	15%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Jairo Marquez 2008 · A	20	52	41→40	45	49	251/309/347	97	277	8	5	13%	6%	85	+0.7	224/275/317	93	252	7	6	14%	5%	63	-0.8	206/259/284	79	226	6	6	12%	6%	45	-0.5
✕Alejo Lopez 2016 · A	20	51→61	38→40	46→55	51	238/307/318	80	276	4	9	15%	7%	78	+0.2	230/282/305	75	268	4	10	15%	6%	63	-0.9	268/338/353	85	319	5	17	16%	8%	95	+1.1
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	52	39→45	54→50	50	243/311/343	100	274	5	11	13%	7%	85	+0.7	245/315/335	90	288	6	9	16%	7%	85	+0.7	225/297/334	109	287	11	10	24%	7%	74	-0.0
●Josh Thole 2006 · A	19	46→56	37→40	47→45	53	218/297/291	73	256	5	5	16%	8%	66	-0.6	227/292/293	66	286	3	4	20%	7%	64	-0.8	281/343/378	97	316	5	4	12%	8%	106	+1.6
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→53	39→40	54→50	56	239/327/329	91	293	6	14	19%	11%	89	+1.0	243/317/334	91	314	8	14	23%	8%	86	+0.8	243/318/331	88	313	8	14	23%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Luis Alvarez 2009 · A	19	47	43→45	44→45	48	231/306/343	112	272	11	5	19%	7%	85	+0.7	224/289/325	101	280	9	6	22%	6%	72	-0.2	209/262/317	108	250	12	1	21%	4%	55	-0.3
✕Yoandy Rea 2019 · A	19	50	37→40	45→40	45	231/293/316	85	277	2	5	16%	5%	71	-0.3	242/294/356	114	287	9	5	18%	5%	82	+0.5	289/333/469	179	306	22	3	14%	4%	124	+0.6