Raimel Medina — OGILVIE

Raimel MedinaOF ACL Royals

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 96 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .282 / .318

PA8

HR0

K%27

BB%7

ISO105

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE54

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL KC Glass	—	168	143	36	6	0	1	19	30	5	15	2	252	359	315	674	63	310	18	11	315	99	-0	+2	—	—	+4	0.6
2023	18	ROK	DSL Royals Gold	—	68	64	14	3	1	1	3	11	1	1	1	219	265	344	608	125	250	16	4	272	70	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	19	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	179	141	42	8	5	4	26	26	9	12	3	298	438	511	948	213	336	15	15	414	166	+14	+1	—	—	+4	2.0
2025	20	ROK	ACL Royals	—	113	95	23	5	1	0	11	21	4	4	4	242	345	316	661	74	307	19	10	301	90	-1	-1	—	—	+2	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL KC Glass	—	168	150	27	4	0	1	12	43	5	15	2	180	263	227	490	47	232	26	7	217	33	-13	+2	—	—	+4	-0.8
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Gold	—	68	65	11	2	1	1	2	16	1	1	1	169	206	277	483	108	184	24	3	179	7	-8	-0	—	—	+1	-0.6
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	179	151	33	6	4	3	16	37	9	12	3	219	330	371	700	152	247	21	9	296	86	-3	+1	—	—	+4	0.2
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	113	99	18	4	1	0	7	31	4	4	4	182	264	242	506	61	238	27	6	215	32	-9	-1	—	—	+2	-0.8
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL KC Glass	—	168	150	27	4	0	1	12	43	5	15	2	180	263	227	490	47	243	26	7	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL KC Glass	—	168	143	36	6	0	1	19	30	5	15	2	252	359	315	674	63	310	18	11	315	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Gold	—	68	65	11	2	1	1	2	16	1	1	1	169	206	277	483	108	208	24	3	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Gold	—	68	64	14	3	1	1	3	11	1	1	1	219	265	344	608	125	250	16	4	272	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	179	151	33	6	4	3	16	37	9	12	3	219	330	371	700	152	265	21	9	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	—	179	141	42	8	5	4	26	26	9	12	3	298	438	511	948	213	336	15	15	414	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	113	99	18	4	1	0	7	31	4	4	4	182	264	242	506	61	261	27	6	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	—	113	95	23	5	1	0	11	21	4	4	4	242	345	316	661	74	307	19	10	301	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL KC Glass	—	168	149	27	4	0	1	12	43	5	15	2	181	263	228	492	47	232	26	7	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Gold	—	68	65	11	2	1	1	2	16	1	1	1	169	206	277	483	108	184	24	3	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	179	152	33	6	4	3	16	37	9	12	3	217	330	368	698	151	247	21	9	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	113	101	18	4	1	0	7	31	4	4	4	178	264	238	501	59	238	27	6	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Gold	—	68	65	11	2	1	1	2	16	1	1	1	169	206	277	483	108	184	24	3	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	179	152	33	6	4	3	16	37	9	12	3	217	330	368	698	151	247	21	9	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	113	101	18	4	1	0	7	31	4	4	4	178	264	238	501	59	238	27	6	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	KC	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		287	25	12	274	71	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	KC	34%	178	160	36	6	2	3	13	46	3	4	1	225	295	344	639	119	288	26	7	283	78	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2028	23	MLB MLE	KC	48%	297	269	61	11	3	6	22	76	4	6	2	227	295	357	652	130	289	26	7	289	81	-7	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	KC	53%	382	344	78	14	3	8	29	96	6	8	2	227	298	355	653	128	290	25	8	292	84	-7	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	KC	55%	431	389	89	16	4	9	33	108	6	10	3	229	299	360	659	131	290	25	8	294	85	-8	+1	+0	-3	+9	-0.0
2031	26	MLB MLE	KC	56%	462	417	94	17	4	9	35	116	7	10	3	225	296	350	646	125	290	25	8	294	85	-8	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.0
2032	27	MLB MLE	KC	55%	475	428	98	18	4	10	37	119	7	11	3	229	301	360	661	131	290	25	8	294	85	-8	+1	+0	-3	+10	0.0
2033	28	MLB MLE	KC	55%	479	431	98	18	4	10	38	121	7	11	3	227	300	357	658	130	289	25	8	293	85	-9	+1	-1	-3	+10	-0.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	KC	53%	475	428	95	17	4	9	37	121	7	10	3	222	294	343	638	121	288	25	8	292	83	-9	+1	-1	-3	+10	-0.3
2035	30	MLB MLE	KC	53%	468	421	94	17	4	9	37	120	7	10	3	223	297	347	644	124	287	26	8	289	82	-10	+1	-2	-3	+10	-0.4
2027	22	MLB CTX	KC	34%	61	56	12	2	1	1	4	16	1	1	0	214	279	339	618	125	285	26	7	268	78	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	KC	48%	144	130	28	5	1	2	11	37	2	3	1	215	287	315	602	100	286	26	8	274	81	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	KC	53%	201	181	41	7	2	4	15	51	3	4	1	227	296	354	650	127	287	25	7	278	84	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	KC	55%	236	213	48	9	2	4	18	59	3	5	1	225	295	343	638	117	287	25	8	279	85	-4	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	KC	56%	257	231	52	9	2	5	20	64	4	6	2	225	298	346	644	121	287	25	8	279	85	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	KC	55%	261	235	52	9	2	5	20	65	4	6	2	221	293	340	634	119	287	25	8	279	85	-5	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	KC	55%	262	235	52	9	2	5	21	66	4	6	2	221	296	340	637	119	286	25	8	278	85	-5	+0	-0	-2	+6	-0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	KC	53%	253	227	51	9	2	5	20	64	4	5	1	225	299	348	647	123	286	25	8	277	83	-5	+1	-1	-2	+5	-0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	KC	53%	246	221	49	9	2	4	19	63	4	5	1	222	295	335	630	113	284	26	8	274	82	-5	+1	-1	-1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1921	1729	385	68	16	35	148	485	29	41	11	223	295	341	636	119	288	25	8	277	79	-37	+4	-2	-12	+42	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	130	23	5	12	50	164	10	14	4	222	295	340	635	118	286	25	8	277	79	-12	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4183	3759	833	150	38	78	319	1052	73	112	33	222	295	344	639	122	285	25	8	285	79	-71	+7	-4	-22	+79	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	129	23	6	12	50	163	11	17	5	221	295	342	637	122	284	25	8	285	79	-13	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.0	2,018	40	44	227	295	352	-12	+0	0.8	0.8
/162	664	13	14	-4.0	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Raimel Medina (OGILVIE)	21	48→53	35→40	52→57	54	214/282/318	104	287	1	2	27%	7%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brandon Lockridge 2019 · A	22	48→55	38→45	55→65	44	225/292/317	92	312	4	10	28%	7%	74	-0.5	209/258/329	120	307	11	14	34%	5%	64	-1.3	253/321/335	81	356	3	53	27%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Cody Freeman 2022 · A	21	43→53	41→50	53→50	48	209/283/307	98	259	8	11	22%	8%	70	-0.9	206/261/321	115	251	13	9	23%	6%	63	-1.3	248/292/385	137	277	15	10	16%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Brandon Short 2010 · A	21	49→53	41→45	52→50	40	232/279/332	100	310	7	12	27%	5%	72	-0.7	242/284/359	117	324	11	10	28%	4%	81	-0.1	234/281/351	117	307	10	10	26%	4%	75	-0.4
✕Ryan Vilade 2021 · A	22	47→51	41→55	51→50	46	226/283/325	100	287	8	13	24%	7%	72	-0.7	221/279/309	88	288	6	11	24%	7%	67	-1.1	225/289/385	159	278	18	15	25%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Ryan McKenna 2018 · A	21	45→55	41→45	53→55	39	213/270/315	102	308	8	12	32%	6%	65	-1.2	225/288/328	103	307	8	12	27%	7%	75	-0.5	213/291/342	129	316	14	13	34%	9%	78	-0.1
✕Jose Duarte 2006 · A	21	48→56	40	50→55	47	229/285/330	101	294	7	11	24%	7%	74	-0.6	235/284/308	73	308	3	19	23%	6%	68	-1.0	232/300/319	87	290	6	14	20%	9%	75	-0.3
✕Albert Hernandez 2010 · A	21	48	41→40	49→45	47	230/293/329	99	279	7	7	20%	7%	77	-0.3	217/271/297	80	301	6	6	28%	6%	61	-1.5	193/237/228	35	286	3	2	32%	5%	29	-0.8
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→48	42→50	56→50	42	223/275/338	115	301	9	15	28%	6%	72	-0.7	214/270/329	115	284	10	12	27%	6%	69	-0.9	226/275/366	139	277	16	14	24%	5%	77	-0.3
●Maikel Garcia 2021 · A	21	43→53	36→50	51→60	42	203/261/270	67	295	3	13	31%	7%	51	-2.2	244/303/338	94	314	6	24	22%	8%	82	+0.0	261/321/393	132	295	10	24	15%	8%	100	+1.2
✕Darell Hernaiz 2022 · A	20	47→57	39→45	50	42	226/272/299	73	289	7	15	24%	5%	62	-1.4	245/292/349	104	301	10	17	21%	6%	81	-0.1	253/310/346	93	295	7	12	16%	7%	85	+0.2
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	48→56	42→45	53→60	41	234/277/341	106	294	10	12	24%	5%	74	-0.6	244/290/338	94	290	7	24	18%	5%	78	-0.3	258/299/357	99	298	7	36	16%	4%	83	+0.1
✕Ke'Bryan Hayes 2018 · A	21	48→55	37→50	54→50	44	228/281/304	76	293	4	16	23%	6%	66	-1.1	240/299/360	120	301	9	13	22%	7%	86	+0.3	257/314/398	140	314	13	16	21%	7%	99	+1.0
✕Matt Fiedler 2017 · A	22	49	41→45	50	44	235/284/342	107	292	8	9	22%	6%	76	-0.4	221/274/323	102	290	8	8	26%	6%	69	-0.9	210/266/312	102	274	9	8	26%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Tim Kennelly 2008 · A	21	43→51	40	49→40	42	208/261/301	94	283	7	7	28%	6%	59	-1.7	232/290/324	92	303	5	5	23%	7%	75	-0.5	239/300/330	91	299	5	4	20%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2014 · A	21	47→53	40→45	52→50	45	229/283/316	87	288	8	13	23%	6%	70	-0.8	239/293/345	106	290	8	10	19%	7%	80	-0.1	243/304/370	127	291	12	9	20%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Felix Reyes 2022 · A	21	41→51	43→50	49→45	38	202/267/313	110	283	10	12	31%	5%	65	-1.2	202/243/314	112	256	13	7	26%	4%	55	-1.9	240/273/379	139	275	15	8	19%	4%	81	-0.0
✕Tyler Nevin 2018 · A	21	48→54	41→50	47→45	44	231/283/335	104	294	8	9	24%	6%	74	-0.5	229/283/336	107	290	10	6	23%	7%	75	-0.5	238/316/376	138	288	16	4	22%	8%	95	+0.6
✕Ramón Flores 2013 · A	21	49→57	40→45	51→50	45	236/288/334	98	297	7	12	22%	6%	76	-0.4	233/293/336	103	286	7	8	20%	8%	78	-0.3	248/322/344	96	296	8	8	18%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Yeison Asencio 2011 · A	21	40→50	41→45	49→45	45	198/259/301	103	247	8	11	23%	6%	59	-1.7	246/277/364	118	285	9	8	17%	3%	78	-0.3	276/296/387	112	301	11	6	13%	2%	89	+0.5
✕Dorssys Paulino 2016 · A	21	46→49	40→45	48→45	40	221/266/320	99	291	6	8	26%	5%	65	-1.2	229/285/334	105	306	9	7	27%	7%	75	-0.5	225/288/326	101	299	10	5	27%	8%	72	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps