Luis De León — OGILVIE

Luis De León P Chesapeake Baysox

Age 23 LHP 6'3" / 168 lbs AA peak 0.5 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION104 act + 8 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 95103vR 111

ERA4.12

FIP4.12

K%22.7%

BB%13.6%

K-BB%9.1%

ROS IP8

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 112 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF5555

CTRL3045

CMD3040

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL BAL Black	10	5	28	118	45	13	0	50%	2.8	25.9%	13.8%	12.2%	0.0%	5.14	2.65	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL BAL Black	10	5	28	118	45	13	0	50%	2.8	38.1%	11.0%	27.1%	0.0%	5.14	1.28	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	11	54	230	67	30	0	73%	3.6	20.6%	15.8%	4.8%	0.0%	2.01	3.36	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	11	54	230	67	30	0	73%	3.6	20.6%	15.8%	4.8%	0.0%	2.01	3.36	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	11	54	230	67	30	0	73%	3.6	29.1%	13.0%	16.1%	0.0%	2.01	2.28	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	18	88	403	106	49	5	69%	3.4	19.9%	14.0%	5.9%	1.5%	4.62	4.04	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	18	88	403	106	49	5	69%	3.4	19.9%	14.0%	5.9%	1.5%	4.62	4.04	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	18	88	403	106	49	5	69%	3.4	26.3%	12.2%	14.1%	1.2%	4.62	3.10	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	18	87	375	107	41	0	90%	4.4	22.3%	11.5%	10.7%	0.0%	3.30	2.68	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	18	87	375	107	41	0	90%	4.4	22.3%	11.5%	10.7%	0.0%	3.30	2.68	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	20	18	87	375	107	41	0	90%	4.4	28.5%	10.9%	17.6%	0.0%	3.30	2.06	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			5	0	5	21	4	2	1	0%	1.1	19.0%	9.5%	9.5%	4.8%	3.38	5.16	-0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	31	22	104	467	125	55	14	71%	3.4	22.1%	12.6%	9.5%	3.4%	4.66	4.70	—
YTD	23	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	31	22	104	467	125	55	14	71%	3.4	22.1%	12.6%	9.5%	3.4%	4.66	4.70	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	AA RAW	BAL	19	19	81	356	100	42	9	100%	4.3	28.1%	11.8%	16.3%	2.5%	4.33	3.61	—
2026	23	AAA RAW	BAL	7	3	18	90	21	11	4	43%	2.6	23.3%	12.2%	11.1%	4.4%	6.50	5.12	—
2026	23	MLB RAW	BAL	5	0	5	21	4	2	1	0%	1.1	19.0%	9.5%	9.5%	4.8%	3.38	5.31	—
SO FAR	23	MLB RAW	BAL	5	0	5	21	4	2	1	0%	1.1	19.0%	9.5%	9.5%	4.8%	3.38	5.31	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	BAL	1	1	8	32	7	4	1	100%	7.6	22.7%	13.6%	9.1%	2.2%	4.12	4.12	+0.1
ROS	23	MLB CTX	BAL	1	1	8	34	8	5	1	100%	8.0	22.7%	13.6%	9.1%	2.2%	4.12	4.12	+0.1
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	BAL	—	—	112	499	132	59	15	—	—	26.5%	11.9%	14.6%	2.9%	4.62	4.66	+0.3
FULL	23	MLB A+C	BAL	—	—	13	55	132	59	15	—	—	242.5%	108.8%	133.7%	27.0%	40.04	11.21	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BAL	19	19	105	442	102	54	10	100%	5.5	23.1%	12.1%	10.9%	2.3%	4.41	4.35	+0.7
2028	25	MLB MLE	BAL	18	18	106	448	105	51	11	100%	5.9	23.4%	11.3%	12.0%	2.4%	4.31	4.24	+0.8
2029	26	MLB MLE	BAL	18	18	106	448	105	50	11	100%	5.9	23.5%	11.1%	12.4%	2.4%	4.26	4.22	+0.9
2030	27	MLB MLE	BAL	17	17	104	441	104	49	11	100%	6.1	23.5%	11.1%	12.3%	2.5%	4.26	4.26	+0.8
2031	28	MLB MLE	BAL	17	17	101	428	100	48	11	100%	6.0	23.3%	11.3%	12.1%	2.6%	4.31	4.35	+0.7
2032	29	MLB MLE	BAL	16	16	97	409	94	47	11	100%	6.0	23.1%	11.5%	11.6%	2.7%	4.41	4.48	+0.5
2033	30	MLB MLE	BAL	15	15	91	384	87	45	11	100%	6.1	22.8%	11.8%	11.0%	2.9%	4.56	4.65	+0.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	BAL	18	18	100	422	97	51	10	100%	5.6	23.1%	12.1%	10.9%	2.3%	4.41	4.35	+0.6
2028	25	MLB CTX	BAL	17	17	101	426	100	48	10	100%	5.9	23.4%	11.3%	12.0%	2.4%	4.31	4.24	+0.8
2029	26	MLB CTX	BAL	17	17	101	426	100	47	10	100%	5.9	23.5%	11.1%	12.4%	2.4%	4.26	4.22	+0.8
2030	27	MLB CTX	BAL	16	16	99	418	98	46	10	100%	6.2	23.5%	11.1%	12.3%	2.5%	4.26	4.26	+0.7
2031	28	MLB CTX	BAL	16	16	96	405	95	46	10	100%	6.0	23.3%	11.3%	12.1%	2.6%	4.31	4.35	+0.6
2032	29	MLB CTX	BAL	15	15	92	388	90	45	11	100%	6.1	23.1%	11.5%	11.6%	2.7%	4.41	4.48	+0.5
2033	30	MLB CTX	BAL	14	14	86	363	83	43	11	100%	6.1	22.8%	11.8%	11.0%	2.9%	4.56	4.65	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		121	116	688	2904	674	333	74	96%	5.7	23.2%	11.5%	11.7%	2.5%	4.35	3.99	+7.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	34	200	844	196	97	22	96%	5.7	23.2%	11.5%	11.7%	2.5%	4.35	3.99	+2.2
Career	—	MLE		102	74	361	1593	345	211	22	73%	3.5	21.7%	13.3%	8.4%	1.4%	3.96	3.71	+4.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		57	41	200	883	191	117	12	73%	3.5	21.7%	13.3%	8.4%	1.4%	3.96	3.71	+1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis De León (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.49	22.8%	13.7%	2.2%	—	4.27	23.3%	11.8%	317	-0.22	—	—	—
Adam Tulloch L 2023 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	20.3%	14.1%	2.4%	.313	4.62	18.1%	1.5%	150	+0.11	4.24	246	91
Jimmy Robbins L 2022 · 3.85 FIP	24	SP-	3.85	23.3%	11.3%	2.3%	.286	4.83	17.9%	2.7%	99	+0.98	3.85	176	89
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	83
Trenton Wallace L 2022 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	25.8%	15.8%	1.3%	.224	4.62	22.4%	10.7%	206	+1.00	2.87	286	83
A.J. Block L 2021 · 3.72 FIP	23	SP-	3.72	22.8%	10.0%	2.3%	.262	5.74	20.1%	8.4%	51	+2.02	3.65	203	82
Larson Kindreich L 2022 · 4.27 FIP	23	SP-	4.27	24.3%	18.6%	1.6%	.275	4.96	22.3%	6.1%	149	+0.69	4.16	214	81
Brandon Knarr L 2021 · 4.86 FIP	23	SP	4.86	22.6%	13.6%	3.5%	.299	4.15	19.9%	10.8%	158	-0.71	4.08	256	80
Jared Beck L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	21.1%	15.9%	1.5%	.338	6.15	20.1%	-8.4%	82	+2.00	4.15	158	79
Brian Holmes L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	24	SP-	4.32	21.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.333	4.78	17.3%	8.0%	104	+0.46	3.60	205	79
Bailey Horn L 2021 · 4.99 FIP	23	SP-	4.99	19.7%	12.7%	3.6%	.300	4.64	21.9%	9.9%	152	-0.35	3.96	265	79
Dominic Perachi L 2023 · 5.19 FIP	22	SP-	5.19	17.5%	13.9%	3.3%	.324	3.80	17.1%	6.8%	186	-1.39	3.33	277	79
Doug Nikhazy L 2023 · 5.39 FIP	23	SP	5.39	21.9%	16.9%	3.6%	.304	4.73	19.6%	8.6%	256	-0.66	4.16	461	78
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	78
Max Fried L 2017 · 4.44 FIP	23	SP-	4.44	18.0%	11.1%	2.6%	.318	3.35	24.2%	15.8%	322	-1.09	2.56	1,435	78
Matt Mikulski L 2022 · 4.92 FIP	23	SP-	4.92	19.4%	10.0%	4.0%	.360	6.03	16.3%	-2.8%	144	+1.11	4.92	223	77
Brent Headrick L 2021 · 4.36 FIP	23	SP	4.36	22.9%	14.0%	2.6%	.383	4.58	23.7%	16.7%	227	+0.22	2.21	409	77
Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2021 · 4.44 FIP	22	SP	4.44	19.6%	14.6%	2.1%	.266	3.90	20.3%	3.7%	33	-0.54	2.93	175	77
Robby Ahlstrom L 2022 · 4.62 FIP	23	SP-	4.62	20.1%	9.0%	3.8%	.349	4.06	21.6%	8.6%	175	-0.56	3.74	330	76
Evan Lee L 2021 · 3.84 FIP	24	SP	3.84	24.2%	11.1%	2.5%	.333	4.49	21.0%	2.7%	52	+0.65	3.82	129	76
Dalton Rogers L 2023 · 4.31 FIP	22	SP	4.31	25.3%	16.7%	2.2%	.327	4.58	19.6%	4.1%	268	+0.27	3.47	364	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.0	100	23.2%	11.7%	0.96	4.37
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Carlos Martinez ('21)	4.2	121	22.7%	9.1%	0.81	3.67
Mike Clevinger ('23)	3.9	113	24.8%	8.7%	1.07	3.45
Ian Anderson ('22)	1.4	91	22.5%	10.4%	0.96	3.97
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Spencer Turnbull ('24)	1.7	68	22.0%	9.2%	0.77	4.18