Aaron Parker — OGILVIE

Aaron ParkerC New Hampshire Fisher Cats

Age 23 R/R 5'7" / 210 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION203 act + 135 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .268 / .357

PA135

HR5

K%31

BB%7

BABIP259

ISO154

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$10M	+$10M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$8M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	+1.3	$7M	+$5M
2033	Arb-2	$3M	+1.1	$5M	+$4M
2034	Arb-3	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M
Totals		$13M		$41M	+$35M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	100	84	17	7	0	4	14	35	2	1	0	202	330	429	759	226	289	35	14	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	100	81	19	8	0	5	17	27	2	1	0	235	380	519	899	284	286	27	17	394	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	276	258	46	10	1	8	12	83	4	5	0	178	226	318	544	140	225	30	4	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	276	249	58	12	1	8	21	54	4	5	0	233	303	386	688	153	265	20	8	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	TOR	—	203	182	42	5	0	10	19	73	1	7	4	231	307	423	730	192	323	36	9	312	97	-1	-0	+0	+4	+6	0.9
YTD	23	AA	TOR	—	203	173	47	6	0	11	28	57	1	7	4	272	376	497	873	225	343	28	14	384	152	+12	-0	+0	+4	+6	2.2
ROS	23	AA	TOR	2%	135	123	25	4	0	5	10	42	1	3	1	203	268	357	625	154	268	31	7	288	79	-3	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
ROS	23	MLB	TOR	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						269	33	0	283	75	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	23	AA	TOR	—	206	185	42	5	0	10	19	74	1	7	4	227	302	416	719	189	317	36	9	312	97	-1	-0	+0	+4	+6	0.9
TOT	23	AA	TOR	—	338	305	67	9	0	15	29	115	2	10	5	219	291	396	688	177	295	34	9	303	90	-4	+0	+0	+6	+10	1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	TOR	39%	371	337	72	12	1	14	28	111	3	7	3	214	280	380	660	166	274	30	8	295	84	-7	+0	+0	+7	+11	1.1
2028	25	MLB	TOR	56%	415	376	82	14	1	16	32	122	4	8	3	218	286	388	675	170	275	29	8	299	87	-6	+0	+0	+7	+12	1.4
2029	26	MLB	TOR	64%	441	399	88	15	1	17	35	128	4	9	3	221	290	391	681	170	276	29	8	301	89	-6	+1	+0	+8	+12	1.6
2030	27	MLB	TOR	66%	449	406	89	15	1	17	36	130	4	9	4	219	289	387	676	167	277	29	8	302	89	-6	+0	+0	+8	+13	1.6
2031	28	MLB	TOR	67%	451	408	89	15	1	17	36	131	4	9	3	218	288	385	673	167	276	29	8	301	88	-6	+1	-1	+8	+13	1.5
2032	29	MLB	TOR	66%	444	401	87	15	1	16	36	130	4	8	3	217	288	379	667	162	275	29	8	299	87	-7	+0	-1	+8	+13	1.3
2033	30	MLB	TOR	65%	436	393	85	15	1	16	36	129	4	7	3	216	289	382	670	165	274	30	8	296	85	-8	+0	-2	+8	+12	1.1
2034	31	MLB	TOR	65%	410	370	78	13	1	14	33	122	4	6	2	211	283	365	647	154	271	30	8	292	82	-9	+0	-3	+7	+12	0.8
2035	32	MLB	TOR	65%	382	345	72	12	1	13	31	115	3	4	2	209	280	362	642	154	268	30	8	286	77	-10	+0	-4	+7	+11	0.4
2036	33	MLB	TOR	64%	343	309	63	10	1	11	28	105	3	3	1	204	276	350	626	146	263	31	8	280	72	-11	+0	-4	+6	+10	0.1
2037	34	MLB	TOR	60%	292	265	52	8	1	9	23	92	2	2	1	196	266	336	601	140	257	32	8	271	66	-11	+0	-5	+5	+8	-0.3
2027	24	MLB	TOR	39%	143	130	28	5	0	5	11	43	1	3	1	215	282	369	651	154	275	30	8	289	80	-3	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
2028	25	MLB	TOR	56%	232	210	47	8	1	9	18	68	2	5	2	224	291	400	691	176	277	29	8	293	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2029	26	MLB	TOR	64%	281	254	57	10	1	11	22	81	3	6	2	224	294	402	695	177	278	29	8	295	84	-5	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.9
2030	27	MLB	TOR	66%	295	266	59	10	1	11	24	85	3	6	2	222	294	391	684	169	278	29	8	296	85	-5	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.9
2031	28	MLB	TOR	67%	301	271	59	10	1	11	24	87	3	6	2	218	289	384	672	166	277	29	8	295	84	-6	+0	-0	+5	+9	0.9
2032	29	MLB	TOR	66%	292	263	58	10	1	11	24	85	3	5	2	221	293	392	685	171	276	29	8	293	82	-6	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.7
2033	30	MLB	TOR	65%	284	257	55	9	1	10	23	84	2	5	2	214	284	374	657	160	275	30	8	290	80	-6	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.6
2034	31	MLB	TOR	65%	266	240	51	9	1	9	22	79	2	4	1	212	284	371	655	158	272	30	8	286	77	-7	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.4
2035	32	MLB	TOR	65%	247	223	47	8	1	8	20	75	2	3	1	211	282	363	645	152	269	30	8	281	73	-7	+0	-2	+4	+7	0.2
2036	33	MLB	TOR	64%	221	199	40	7	0	7	18	68	2	2	1	201	274	342	616	141	264	31	8	274	68	-8	+0	-3	+4	+6	-0.0
2037	34	MLB	TOR	60%	175	158	31	5	0	6	14	55	1	1	0	196	266	342	608	146	258	31	8	266	62	-8	+0	-3	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2740	2474	532	91	8	98	220	811	24	46	16	215	286	377	663	162	275	30	8	288	79	-66	+3	-12	+49	+78	5.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	126	22	2	23	52	192	6	11	4	215	285	376	662	162	275	30	8	288	79	-16	+1	-3	+12	+18	1.2
Career	—			—	4945	4474	945	165	12	177	390	1475	46	81	29	211	281	372	653	161	270	30	8	291	81	-105	+5	-20	+88	+140	11.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	125	22	2	23	51	194	6	11	4	213	282	374	656	162	273	30	8	291	81	-14	+1	-3	+12	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	100	81	19	8	0	5	17	27	2	1	0	235	380	519	899	284	286	27	17	394	160	+7	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2025	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	276	249	58	12	1	8	21	54	4	5	0	233	303	386	688	153	265	20	8	307	93	-2	+1	—	—	+8	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,744	99	44	215	282	377	+49	+28	7.1	6.6
	/162	664	24	11	215	282	377	+11.9	+6.8	1.7	pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aaron Parker (OGILVIE)	23	40	45	45	30	219/291/396	177	295	15	10	34%	9%	90	+1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Lucas May 2008 · A	23	39→43	50→55	45	37	209/251/362	154	265	19	6	29%	4%	66	-0.6	215/265/359	144	285	16	6	30%	5%	71	-0.3	213/266/351	138	284	15	5	30%	6%	68	-0.3
✕Kyle Martin 2009 · A	24	42	49→55	45	40	220/264/370	149	273	17	5	26%	5%	73	-0.1	205/259/310	105	271	9	7	27%	6%	56	-1.3	147/207/208	61	195	3	6	25%	5%	7	-1.2
✕Christian Koss 2022 · A	24	41→44	49→45	49→50	39	216/261/359	144	275	18	9	29%	5%	69	-0.4	219/262/344	125	293	14	14	29%	4%	65	-0.7	231/280/346	114	294	10	18	24%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A	24	38→45	47→50	49→50	43	195/276/331	137	262	14	9	30%	7%	69	-0.4	215/289/349	134	277	13	9	26%	7%	79	+0.3	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
●Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA	23	37→47	48→60	48→55	41	195/256/339	145	267	16	12	33%	7%	63	-0.9	222/268/400	178	287	24	15	31%	5%	83	+0.6	235/274/422	187	292	26	15	29%	5%	88	+0.8
✕Christian Villanueva 2014 · AA	23	44→47	48→55	43→50	38	223/272/368	145	286	15	9	28%	4%	76	+0.1	208/254/348	140	253	16	4	25%	5%	63	-0.8	226/284/408	182	256	25	3	23%	6%	91	+0.9
✕Jesús Bastidas 2023 · AA	24	41	50	45→50	40	211/280/359	148	289	19	12	33%	7%	78	+0.2	207/275/357	150	271	18	12	30%	6%	76	+0.0	200/269/348	148	259	18	13	30%	5%	68	-0.5
●Luke Montz 2006 · A	23	35→45	52→55	45→40	44	194/261/363	169	251	20	4	32%	8%	71	-0.3	202/265/350	148	260	17	3	28%	7%	69	-0.4	211/285/427	216	246	30	4	28%	8%	97	+0.9
✕Joey Bart 2020 · AA	23	43	54→55	45→40	38	228/271/405	177	288	23	7	30%	5%	85	+0.7	236/291/384	148	336	17	5	33%	6%	89	+0.9	253/338/392	139	338	17	1	28%	9%	109	+1.1
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2016 · A	23	40→38	48→55	53→50	39	206/266/349	143	284	16	9	32%	6%	69	-0.4	214/278/357	143	300	16	10	33%	6%	76	+0.1	212/284/375	163	291	20	9	33%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2018 · A	23	39	47→50	42→40	41	202/261/332	130	266	15	4	30%	6%	63	-0.9	213/265/319	106	304	11	5	32%	6%	60	-1.0	194/242/263	69	292	8	0	35%	6%	31	-0.9
✕Yu Chang 2018 · AA	22	36→46	50	49→45	38	193/249/349	157	265	18	9	34%	6%	63	-0.9	212/270/345	133	295	14	7	31%	6%	69	-0.4	215/275/364	149	282	17	4	29%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Zachery Almond 2019 · A	23	46	48→55	48→40	40	233/275/372	139	288	16	4	25%	5%	78	+0.2	200/254/305	105	291	10	5	33%	6%	52	-1.6	166/226/256	90	248	8	3	35%	7%	28	-2.0
✕Tyler Marlette 2017 · AA	24	43→42	48→50	46→45	40	223/265/364	141	287	17	6	28%	5%	72	-0.2	218/266/348	130	292	15	5	30%	6%	69	-0.4	212/262/337	126	282	15	3	30%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Tyler Kolodny 2011 · A	23	40→36	50→45	51→50	40	209/279/369	160	275	18	9	30%	6%	80	+0.4	213/288/327	114	289	10	10	28%	6%	73	-0.1	210/300/295	85	278	6	10	24%	6%	67	-0.2
✕Rodolfo Durán 2021 · A	23	39	47→55	47→40	36	204/241/332	128	275	16	4	32%	4%	53	-1.5	201/241/337	136	264	15	4	29%	5%	54	-1.4	225/266/386	161	276	19	3	26%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Alex Isola 2022 · A	24	39→45	51→50	47→40	46	208/274/360	152	261	20	4	29%	8%	76	+0.0	217/284/357	140	276	17	4	27%	8%	79	+0.3	209/277/336	128	261	16	4	26%	8%	68	-0.3
✕Juan Fernandez 2022 · AA	23	42→52	47→40	47→50	42	214/274/349	134	277	15	7	28%	6%	72	-0.2	242/302/334	92	301	9	10	22%	6%	79	+0.3	251/312/326	75	307	7	11	20%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Max Stassi 2014 · AA	23	43	52→55	44→40	39	226/276/388	162	283	20	4	28%	5%	83	+0.6	205/250/323	118	284	13	3	32%	5%	55	-1.4	218/304/386	168	282	22	0	30%	10%	93	+0.6
✕Audry Pérez 2011 · A	22	42	49→40	48→40	39	219/253/366	147	258	18	5	24%	4%	67	-0.5	221/242/326	105	261	11	2	20%	2%	51	-1.7	252/283/380	127	290	17	0	20%	3%	80	+0.1