Aaron Parker — OGILVIE

Aaron ParkerC New Hampshire Fisher Cats

Age 23 R/R 5'7" / 210 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION350 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP276

ISO146

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$13M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.1M
2033	Arb-2	$2M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$4M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	100	81	19	8	0	5	17	27	2	1	0	235	380	519	899	284	286	27	17	394	153	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2025	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	276	249	58	12	1	8	21	54	4	5	0	233	303	386	688	153	265	20	8	307	94	-2	+1	—	—	+6	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	100	85	16	7	0	4	13	37	2	1	0	188	310	412	722	224	277	37	13	316	100	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	276	257	45	9	1	7	13	79	4	5	0	175	226	300	526	125	218	29	5	230	42	-19	+1	—	—	+6	-1.2
2024	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	100	85	16	7	0	4	13	37	2	1	0	188	310	412	722	224	273	37	13	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	100	81	19	8	0	5	17	27	2	1	0	235	380	519	899	284	286	27	17	394	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	276	257	45	9	1	7	13	79	4	5	0	175	226	300	526	125	220	29	5	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	—	276	249	58	12	1	8	21	54	4	5	0	233	303	386	688	153	265	20	8	307	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	100	85	16	7	0	4	13	37	2	1	0	188	310	412	722	224	277	37	13	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	276	257	45	9	1	7	13	79	4	5	0	175	226	300	526	125	218	29	5	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	100	85	16	7	0	4	13	37	2	1	0	188	310	412	722	224	277	37	13	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	276	257	45	9	1	7	13	79	4	5	0	175	226	300	526	125	218	29	5	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	TOR	—	350	317	66	7	0	14	30	138	1	12	4	208	279	363	642	155	313	39	9	278	74	-11	+1	+0	+6	+8	0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA RAW	TOR	—	350	304	77	8	0	19	43	113	1	12	4	253	348	467	815	214	335	32	12	359	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	AA MLE	TOR	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		275	33	11	271	70	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	23	AA MLE	TOR	—	359	325	67	7	0	14	31	141	1	12	4	206	277	357	634	151	310	39	9	278	74	-11	+1	+0	+6	+8	0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TOR	31%	380	345	71	11	1	14	30	133	2	8	2	206	273	365	638	159	278	35	8	280	76	-11	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.5
2028	25	MLB MLE	TOR	45%	420	380	78	12	1	15	34	142	3	9	2	205	276	361	636	155	280	34	8	286	80	-10	+1	+0	+8	+9	0.8
2029	26	MLB MLE	TOR	51%	445	403	84	13	1	16	36	148	3	9	3	208	278	365	643	156	280	33	8	289	82	-10	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2030	27	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	452	409	85	13	1	17	37	149	3	9	3	208	278	369	648	161	280	33	8	290	82	-9	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2031	28	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	452	408	84	13	1	16	38	150	3	9	3	206	278	360	639	154	280	33	8	289	82	-10	+1	-1	+8	+10	0.8
2032	29	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	445	402	83	13	1	16	37	148	3	8	2	206	278	363	641	157	279	33	8	287	80	-10	+1	-1	+8	+10	0.7
2033	30	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	437	394	80	12	1	15	37	147	3	7	2	203	276	353	629	150	277	34	8	284	78	-11	+1	-2	+8	+9	0.5
2034	31	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	411	370	73	11	0	14	35	139	3	6	2	197	272	341	613	143	275	34	9	280	76	-12	+0	-3	+7	+9	0.2
2035	32	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	382	345	68	10	0	13	32	131	2	5	1	197	269	339	608	142	271	34	8	275	72	-13	+1	-4	+7	+8	-0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	TOR	31%	118	107	21	3	0	4	9	41	1	2	1	196	265	336	601	140	279	35	8	276	76	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	TOR	45%	187	169	34	5	0	7	15	63	1	4	1	201	270	355	625	154	281	34	8	282	80	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	TOR	51%	227	204	42	7	0	8	19	75	2	5	1	206	280	358	638	152	282	33	8	285	82	-5	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2030	27	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	237	213	45	7	0	9	20	78	2	5	1	211	285	371	656	160	282	33	8	285	82	-5	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2031	28	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	241	217	45	7	0	9	20	80	2	5	1	207	280	364	644	157	281	33	8	284	82	-5	+1	-0	+4	+5	0.5
2032	29	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	234	210	43	7	0	8	20	78	2	4	1	205	280	352	633	148	280	33	9	283	80	-5	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.4
2033	30	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	228	205	42	7	0	8	19	77	2	4	1	205	279	356	635	151	278	34	8	280	78	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
2034	31	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	213	192	38	6	0	7	18	72	1	3	1	198	270	339	609	141	276	34	8	276	76	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2035	32	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	197	177	35	5	0	7	17	68	1	2	1	198	272	345	616	147	272	35	9	271	72	-7	+0	-2	+4	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1882	1694	345	54	0	67	157	632	14	34	9	204	277	354	631	151	277	34	8	281	77	-47	+3	-5	+34	+41	2.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	119	19	0	23	54	218	5	12	3	203	276	354	630	150	277	34	8	281	77	-16	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	4209	3806	768	124	8	147	343	1406	31	76	20	202	273	354	628	153	273	33	8	282	77	-97	+6	-10	+68	+83	5.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	119	19	1	23	53	217	5	12	3	202	274	355	629	153	274	33	8	282	77	-16	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	3.3	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
/162	664	19	8	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.8	1,889	68	35	206	275	362	+34	+16	4.0	3.8
/162	664	24	12	+11.9	+5.6	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aaron Parker (OGILVIE)	23	40	45	45	30	194/261/341	147	275	11	8	37%	8%	70	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rodolfo Durán 2021 · A	23	39	47→50	47→45	36	206/242/334	128	274	16	4	31%	4%	59	-1.6	200/240/330	130	259	14	4	28%	5%	58	-1.7	225/268/375	150	277	17	3	25%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Yu Chang 2018 · AA	22	36→44	49→50	49→45	39	193/251/345	152	262	17	9	33%	6%	66	-1.1	207/266/332	125	289	12	7	31%	7%	68	-1.0	212/267/370	158	271	20	6	29%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Lucas May 2008 · A	23	39→43	50→55	45	37	209/251/362	154	265	19	6	29%	4%	70	-0.9	215/266/354	139	282	15	6	28%	6%	74	-0.6	214/273/345	131	281	14	4	28%	6%	72	-0.4
✕Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA	23	37→47	48→55	48→55	42	197/259/341	144	266	16	12	32%	7%	68	-1.0	215/261/367	152	281	19	15	30%	5%	75	-0.5	224/265/381	157	284	20	15	28%	5%	77	-0.3
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2018 · A	23	39	47→50	42→40	42	204/265/335	132	265	15	4	29%	7%	69	-0.9	214/269/319	105	302	10	5	31%	6%	66	-1.1	199/250/262	63	298	6	0	34%	6%	42	-0.9
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA	24	37→40	46→55	48→45	41	194/258/325	131	264	14	9	32%	7%	64	-1.3	204/278/363	159	283	19	5	33%	8%	81	-0.1	216/279/422	206	274	28	2	32%	7%	93	+0.4
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/254/321	133	272	15	10	35%	6%	62	-1.4	207/272/348	141	302	15	9	35%	6%	75	-0.5	202/267/346	145	293	16	7	35%	6%	71	-0.3
✕Jesús Bastidas 2023 · AA	24	40→41	49→50	45→50	41	209/278/348	139	281	17	12	31%	6%	77	-0.3	204/273/341	137	269	16	12	30%	6%	74	-0.5	191/260/329	138	251	16	13	30%	5%	64	-1.0
✕Freuddy Batista 2022 · A	22	38	51→50	46→40	41	204/266/362	158	277	19	7	33%	7%	76	-0.4	205/266/337	132	302	13	6	35%	6%	70	-0.8	206/257/336	130	270	16	4	30%	4%	63	-0.6
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2016 · A	23	40→37	49→50	53→50	39	207/268/353	146	287	16	9	33%	6%	74	-0.5	208/273/341	133	295	14	10	33%	6%	74	-0.6	202/274/346	144	284	16	9	33%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Carlos Narváez 2023 · A	24	36→45	46→45	46→45	44	182/271/305	123	284	14	6	38%	10%	65	-1.2	206/290/331	125	292	13	7	32%	9%	78	-0.3	212/295/344	132	286	15	6	29%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A	24	38→48	46→45	49→50	43	193/273/321	128	259	13	9	30%	7%	70	-0.9	215/289/341	126	276	12	9	25%	7%	79	-0.2	221/295/347	125	275	11	8	22%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Luke Montz 2006 · A	23	35→45	52→55	45→40	44	194/261/363	169	251	20	4	32%	8%	74	-0.5	202/265/346	144	260	16	3	28%	7%	72	-0.7	201/276/399	198	236	27	4	28%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Rodolfo Castro 2021 · A	22	37→41	48→55	46→50	35	195/236/334	139	275	15	6	35%	5%	57	-1.8	212/267/368	156	279	19	8	31%	6%	78	-0.3	206/269/359	153	269	19	7	30%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Travis Demeritte 2018 · AA	23	37→44	48→55	47→50	39	191/251/332	141	291	15	9	38%	7%	63	-1.4	204/270/356	152	296	17	7	35%	8%	76	-0.4	205/271/367	162	301	19	9	36%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Jiandido Tromp 2017 · A	23	39→46	49→50	50→45	37	204/246/355	152	267	16	9	30%	5%	66	-1.1	216/260/340	124	291	12	8	29%	5%	68	-1.0	214/259/325	110	290	10	8	29%	5%	60	-1.1
✕Brian McFall 2007 · A	23	35→44	50→55	46→50	35	191/251/341	150	268	19	9	36%	5%	65	-1.2	210/270/358	148	286	17	8	32%	6%	76	-0.4	209/271/356	147	280	17	8	30%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Alex Isola 2022 · A	24	39→45	50	47→40	46	206/273/349	143	260	19	4	29%	8%	76	-0.4	218/284/350	132	275	16	4	26%	8%	79	-0.2	211/278/331	120	261	15	4	24%	8%	71	-0.5
✕Colton Shaver 2019 · A	23	36→32	50	43→30	42	194/265/340	146	254	18	4	31%	7%	71	-0.8	190/269/339	149	282	18	3	37%	8%	72	-0.7	163/256/314	151	249	20	0	41%	9%	58	-1.0
✕Jonathan Greene 2009 · A	23	38→48	49→50	47→40	37	195/276/339	143	274	17	5	34%	6%	76	-0.4	204/265/347	143	295	17	4	36%	4%	72	-0.7	205/261/341	136	305	17	3	37%	4%	68	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps