Hudson Potts
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | AABOS | 307 | .217/.269/.399 | 11 | 0 | 49 | — | .185/.223/.331 |
| 2022 | 23 | AABOS | 296 | .234/.299/.454 | 14 | 1 | 59 | — | .192/.241/.348 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAMississippi B… | 271 | .160/.259/.311 | 8 | 0 | 24 | — | .122/.200/.244 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | AZL Padres | — | 195 | 183 | 54 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 295 | 335 | 399 | 734 | 104 | 356 | 17 | 5 | 327 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 522 | 491 | 124 | 23 | 4 | 20 | 23 | 140 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 253 | 294 | 438 | 732 | 185 | 312 | 27 | 4 | 321 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 89 | 78 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 154 | 258 | 231 | 489 | 77 | 233 | 37 | 11 | 235 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 453 | 406 | 114 | 35 | 1 | 17 | 37 | 112 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 281 | 351 | 498 | 849 | 217 | 348 | 25 | 8 | 371 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 91 | 79 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 228 | 330 | 367 | 697 | 139 | 320 | 30 | 12 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 448 | 409 | 93 | 23 | 1 | 16 | 32 | 128 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 227 | 291 | 406 | 697 | 178 | 288 | 29 | 7 | 309 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 47 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 200 | 250 | 450 | 68 | 250 | 30 | 2 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 307 | 281 | 61 | 18 | 0 | 11 | 16 | 100 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 269 | 399 | 668 | 181 | 284 | 33 | 5 | 290 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 296 | 269 | 63 | 17 | 0 | 14 | 24 | 92 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 299 | 454 | 753 | 219 | 297 | 31 | 8 | 329 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 271 | 238 | 38 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 116 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 259 | 311 | 570 | 151 | 261 | 43 | 11 | 261 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 195 | 186 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 49 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 220 | 253 | 290 | 543 | 70 | 297 | 25 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 522 | 499 | 99 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 197 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 198 | 231 | 329 | 559 | 130 | 289 | 38 | 3 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 89 | 81 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 40 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 123 | 202 | 198 | 400 | 74 | 199 | 45 | 8 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 453 | 419 | 99 | 27 | 1 | 18 | 24 | 155 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 236 | 289 | 434 | 723 | 198 | 320 | 34 | 5 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 448 | 418 | 70 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 164 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 167 | 220 | 275 | 495 | 108 | 243 | 37 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 307 | 287 | 53 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 119 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 223 | 331 | 554 | 146 | 255 | 39 | 3 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 296 | 276 | 53 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 113 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 192 | 241 | 348 | 589 | 156 | 271 | 38 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 271 | 246 | 30 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 137 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 122 | 200 | 244 | 444 | 122 | 225 | 51 | 8 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 195 | 186 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 49 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 220 | 253 | 290 | 543 | 70 | 292 | 25 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK RAW | AZL Padres | — | 195 | 183 | 54 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 295 | 335 | 399 | 734 | 104 | 356 | 17 | 5 | 327 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 522 | 499 | 99 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 197 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 198 | 231 | 329 | 559 | 130 | 293 | 38 | 3 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | A RAW | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 522 | 491 | 124 | 23 | 4 | 20 | 23 | 140 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 253 | 294 | 438 | 732 | 185 | 312 | 27 | 4 | 321 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 633 | 584 | 126 | 31 | 1 | 23 | 37 | 228 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 216 | 273 | 390 | 663 | 175 | 307 | 36 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 633 | 563 | 144 | 40 | 1 | 21 | 58 | 172 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 256 | 335 | 442 | 777 | 187 | 331 | 27 | 9 | 344 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 495 | 461 | 78 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 181 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 169 | 220 | 278 | 498 | 108 | 248 | 37 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 495 | 453 | 101 | 24 | 2 | 16 | 33 | 142 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 223 | 283 | 391 | 674 | 168 | 284 | 29 | 7 | 298 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 307 | 287 | 53 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 119 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 223 | 331 | 554 | 146 | 267 | 39 | 3 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA RAW | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 307 | 281 | 61 | 18 | 0 | 11 | 16 | 100 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 269 | 399 | 668 | 181 | 284 | 33 | 5 | 290 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 296 | 276 | 53 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 113 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 192 | 241 | 348 | 589 | 156 | 277 | 38 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA RAW | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 296 | 269 | 63 | 17 | 0 | 14 | 24 | 92 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 299 | 454 | 753 | 219 | 297 | 31 | 8 | 329 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 271 | 246 | 30 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 137 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 122 | 200 | 244 | 444 | 122 | 223 | 51 | 8 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA RAW | Mississippi Braves | — | 271 | 238 | 38 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 116 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 259 | 311 | 570 | 151 | 261 | 43 | 11 | 261 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 195 | 185 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 49 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 222 | 253 | 292 | 544 | 70 | 297 | 25 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 522 | 496 | 99 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 197 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 231 | 331 | 561 | 131 | 289 | 38 | 3 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 633 | 582 | 126 | 31 | 1 | 23 | 37 | 228 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 216 | 273 | 392 | 665 | 175 | 300 | 36 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 495 | 462 | 78 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 181 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 169 | 220 | 277 | 497 | 108 | 243 | 37 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 307 | 290 | 53 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 119 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 223 | 328 | 550 | 145 | 255 | 39 | 3 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 296 | 276 | 53 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 113 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 192 | 241 | 348 | 589 | 156 | 271 | 38 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 271 | 245 | 30 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 137 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 122 | 200 | 245 | 445 | 122 | 225 | 51 | 8 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2719 | 2539 | 480 | 111 | 6 | 74 | 132 | 1024 | 29 | 17 | 8 | 189 | 237 | 325 | 562 | 136 | 278 | 38 | 5 | 244 | 52 | -157 | +0 | +0 | +10 | +59 | -9.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 607 | 115 | 27 | 1 | 18 | 32 | 245 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 189 | 238 | 326 | 565 | 137 | 279 | 38 | 5 | 244 | 52 | -37 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAMississippi Braves · 271 PAwOBA .255 → .203 (−52)K% 42.8% → 50.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 42.80% | ÷1.034 | ×1.220 | — | — | 50.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.07% | ÷0.943 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 7.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.75% | ÷1.016 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 12.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.84% | ÷0.997 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 8.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.56% | ÷0.793 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 6.60% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 59, 1B 103, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 107, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .255 → .203; ISO .151 → .132; BABIP .261 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 296 PAwOBA .322 → .255 (−67)K% 31.1% → 38.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.08% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.11% | ÷1.026 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.34% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.08% | ÷0.983 | ×0.970 | ×0.994 | ×1.012 | 17.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.60% | ÷1.066 | ×0.860 | ×0.994 | ×1.012 | 7.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.994 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.91% | ÷1.004 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 6.22% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 97, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 99, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .322 → .255; ISO .219 → .163; BABIP .297 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 307 PAwOBA .288 → .240 (−47)K% 32.6% → 38.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.57% | ÷1.025 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.21% | ÷1.078 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.027 | 3.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 1.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.68% | ÷1.047 | ×0.940 | ×1.016 | ×1.027 | 16.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.94% | ÷1.064 | ×0.870 | ×1.016 | ×1.027 | 8.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.08% | ÷0.900 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 5.41% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 109, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 105, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .288 → .240; ISO .181 → .153; BABIP .284 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 448 PAwOBA .302 → .218 (−84)K% 28.6% → 36.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷0.955 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷1.037 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 5.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.12% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.050 | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.86% | ÷1.014 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 17.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.19% | ÷1.097 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 6.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.36% | ÷1.079 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 0.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.69% | ÷1.337 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 3.58% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 167, 1B 103, 2B 119, 3B 116, K 91, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .302 → .218; ISO .178 → .111; BABIP .288 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 453 PAwOBA .362 → .306 (−56)K% 24.7% → 34.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.72% | ÷0.966 | ×1.340 | — | — | 34.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.95% | ÷1.087 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 5.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.55% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.042 | 1.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.75% | ÷1.020 | ×0.910 | ×1.024 | ×1.042 | 19.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.90% | ÷1.038 | ×0.820 | ×1.024 | ×1.042 | 10.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.34% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×1.024 | ×1.042 | 0.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.78% | ÷0.839 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.042 | 6.61% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 104, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 93, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .362 → .306; ISO .217 → .201; BABIP .348 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AASan Antonio Missions · 89 PAwOBA .230 → .181 (−48)K% 37.1% → 45.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.08% | ÷1.002 | ×1.220 | — | — | 45.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.24% | ÷1.026 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 8.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.12% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.050 | 1.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.072 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 19.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.081 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.031 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.44% | ÷0.824 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 4.53% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 114, 2B 116, 3B 106, K 100, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .230 → .181; ISO .077 → .071; BABIP .233 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AFort Wayne TinCaps · 522 PAwOBA .313 → .239 (−74)K% 26.8% → 37.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.82% | ÷0.968 | ×1.360 | — | — | 37.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.41% | ÷1.107 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 2.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.94% | ÷0.985 | ×0.920 | ×0.990 | ×1.045 | 21.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.55% | ÷1.002 | ×0.830 | ×0.990 | ×1.045 | 5.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.990 | ×1.045 | 0.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.70% | ÷1.048 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 4.55% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 97, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 94, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .313 → .239; ISO .185 → .131; BABIP .312 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ROKAZL Padres · 195 PAwOBA .320 → .242 (−78)K% 17.4% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.44% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 25.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 2.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.03% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.032 | ×1.022 | 22.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.032 | ×1.022 | 6.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.032 | ×1.022 | 1.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.54% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .320 → .242; ISO .104 → .074; BABIP .356 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .