Jair Camargo
C Gwinnett Stripers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | AAA/A/INTL2 orgs | 448 | .244/.312/.430 | 16 | 4 | 70 | — | .178/.238/.314 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAAMIN | 120 | .212/.258/.319 | 2 | 1 | 26 | — | .183/.217/.252 |
| 2026 | 27 | AAAATL | 218 | .240/.279/.363 | 5 | 5 | 35 | — | .193/.223/.275 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 28 | MLBATL | 14 | .191/.232/.290 | 0 | 0 | 45 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 29 | MLBATL | 44 | .191/.233/.290 | 1 | 1 | 45 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 36
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Dodgers 2 | — | 151 | 136 | 34 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 250 | 311 | 346 | 656 | 96 | 306 | 19 | 4 | 293 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | AZL Dodgers | — | 140 | 132 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 273 | 309 | 402 | 711 | 129 | 370 | 28 | 4 | 314 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | AZL Dodgers | — | 119 | 113 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 257 | 282 | 442 | 725 | 186 | 325 | 29 | 3 | 312 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Great Lakes Loons | — | 316 | 284 | 67 | 18 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 91 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 236 | 304 | 342 | 646 | 106 | 326 | 29 | 7 | 291 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 280 | 263 | 62 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 12 | 106 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 236 | 280 | 418 | 698 | 183 | 338 | 38 | 4 | 307 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 196 | 176 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 66 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 239 | 309 | 472 | 781 | 233 | 300 | 34 | 8 | 340 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 118 | 115 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 296 | 314 | 496 | 809 | 200 | 389 | 31 | 3 | 354 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | INTL | Tigres del Licey | — | 76 | 70 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 267 | 329 | 595 | 114 | 283 | 30 | 5 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 368 | 332 | 86 | 16 | 1 | 21 | 29 | 119 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 259 | 326 | 503 | 829 | 244 | 333 | 32 | 8 | 360 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | INTL | Tigres del Licey | — | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 133 | 214 | 348 | 143 | 91 | 20 | 7 | 154 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 317 | 283 | 60 | 16 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 94 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 212 | 292 | 403 | 695 | 191 | 268 | 30 | 8 | 308 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 25 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 304 | 360 | 478 | 838 | 174 | 400 | 28 | 8 | 371 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | INTL | Tigres del Licey | — | 106 | 99 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 323 | 362 | 495 | 857 | 172 | 460 | 32 | 3 | 376 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 120 | 113 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 46 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 258 | 319 | 577 | 106 | 338 | 38 | 6 | 260 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 218 | 204 | 49 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 78 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 240 | 279 | 363 | 642 | 123 | 358 | 36 | 4 | 283 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Dodgers 2 | — | 151 | 138 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 174 | 230 | 225 | 454 | 51 | 216 | 23 | 3 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 140 | 134 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 56 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 187 | 216 | 269 | 484 | 82 | 290 | 40 | 2 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 119 | 114 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 49 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 175 | 197 | 307 | 504 | 132 | 249 | 41 | 2 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 316 | 291 | 54 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 119 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 186 | 240 | 265 | 505 | 79 | 289 | 38 | 4 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 280 | 267 | 45 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 144 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 169 | 204 | 296 | 500 | 127 | 310 | 51 | 3 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 196 | 180 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 84 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 183 | 242 | 356 | 598 | 172 | 265 | 43 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 118 | 116 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 246 | 371 | 616 | 138 | 362 | 40 | 2 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 368 | 341 | 71 | 10 | 1 | 14 | 20 | 147 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 208 | 260 | 367 | 627 | 158 | 307 | 40 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 317 | 291 | 50 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 113 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 172 | 235 | 306 | 541 | 134 | 241 | 36 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 25 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 280 | 417 | 697 | 167 | 320 | 40 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 120 | 115 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 56 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 183 | 217 | 252 | 469 | 70 | 342 | 47 | 4 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 218 | 207 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 94 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 193 | 223 | 275 | 499 | 82 | 321 | 43 | 2 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Dodgers 2 | — | 151 | 138 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 174 | 230 | 225 | 454 | 51 | 229 | 23 | 3 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Dodgers 2 | — | 151 | 136 | 34 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 250 | 311 | 346 | 656 | 96 | 306 | 19 | 4 | 293 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 140 | 134 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 56 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 187 | 216 | 269 | 484 | 82 | 308 | 40 | 2 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Dodgers | — | 140 | 132 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 273 | 309 | 402 | 711 | 129 | 370 | 28 | 4 | 314 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 119 | 114 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 49 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 175 | 197 | 307 | 504 | 132 | 266 | 41 | 2 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Dodgers | — | 119 | 113 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 257 | 282 | 442 | 725 | 186 | 325 | 29 | 3 | 312 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 316 | 291 | 54 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 119 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 186 | 240 | 265 | 505 | 79 | 295 | 38 | 4 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A RAW | Great Lakes Loons | — | 316 | 284 | 67 | 18 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 91 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 236 | 304 | 342 | 646 | 106 | 326 | 29 | 7 | 291 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 280 | 267 | 45 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 144 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 169 | 204 | 296 | 500 | 127 | 313 | 51 | 3 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ RAW | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 280 | 263 | 62 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 12 | 106 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 236 | 280 | 418 | 698 | 183 | 338 | 38 | 4 | 307 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 390 | 367 | 76 | 10 | 0 | 17 | 17 | 163 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 207 | 248 | 373 | 621 | 166 | 311 | 42 | 4 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 390 | 361 | 91 | 12 | 0 | 20 | 23 | 126 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 252 | 302 | 452 | 754 | 199 | 326 | 32 | 6 | 330 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 383 | 356 | 74 | 10 | 1 | 15 | 20 | 153 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 208 | 258 | 368 | 626 | 160 | 309 | 40 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 383 | 346 | 87 | 16 | 2 | 21 | 30 | 122 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 251 | 318 | 491 | 810 | 240 | 320 | 32 | 8 | 352 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 448 | 411 | 71 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 24 | 161 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 173 | 236 | 302 | 538 | 129 | 248 | 36 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 448 | 405 | 99 | 25 | 1 | 16 | 30 | 135 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 244 | 312 | 430 | 742 | 185 | 323 | 30 | 7 | 328 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 120 | 115 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 56 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 183 | 217 | 252 | 469 | 70 | 345 | 47 | 4 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA RAW | St. Paul Saints | — | 120 | 113 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 46 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 258 | 319 | 577 | 106 | 338 | 38 | 6 | 260 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 218 | 207 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 94 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 193 | 223 | 275 | 499 | 82 | 330 | 43 | 2 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA RAW | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 218 | 204 | 49 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 78 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 240 | 279 | 363 | 642 | 123 | 358 | 36 | 4 | 283 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Dodgers 2 | — | 151 | 140 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 171 | 230 | 221 | 451 | 50 | 216 | 23 | 3 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 140 | 134 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 56 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 187 | 216 | 269 | 484 | 82 | 290 | 40 | 2 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 119 | 115 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 49 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 174 | 197 | 304 | 501 | 130 | 249 | 41 | 2 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 316 | 292 | 54 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 119 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 185 | 240 | 264 | 504 | 79 | 289 | 38 | 4 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 280 | 266 | 45 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 144 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 169 | 204 | 297 | 501 | 128 | 310 | 51 | 3 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 390 | 367 | 76 | 10 | 0 | 17 | 17 | 163 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 207 | 248 | 373 | 621 | 166 | 301 | 42 | 4 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 383 | 356 | 74 | 10 | 1 | 15 | 20 | 153 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 208 | 258 | 368 | 626 | 160 | 307 | 40 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 448 | 411 | 71 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 24 | 161 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 173 | 236 | 302 | 538 | 129 | 247 | 36 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 120 | 114 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 56 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 184 | 217 | 254 | 471 | 70 | 342 | 47 | 4 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 218 | 208 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 94 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 192 | 223 | 274 | 497 | 82 | 321 | 43 | 2 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 448 | 411 | 71 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 24 | 161 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 173 | 236 | 302 | 538 | 129 | 247 | 36 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 120 | 114 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 56 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 184 | 217 | 254 | 471 | 70 | 342 | 47 | 4 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 218 | 208 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 94 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 192 | 223 | 274 | 497 | 82 | 321 | 43 | 2 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | ATL | 10% | 256 | 241 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 90 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 191 | 232 | 290 | 522 | 99 | 281 | 35 | 4 | 234 | 45 | -17 | +0 | -0 | +5 | +6 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | ATL | 10% | 14 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 232 | 290 | 522 | 99 | 281 | 36 | 7 | 234 | 45 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | ATL | 27% | 162 | 153 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 57 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 191 | 233 | 290 | 523 | 99 | 280 | 35 | 4 | 235 | 45 | -11 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +4 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | ATL | 27% | 44 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 191 | 233 | 290 | 523 | 99 | 280 | 34 | 5 | 235 | 45 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 44 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 195 | 250 | 317 | 567 | 122 | 280 | 34 | 5 | 235 | 45 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 606 | 119 | 30 | 0 | 15 | 30 | 222 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 196 | 252 | 320 | 572 | 124 | 282 | 34 | 5 | 235 | 45 | -43 | +3 | -6 | +12 | +14 | -2.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2862 | 2680 | 503 | 94 | 7 | 68 | 113 | 1134 | 44 | 39 | 18 | 188 | 233 | 304 | 537 | 116 | 290 | 40 | 4 | 235 | 45 | -20 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +6 | -0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 609 | 114 | 21 | 2 | 15 | 26 | 258 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 187 | 233 | 302 | 535 | 115 | 290 | 40 | 4 | 235 | 45 | -43 | +0 | -3 | +12 | +14 | -2.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 218 PAwOBA .278 → .220 (−58)K% 35.8% → 42.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.78% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 42.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 2.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.38% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.999 | ×1.003 | 25.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×1.003 | 6.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.999 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.79% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .278 → .220; ISO .123 → .085; BABIP .358 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAASt. Paul Saints · 120 PAwOBA .253 → .206 (−47)K% 38.3% → 46.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.33% | ÷0.989 | ×1.200 | — | — | 46.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.83% | ÷1.022 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.88% | ÷0.944 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 25.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.96% | ÷0.938 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 8.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.99% | ÷1.253 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 1.70% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 151, 1B 89, 2B 88, 3B 100, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .253 → .206; ISO .106 → .071; BABIP .338 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAASt. Paul Saints · 317 PAwOBA .299 → .239 (−61)K% 29.7% → 35.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.65% | ÷0.995 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.26% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.21% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.40% | ÷1.010 | ×0.930 | ×0.997 | ×1.033 | 15.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.47% | ÷0.996 | ×0.830 | ×0.997 | ×1.033 | 7.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷1.043 | ×0.970 | ×0.997 | ×1.033 | 0.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.35% | ÷1.039 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 4.42% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 102, 2B 99, 3B 109, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .299 → .239; ISO .191 → .137; BABIP .268 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 25 PAwOBA .361 → .255 (−106)K% 28.0% → 38.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.00% | ÷0.994 | ×1.360 | — | — | 38.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.00% | ÷0.976 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.970 | 5.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.25% | ÷1.096 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.970 | 25.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.019 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.970 | 4.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.962 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.962 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.970 | 5.04% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 119, 2B 104, 3B 92, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .361 → .255; ISO .174 → .123; BABIP .400 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAASt. Paul Saints · 368 PAwOBA .353 → .273 (−80)K% 32.3% → 39.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.34% | ÷0.973 | ×1.200 | — | — | 39.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.88% | ÷1.067 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 5.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.54% | ÷0.964 | ×0.930 | ×1.030 | ×1.048 | 23.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.51% | ÷1.341 | ×0.830 | ×1.030 | ×1.048 | 5.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷0.977 | ×0.970 | ×1.030 | ×1.048 | 0.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.86% | ÷1.009 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 7.17% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 93, 2B 168, 3B 95, K 95, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .353 → .273; ISO .244 → .164; BABIP .333 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAWichita Wind Surge · 196 PAwOBA .334 → .258 (−76)K% 33.7% → 42.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.67% | ÷0.958 | ×1.220 | — | — | 42.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.16% | ÷0.991 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.02% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×0.983 | ×1.027 | 20.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.001 | ×0.840 | ×0.983 | ×1.027 | 3.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.983 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.91% | ÷0.985 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 9.10% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 92, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .334 → .258; ISO .233 → .174; BABIP .300 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 118 PAwOBA .344 → .273 (−70)K% 31.4% → 40.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.36% | ÷0.993 | ×1.270 | — | — | 40.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.54% | ÷0.983 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 1.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.49% | ÷1.021 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 27.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.41% | ÷0.912 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 5.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.011 | ×0.850 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.948 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 6.48% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 104, 2B 82, 3B 102, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .344 → .273; ISO .200 → .151; BABIP .389 → .362. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 280 PAwOBA .300 → .218 (−82)K% 37.9% → 51.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.86% | ÷0.992 | ×1.350 | — | — | 51.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.29% | ÷1.026 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 3.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.43% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 1.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.11% | ÷1.012 | ×0.910 | ×1.026 | ×1.012 | 24.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.46% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×1.026 | ×1.012 | 3.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.64% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×1.026 | ×1.012 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.28% | ÷0.920 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 7.56% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 102, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .300 → .218; ISO .183 → .131; BABIP .338 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .