Jair Camargo — OGILVIE

Jair CamargoC Gwinnett Stripers

Age 27 R/R 5'10" / 230 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION218 act + 20 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%5

BABIP304

ISO53

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024

CONTACT20

Whiff%

2114.3%

POWER40

Bat Spd

9077.1

EYE36

Chase%

5131.6%

SPEED47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2016	17	ROK	DSL Dodgers 2	—	151	136	34	4	3	1	6	28	6	7	3	250	311	346	656	96	306	19	4	293	84	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2017	18	ROK	AZL Dodgers	—	140	132	36	9	1	2	5	39	2	0	1	273	309	402	711	129	370	28	4	314	99	-0	-0	—	—	+3	0.2
2018	19	ROK	AZL Dodgers	—	119	113	29	7	1	4	3	34	1	3	0	257	282	442	725	186	325	29	3	312	97	-0	+1	—	—	+3	0.3
2019	20	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	316	284	67	18	0	4	21	91	7	5	3	236	304	342	646	106	326	29	7	291	83	-6	-0	—	—	+7	0.0
2021	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	280	263	62	7	1	13	12	106	4	3	1	236	280	418	698	183	338	38	4	307	94	-2	+0	—	—	+6	0.4
2022	23	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	196	176	42	5	0	12	16	66	2	4	2	239	309	472	781	233	300	34	8	340	116	+4	+0	—	—	+4	0.8
2022	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	118	115	34	5	0	6	3	37	0	0	0	296	314	496	809	200	389	31	3	354	126	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2022	23	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	76	70	15	2	0	2	4	23	1	1	1	214	267	329	595	114	283	30	5	266	66	-3	-0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2023	24	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	368	332	86	16	1	21	29	119	4	2	1	259	326	503	829	244	333	32	8	360	130	+13	+0	—	—	+8	2.1
2023	24	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	15	14	1	0	1	0	1	3	0	0	0	71	133	214	348	143	91	20	7	154	-9	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2024	25	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	317	283	60	16	1	12	25	94	7	2	1	212	292	403	695	191	268	30	8	308	95	-2	+0	—	—	+7	0.5
2024	25	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	25	23	7	1	0	1	2	7	0	1	0	304	360	478	838	174	400	28	8	371	137	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	25	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	106	99	32	8	0	3	3	34	3	1	1	323	362	495	857	172	460	32	3	376	140	+5	-0	—	—	+2	0.7
2025	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	120	113	24	6	0	2	7	46	0	1	0	212	258	319	577	106	338	38	6	260	62	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2016	17	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers 2	—	151	138	27	3	2	1	4	40	6	7	3	196	250	268	518	72	256	26	3	219	34	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2017	18	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers	—	140	134	23	5	1	1	3	56	2	0	1	172	201	246	448	75	283	40	2	200	22	-13	-0	—	—	+3	-1.1
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers	—	119	114	20	4	1	3	2	49	1	3	0	175	197	307	504	132	247	41	2	202	23	-11	+1	—	—	+3	-0.8
2019	20	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	316	292	53	14	0	3	13	119	7	5	3	182	234	260	494	79	280	38	4	219	34	-25	-0	—	—	+7	-1.8
2021	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	280	267	45	5	1	9	8	144	4	3	1	169	204	296	500	127	306	51	3	216	32	-23	+0	—	—	+6	-1.7
2022	23	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	196	181	33	4	0	9	11	84	2	4	2	182	237	354	591	171	263	43	6	252	57	-10	+0	—	—	+4	-0.6
2022	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	118	116	26	4	0	4	2	50	0	0	0	224	237	362	599	138	362	42	2	265	65	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2023	24	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	368	342	69	10	1	14	19	147	4	2	1	202	252	360	612	158	292	40	5	261	63	-16	+0	—	—	+8	-0.8
2024	25	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	317	292	49	13	1	8	16	113	7	2	1	168	229	301	530	134	233	36	5	232	43	-21	+0	—	—	+7	-1.5
2024	25	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	25	23	6	1	0	1	2	10	0	1	0	261	320	435	755	174	341	40	8	268	68	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	26	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	120	115	21	5	0	1	5	56	0	1	0	183	217	252	469	70	336	47	4	203	24	-11	+0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2016	17	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers 2	—	151	138	27	3	2	1	4	40	6	7	3	196	250	268	518	72	265	26	3	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	17	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers 2	—	151	136	34	4	3	1	6	28	6	7	3	250	311	346	656	96	306	19	4	293	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers	—	140	134	23	5	1	1	3	56	2	0	1	172	201	246	448	75	282	40	2	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	AZL Dodgers	—	140	132	36	9	1	2	5	39	2	0	1	273	309	402	711	129	370	28	4	314	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers	—	119	114	20	4	1	3	2	49	1	3	0	175	197	307	504	132	266	41	2	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	AZL Dodgers	—	119	113	29	7	1	4	3	34	1	3	0	257	282	442	725	186	325	29	3	312	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	316	292	53	14	0	3	13	119	7	5	3	182	234	260	494	79	287	38	4	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A RAW	Great Lakes Loons	—	316	284	67	18	0	4	21	91	7	5	3	236	304	342	646	106	326	29	7	291	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	280	267	45	5	1	9	8	144	4	3	1	169	204	296	500	127	313	51	3	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	280	263	62	7	1	13	12	106	4	3	1	236	280	418	698	183	338	38	4	307	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	390	367	74	10	0	16	17	167	3	5	3	202	243	360	603	158	310	43	4	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	390	361	91	12	0	20	23	126	3	5	3	252	302	452	754	199	326	32	6	330	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	383	356	71	10	1	14	20	153	4	2	1	199	250	351	601	152	297	40	5	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	383	346	87	16	2	21	30	122	4	2	1	251	318	491	810	240	320	32	8	352	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	448	412	70	18	1	11	23	162	10	4	2	170	231	299	530	129	244	36	5	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	448	405	99	25	1	16	30	135	10	4	2	244	312	430	742	185	323	30	7	328	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	120	115	21	5	0	1	5	56	0	1	0	183	217	252	469	70	345	47	4	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	St. Paul Saints	—	120	113	24	6	0	2	7	46	0	1	0	212	258	319	577	106	338	38	6	260	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	17	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers 2	—	151	140	27	3	2	1	4	40	6	7	3	193	250	264	514	71	256	26	3	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers	—	140	134	23	5	1	1	3	56	2	0	1	172	201	246	448	75	283	40	2	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers	—	119	115	20	4	1	3	2	49	1	3	0	174	197	304	501	130	247	41	2	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	316	293	53	14	0	3	13	119	7	5	3	181	234	259	493	78	280	38	4	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	280	266	45	5	1	9	8	144	4	3	1	169	204	297	501	128	306	51	3	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	390	367	74	10	0	16	17	167	3	5	3	202	243	360	603	158	300	43	4	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	383	356	71	10	1	14	20	153	4	2	1	199	250	351	601	152	292	40	5	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	448	412	70	18	1	11	23	162	10	4	2	170	231	299	530	129	241	36	5	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	120	114	21	5	0	1	5	56	0	1	0	184	217	254	471	70	336	47	4	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	383	356	71	10	1	14	20	153	4	2	1	199	250	351	601	152	292	40	5	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	448	412	70	18	1	11	23	162	10	4	2	170	231	299	530	129	241	36	5	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	120	114	21	5	0	1	5	56	0	1	0	184	217	254	471	70	336	47	4	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	ATL	—	218	207	40	8	0	3	5	94	3	5	2	193	223	275	499	82	330	43	2	220	35	-17	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA RAW	ATL	—	218	204	49	10	0	5	8	78	3	5	2	240	279	363	642	123	358	36	4	283	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	27	AAA MLE	ATL	10%	20	19	3	1	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	158	200	211	411	53	304	40	5	239	48	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	27	MLB CTX	ATL	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						304	50	0	229	48	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	27	MLB A+C	ATL	—	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0							50	0	229	36	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	27	AAA MLE	ATL	—	238	226	43	9	0	3	6	102	3	5	2	190	221	270	491	80	325	43	3	222	36	-18	+0	-0	+4	+5	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	ATL	31%	259	243	48	10	1	5	11	99	3	3	1	198	241	309	550	111	302	38	4	247	53	-14	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.5
2027	28	MLB CTX	ATL	31%	80	75	15	3	0	2	4	30	1	1	0	200	250	320	570	120	302	38	5	238	53	-4	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	82	77	15	3	0	2	4	31	1	1	0	195	244	312	556	117	295	38	5	238	44	-5	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	610	119	24	0	16	32	246	8	8	0	195	245	313	558	118	296	38	5	238	44	-36	+2	-2	+12	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2626	2457	455	85	8	64	107	1053	40	33	15	185	231	304	536	119	288	40	4	233	44	-16	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	608	113	21	2	16	26	261	10	8	4	186	231	306	537	120	289	40	4	233	44	-37	+0	-2	+12	+14	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jair Camargo (OGILVIE)	27	20	40	47	36	191/232/297	105	304	3	3	40%	4%	48	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jason Delay 2022 · AAA	27	38	44→45	48→40	33	194/233/309	115	283	13	6	36%	4%	51	-2.3	219/273/304	85	296	5	5	26%	6%	64	-1.3	228/287/304	76	299	3	2	23%	6%	67	-0.4
✕Arden Pabst 2022 · AA	27	33	44→45	44→30	30	179/207/288	109	269	13	4	39%	3%	35	-3.4	188/249/321	133	285	17	6	38%	7%	60	-1.6	107/209/207	100	155	15	0	42%	10%	19	-1.1
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	36→25	44→50	49→50	35	186/241/304	118	277	12	9	36%	5%	53	-2.1	214/275/326	112	297	10	10	30%	5%	70	-0.8	213/284/304	91	290	6	9	26%	4%	67	-0.3
✕Eddy Rodriguez 2013 · AAA	27	35→29	48→45	45→30	34	191/231/324	133	268	18	4	36%	4%	53	-2.1	186/222/292	106	276	11	4	36%	4%	42	-2.9	167/197/253	86	259	8	0	38%	3%	21	-1.6
✕Seby Zavala 2021 · AAA	27	37→40	48→50	43→40	35	193/247/329	135	288	17	5	38%	6%	61	-1.5	195/262/329	134	314	16	4	40%	8%	67	-1.1	191/270/315	124	298	14	1	38%	8%	65	-0.5
✕Madison Stokes 2023 · AAA	27	38→36	42→45	49→40	36	185/242/292	107	298	10	9	40%	6%	50	-2.3	195/273/300	105	301	9	9	35%	9%	64	-1.3	175/268/272	96	267	7	6	34%	10%	54	-1.5
✕Edwin Díaz 2023 · AAA	27	32→33	48→50	50→40	32	172/225/303	131	290	17	5	46%	6%	47	-2.6	186/245/326	140	291	17	7	40%	7%	59	-1.6	164/253/317	152	221	20	6	35%	9%	59	-0.6
✕Hamlet Marte 2021 · AA	27	40	42→45	44→45	39	197/254/295	99	296	10	6	35%	7%	55	-1.9	198/255/294	96	327	9	8	39%	7%	55	-1.9	157/217/238	81	251	10	4	40%	6%	26	-0.8
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	36	44→45	47→45	44	181/260/291	111	272	12	9	36%	9%	57	-1.8	177/263/303	126	271	15	6	38%	10%	61	-1.5	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Jordan Betts 2018 · AA	26	37→28	44→45	46→40	36	186/234/301	115	285	12	5	38%	6%	49	-2.4	202/251/310	108	297	11	5	34%	6%	57	-1.8	187/232/277	90	267	11	0	33%	5%	40	-1.9
✕Mark Thomas 2015 · AA	27	34→41	45	46→45	36	180/225/303	123	249	13	5	33%	5%	47	-2.6	178/238/293	115	276	11	7	37%	6%	49	-2.4	137/196/248	112	199	9	6	35%	6%	21	-1.6
✕John Nelson 2006 · AAA	27	39→35	45	41→45	39	197/258/319	122	298	13	5	37%	7%	62	-1.4	181/241/319	138	273	18	8	39%	7%	57	-1.8	155/216/292	137	224	20	8	40%	6%	39	-2.0
✕Christian Kelley 2021 · AAA	27	38	42→40	48→30	40	191/248/295	104	256	10	5	29%	6%	53	-2.1	228/293/328	100	322	8	8	29%	8%	77	-0.3	245/316/306	61	355	3	0	29%	9%	80	-0.0
✕Ryan Christianson 2007 · AAA	26	34	45	49→50	38	183/241/298	115	268	15	9	37%	7%	51	-2.2	200/256/327	127	290	15	9	35%	7%	63	-1.3	160/212/283	123	220	17	0	36%	6%	33	-0.7
✕Colt Morton 2009 · MLB	27	38	46→50	47→30	41	194/260/321	128	274	14	4	33%	7%	64	-1.3	204/259/337	133	281	15	7	31%	6%	67	-1.1	167/218/340	174	195	23	0	29%	5%	51	-0.4
✕Matt Winn 2019 · AAA	26	38→34	45	46→30	34	182/240/305	123	325	13	2	46%	7%	53	-2.1	188/251/295	107	332	9	6	43%	7%	54	-2.0	95/176/162	68	164	5	0	42%	9%	-3	-1.1
✕Rogelio Noris 2017 · AAA	27	39→31	43→45	47→45	34	198/237/298	100	267	12	7	31%	3%	49	-2.4	219/259/338	119	278	14	8	26%	4%	67	-1.1	222/252/336	114	267	15	4	23%	3%	61	-0.6
✕Matt Spring 2012 · AA	27	36	49→45	44→45	35	191/242/341	149	285	17	4	39%	6%	61	-1.5	187/241/327	140	291	17	3	40%	6%	59	-1.7	162/219/303	141	241	18	0	40%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Camden Duzenack 2022 · AAA	27	37→36	48→50	51→50	35	197/244/332	135	278	17	9	35%	5%	60	-1.6	219/269/349	130	282	14	11	27%	5%	73	-0.6	219/270/346	127	273	14	10	24%	5%	70	-0.5
✕Chris Okey 2021 · AAA	26	38	45	49→40	38	195/249/311	117	281	13	6	35%	6%	57	-1.8	211/265/319	108	303	10	5	32%	6%	64	-1.3	205/259/305	100	287	9	2	30%	5%	56	-0.6