Jair Camargo — OGILVIE

Jair CamargoC Gwinnett Stripers

Age 27 R/R 5'10" / 230 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION186 act + 124 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .244 / .319

PA124

HR3

K%40

BB%4

BABIP312

ISO121

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024

CONTACT20

Whiff%

2114.3%

POWER41

Bat Spd

9077.1

EYE37

Chase%

5131.6%

SPEED46

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Dodgers 2	—	151	138	27	3	2	1	4	40	6	7	3	196	250	268	518	72	265	26	3	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	17	ROK	DSL Dodgers 2	—	151	136	34	4	3	1	6	28	6	7	3	250	311	346	656	96	306	19	4	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK	AZL Dodgers	—	140	134	23	5	1	1	3	56	2	0	1	172	201	246	448	75	282	40	2	200	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK	AZL Dodgers	—	140	132	36	9	1	2	5	39	2	0	1	273	309	402	711	129	370	28	4	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK	AZL Dodgers	—	119	114	20	4	1	3	2	49	1	3	0	175	197	307	504	132	266	41	2	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK	AZL Dodgers	—	119	113	29	7	1	4	3	34	1	3	0	257	282	442	725	186	325	29	3	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	316	292	55	15	0	3	13	116	7	5	3	188	240	271	511	82	294	37	4	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	316	284	67	18	0	4	21	91	7	5	3	236	304	342	646	106	326	29	7	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	280	267	45	5	1	10	8	145	4	3	1	169	204	307	511	139	310	52	3	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	280	263	62	7	1	13	12	106	4	3	1	236	280	418	698	183	338	38	4	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	3 teams	—	390	367	72	10	0	17	17	179	3	5	3	196	238	362	600	166	316	46	4	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	3 teams	—	390	361	91	12	0	20	23	126	3	5	3	252	302	452	754	199	326	32	6	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	2 teams	—	383	358	73	8	1	17	18	157	4	2	1	204	250	374	624	170	299	41	5	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	2 teams	—	383	346	87	16	2	21	30	122	4	2	1	251	318	491	810	240	320	32	8	352	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	3 teams	—	448	411	71	18	1	13	24	162	10	4	2	173	236	316	552	144	243	36	5	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	3 teams	—	448	405	99	25	1	16	30	135	10	4	2	244	312	430	742	185	323	30	7	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	120	115	21	5	0	1	5	56	0	1	0	183	217	252	469	70	345	47	4	211	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	120	113	24	6	0	2	7	46	0	1	0	212	258	319	577	106	338	38	6	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AAA	ATL	—	186	176	34	8	0	2	5	82	3	4	2	193	228	273	501	80	344	44	3	219	26	-16	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.7
YTD	27	AAA	ATL	—	186	174	41	10	0	3	7	68	3	4	2	236	277	345	622	109	365	37	4	277	70	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
ROS	27	AAA	ATL	10%	124	116	23	5	0	3	5	50	2	2	1	198	244	319	563	121	308	40	4	244	45	-8	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.2
ROS	27	MLB	ATL	10%	12	12	1	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	83	83	83	167		308	42	0	234	37	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	27	AAA	ATL	—	198	188	35	8	0	2	5	87	3	4	2	186	219	261	480	74	330	44	3	220	26	-16	+0	-0	+4	+6	-0.7
TOT	27	AAA	ATL	—	310	292	57	13	0	5	10	132	5	6	3	195	235	291	526	96	331	43	3	229	33	-23	+0	-0	+6	+9	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	ATL	31%	259	242	49	10	1	6	12	100	3	3	1	202	249	326	575	124	304	39	5	250	50	-15	+0	-1	+5	+7	-0.3
2027	28	MLB	ATL	31%	80	75	15	3	0	2	4	31	1	1	0	200	250	320	570	120	304	39	5	241	42	-5	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	92	87	16	3	0	2	4	36	1	1	0	184	228	287	516	103	286	39	4	240	42	-6	+0	-0	+2	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	615	113	21	0	14	28	254	7	7	0	184	228	286	514	102	285	39	4	240	42	-43	+1	-2	+12	+18	-1.3
Career	—			—	2730	2554	479	88	8	75	111	1110	42	35	16	188	233	316	550	129	291	41	4	238	40	-185	+1	-1	+49	+77	-6.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	608	114	21	2	18	26	264	10	8	4	188	233	317	550	130	290	41	4	238	40	-44	+0	-0	+12	+18	-1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Dodgers 2	—	151	136	34	4	3	1	6	28	6	7	3	250	311	346	656	96	306	19	4	293	82	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
2017	18	ROK	AZL Dodgers	—	140	132	36	9	1	2	5	39	2	0	1	273	309	402	711	129	370	28	4	314	99	-0	-0	—	—	+4	0.3
2018	19	ROK	AZL Dodgers	—	119	113	29	7	1	4	3	34	1	3	0	257	282	442	725	186	325	29	3	312	97	-0	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
2019	20	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	316	284	67	18	0	4	21	91	7	5	3	236	304	342	646	106	326	29	7	291	81	-7	-0	—	—	+9	0.2
2021	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	280	263	62	7	1	13	12	106	4	3	1	236	280	418	698	183	338	38	4	307	93	-2	+0	—	—	+8	0.6
2022	23	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	196	176	42	5	0	12	16	66	2	4	2	239	309	472	781	233	300	34	8	340	118	+4	+0	—	—	+6	1.0
2022	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	118	115	34	5	0	6	3	37	0	0	0	296	314	496	809	200	389	31	3	354	129	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2022	23	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	76	70	15	2	0	2	4	23	1	1	1	214	267	329	595	114	283	30	5	266	62	-3	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	24	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	368	332	86	16	1	21	29	119	4	2	1	259	326	503	829	244	333	32	8	360	134	+14	+0	—	—	+10	2.5
2023	24	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	15	14	1	0	1	0	1	3	0	0	0	71	133	214	348	143	91	20	7	154	-24	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2024	25	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	317	283	60	16	1	12	25	94	7	2	1	212	292	403	695	191	268	30	8	308	94	-2	+0	—	—	+9	0.7
2024	25	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	25	23	7	1	0	1	2	7	0	1	0	304	360	478	838	174	400	28	8	371	142	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	25	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	106	99	32	8	0	3	3	34	3	1	1	323	362	495	857	172	460	32	3	376	146	+5	-0	—	—	+3	0.8
2025	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	120	113	24	6	0	2	7	46	0	1	0	212	258	319	577	106	338	38	6	260	57	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jair Camargo (OGILVIE)	27	20	41	46	37	195/235/291	96	331	5	6	43%	3%	33	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jason Delay 2022 · AAA	27	38	47→45	48→40	32	196/234/327	131	292	16	6	38%	4%	50	-1.8	217/271/303	86	295	5	5	26%	6%	58	-1.2	225/284/302	76	298	3	2	23%	6%	61	-0.4
✕Seby Zavala 2021 · AAA	27	36→40	49→50	43→40	34	190/241/328	139	287	17	5	39%	5%	53	-1.5	193/258/324	131	311	16	4	40%	7%	59	-1.1	188/267/305	117	296	13	1	38%	8%	56	-0.5
✕Arden Pabst 2022 · AA	27	33	46→50	44→30	28	178/206/299	121	275	15	4	41%	3%	30	-3.1	192/254/342	150	292	20	6	39%	7%	63	-0.9	119/223/261	142	161	22	0	42%	11%	28	-0.8
✕Eddy Rodriguez 2013 · AAA	27	35→30	49→50	45→30	33	192/232/331	139	272	19	4	37%	4%	50	-1.8	187/221/299	112	281	13	4	37%	4%	36	-2.7	166/196/259	93	263	10	0	40%	3%	12	-1.5
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	36→24	45→55	49→50	35	185/239/305	121	279	13	9	38%	5%	46	-2.0	212/273/327	115	298	10	10	31%	5%	66	-0.6	207/279/300	93	287	6	9	28%	4%	59	-0.3
✕Edwin Díaz 2023 · AAA	27	32→31	50	50→40	30	170/221/312	142	299	20	5	48%	6%	40	-2.4	186/244/333	147	300	18	7	42%	6%	56	-1.3	185/263/353	168	235	22	5	31%	8%	66	-0.4
✕Colt Morton 2009 · MLB	27	37	47→50	47→30	40	193/259/325	132	276	15	4	35%	7%	60	-1.0	204/259/342	138	283	16	7	32%	6%	64	-0.8	170/221/358	188	197	25	0	30%	5%	50	-0.3
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	35	44→45	47→45	44	179/260/291	112	277	12	9	38%	10%	52	-1.6	180/266/322	142	275	19	6	39%	10%	63	-0.8	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Camden Duzenack 2022 · AAA	27	36→37	49→50	51→50	34	194/240/333	139	277	18	9	36%	5%	54	-1.4	214/264/344	130	277	14	11	27%	5%	66	-0.6	210/264/335	124	264	13	10	25%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Cael Brockmeyer 2018 · AAA	26	36→38	45	47→40	37	189/244/308	119	264	14	4	33%	5%	49	-1.8	215/272/313	98	325	9	8	35%	5%	62	-0.9	241/300/316	75	381	6	5	36%	5%	71	-0.1
✕Madison Stokes 2023 · AAA	27	37→35	42→40	49→40	34	180/237/285	105	304	10	9	42%	6%	40	-2.4	191/271/298	107	304	9	9	37%	9%	58	-1.2	169/265/267	98	265	8	6	36%	11%	45	-1.5
✕Matt Spring 2012 · AA	27	36	49→50	44→45	34	187/238/333	145	291	17	4	41%	6%	53	-1.5	182/237/324	142	298	17	3	43%	6%	50	-1.7	166/218/321	155	252	19	0	41%	5%	40	-0.8
✕Chris Okey 2021 · AAA	26	37	46→45	49→40	37	193/249/316	123	286	15	6	37%	6%	53	-1.5	210/262/321	111	307	11	5	33%	6%	59	-1.1	203/255/307	104	286	10	2	31%	5%	49	-0.5
✕John Nelson 2006 · AAA	27	39→35	45	41→45	38	196/256/318	122	297	13	5	37%	7%	56	-1.3	181/239/319	138	273	18	8	39%	6%	50	-1.7	155/216/292	137	224	20	8	40%	6%	32	-1.9
✕Gift Ngoepe 2017 · AAA	27	43→40	44→45	43→50	36	208/256/322	114	312	11	8	36%	6%	57	-1.2	194/262/310	116	325	11	7	40%	8%	56	-1.3	171/250/283	112	296	11	5	43%	9%	43	-0.9
✕Christian Kelley 2021 · AAA	27	38	45→40	47→30	40	194/250/312	118	257	13	5	29%	6%	53	-1.5	231/295/334	103	322	9	8	29%	8%	76	+0.1	254/328/320	66	364	4	0	28%	9%	87	+0.2
✕Rogelio Noris 2017 · AAA	27	38→31	46→45	47→45	33	199/236/315	116	264	15	7	31%	3%	47	-1.9	225/260/362	137	279	18	8	26%	4%	69	-0.4	237/264/381	144	275	21	4	23%	2%	74	-0.0
✕Ryan Christianson 2007 · AAA	26	34	47→45	49→50	37	183/241/304	121	272	16	9	38%	7%	46	-2.0	200/254/330	130	292	16	9	35%	6%	59	-1.1	160/212/283	123	220	17	0	36%	6%	24	-0.7
✕Jordan Betts 2018 · AA	26	35→27	45	46→40	34	182/229/301	118	285	13	5	40%	6%	40	-2.4	198/246/305	107	298	12	5	36%	5%	48	-1.9	181/224/268	87	264	11	0	35%	4%	27	-2.0
✕Hamlet Marte 2021 · AA	27	39	42→45	44→45	38	192/249/290	98	298	10	6	38%	7%	46	-2.0	199/256/301	102	333	10	8	40%	7%	52	-1.6	160/221/250	90	259	11	4	40%	6%	21	-0.8