Ryan Forcucci

P Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 205 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECTFG #217

Scout OFP46ETA2028FG ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	23	AHOU	13	10	17	19.06	9.63	9.6%	35.1%	—	K 7.1% · BB 41.4% · FIP 8.37
2027PROJ	24	MLBHOU	10	10	57	6.40	6.40	13.6%	19.6%	-1.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBHOU	4	4	25	5.95	5.78	16.3%	16.5%	-0.3
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBHOU	6	6	38	5.68	5.57	18.0%	16.0%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff52Control54Command52FB velo58

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsLogan Boyer (age 23) · Liam Simon (age 23) · Bryan Brickhouse (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 155147vR 138

ERA6.40

FIP6.40

K%13.6%

BB%19.6%

K-BB%-6.0%

Proj IP57

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF4550

CTRL5055

CMD4050

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	23	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	13	10	17	114	11	40	1	77%	1.3	7.1%	41.4%	-34.3%	1.1%	19.06	8.37	—
2026	23	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	13	10	17	114	11	40	1	77%	1.3	7.1%	41.4%	-34.3%	1.1%	19.06	8.37	—
2026	23	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	13	10	17	114	11	40	1	77%	1.3	9.6%	35.1%	-25.4%	0.9%	19.06	9.63	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	HOU	10	10	57	241	33	47	7	100%	5.7	13.6%	19.6%	-6.0%	2.9%	6.40	6.40	-1.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	HOU	10	10	58	244	40	40	7	100%	5.8	16.3%	16.5%	-0.2%	2.9%	5.95	5.78	-0.6
2029	26	MLB MLE	HOU	10	10	58	244	44	39	7	100%	5.8	18.0%	16.0%	2.0%	2.9%	5.68	5.57	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	HOU	4	4	25	106	17	17	3	100%	6.2	16.3%	16.5%	-0.2%	2.9%	5.95	5.78	-0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	HOU	6	6	38	160	29	26	5	100%	6.3	18.0%	16.0%	2.0%	2.9%	5.68	5.57	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	11	63	266	46	43	8	100%	5.7	17.3%	16.2%	1.1%	2.9%	5.79	5.27	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	146	136	25	100%	5.9	17.3%	16.2%	1.1%	2.9%	5.79	5.27	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		13	10	17	114	8	47	1	77%	1.3	7.1%	41.4%	-34.3%	1.1%	19.06	8.37	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		153	118	200	1341	96	555	15	77%	1.3	7.1%	41.4%	-34.3%	1.1%	19.06	8.37	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Forcucci (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.40	13.6%	19.6%	2.9%	—	5.67	17.1%	0.9%	116	-0.73	—	—	—
Logan Boyer R 2021 · 5.60 FIP	23	SP	5.60	17.0%	12.7%	4.2%	.306	3.71	25.0%	12.7%	27	-1.89	3.71	121	72
Liam Simon R 2024 · 7.52 FIP	23	SP-	7.52	17.5%	38.3%	1.9%	.308	5.76	20.0%	-3.9%	74	-1.76	3.27	105	72
Bryan Brickhouse R 2015 · 7.06 FIP	23	SP	7.06	13.8%	21.5%	4.4%	.211	5.28	20.5%	3.2%	42	-1.78	4.31	214	72
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	72
Lucas Erceg R 2021 · 5.61 FIP	26	SP-	5.61	17.1%	18.1%	3.0%	.258	3.36	25.0%	13.8%	193	-2.25	2.10	351	70
Andrew Landry R 2024 · 5.70 FIP	22	SP	5.70	9.8%	20.7%	1.5%	.290	4.09	17.2%	5.1%	157	-1.61	3.22	177	68
Alex Makarewich R 2024 · 6.15 FIP	22	SP-	6.15	19.7%	26.7%	2.4%	.425	5.15	26.4%	-3.3%	83	-1.00	4.26	110	68
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	68
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	67
Wirkin Estevez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	24	SW	5.39	10.7%	13.4%	2.7%	.316	4.46	12.3%	3.5%	179	-0.93	4.37	238	67
Drake Fellows R 2023 · 5.66 FIP	25	SW	5.66	17.1%	20.4%	2.6%	.367	4.88	14.6%	5.6%	271	-0.78	4.28	282	65
Noah Song R 2023 · 6.06 FIP	26	SP	6.06	12.0%	13.2%	4.2%	.239	3.80	19.8%	8.3%	116	-2.26	3.68	138	65
Andrew Thurman R 2016 · 6.31 FIP	24	SP-	6.31	14.4%	16.9%	4.2%	.291	2.59	16.8%	9.6%	25	-3.72	2.59	264	64
Orlando Gonzalez R 2024 · 6.34 FIP	21	SP-	6.34	13.8%	18.8%	3.7%	.155	4.18	18.9%	4.9%	71	-2.16	3.83	114	64
Ted Stuka R 2021 · 5.72 FIP	24	SW	5.72	12.4%	23.4%	1.3%	.262	6.22	15.9%	-13.1%	41	+0.50	5.36	105	63
Noah Hall R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	23	SP	5.65	15.1%	17.0%	3.1%	.450	4.88	18.6%	3.6%	236	-0.77	4.27	248	63
Gus Varland R 2021 · 6.98 FIP	24	SP	6.98	11.6%	12.9%	5.9%	.245	4.34	21.7%	12.0%	192	-2.64	2.39	334	63
Mason Pelio R 2024 · 5.88 FIP	24	SP	5.88	9.0%	21.8%	1.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	5.88	122	62
Pedro Garcia R 2018 · 6.06 FIP	23	SW	6.06	12.6%	24.0%	1.8%	.242	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	144	62
Oscar Verdugo R 2015 · 6.33 FIP	25	SP-	6.33	10.5%	13.9%	4.3%	.241	5.78	10.8%	-1.8%	74	-0.55	5.01	144	62

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	16.0%	17.4%	1.12	6.01
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*