Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | — | 103 | 98 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 167 | 224 | 391 | 92 | 211 | 40 | 3 | 156 | -22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | — | 103 | 97 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 216 | 289 | 504 | 113 | 239 | 29 | 4 | 224 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | 2 teams | — | 458 | 424 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 171 | 9 | 33 | 2 | 182 | 237 | 267 | 504 | 85 | 284 | 37 | 5 | 227 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | 2 teams | — | 458 | 412 | 107 | 25 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 128 | 9 | 33 | 2 | 260 | 330 | 439 | 769 | 180 | 338 | 28 | 7 | 340 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| YTD | 23 | AA | HOU | — | 125 | 113 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 50 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 150 | 226 | 265 | 491 | 115 | 230 | 40 | 7 | 226 | 32 | -10 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.2 |
| YTD | 23 | AA | HOU | — | 125 | 108 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 38 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 204 | 306 | 370 | 677 | 167 | 269 | 30 | 11 | 305 | 92 | -1 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.7 |
| ROS | 23 | AA | HOU | 2% | 195 | 180 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 62 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 189 | 244 | 289 | 532 | 100 | 268 | 32 | 5 | 245 | 46 | -12 | +1 | +1 | +3 | +6 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | HOU | 2% | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 25 | 0 | 237 | 40 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 | |||||
| FULL | 23 | AA | HOU | — | 129 | 117 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 51 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 145 | 219 | 256 | 475 | 111 | 219 | 40 | 7 | 227 | 32 | -10 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.2 |
| TOT | 23 | AA | HOU | — | 320 | 293 | 51 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 112 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 174 | 237 | 280 | 516 | 106 | 254 | 35 | 6 | 238 | 40 | -22 | +3 | +1 | +6 | +9 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | HOU | 31% | 436 | 402 | 81 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 134 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 201 | 259 | 321 | 580 | 119 | 273 | 31 | 6 | 261 | 58 | -21 | +2 | +1 | +8 | +12 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 45% | 469 | 432 | 89 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 140 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 206 | 264 | 333 | 597 | 127 | 275 | 30 | 6 | 270 | 65 | -19 | +2 | +1 | +8 | +13 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 51% | 488 | 449 | 94 | 19 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 144 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 209 | 268 | 347 | 615 | 138 | 276 | 30 | 6 | 275 | 69 | -17 | +2 | +1 | +9 | +14 | 0.9 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 53% | 494 | 454 | 95 | 19 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 145 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 209 | 269 | 346 | 615 | 137 | 276 | 29 | 6 | 277 | 70 | -17 | +1 | +1 | +9 | +14 | 0.9 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 53% | 493 | 452 | 95 | 19 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 146 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 210 | 271 | 347 | 619 | 137 | 276 | 30 | 6 | 276 | 69 | -17 | +1 | +1 | +9 | +14 | 0.8 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 53% | 486 | 445 | 93 | 19 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 145 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 209 | 271 | 342 | 613 | 133 | 275 | 30 | 7 | 274 | 68 | -18 | +1 | -0 | +9 | +14 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | HOU | 52% | 477 | 437 | 90 | 18 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 143 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 206 | 268 | 339 | 607 | 133 | 274 | 30 | 6 | 271 | 65 | -19 | +1 | -1 | +9 | +14 | 0.4 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | HOU | 52% | 450 | 412 | 84 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 136 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 204 | 266 | 335 | 601 | 131 | 271 | 30 | 6 | 267 | 62 | -19 | +1 | -2 | +8 | +13 | 0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | HOU | 31% | 135 | 124 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 41 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 202 | 261 | 331 | 592 | 129 | 276 | 30 | 6 | 254 | 53 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 45% | 209 | 191 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 63 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 209 | 271 | 340 | 611 | 131 | 278 | 30 | 6 | 264 | 60 | -9 | +1 | +1 | +4 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 51% | 248 | 228 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 73 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 215 | 272 | 360 | 632 | 145 | 279 | 29 | 6 | 269 | 64 | -10 | +1 | +1 | +4 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 53% | 259 | 238 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 76 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 210 | 268 | 349 | 617 | 139 | 279 | 29 | 6 | 270 | 65 | -10 | +1 | +1 | +5 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 53% | 263 | 241 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 78 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 212 | 272 | 349 | 621 | 137 | 279 | 30 | 6 | 269 | 64 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 53% | 255 | 233 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 76 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 210 | 273 | 352 | 625 | 142 | 278 | 30 | 7 | 268 | 63 | -11 | +1 | -0 | +5 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | HOU | 52% | 249 | 228 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 75 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 211 | 271 | 342 | 613 | 132 | 276 | 30 | 6 | 265 | 61 | -11 | +1 | -0 | +4 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | HOU | 52% | 233 | 213 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 71 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 207 | 268 | 343 | 611 | 136 | 274 | 30 | 6 | 261 | 58 | -11 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +7 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | — | 1855 | 1700 | 356 | 72 | 8 | 48 | 117 | 554 | 23 | 34 | 0 | 209 | 270 | 346 | 615 | 136 | 278 | 30 | 6 | 266 | 62 | -80 | +7 | +2 | +33 | +53 | 1.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | — | 650 | 596 | 125 | 25 | 3 | 17 | 41 | 194 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 210 | 270 | 347 | 617 | 138 | 278 | 30 | 6 | 266 | 62 | -28 | +2 | +1 | +12 | +18 | 0.5 | ||
| Career | — | — | 4549 | 4185 | 845 | 171 | 20 | 104 | 273 | 1407 | 61 | 112 | 11 | 202 | 261 | 327 | 588 | 125 | 275 | 31 | 6 | 263 | 60 | -208 | +18 | +4 | +81 | +129 | 2.5 | ||
| / 162G | — | — | 650 | 598 | 121 | 24 | 3 | 15 | 39 | 201 | 9 | 16 | 2 | 202 | 262 | 328 | 589 | 125 | 275 | 31 | 6 | 263 | 60 | -30 | +2 | +1 | +12 | +18 | 0.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | — | 103 | 97 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 216 | 289 | 504 | 113 | 239 | 29 | 4 | 224 | 30 | -8 | +0 | — | — | +3 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | — | 399 | 358 | 94 | 21 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 106 | 9 | 30 | 2 | 263 | 335 | 433 | 768 | 170 | 339 | 27 | 8 | 341 | 119 | +9 | +5 | — | — | +11 | 2.6 |
| 2025 | 22 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 59 | 54 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 241 | 293 | 481 | 775 | 241 | 333 | 37 | 7 | 332 | 112 | +1 | +1 | — | — | +2 | 0.3 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).
| PLAYER · career totals + /162 games | YRS | PA | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | POS | FLD | WAR | JAWS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA | 11 | 3,947 | 144 | 53 | 241 | 275 | 417 | +70 | +53 | 19.1 | 18.9 |
| /162 | 664 | 24 | 9 | +11.9 | +8.8 | 3.2 | pk7: 19 | ||||
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA | 11 | 4,009 | 134 | 6 | 234 | 301 | 398 | +72 | +7 | 16.9 | 15.7 |
| /162 | 664 | 22 | 1 | +11.9 | +1.2 | 2.8 | pk7: 14 | ||||
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA | 7 | 2,832 | 62 | 34 | 238 | 305 | 374 | +28 | +33 | 11.6 | 11.6 |
| /162 | 664 | 15 | 8 | +6.7 | +7.7 | 2.7 | pk7: 12 | ||||
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA | 8 | 3,267 | 98 | 64 | 221 | 297 | 378 | +16 | +36 | 11.0 | 11.4 |
| /162 | 664 | 20 | 13 | +3.2 | +7.3 | 2.2 | pk7: 12 | ||||
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA | 9 | 1,648 | 31 | 1 | 209 | 276 | 313 | +29 | +56 | 6.4 | 6.7 |
| /162 | 664 | 12 | 0 | +11.9 | +22.4 | 2.6 | pk7: 7 | ||||
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA | 5 | 1,650 | 78 | 2 | 213 | 260 | 414 | +29 | -4 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| /162 | 664 | 31 | 1 | +11.9 | -1.7 | 1.7 | pk7: 4 | ||||
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons | 4 | 1,859 | 46 | 34 | 208 | 266 | 341 | +33 | +14 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| /162 | 664 | 17 | 12 | +11.9 | +4.9 | 0.7 | pk7: 2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Walker Janek (OGILVIE) | 23 | 30→39 | 45→50 | 50→46 | 37 | 174/237/280 | 106 | 254 | 6 | 16 | 35% | 6% | 40 | -0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Jason Lopez 2021 · A |
23 | 40 | 44→55 | 46→45 | 37 | 202/247/323 | 121 | 282 | 12 | 7 | 32% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | 194/256/297 | 103 | 298 | 10 | 10 | 36% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | 163/228/254 | 91 | 247 | 10 | 10 | 36% | 8% | 25 | -0.9 |
|
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA |
23 | 39 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 39 | 198/255/299 | 101 | 269 | 10 | 10 | 30% | 5% | 51 | -1.7 | 211/272/334 | 123 | 278 | 13 | 9 | 28% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | 201/263/321 | 120 | 259 | 14 | 7 | 27% | 6% | 57 | -0.7 |
|
✕Francisco Acuna 2023 · A |
23 | 42→50 | 40→45 | 47→50 | 41 | 200/273/299 | 98 | 286 | 7 | 11 | 31% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | 217/287/310 | 93 | 290 | 7 | 13 | 26% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | 209/292/304 | 96 | 279 | 9 | 16 | 26% | 8% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
✕Steven Baron 2013 · A |
22 | 39 | 41→45 | 50 | 37 | 193/232/296 | 103 | 263 | 8 | 10 | 30% | 4% | 40 | -2.4 | 194/233/281 | 87 | 280 | 5 | 9 | 31% | 5% | 36 | -2.7 | 240/300/311 | 71 | 326 | 5 | 6 | 26% | 7% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Mariel Bautista 2021 · A |
23 | 40→34 | 42→45 | 49→50 | 38 | 201/251/299 | 98 | 265 | 10 | 15 | 28% | 5% | 49 | -1.8 | 209/254/332 | 123 | 305 | 13 | 11 | 34% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | 181/215/331 | 150 | 258 | 17 | 11 | 37% | 3% | 42 | -0.5 |
|
✕Jose Gil 2010 · AA |
23 | 41 | 39→50 | 45 | 38 | 203/239/290 | 86 | 267 | 6 | 7 | 26% | 4% | 40 | -2.4 | 222/270/354 | 132 | 273 | 15 | 7 | 24% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | 218/271/355 | 138 | 257 | 17 | 6 | 23% | 6% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Jake Rogers 2018 · A |
23 | 41→40 | 43→60 | 47→45 | 41 | 202/262/316 | 114 | 279 | 9 | 10 | 30% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | 196/266/342 | 146 | 271 | 17 | 7 | 33% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | 213/288/429 | 216 | 271 | 31 | 1 | 33% | 8% | 98 | +0.8 |
|
✕Wendell Rijo 2018 · AA |
22 | 40→41 | 38→55 | 45→50 | 39 | 194/248/274 | 81 | 270 | 6 | 11 | 30% | 5% | 41 | -2.3 | 205/260/312 | 107 | 271 | 11 | 7 | 27% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | 208/263/371 | 163 | 264 | 20 | 14 | 29% | 6% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Luis De Los Santos 2021 · A |
23 | 41→47 | 40→45 | 48→45 | 37 | 199/247/294 | 95 | 288 | 8 | 8 | 33% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | 221/270/348 | 127 | 302 | 13 | 6 | 30% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | 216/283/335 | 119 | 291 | 13 | 7 | 29% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Jared Foster 2016 · A |
23 | 39→47 | 41→45 | 48→50 | 40 | 197/237/291 | 94 | 249 | 9 | 12 | 25% | 5% | 40 | -2.4 | 216/252/318 | 102 | 284 | 9 | 8 | 26% | 4% | 53 | -1.5 | 216/248/315 | 100 | 282 | 9 | 8 | 26% | 3% | 49 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jeudy Valdez 2011 · A |
22 | 38→43 | 41→50 | 50→55 | 39 | 189/235/288 | 99 | 259 | 8 | 17 | 30% | 5% | 39 | -2.5 | 209/246/345 | 136 | 281 | 14 | 17 | 30% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | 211/245/356 | 146 | 279 | 16 | 17 | 30% | 3% | 58 | -1.0 |
|
✕Derrick Mitchell 2010 · A |
23 | 36→46 | 45→50 | 47→55 | 36 | 190/226/314 | 124 | 249 | 12 | 8 | 30% | 4% | 42 | -2.3 | 214/261/343 | 129 | 284 | 13 | 16 | 28% | 5% | 65 | -0.7 | 215/265/342 | 127 | 278 | 13 | 19 | 27% | 5% | 63 | -0.6 |
|
✕Luis Vázquez 2023 · AAA |
23 | 42→46 | 42→50 | 45 | 38 | 210/257/311 | 101 | 291 | 10 | 11 | 31% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | 229/288/359 | 130 | 302 | 15 | 9 | 28% | 6% | 81 | +0.4 | 232/296/366 | 134 | 301 | 16 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 83 | +0.3 |
|
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A |
24 | 35→33 | 41→45 | 49→55 | 36 | 182/228/277 | 95 | 252 | 9 | 9 | 31% | 4% | 33 | -2.9 | 190/258/311 | 121 | 280 | 14 | 15 | 35% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | 225/305/348 | 123 | 321 | 11 | 18 | 31% | 8% | 83 | +0.3 |
|
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2022 · A |
22 | 41→51 | 42→45 | 48→50 | 38 | 205/253/308 | 104 | 278 | 10 | 9 | 30% | 5% | 52 | -1.6 | 235/290/335 | 100 | 323 | 11 | 12 | 29% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | 235/295/324 | 88 | 326 | 9 | 12 | 29% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 |
|
✕Brandon Downes 2016 · A |
23 | 39→36 | 44→55 | 49→50 | 34 | 197/240/316 | 119 | 292 | 11 | 12 | 36% | 4% | 49 | -1.8 | 196/248/347 | 151 | 297 | 17 | 11 | 38% | 5% | 61 | -1.0 | 183/239/344 | 161 | 276 | 20 | 10 | 40% | 5% | 54 | -0.9 |
|
✕Welfrin Mateo 2019 · A |
23 | 43 | 41→45 | 46→50 | 37 | 211/247/309 | 98 | 288 | 9 | 9 | 30% | 4% | 50 | -1.8 | 204/249/312 | 108 | 279 | 9 | 8 | 29% | 5% | 51 | -1.7 | 183/227/292 | 109 | 244 | 9 | 6 | 28% | 5% | 34 | -1.4 |
|
✕Orlando Calixte 2015 · AA |
23 | 43→51 | 43→45 | 45→55 | 37 | 215/253/324 | 109 | 297 | 10 | 10 | 31% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | 214/249/319 | 105 | 282 | 10 | 19 | 27% | 4% | 53 | -1.5 | 233/273/324 | 91 | 306 | 9 | 20 | 26% | 5% | 61 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jermaine Palacios 2019 · AA |
23 | 43→47 | 39→45 | 45→50 | 38 | 209/245/298 | 89 | 273 | 6 | 10 | 26% | 4% | 45 | -2.1 | 205/256/297 | 92 | 279 | 9 | 13 | 28% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | 211/262/352 | 141 | 281 | 20 | 13 | 32% | 6% | 65 | -0.5 |
|
✕Chad Stevens 2023 · A |
24 | 34→42 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 34 | 170/231/269 | 99 | 302 | 11 | 12 | 45% | 7% | 33 | -2.9 | 190/257/305 | 115 | 308 | 11 | 15 | 39% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | 210/277/334 | 124 | 312 | 12 | 15 | 34% | 7% | 66 | -0.4 |