Walker Janek — OGILVIE

Walker JanekC Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION286 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .111 / .111

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%5

BABIP291

ISO102

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE37

scouting grade only

SPEED46

scouting grade only

DEFENSE58

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Arb-1	$1M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	103	97	17	6	1	1	4	30	1	0	0	175	216	289	504	113	239	29	4	224	38	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2025	22	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	399	358	94	21	2	12	30	106	9	30	2	263	335	433	768	170	339	27	8	341	117	+8	+5	—	—	+9	2.2
2025	22	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	59	54	13	4	0	3	4	22	0	3	0	241	293	481	775	241	333	37	7	332	111	+1	+1	—	—	+1	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	103	98	13	4	1	1	3	41	1	0	0	133	167	224	391	92	201	40	3	159	-6	-13	+0	—	—	+2	-1.1
2025	22	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	399	368	71	14	2	7	20	145	9	30	2	193	252	299	551	106	285	36	5	237	47	-25	+5	—	—	+9	-1.2
2024	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	103	98	13	4	1	1	3	41	1	0	0	133	167	224	391	92	211	40	3	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Asheville Tourists	—	103	97	17	6	1	1	4	30	1	0	0	175	216	289	504	113	239	29	4	224	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	458	424	81	16	2	8	22	167	9	33	2	191	246	295	541	104	290	36	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	458	412	107	25	2	15	34	128	9	33	2	260	330	439	769	180	338	28	7	340	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	103	98	13	4	1	1	3	41	1	0	0	133	167	224	391	92	201	40	3	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	458	424	81	16	2	8	22	167	9	33	2	191	246	295	541	104	285	36	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	103	98	13	4	1	1	3	41	1	0	0	133	167	224	391	92	201	40	3	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	458	424	81	16	2	8	22	167	9	33	2	191	246	295	541	104	285	36	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	HOU	—	286	265	51	8	1	7	16	116	3	27	2	192	246	309	556	117	306	41	6	245	52	-16	+5	+0	+5	+6	-0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	ROK RAW	HOU	—	47	34	12	3	0	3	10	10	2	5	0	353	522	706	1.228	353	409	21	21	510	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA RAW	HOU	—	239	222	50	7	1	7	15	83	1	22	2	225	277	360	638	135	323	35	6	285	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	AA MLE	HOU	2%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	111	111	111	222		289	33	0	241	49	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	23	AA MLE	HOU	—	295	274	52	8	1	7	16	119	3	28	2	190	242	303	545	113	300	40	5	245	52	-17	+5	+0	+5	+6	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	HOU	31%	436	404	79	14	2	10	24	157	5	16	1	196	249	314	564	119	290	36	6	257	60	-21	+3	+1	+8	+9	0.0
2028	25	MLB MLE	HOU	45%	469	433	88	16	2	12	28	163	5	15	1	203	260	333	592	129	290	35	6	266	66	-19	+3	+1	+8	+10	0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	HOU	51%	488	449	93	17	2	13	30	167	6	13	1	207	266	341	607	134	291	34	6	271	69	-18	+2	+1	+9	+11	0.5
2030	27	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	494	454	94	17	2	14	31	168	6	12	1	207	267	346	613	139	290	34	6	272	70	-17	+2	+1	+9	+11	0.6
2031	28	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	493	453	93	17	2	13	31	168	6	10	1	205	265	338	603	132	290	34	6	271	70	-18	+2	+1	+9	+11	0.4
2032	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	486	446	91	16	2	13	31	167	6	9	1	204	265	336	601	132	289	34	6	269	68	-18	+1	-0	+9	+11	0.2
2033	30	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	477	438	89	16	2	13	31	165	5	8	1	203	264	338	602	135	287	35	6	266	66	-19	+1	-1	+9	+10	0.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	HOU	31%	135	124	26	5	1	3	8	49	2	5	0	210	269	339	607	129	292	36	6	248	60	-6	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	HOU	45%	209	193	39	7	1	5	12	73	2	7	1	202	256	326	582	124	292	35	6	257	66	-8	+1	+1	+4	+5	0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	HOU	51%	248	228	48	9	1	7	15	85	3	7	1	211	268	351	619	140	293	34	6	262	69	-9	+1	+1	+4	+5	0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	259	238	49	9	1	7	16	88	3	6	1	206	265	340	605	134	292	34	6	264	70	-9	+1	+1	+5	+6	0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	263	241	50	9	1	7	17	90	3	6	0	207	268	340	608	133	292	34	6	263	70	-9	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2032	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	255	234	49	9	1	7	16	87	3	5	0	209	269	346	615	137	291	34	6	261	68	-10	+1	-0	+5	+6	0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	249	228	46	8	1	6	16	86	3	4	0	202	263	325	588	123	289	35	6	258	66	-10	+1	-0	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1618	1486	307	56	7	42	100	558	19	40	3	207	265	338	604	132	297	34	6	260	63	-62	+7	+2	+29	+35	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	597	123	22	3	17	40	224	8	16	1	206	265	338	603	132	295	34	6	260	63	-25	+3	+1	+12	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3913	3608	722	133	17	97	231	1366	49	117	9	200	258	327	585	127	289	35	6	261	63	-131	+14	+5	+60	+73	2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	599	120	22	3	16	38	227	8	19	1	200	257	327	584	127	290	35	6	261	63	-25	+3	+1	+12	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.4	1,626	43	39	205	261	338	+29	+10	1.8	1.8
/162	664	18	16	+11.9	+4.2	0.7	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Walker Janek (OGILVIE)	23	30→39	45→50	50→46	37	187/238/294	106	289	6	19	38%	5%	49	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	35→45	44→45	52→60	39	184/241/293	109	256	12	21	32%	6%	50	-2.3	221/288/352	131	295	12	39	28%	8%	81	-0.1	221/289/349	127	292	11	41	26%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Taylor Snyder 2018 · A	23	36→34	44→50	47→50	32	186/229/299	113	278	11	13	37%	4%	47	-2.6	195/241/315	120	305	12	12	38%	5%	55	-2.0	189/239/340	151	271	18	12	36%	5%	59	-1.1
✕Narciso Crook 2018 · A	23	38→43	43→50	48→50	34	193/237/303	109	291	11	9	37%	5%	51	-2.3	215/266/334	119	313	10	11	33%	5%	69	-0.9	206/268/351	145	302	15	14	35%	6%	70	-0.6
✕Chad Stevens 2023 · A	24	36→46	43→45	47→50	34	179/237/284	104	302	12	12	43%	6%	47	-2.6	194/261/311	117	308	11	15	38%	7%	62	-1.4	219/287/336	117	327	11	16	34%	7%	74	-0.5
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/254/321	133	272	15	10	35%	6%	62	-1.4	207/272/348	141	302	15	9	35%	6%	75	-0.5	202/267/346	145	293	16	7	35%	6%	71	-0.3
✕Jason Lopez 2021 · A	23	40	43→50	46→45	38	201/248/313	112	281	10	7	32%	5%	57	-1.8	196/259/294	98	295	9	10	34%	8%	57	-1.8	166/232/250	84	247	9	10	35%	8%	35	-0.9
✕Francisco Acuna 2023 · A	23	41→48	41→45	47→50	42	198/274/300	102	281	8	11	31%	7%	65	-1.2	216/287/309	93	288	7	13	26%	7%	71	-0.8	203/287/297	95	268	8	17	26%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Pat Valaika 2016 · AA	23	42→47	41→55	51→50	36	208/244/310	102	291	8	15	31%	4%	54	-2.0	208/241/339	131	268	14	8	27%	4%	60	-1.6	216/259/347	131	284	17	3	30%	5%	67	-0.6
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	35	40→45	53→50	34	179/213/275	95	257	7	9	33%	4%	34	-3.5	216/264/299	83	296	5	9	27%	6%	59	-1.7	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Jose Acosta 2023 · A	23	38	45	49→55	36	190/247/309	120	298	13	16	39%	6%	56	-1.9	191/244/298	107	281	10	17	34%	6%	52	-2.2	168/215/261	94	236	9	22	32%	5%	30	-1.0
✕Julio Perez 2009 · A	23	40→41	45→50	47→50	32	205/239/327	122	289	13	12	34%	3%	57	-1.8	214/251/340	126	285	13	11	29%	4%	64	-1.3	209/248/339	129	270	13	10	27%	4%	61	-0.8
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2018 · A	23	39→42	38→50	53→55	31	189/222/263	75	294	6	20	37%	4%	34	-3.5	203/248/276	73	313	5	25	35%	5%	47	-2.5	198/240/336	138	265	15	22	31%	4%	57	-1.1
✕John Norwood 2016 · A	23	39→49	42→45	50	39	195/247/297	103	271	11	19	32%	6%	53	-2.1	222/279/330	108	318	10	11	31%	7%	72	-0.7	226/284/332	106	324	10	9	31%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39→40	39→45	49→45	36	186/240/271	86	298	6	9	38%	6%	44	-2.8	182/266/288	106	256	11	5	31%	9%	59	-1.6	164/257/264	101	226	11	3	30%	10%	49	-1.3
✕Edward Salcedo 2014 · AA	23	40→41	45	47→50	38	204/246/322	118	274	13	16	30%	5%	58	-1.7	196/247/300	104	256	10	13	26%	6%	53	-2.1	178/234/274	96	227	9	12	25%	6%	41	-1.7
✕Ethan Murray 2023 · AA	23	37→47	41→40	51→50	42	182/253/277	95	271	8	13	34%	8%	51	-2.2	200/272/288	88	292	6	12	31%	8%	61	-1.5	197/274/280	84	283	6	13	30%	8%	57	-1.1
✕Bryce Teodosio 2023 · AA	24	37→43	44→45	54→65	34	177/247/283	106	320	12	24	46%	7%	51	-2.3	195/256/292	97	313	8	27	38%	6%	55	-1.9	205/262/302	97	306	6	42	33%	5%	57	-1.1
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	39	43→45	51→55	41	193/269/299	106	293	11	13	36%	8%	63	-1.4	203/273/300	97	309	8	12	34%	8%	64	-1.3	170/256/241	71	275	3	11	36%	10%	43	-0.6
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	36→40	44→50	45→50	43	180/261/297	117	271	11	7	36%	9%	59	-1.6	201/279/356	155	288	17	9	34%	9%	80	-0.2	190/261/345	156	258	19	12	33%	8%	68	-0.7
✕Angel Morales 2013 · A	23	39→48	40→45	50	39	185/252/274	90	299	8	12	38%	8%	50	-2.3	192/246/309	117	312	11	11	40%	6%	55	-1.9	183/237/325	142	290	14	8	40%	6%	54	-1.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps