Walker Janek

C Corpus Christi Hooks
Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2074ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421A+HOU103.175/.216/.28910-8—.131/.157/.222
202522A+/INTL2 orgs458.260/.330/.439153352—.184/.239/.286
202623AA/ROKHOU290.246/.319/.408102752—.191/.247/.306
2027PROJMLE24MLBHOU3.191/.241/.3040051-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB25MLBHOU65.195/.247/.31622560.0
2029PROJ45% MLB26MLBHOU117.198/.252/.32433590.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$0.6M2032Arb-2$0.7M2033Arb-3$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Speed84
ISO41
wOBA21
wRC+20
Z-Con%18
BB%12
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.0 / P90 0.2, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%
CompsBrett Auerbach (age 25) · Connor Lien (age 25) · Carter Aldrete (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†51
AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .241 / .304
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%5
BABIP286
ISO120
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -10.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: +0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +1.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +3.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +3.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.10.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$10M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Arb-1$0.6M———
2032Arb-2$0.7M———
2033Arb-3$7M———
Totals $0.0M $0.1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202421 A+Asheville Tourists — 10397 17611 4301 00 175216289504 113239 294 224 -8 — — — — — —
202522 A+Asheville Tourists — 399358 9421212 301069 302 263335433768 170339 278 341 43 — — — — — —
202522 INTLScottsdale Scorpions — 5954 13403 4220 30 241293481775 241333 377 332 111 — — — — — —
202623 AACorpus Christi Hooks — 243226 52717 15841 222 230281363644 133331 356 287 36 — — — — — —
202623 ROKFCL Astros — 4734 12303 10102 50 3535227061.228 353409 2121 510 135 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202421 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 10399 13411 2401 00 131157222379 91193 392 156 -8 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 399370 681327 181429 302 184239286526 103269 365 232 43 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 243230 42515 111031 222 183223278501 96298 425 221 36 — — — — — —
202623 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 4738 9202 6142 50 237370447817 211298 3013 367 135 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 10399 13411 2401 00 131157222379 91203 392 156 -8 — — — — — —
202421 A+ RAWAsheville Tourists — 10397 17611 4301 00 175216289504 113239 294 224 -8 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 458426 791529 201639 332 185237293531 108272 364 232 43 — — — — — —
202522 A+ RAW2 teams — 458412 10725215 341289 332 260330439769 180338 287 340 43 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE2 teams — 290268 53818 171173 272 198253325578 127310 406 245 52 — — — — — —
202623 AA RAW2 teams — 290260 6410110 25943 272 246319408727 162342 329 324 52 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 10399 13411 2401 00 131157222379 91193 392 156 -8 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 458426 791529 201639 332 185237293531 108269 364 232 43 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE2 teams — 290268 53818 171173 272 198253325578 127298 406 245 52 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 10399 13411 2401 00 131157222379 91193 392 156 -8 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 458426 791529 201639 332 185237293531 108269 364 232 43 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE2 teams — 290268 53818 171173 272 198253325578 127298 406 245 52 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLEHOU 2% 340316 591117 171264 131 189239302541 113282 375 243 51 -20 +2 +3 +6 +7 0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXHOU 2% 33 0000 010 00 191241304545 113286 330 245 51 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLEHOU 31% 211195 38715 11773 71 193245314560 121283 365 251 56 -11 +1 +2 +4 +5 -0.0
202926 MLB MLEHOU 45% 262243 48917 14933 71 196250322572 126283 355 256 59 -13 +1 +2 +5 +6 0.1
203027 MLB MLEHOU 49% 287266 52917 161013 71 198252324576 126283 356 258 61 -13 +1 +2 +5 +6 0.1
203128 MLB MLEHOU 52% 303280 561018 171053 60 198254323577 125283 356 259 61 -14 +1 +2 +5 +7 0.1
203229 MLB MLEHOU 52% 302278 551017 181043 50 198254321576 123282 346 258 61 -14 +1 +1 +5 +7 -0.0
203330 MLB MLEHOU 56% 300277 541017 171043 40 195251314564 119279 356 253 58 -15 +1 +0 +5 +6 -0.2
202825 MLB CTXHOU 31% 6561 12202 3241 20 195247316564 121287 375 252 56 -3 +0 +1 +1 +1 0.0
202926 MLB CTXHOU 45% 117109 21403 6421 30 198252324576 126288 365 258 59 -6 +1 +1 +2 +3 0.0
203027 MLB CTXHOU 49% 141130 26513 8502 30 200254326580 126288 356 260 61 -7 +1 +1 +3 +3 0.1
203128 MLB CTXHOU 52% 156144 29514 9542 30 200256326581 125287 356 260 61 -7 +1 +1 +3 +3 0.0
203229 MLB CTXHOU 52% 156144 29514 9542 20 200256324580 123286 356 260 61 -7 +0 +0 +3 +3 -0.0
203330 MLB CTXHOU 56% 167153 31614 10582 20 197252316568 119283 356 255 58 -8 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 802741 14827420 4528210 150 200255328583 128288 356 258 53 -39 +3 +4 +14 +17 0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650601 12022316 362298 120 200254326580 126289 356 258 53 -31 +2 +3 +12 +14 0.0
Career— MLE — 26862490 478871163 14096733 1028 192244312556 120281 365 246 53 -90 +7 +10 +33 +40 -0.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650603 11621315 342348 252 192245312557 119282 365 246 53 -32 +2 +4 +12 +14 -0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 243 PAwOBA .281 → .221 (−59)K% 34.6% → 42.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.57%÷1.000×1.220——42.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.17%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0124.37%
HBP% /PA0.41%—×0.870—×1.0120.36%
Singles /BIP26.06%÷1.000×0.920×0.990×1.01224.01%
Doubles /BIP4.93%÷1.000×0.840×0.990×1.0124.15%
Triples /BIP0.70%÷1.000×0.940×0.990×1.0120.66%
Home runs /BIP4.93%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0123.99%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .281 → .221; ISO .133 → .100; BABIP .331 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKFCL Astros · 47 PAwOBA .508 → .367 (−141)K% 21.3% → 30.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.28%÷1.000×1.440——30.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA21.28%÷1.000×0.620—×0.95512.60%
HBP% /PA4.26%—×0.720—×0.9552.93%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.000×0.820—×0.95519.58%
Doubles /BIP12.50%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9558.60%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9550.00%
Home runs /BIP12.50%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9559.31%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .508 → .367; ISO .353 → .272; BABIP .409 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Asheville Tourists · 399 PAwOBA .334 → .232 (−102)K% 26.6% → 35.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.57%÷0.977×1.310——35.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.52%÷1.016×0.600—×0.9984.43%
HBP% /PA2.26%—×0.770—×0.9981.73%
Singles /BIP23.41%÷0.984×0.870×0.963×0.99819.88%
Doubles /BIP8.33%÷1.095×0.780×0.963×0.9985.70%
Triples /BIP0.79%÷0.900×0.850×0.963×0.9980.72%
Home runs /BIP4.76%÷1.297×0.880—×0.9983.23%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 159, 1B 97, 2B 119, 3B 80, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .334 → .232; ISO .170 → .109; BABIP .339 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Asheville Tourists · 103 PAwOBA .220 → .156 (−64)K% 29.1% → 38.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.13%÷0.991×1.310——38.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.88%÷0.977×0.600—×1.0122.41%
HBP% /PA0.97%—×0.770—×1.0120.76%
Singles /BIP13.43%÷0.988×0.870×0.977×1.01211.70%
Doubles /BIP8.96%÷1.079×0.780×0.977×1.0126.40%
Triples /BIP1.49%÷1.000×0.850×0.977×1.0121.25%
Home runs /BIP1.49%÷1.073×0.880—×1.0121.24%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 98, 2B 116, 3B 100, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .220 → .156; ISO .113 → .078; BABIP .239 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .