Walker JanekC Corpus Christi Hooks
Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs AA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
2026 ROS PROJECTION125 act + 195 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†46
AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .244 / .289
PA195
HR3
SB7
K%32
BB%5
BABIP267
ISO100
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -21.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-22BATRUN: +2.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: +0.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +5.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+6POSREP: +9.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -0.40-0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.20.60.90.90.80.60.4+$28M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT39
scouting grade only
POWER50
scouting grade only
EYE37
scouting grade only
SPEED46
scouting grade only
DEFENSE58
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.6$2M+$1M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.9$3M+$2M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.9$3M+$2M
2031Arb-1$1M+0.8$2M+$1M
2032Arb-2$2M+0.6$2M+$0.6M
2033Arb-3$1M+0.4$0.9M+$0.2M
Totals $7M $12M +$8M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 A+Asheville Tourists 10398 13411 3411 00 133167224391 92211 403 156 -22
202421 A+Asheville Tourists 10397 17611 4301 00 175216289504 113239 294 224 30
202522 A+2 teams 458424 771426 221719 332 182237267504 85284 375 227 32
202522 A+2 teams 458412 10725215 341289 332 260330439769 180338 287 340 118
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 AAHOU 125113 17403 9502 90 150226265491 115230 407 226 32 -10 +2 +0 +2 +4 -0.2
YTD23 AAHOU 125108 22604 14382 90 204306370677 167269 3011 305 92 -1 +2 +0 +2 +4 0.7
ROS23 AAHOU 2% 195180 34713 10623 71 189244289532 100268 325 245 46 -12 +1 +1 +3 +6 -0.1
ROS23 MLBHOU 2% 44 0000 010 00 270 250 237 40 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL23 AAHOU 129117 17403 9512 90 145219256475 111219 407 227 32 -10 +2 +0 +2 +4 -0.2
TOT23 AAHOU 320293 511116 191125 161 174237280516 106254 356 238 40 -22 +3 +1 +6 +9 -0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBHOU 31% 436402 811729 251346 111 201259321580 119273 316 261 58 -21 +2 +1 +8 +12 0.2
202825 MLBHOU 45% 469432 8918211 281406 101 206264333597 127275 306 270 65 -19 +2 +1 +8 +13 0.6
202926 MLBHOU 51% 488449 9419213 301446 101 209268347615 138276 306 275 69 -17 +2 +1 +9 +14 0.9
203027 MLBHOU 53% 494454 9519213 311456 91 209269346615 137276 296 277 70 -17 +1 +1 +9 +14 0.9
203128 MLBHOU 53% 493452 9519213 321466 91 210271347619 137276 306 276 69 -17 +1 +1 +9 +14 0.8
203229 MLBHOU 53% 486445 9319212 321456 81 209271342613 133275 307 274 68 -18 +1 -0 +9 +14 0.6
203330 MLBHOU 52% 477437 9018212 311436 81 206268339607 133274 306 271 65 -19 +1 -1 +9 +14 0.4
203431 MLBHOU 52% 450412 8417211 291366 71 204266335601 131271 306 267 62 -19 +1 -2 +8 +13 0.1
202724 MLBHOU 31% 135124 25513 8412 30 202261331592 129276 306 254 53 -7 +1 +0 +2 +4 0.0
202825 MLBHOU 45% 209191 40815 13633 50 209271340611 131278 306 264 60 -9 +1 +1 +4 +6 0.2
202926 MLBHOU 51% 248228 491017 15733 50 215272360632 145279 296 269 64 -10 +1 +1 +4 +7 0.3
203027 MLBHOU 53% 259238 501017 16763 50 210268349617 139279 296 270 65 -10 +1 +1 +5 +7 0.4
203128 MLBHOU 53% 263241 511017 17783 50 212272349621 137279 306 269 64 -11 +1 +0 +5 +7 0.3
203229 MLBHOU 53% 255233 491017 17763 40 210273352625 142278 307 268 63 -11 +1 -0 +5 +7 0.2
203330 MLBHOU 52% 249228 481016 16753 40 211271342613 132276 306 265 61 -11 +1 -0 +4 +7 0.1
203431 MLBHOU 52% 233213 44916 15713 30 207268343611 136274 306 261 58 -11 +1 -1 +4 +7 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 18551700 35672848 11755423 340 209270346615 136278 306 266 62 -80 +7 +2 +33 +53 1.4
/ 162G 650596 12525317 411948 120 210270347617 138278 306 266 62 -28 +2 +1 +12 +18 0.5
Career 45494185 84517120104 273140761 11211 202261327588 125275 316 263 60 -208 +18 +4 +81 +129 2.5
/ 162G 650598 12124315 392019 162 202262328589 125275 316 263 60 -30 +2 +1 +12 +18 0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 A+Asheville Tourists 10397 17611 4301 00 175216289504 113239 294 224 30 -8 +0 +3 -0.5
202522 A+Asheville Tourists 399358 9421212 301069 302 263335433768 170339 278 341 119 +9 +5 +11 2.6
202522 INTLScottsdale Scorpions 5954 13403 4220 30 241293481775 241333 377 332 112 +1 +1 +2 0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA
113,94714453241275417+70+5319.118.9
/162664249+11.9+8.83.2pk7: 19
#2John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
41,8594634208266341+33+141.91.9
/1626641712+11.9+4.90.7pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Walker Janek (OGILVIE) 23 30→39 45→50 50→46 37 174/237/280 106254 616 35% 6% 40 -0.4
Jason Lopez
2021 · A
23 40 44→55 46→45 37 202/247/323 121282 127 32% 5% 53 -1.5 194/256/297 103298 1010 36% 7% 50 -1.7 163/228/25491247101036%8%25-0.9
Luis Santana
2022 · AA
23 39 42→45 47→50 39 198/255/299 101269 1010 30% 5% 51 -1.7 211/272/334 123278 139 28% 6% 67 -0.5 201/263/32112025914727%6%57-0.7
Francisco Acuna
2023 · A
23 42→50 40→45 47→50 41 200/273/299 98286 711 31% 6% 59 -1.1 217/287/310 93290 713 26% 7% 68 -0.5 209/292/3049627991626%8%67-0.3
Steven Baron
2013 · A
22 39 41→45 50 37 193/232/296 103263 810 30% 4% 40 -2.4 194/233/281 87280 59 31% 5% 36 -2.7 240/300/311713265626%7%68-0.2
Mariel Bautista
2021 · A
23 40→34 42→45 49→50 38 201/251/299 98265 1015 28% 5% 49 -1.8 209/254/332 123305 1311 34% 5% 59 -1.1 181/215/331150258171137%3%42-0.5
Jose Gil
2010 · AA
23 41 39→50 45 38 203/239/290 86267 67 26% 4% 40 -2.4 222/270/354 132273 157 24% 5% 72 -0.2 218/271/35513825717623%6%70-0.2
Jake Rogers
2018 · A
23 41→40 43→60 47→45 41 202/262/316 114279 910 30% 6% 58 -1.2 196/266/342 146271 177 33% 7% 68 -0.5 213/288/42921627131133%8%98+0.8
Wendell Rijo
2018 · AA
22 40→41 38→55 45→50 39 194/248/274 81270 611 30% 5% 41 -2.3 205/260/312 107271 117 27% 6% 56 -1.3 208/263/371163264201429%6%70-0.2
Luis De Los Santos
2021 · A
23 41→47 40→45 48→45 37 199/247/294 95288 88 33% 5% 46 -2.0 221/270/348 127302 136 30% 5% 70 -0.3 216/283/33511929113729%7%69-0.2
Jared Foster
2016 · A
23 39→47 41→45 48→50 40 197/237/291 94249 912 25% 5% 40 -2.4 216/252/318 102284 98 26% 4% 53 -1.5 216/248/3151002829826%3%49-0.7
Jeudy Valdez
2011 · A
22 38→43 41→50 50→55 39 189/235/288 99259 817 30% 5% 39 -2.5 209/246/345 136281 1417 30% 4% 59 -1.1 211/245/356146279161730%3%58-1.0
Derrick Mitchell
2010 · A
23 36→46 45→50 47→55 36 190/226/314 124249 128 30% 4% 42 -2.3 214/261/343 129284 1316 28% 5% 65 -0.7 215/265/342127278131927%5%63-0.6
Luis Vázquez
2023 · AAA
23 42→46 42→50 45 38 210/257/311 101291 1011 31% 5% 54 -1.4 229/288/359 130302 159 28% 6% 81 +0.4 232/296/36613430116827%6%83+0.3
Willie MacIver
2021 · A
24 35→33 41→45 49→55 36 182/228/277 95252 99 31% 4% 33 -2.9 190/258/311 121280 1415 35% 7% 56 -1.3 225/305/348123321111831%8%83+0.3
Jonathan Ornelas
2022 · A
22 41→51 42→45 48→50 38 205/253/308 104278 109 30% 5% 52 -1.6 235/290/335 100323 1112 29% 6% 75 -0.0 235/295/3248832691229%7%70-0.3
Brandon Downes
2016 · A
23 39→36 44→55 49→50 34 197/240/316 119292 1112 36% 4% 49 -1.8 196/248/347 151297 1711 38% 5% 61 -1.0 183/239/344161276201040%5%54-0.9
Welfrin Mateo
2019 · A
23 43 41→45 46→50 37 211/247/309 98288 99 30% 4% 50 -1.8 204/249/312 108279 98 29% 5% 51 -1.7 183/227/2921092449628%5%34-1.4
Orlando Calixte
2015 · AA
23 43→51 43→45 45→55 37 215/253/324 109297 1010 31% 5% 56 -1.3 214/249/319 105282 1019 27% 4% 53 -1.5 233/273/3249130692026%5%61-0.4
Jermaine Palacios
2019 · AA
23 43→47 39→45 45→50 38 209/245/298 89273 610 26% 4% 45 -2.1 205/256/297 92279 913 28% 6% 50 -1.7 211/262/352141281201332%6%65-0.5
Chad Stevens
2023 · A
24 34→42 42→45 47→50 34 170/231/269 99302 1112 45% 7% 33 -2.9 190/257/305 115308 1115 39% 7% 54 -1.4 210/277/334124312121534%7%66-0.4